How Poland ended in its attempt to challenge Germany

В previous In the text, I told how Merkel almost broke on a twine, trying to please both Trump and Biden, and why Biden started his European tour. I also explained what clouds are gathering over Europe, and who will survive in the global confrontation between financial speculative capital and industrial capital, and big tech that has gone over to it (by the way, you will also learn what it is there, who did not know before). Today we will consider what contradictions are torn apart by old Europe, and who is friends there against whom.

Europe of two speeds. Sixes and aces of Europe. Poland is the six of the EU

In Europe itself, for which a war has now unfolded between China and the United States (not counting the war inside it between London and Berlin, which I talked about in previous text), there is such a tangle of snakes that half a liter is not enough to deal with it. Everyone is against everyone and everyone is for himself (the recent events with the coronavirus, when countries stole masks and ventilators from each other, another confirmation of this, I do not even remember about pushing refugees to each other, but the episode is indicative).



It is not given to me to understand the Young Europeans (Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia), striving at all costs to become EU members. Why should independent countries (I understand all the conventionality for them at the moment of this name, but we are considering it in isolation from current events, as it were in general) harness into the common yoke of the European home, which, even without them, is torn apart by internal contradictions? Why are they not alarmed by the behavior of such respected countries as Switzerland, Norway and Iceland, which canceled their applications to join the EU? Maybe not everything is so great in the EU?

There, until recently, the topic of "Europe of two speeds" was seriously discussed, when the EU could be divided into countries of the 1st grade (Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Benelux countries, Austria, Ireland, Sweden, Denmark, Finland and Greece) and countries of the 2nd grade (Czech Republic, Slovakia, Poland, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, Slovenia, Croatia, the Baltic countries, Cyprus and Malta). A watershed for them could be the year 2004 of admission to the EU. 14 Western European countries that joined the European Union before 2004, and 13 Eastern European countries with Malta and Cyprus that joined the EU, which joined the EU in 2004 and later. Poland, which considers itself a country of the big six of the EU (Germany, France, Britain, Italy, Spain and Poland itself), which after Britain left the EU in general became the fifth country in Europe and which wants to talk with Berlin, Paris, Rome and Madrid on equal terms , but which is not very good at it yet; the maximum that she managed to achieve was to become the executor of the countries dreaming of joining the EU (Georgia, Ukraine and Moldova), adding Belarus to this list, without even asking permission from Lukashenka. In fact, the sixth (before London's exit from the EU) European country has so far only topped the list of sixes in the United States and London (which, in addition to Poland, also includes the three Baltic tigers), but Warsaw's ambitions have not diminished.

Hyena of Europe against Germany

Poland's geopolitical ambitions have always been extremely high, although before the full-fledged status of at least a regional power, it is still like the Mask before Mars. The main goal of the Polish leadership is to build a new (fourth in a row) Rzeczpospolita, and an aggressive foreign policy position fully fit into this format.

Polish policy either they demand reparations from Germany, then they talk about the Soviet "occupation", then they strive to get as close to the Americans as possible - the doctrine looms quite obvious. And insults and accusations are used in it as a means of attracting attention, no matter how much the Polish leadership would like otherwise, but Poland's place on the international agenda is far from being in the forefront. There are several reasons for this: both the geographical location, and the level of economic development that lags far behind the Western European level, and the vector of state policy, including. The Polish foreign policy position of recent years is so secondary, and its desire to please the United States and NATO in everything is so obvious that it is sometimes unclear how the politicians who develop it manage to win the elections at all. Especially taking into account the frank "tightening the screws" within the framework of domestic policy.

With the coming to power of President Andrzej Duda in 2015 and the formation of a coalition government based on his Law and Justice party, Poland has unequivocally challenged Germany for the right to lead the EU. Not a lot and not a little, no matter how ridiculous it sounds. And with the changing of the guard in the Oval Office in 2016 and the accession of Donald Ibrahimovich there, Warsaw, against the background of the increasingly deteriorating relations between Berlin and Washington, began to claim the title of the Undaunted Cowboy's favorite European wife (and this is when his first wife lives on Foggy Albion!). And I must say that these plans were by no means groundless. The stake was placed on torpedoing Nord Stream 2, where Poland became the main driver of this process, pushing even Ukraine and the Baltic tigers jumping out of their pants from Russophobia. London, whose plans also did not include the strengthening of Germany, remained in the shadows. (The heirs of the British crown usually prefer to act with someone else's hands in such cases, they do not need to shine once again).

Warsaw's claims to regional leadership in Central and Eastern Europe were not based on an empty space, and it was not at all because of banal Russophobia that it fought against SP-2. Its claims to regional leadership were based on plans to become a regional gas hub, which would be tied to the Baltic states, the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Ukraine. To do this, she began to pull the Baltic Pipe gas pipeline along the bottom of the North and Baltic Seas from Norway through Denmark to Poland, and for this she was going to increase the capacity of her LNG terminals, sharpened for American LNG. But these plans were not destined to come true.

How Poland ended in its attempt to challenge Germany

How did Poland end its campaign against Berlin (and against Russia), I already wrote earlier... Those who wish for furious details can familiarize themselves with (you will not regret!), To the rest I will briefly say - the departure of our beloved Donald Ibrahimovich from the American proscenium and the Danish field mice most cruelly influenced these great plans, cutting them off literally on takeoff. The arrival of the new Master of the Oval Office, senile Joe, obsessively preoccupied with the ideas of green energy, hammered the last rusty nail into the Polish fix idea to conquer Europe's gas markets, finally burying these hopes.

How? The most primitive. Old Biden, without hesitation, paused not only the development of his own shale energy (oil and associated gas production by hydraulic fracturing), but also tore off the stop valve in front of the Keystone XL oil pipeline under construction, which was supposed to connect the oil fields of Canada (province of Alberta) with refineries in the south of the United States (Illinois, Nebraska and Texas), to which the Alberta government has already invested $ 1,1 billion from its own budget, and provided guarantees for another 6 billion, having laid down the last pants to provide guarantees. If Joe Biden was not afraid to spoil his relations with his closest neighbor and longtime trading partner Canada, then what can I say about Poland, he just wiped it off. It was in vain that Warsaw had been kneeling in a hunched posture in front of Trump for the entire previous cadence, hoping for the position of his beloved wife. He had other favorites in this game - he quite reasonably bet not on the sixes of Europe (Poland with Ukraine), but on its centers of power - on Berlin and Paris (he has a separate game with London, the updated Atlantic Charter on strategic partnership between Britain and USA he signed with Johnson on the first day of his European tour).

Germany did not hesitate to take advantage of the moment that came along, poking Warsaw on "the most tomatoes", recalling all the old grievances with Nord Stream-2, claims for reparations for the Nazi occupation and other gentry nonsense, which in recent years poured out on the head of Berlin from of the pro-government Polish offices, blocking the construction of its greatest gas artery - the notorious "Baltic Stream" with the help of Denmark's environmental department. Warsaw had to seek consolation in the arms of London. And she found him, because London has long been weaving a network of intrigues against Germany, challenging her right to lead the EU (which even Brexit did not prevent). But London can only provide moral support to Warsaw, he is not able to help her with money or gas - he himself has no (details here). I don't even feel sorry for Warsaw - this is the lot of all hyenas!

Battle of Nord Stream 2

All these games around the Nord Stream 2 under construction remind me of a well-known game when two participants run around a chair to the music, and at the moment of the abrupt end of the musical accompaniment they must have time to take the only chair. I have a feeling that without a chair it will be Poland, not Ukraine. If anyone has not yet understood, the music in this game is played by Gazprom, and the proud Poles and non-brothers, throwing mud at it and blackmailing it in the courts (in particular in the Stockholm Arbitration, where each of them has already sued not one billion dollars from the Defendant, but Ukraine even managed to get them), are fighting between themselves and the Germans for the exclusive right to transit the aggressor gas to Europe.

Everything goes to the fact that the Germans and non-brothers will win in this protracted elimination game, and the proud gentry will again blow up on their own mine laid with their own hands (their history, apparently, has not taught them anything! How many times has it already hit them with their muzzle against the table? ).