Putin's successor. Who is he?
Until the termination of the powers of the incumbent President of Russia Vladimir Putin, another 6 years remain. It would seem too early to think about what will happen next and who will be after it. But, nevertheless, all our enemies in the West already count days and hours until May 2024, when his powers expire, and associate with this date all their secret hopes for a change in the Kremlin’s tough and implacable course.
Indeed, Putin got them all across the throat, got a tough nut, one can sympathize, there was nothing to get him, no matter how hard they tried, everything was in vain, it only got worse. Everyone has already noticed that Putin acts like a boa constrictor, he is in no hurry, he is calm, but his every new proposal is worse than the previous one. Hindsight, they understand that it was necessary to agree earlier, but excessive ambitions, like Obama's, and domestic political complexities, like Trump's, did not and do not allow them to do this. Note, I’m only talking about the American component of the collective West, because all its other representatives have long lost their political subjectivity, and with it political will, turning into a kind of jelly-like amorphous mass that hangs limply in the wake of American foreign policy, is not even able to resist its negative influence on their own state interests.
Therefore, I did not expect much from the last summit between the leaders of our countries, which ended the other day in Helsinki. The dog barks, the caravan of the Russian Federation goes ... (whose dog, I hope, is it clear?). It’s just that after Helsinki Putin’s hands are finally untied, both on the Ukrainian track and on the Syrian one, and you will see the results of this soon. The issue with SP-2 has been resolved in our favor, it has become the subject of concessions by the American side in exchange for some of our concessions on the Middle East track, which also, oddly enough, are in our favor - we are also not interested in strengthening Iran in its eternal confrontation with Israel and only the balance of power between these two warring parties will allow us to maintain our position of arbitrator. Oddly enough, this will hear you, the Russian Federation is not interested in the victory of either side. The position of the Russian Federation is strong only in the middle! In the middle between Arabs and Persians, between Persians and Jews, between the Arab world and Israel, and even inside the Arab world - between Sunnis, Shiites and Alawites. This is the position of the arbiter, whose opinion everyone values. And this is the most valuable thing that Putin achieved after his lightning operation in Syria, having returned to us his former influence in the Middle East, and with it the whole world, since it is the Middle East, and not, as many here think, Ukraine, is the key to all the problems that the West created for us. Now this key is in our hands!
Tell me, who else could achieve this? And then tell me about the role of the individual in History. The coming to power of Gorbachev and Yeltsin threw our country away for decades, almost destroying it into molecules. And only Putin with a quiet glade was able to collect it from virtually nothing, when Russia stood already with one foot in the grave. Only his political will and cunning of a former intelligence officer allowed the Russian Federation to return to the top league of world politics. Therefore, it is not surprising that in the West they hope, just sleep and see that there will be no second Putin (you all remember how Dmitry Anatolyevich’s voyage to the kingdom ended - we missed Libya then, and it was with our connivance that happened there). Therefore, more than everything depends on the figure of Putin’s successor.
How much will Putin be in 2024? 72 years old. It seems, not too old, Trump at this age is now lighting. But everyone understands that Putin will not go to violate the Constitution. Therefore, you must prepare yourself a successor. Yes, one who can be transferred with a calm heart to a power and a scepter that does not lose the conquests and blood, in the literal sense of the word, of conquests, but only builds up and multiplies them. It is clear that Putin was preoccupied with this task long before his assumption of office by the deadline. And it’s clear that the candidate was determined, or rather, a short list (short list) of candidates was formed long before that. And it’s also clear that everyone could only guess about who got there.
I will venture to suggest that I know who Putin chose. It is clear that this is only my assumption, but I am ready to present my arguments. You all know all the possible candidates. No one will jump out like the devil out of the snuff box. There will be no second such Putin. The second time we are no longer so lucky, so Putin could not take the risk, and he started running in potential candidates long before I sat down to write this text. All of them were tested at the grassroots level, in the lower echelons of power, some passed it, and some did not. Now of all of them there is only one. And it was he who first replaced Dmitry Anatolyevich at his post as prime minister, who, with the honor of having previously hung all the dogs on him, would be sent to the post specially created for this, and in 2024, Putin himself as his president. Don’t worry about Medvedev - Putin, as you know, doesn’t abandon his own people, all the more so the person who faithfully served him as an adsorbent all these years, adsorbing on himself all the negativity that inevitably accumulates in such a position. Such is Putin’s man - everyone who has not betrayed him can count on him all his life. He is responsible for them. This is his psychotype. There are plenty of examples - from the late Yeltsin and Sobchak to Fradkov and ... (here I will put an ellipsis - here will be the name of his successor).
Now let's move on to considering shortlisted candidates (again, presumptive, in my opinion, but my heart feels that I'm not mistaken!). Oddly enough, this will sound, but with all the wealth of choice of candidates for such a position, there were not many. And the "dark horses" were not there. You all know well. You understand that for such a job you can’t take anyone, a person should have anyhow a set of qualities that balance each other. After all, Putin’s candidacy also arose for a reason. Surely there were other candidates. But time has shown that the choice was unmistakable and the only right one. Now Putin faces the same challenge. And he knows better than anyone else what kind of person this should be. I hope there are no naive idiots who believe that such a choice should be given to the people who themselves will choose the best from the list of applicants who decided that they are worthy and delegate authority to manage the country to him? Once already given. Yeltsin Boris Nikolaevich. Still hiccup and rake after him! There was also Mikhail Gorbachev, but this was no longer a mistake of the people, but of the decrepit Politburo, which, due to its natural stupidity, put a stupid idiot. Worse than an idiot can only be a convinced idiot who is convinced that he is right. I am sure that Gorbachev still believes that he did everything right, only bad uncles prevented him and did not allow him to finish what he started. Therefore, giving such a fateful decision at the mercy of the crowd is the limit of stupidity and irresponsibility. Fortunately, Putin is not like that! You will choose from the one whom he points to, and he will point to the one whom you need! But the task is to choose one and not make a mistake - this is not for you to pass the exam. Therefore, Putin faced a very difficult task ...
In the long list (extended list) were all very trusted people. The initial condition was only age (the candidate was supposed to be relatively young - 50 ... 55 years) and professional skills and competencies sufficient for the position (experience in public service, the ability to quickly learn, the ability to adapt to changing conditions, the ability to work in multitasking mode, a portfolio of personal successful projects and achievements, or unsuccessful, from which he found a way out, plus personal qualities necessary for such a difficult position). As a result, six were shortlisted. Further, I quote in random order, not according to the degree of conformity of the proposed position.
1. Rogozin Dmitry Olegovich, (b. 1963), at that time vice-premier in the Medvedev government, in charge of the military-industrial complex, “the main hawk of Russian foreign policy” according to Forbes magazine. At the moment, since May 2018, he heads the state. Roscosmos Corporation.
2. Kozak Dmitry Nikolaevich, (b. 1958), another deputy chairman of the Russian government who oversees everything from industry and the fuel and energy sector to the new constituent entities of the Russian Federation - Sevastopol and Crimea. At the moment, the status has not changed, more powers have been added.
3. Kirienko Sergey Vladilenovich, (b. 1962), Hero of Russia (closed Decree 2018), at that time the gene. director of state Rosatom corporation, Kinder-Surprise, which managed to work as the youngest prime minister in the EBN era and was involved in the internal default of 1998 (having assumed responsibility for it). Since October 2016 - 1st Deputy. Head of the AP of the Russian Federation (Presidential Administration).
4. Tkachev Alexander Nikolaevich, (born in 1960), at that time the governor of the Krasnodar Territory, who later took the post of Minister of Agriculture in the Medvedev government. Since May 2018, dismissed from his current position, is currently in the government reserve.
5. Vorobyov Andrey Yuryevich, (born in 1970), Governor of the Moscow Region. The Shoigu man worked under his leadership as his assistant when he acted as deputy chairman of the Russian government in 2000 (calls Shoigu his godfather in politics).
6. The last, but by no means the last on the list is Alexey Dyumin, (born in 1972), Hero of Russia (closed Decree of 2016), lieutenant general, at the time of getting into the long list of the deputy. chief of the GRU, later commander of the Special Operations Forces (MTR RF), deputy. Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation. Since 2016 - Governor of the Tula region. But its main advantage is that he was a personal adjutant of GDP when he was still prime minister in 1999, he headed the personal guard of GDP at the Security Service of Ukraine under the Federal Security Service of the Russian Federation (Presidential Security Service, part of the Federal Guard Service). Putin man!
If you ask me what is not on my list of Sobyanin Sergei Semenovich, the mayor of Moscow, I answer - a business executive, not a politician. It copes with its area of responsibility. It's stupid to change! Man in his place!
According to the above candidates, the situation is as follows.
Rogozin - For a long time in the cage, he had high hopes, but he didn’t pull on the president, he didn’t go out in caliber, he can head or oversee the power block under the future President (a power copy of GDP, but without a fantasy flight, very predictable - cross out). Actually, this happened - the selection did not pass, the trigger was his removal from the post of deputy prime minister and the transfer to the post of gene. directors at Roskosmos, where problems started right there - the FSB is working there now, there are suspicions of the state. treason, the leadership is suspected of giving secret intelligence in the field of hypersound to Western intelligence agencies.
Kozak - he’s very good, a crisis manager, an expert in many issues, he’s working out bottlenecks, he doesn’t like publicity, he is a man of word and deed (functional and psychological copy of GDP, I completely admit this candidacy - put a tick). As a result, he entered the final three candidates at number 2. The first is to replace if something happens to candidate No. 1, which is discussed below.
Tkachev - I don’t like it, I can’t explain why, with a purely physiognomic, naked eye you can see that they are pulled by the ears, stepping over the steps of the career ladder. Who pulls - I do not understand. If the GDP itself means that he knows better, but I would not bet on him. But he did not cross out. (This I wrote earlier - how I looked into the water!). As a result, the candidacy did not pass, and as a result, the dismissal of the Minister of Agriculture. In the future, only the post of plenipotentiary of the President of Russia in the Volga Federal District will shine, which is a step back for him.
Vorobiev - It’s good for everyone, only he didn’t come out with charisma, he will remain the governor of the Moscow Region. The reason for not being on the final list is the lack of experience at the federal level, given the requirements for the proposed position. I did not get into the final list, but I did not lose my job, like Tkachev or Rogozin, which is already good.
Dyumin - he is walking up the career ladder ahead of schedule, the youngest among applicants, has a number of preferences in front of them - a personal old acquaintance with Putin, again - Hero of Russia, a decree closed, but presumably for Krymnash and the evacuation of President Yanukovych from the "sinking ship" at the time of state. 2014 coup. The only drawback, like Vorobyov’s, is that there is no leadership experience at the federal level. In the final list I got under the last No. 3. Everything will depend on his successes in the field of the governor of the Tula region. But at the moment - no! We follow the career, (options are possible).
The attentive reader has already determined by exclusion method who became candidate No. 1 for the proposed position. Yes this Kirienko Sergey Vladilenovich, now get used to the name and patronymic. From my point of view, Putin chose it. The perfect candidate. The character is Nordic-seasoned, like Putin’s, (also, incidentally, is fond of martial arts - the holder of the 4th Dan of Aikido). A workaholic, a technocrat, went through all the steps of the career ladder, smooth, tough, absolutely consistent. Describing his professional and human style of behavior, various experts note his invariable correctness, politeness and courtesy - both in relations with supporters and political opponents; and in conflict situations, and with different rank officials. The reasons for this behavior are most likely to be in the family - Kiriyenko was born into a professor family, his father, a graduate of Moscow State University, had a Ph.D. in Philosophy, and for a long time headed the department of the Nizhny Novgorod Institute of Water Transport Engineers, which Kirienko graduated from. He has successful experience at the federal level, even in the internal default of 1998 he was not guilty - this was the best of all possible even worse options for getting out of this situation, which was brought about by the unforgettable Viktor Stepanovich Chernomyrdin with his GKO pyramid. As the head of Rosatom, Kiriyenko also greatly excelled.
The trigger that Putin chose Kiriyenko was the transfer of the latter in the fall of 2016 to work in the Presidential Administration of Russia, where he had already started forming a personnel reserve for his own follow-up in a new capacity (it was under the leadership of Kiriyenko that large-scale social elevators were carried out, more known under the name “Leaders of Russia”, which allow updating the mossy governing apparatus, which Putin inherited from previous administrations). And the conferment by Kirienko in 2018 of the high title of Hero of the Russian Federation, moreover, by a closed decree, only says that Putin is trying to give muscle to his image of a bespectacled nerd. One can only guess for what such merits he was presented to such a high rank, the only thing that comes to mind is the participation of his Rosatom department in the development of the latest military models equipment, more now known as the Petrel project and the Poseidon project. For those who have forgotten, I will remind you - this is a cruise missile with a miniature nuclear engine mounted in it, the Petrel project, and nuclear-powered unmanned aerial vehicles - Poseidon. This is what deserves not only the conferment of the title of Hero of the Russian Federation, but also much more, since Russia managed to create a new class of weapons, which is not what the probable enemy, but, in general, no one had and no! (And there will not be another 30 years!).
Not the last plus of this candidacy is Kiriyenko’s proximity to liberal circles (in the 1990s he was a friend and ally of Boris Nemtsov), which will obviously be positively received in the West. In fact, he remained the only apologist for the liberal idea in the highest echelons of power (and he started with Chubais!). That speaks only of the cunning and ingenuity of GDP in search of alternative ways of rapprochement with the West, because Kiriyenko clearly falls out of the Kremlin’s ideological mainstream in recent years.
In general, we will see. This is just my assumption, based on personal observations of the latest shifts in the government of the Russian Federation and surrounding structures. You can take it as a basis, you can offer your own options. I don’t think Putin will take them into account. In principle, the wait is not long - the trigger will be a change in the Prime Minister of the Russian Federation. Who will be the next prime minister will become the President in 2024.
Indeed, Putin got them all across the throat, got a tough nut, one can sympathize, there was nothing to get him, no matter how hard they tried, everything was in vain, it only got worse. Everyone has already noticed that Putin acts like a boa constrictor, he is in no hurry, he is calm, but his every new proposal is worse than the previous one. Hindsight, they understand that it was necessary to agree earlier, but excessive ambitions, like Obama's, and domestic political complexities, like Trump's, did not and do not allow them to do this. Note, I’m only talking about the American component of the collective West, because all its other representatives have long lost their political subjectivity, and with it political will, turning into a kind of jelly-like amorphous mass that hangs limply in the wake of American foreign policy, is not even able to resist its negative influence on their own state interests.
Therefore, I did not expect much from the last summit between the leaders of our countries, which ended the other day in Helsinki. The dog barks, the caravan of the Russian Federation goes ... (whose dog, I hope, is it clear?). It’s just that after Helsinki Putin’s hands are finally untied, both on the Ukrainian track and on the Syrian one, and you will see the results of this soon. The issue with SP-2 has been resolved in our favor, it has become the subject of concessions by the American side in exchange for some of our concessions on the Middle East track, which also, oddly enough, are in our favor - we are also not interested in strengthening Iran in its eternal confrontation with Israel and only the balance of power between these two warring parties will allow us to maintain our position of arbitrator. Oddly enough, this will hear you, the Russian Federation is not interested in the victory of either side. The position of the Russian Federation is strong only in the middle! In the middle between Arabs and Persians, between Persians and Jews, between the Arab world and Israel, and even inside the Arab world - between Sunnis, Shiites and Alawites. This is the position of the arbiter, whose opinion everyone values. And this is the most valuable thing that Putin achieved after his lightning operation in Syria, having returned to us his former influence in the Middle East, and with it the whole world, since it is the Middle East, and not, as many here think, Ukraine, is the key to all the problems that the West created for us. Now this key is in our hands!
Tell me, who else could achieve this? And then tell me about the role of the individual in History. The coming to power of Gorbachev and Yeltsin threw our country away for decades, almost destroying it into molecules. And only Putin with a quiet glade was able to collect it from virtually nothing, when Russia stood already with one foot in the grave. Only his political will and cunning of a former intelligence officer allowed the Russian Federation to return to the top league of world politics. Therefore, it is not surprising that in the West they hope, just sleep and see that there will be no second Putin (you all remember how Dmitry Anatolyevich’s voyage to the kingdom ended - we missed Libya then, and it was with our connivance that happened there). Therefore, more than everything depends on the figure of Putin’s successor.
How much will Putin be in 2024? 72 years old. It seems, not too old, Trump at this age is now lighting. But everyone understands that Putin will not go to violate the Constitution. Therefore, you must prepare yourself a successor. Yes, one who can be transferred with a calm heart to a power and a scepter that does not lose the conquests and blood, in the literal sense of the word, of conquests, but only builds up and multiplies them. It is clear that Putin was preoccupied with this task long before his assumption of office by the deadline. And it’s clear that the candidate was determined, or rather, a short list (short list) of candidates was formed long before that. And it’s also clear that everyone could only guess about who got there.
I will venture to suggest that I know who Putin chose. It is clear that this is only my assumption, but I am ready to present my arguments. You all know all the possible candidates. No one will jump out like the devil out of the snuff box. There will be no second such Putin. The second time we are no longer so lucky, so Putin could not take the risk, and he started running in potential candidates long before I sat down to write this text. All of them were tested at the grassroots level, in the lower echelons of power, some passed it, and some did not. Now of all of them there is only one. And it was he who first replaced Dmitry Anatolyevich at his post as prime minister, who, with the honor of having previously hung all the dogs on him, would be sent to the post specially created for this, and in 2024, Putin himself as his president. Don’t worry about Medvedev - Putin, as you know, doesn’t abandon his own people, all the more so the person who faithfully served him as an adsorbent all these years, adsorbing on himself all the negativity that inevitably accumulates in such a position. Such is Putin’s man - everyone who has not betrayed him can count on him all his life. He is responsible for them. This is his psychotype. There are plenty of examples - from the late Yeltsin and Sobchak to Fradkov and ... (here I will put an ellipsis - here will be the name of his successor).
Now let's move on to considering shortlisted candidates (again, presumptive, in my opinion, but my heart feels that I'm not mistaken!). Oddly enough, this will sound, but with all the wealth of choice of candidates for such a position, there were not many. And the "dark horses" were not there. You all know well. You understand that for such a job you can’t take anyone, a person should have anyhow a set of qualities that balance each other. After all, Putin’s candidacy also arose for a reason. Surely there were other candidates. But time has shown that the choice was unmistakable and the only right one. Now Putin faces the same challenge. And he knows better than anyone else what kind of person this should be. I hope there are no naive idiots who believe that such a choice should be given to the people who themselves will choose the best from the list of applicants who decided that they are worthy and delegate authority to manage the country to him? Once already given. Yeltsin Boris Nikolaevich. Still hiccup and rake after him! There was also Mikhail Gorbachev, but this was no longer a mistake of the people, but of the decrepit Politburo, which, due to its natural stupidity, put a stupid idiot. Worse than an idiot can only be a convinced idiot who is convinced that he is right. I am sure that Gorbachev still believes that he did everything right, only bad uncles prevented him and did not allow him to finish what he started. Therefore, giving such a fateful decision at the mercy of the crowd is the limit of stupidity and irresponsibility. Fortunately, Putin is not like that! You will choose from the one whom he points to, and he will point to the one whom you need! But the task is to choose one and not make a mistake - this is not for you to pass the exam. Therefore, Putin faced a very difficult task ...
In the long list (extended list) were all very trusted people. The initial condition was only age (the candidate was supposed to be relatively young - 50 ... 55 years) and professional skills and competencies sufficient for the position (experience in public service, the ability to quickly learn, the ability to adapt to changing conditions, the ability to work in multitasking mode, a portfolio of personal successful projects and achievements, or unsuccessful, from which he found a way out, plus personal qualities necessary for such a difficult position). As a result, six were shortlisted. Further, I quote in random order, not according to the degree of conformity of the proposed position.
1. Rogozin Dmitry Olegovich, (b. 1963), at that time vice-premier in the Medvedev government, in charge of the military-industrial complex, “the main hawk of Russian foreign policy” according to Forbes magazine. At the moment, since May 2018, he heads the state. Roscosmos Corporation.
2. Kozak Dmitry Nikolaevich, (b. 1958), another deputy chairman of the Russian government who oversees everything from industry and the fuel and energy sector to the new constituent entities of the Russian Federation - Sevastopol and Crimea. At the moment, the status has not changed, more powers have been added.
3. Kirienko Sergey Vladilenovich, (b. 1962), Hero of Russia (closed Decree 2018), at that time the gene. director of state Rosatom corporation, Kinder-Surprise, which managed to work as the youngest prime minister in the EBN era and was involved in the internal default of 1998 (having assumed responsibility for it). Since October 2016 - 1st Deputy. Head of the AP of the Russian Federation (Presidential Administration).
4. Tkachev Alexander Nikolaevich, (born in 1960), at that time the governor of the Krasnodar Territory, who later took the post of Minister of Agriculture in the Medvedev government. Since May 2018, dismissed from his current position, is currently in the government reserve.
5. Vorobyov Andrey Yuryevich, (born in 1970), Governor of the Moscow Region. The Shoigu man worked under his leadership as his assistant when he acted as deputy chairman of the Russian government in 2000 (calls Shoigu his godfather in politics).
6. The last, but by no means the last on the list is Alexey Dyumin, (born in 1972), Hero of Russia (closed Decree of 2016), lieutenant general, at the time of getting into the long list of the deputy. chief of the GRU, later commander of the Special Operations Forces (MTR RF), deputy. Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation. Since 2016 - Governor of the Tula region. But its main advantage is that he was a personal adjutant of GDP when he was still prime minister in 1999, he headed the personal guard of GDP at the Security Service of Ukraine under the Federal Security Service of the Russian Federation (Presidential Security Service, part of the Federal Guard Service). Putin man!
If you ask me what is not on my list of Sobyanin Sergei Semenovich, the mayor of Moscow, I answer - a business executive, not a politician. It copes with its area of responsibility. It's stupid to change! Man in his place!
According to the above candidates, the situation is as follows.
Rogozin - For a long time in the cage, he had high hopes, but he didn’t pull on the president, he didn’t go out in caliber, he can head or oversee the power block under the future President (a power copy of GDP, but without a fantasy flight, very predictable - cross out). Actually, this happened - the selection did not pass, the trigger was his removal from the post of deputy prime minister and the transfer to the post of gene. directors at Roskosmos, where problems started right there - the FSB is working there now, there are suspicions of the state. treason, the leadership is suspected of giving secret intelligence in the field of hypersound to Western intelligence agencies.
Kozak - he’s very good, a crisis manager, an expert in many issues, he’s working out bottlenecks, he doesn’t like publicity, he is a man of word and deed (functional and psychological copy of GDP, I completely admit this candidacy - put a tick). As a result, he entered the final three candidates at number 2. The first is to replace if something happens to candidate No. 1, which is discussed below.
Tkachev - I don’t like it, I can’t explain why, with a purely physiognomic, naked eye you can see that they are pulled by the ears, stepping over the steps of the career ladder. Who pulls - I do not understand. If the GDP itself means that he knows better, but I would not bet on him. But he did not cross out. (This I wrote earlier - how I looked into the water!). As a result, the candidacy did not pass, and as a result, the dismissal of the Minister of Agriculture. In the future, only the post of plenipotentiary of the President of Russia in the Volga Federal District will shine, which is a step back for him.
Vorobiev - It’s good for everyone, only he didn’t come out with charisma, he will remain the governor of the Moscow Region. The reason for not being on the final list is the lack of experience at the federal level, given the requirements for the proposed position. I did not get into the final list, but I did not lose my job, like Tkachev or Rogozin, which is already good.
Dyumin - he is walking up the career ladder ahead of schedule, the youngest among applicants, has a number of preferences in front of them - a personal old acquaintance with Putin, again - Hero of Russia, a decree closed, but presumably for Krymnash and the evacuation of President Yanukovych from the "sinking ship" at the time of state. 2014 coup. The only drawback, like Vorobyov’s, is that there is no leadership experience at the federal level. In the final list I got under the last No. 3. Everything will depend on his successes in the field of the governor of the Tula region. But at the moment - no! We follow the career, (options are possible).
The attentive reader has already determined by exclusion method who became candidate No. 1 for the proposed position. Yes this Kirienko Sergey Vladilenovich, now get used to the name and patronymic. From my point of view, Putin chose it. The perfect candidate. The character is Nordic-seasoned, like Putin’s, (also, incidentally, is fond of martial arts - the holder of the 4th Dan of Aikido). A workaholic, a technocrat, went through all the steps of the career ladder, smooth, tough, absolutely consistent. Describing his professional and human style of behavior, various experts note his invariable correctness, politeness and courtesy - both in relations with supporters and political opponents; and in conflict situations, and with different rank officials. The reasons for this behavior are most likely to be in the family - Kiriyenko was born into a professor family, his father, a graduate of Moscow State University, had a Ph.D. in Philosophy, and for a long time headed the department of the Nizhny Novgorod Institute of Water Transport Engineers, which Kirienko graduated from. He has successful experience at the federal level, even in the internal default of 1998 he was not guilty - this was the best of all possible even worse options for getting out of this situation, which was brought about by the unforgettable Viktor Stepanovich Chernomyrdin with his GKO pyramid. As the head of Rosatom, Kiriyenko also greatly excelled.
The trigger that Putin chose Kiriyenko was the transfer of the latter in the fall of 2016 to work in the Presidential Administration of Russia, where he had already started forming a personnel reserve for his own follow-up in a new capacity (it was under the leadership of Kiriyenko that large-scale social elevators were carried out, more known under the name “Leaders of Russia”, which allow updating the mossy governing apparatus, which Putin inherited from previous administrations). And the conferment by Kirienko in 2018 of the high title of Hero of the Russian Federation, moreover, by a closed decree, only says that Putin is trying to give muscle to his image of a bespectacled nerd. One can only guess for what such merits he was presented to such a high rank, the only thing that comes to mind is the participation of his Rosatom department in the development of the latest military models equipment, more now known as the Petrel project and the Poseidon project. For those who have forgotten, I will remind you - this is a cruise missile with a miniature nuclear engine mounted in it, the Petrel project, and nuclear-powered unmanned aerial vehicles - Poseidon. This is what deserves not only the conferment of the title of Hero of the Russian Federation, but also much more, since Russia managed to create a new class of weapons, which is not what the probable enemy, but, in general, no one had and no! (And there will not be another 30 years!).
Not the last plus of this candidacy is Kiriyenko’s proximity to liberal circles (in the 1990s he was a friend and ally of Boris Nemtsov), which will obviously be positively received in the West. In fact, he remained the only apologist for the liberal idea in the highest echelons of power (and he started with Chubais!). That speaks only of the cunning and ingenuity of GDP in search of alternative ways of rapprochement with the West, because Kiriyenko clearly falls out of the Kremlin’s ideological mainstream in recent years.
In general, we will see. This is just my assumption, based on personal observations of the latest shifts in the government of the Russian Federation and surrounding structures. You can take it as a basis, you can offer your own options. I don’t think Putin will take them into account. In principle, the wait is not long - the trigger will be a change in the Prime Minister of the Russian Federation. Who will be the next prime minister will become the President in 2024.
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