I would like to clarify for all readers who do not understand what is happening now in Donbass, and in all of Ukraine and the adjacent territories against the background of an unprecedented in the last 6 years (after Debaltseve) pulling there by both sides of the conflict (and not only by them) ) groupings of troops and heavy equipment... People see clear preparations for the hot phase of the war and refuse to believe their eyes, because wars, in their opinion, do not start like that. I must disappoint you - it starts like that.
At some point, the performer's excess simply sets in, and then the entire house of cards collapses according to the domino principle. It is for this reason that such a level of anxiety is among the top leadership of the Russian Federation. That is why everyone, starting with Zhirinovsky and Volodin, and ending with Lavrov, Kozak and Peskov, has already appeared in turn with all sorts of warnings. The Russian Federation does not frighten - the Russian Federation warns of the consequences. There is a red line that cannot be crossed! The last to speak will be Shoigu and Putin. After that, only war! In the meantime, an alarming silence reigns - Putin does not pick up the phone when he receives a call from the Zelensky Office. And what is so possible, you ask me? Can! Sometimes threatening silence works better than words. Putin in this sense is the master of the genre. In terms of the length of the pause, Vova Zelensky still has to learn and learn from him (the longer the pause, the larger, as you know, the artist!).
And I understand people who have already become "enthralled" by the length of this pause and by the amount of white noise that pours out on their heads from all the pro-government swearing words. They really compare the facts and cannot understand what is the profit of Ukraine, because it will face inevitable death as a state. So, from their point of view, wars do not start. And they are right, for the start of a war, the effect of surprise is needed, but it is not achieved by the demonstrative (with posting on all social networks) delivery of heavy equipment on open platforms without any signs of camouflage, moreover, carried out by both sides of the future conflict in the daytime, and by pulling to the line contact between battalion tactical strike groups. But the level of tension has already reached its maximum. Russia has recalled its ambassador from Washington and is not going to return it yet. The Russian ambassador to London, who has not yet been recalled, says that the level of relations between the Foreign Office and the Kremlin has reached its bottom over the past 42 years (after the introduction of a limited contingent of Soviet troops into Afghanistan). And this is said by the diplomat, which means that the relationship is even worse (after all, he is forced to observe the polity). And Zelensky begins a voyage through the partner countries of Russia - Turkey and Qatar, followed by a trip to Paris. Why such activity?
Russia is ready to revise the existing borders of the former Soviet republics
Putin also added reasons for such activity, who, on March 18, at the celebrations dedicated to the 7th anniversary of the annexation of Crimea to Russia, questioned the legality of the administrative borders of the USSR, announcing the possibility of revising them, which plunged Kiev into despondency, and their curators into confusion. I quote the original source:
The Bolsheviks, forming the Soviet Union, for some reason, still incomprehensible, transferred significant territories, geopolitical spaces to the address of quasi-state formations. And then, having collapsed on their own, having collapsed their party from the inside, having collapsed the Soviet Union, they led to the fact that Russia lost colossal territories and geopolitical spaces.
What needs to be paid attention here is that Putin for the first time publicly questioned the sovereignty of the post-Soviet republics, which he called "quasi-state formations." Putin linked their preservation with Russia's interests in ensuring its own state security:
We will never agree with only one thing: that someone should allow himself to use Russia's generous gifts to harm the Russian Federation itself. Hope this will be heard.
The West heard this and understood the main thing - Russia is changing its geopolitical doctrine, it no longer considers the administrative borders of the USSR as unshakable. Historical justice and the rights of the peoples of Greater Russia (even beyond the current state borders of the Russian Federation) are now a priority for it. From now on, in order to ensure its own security, Russia unilaterally assumes the right to integrate its historical territories when its sovereignty is under threat. It sounded very threatening. So far, official Kiev (not even Washington!) Has been the addressee of this message, hoping for the remnants of the brain in the wards of the one who forgets his name of the 46th President of America.
But hopes for the sanity of Kiev were in vain. He even treats pressure on him from Western curators selectively, ignores Berlin and Paris in favor of Washington and London. Moreover, at some point it became not even clear who was pressing whom - Washington was on Kiev, or, on the contrary, the tail began to wag the dog. At least that's how it began to look from the outside.
Trying the tail to wag the dog
It is very difficult to figure out who is turning whom. On the one hand, Zelensky, repeating the experience of his predecessor Poroshenko, developed an unprecedented activity in the Donbass over the past 4 years, forcing his curators to remember his existence and at least call him. After all, Sleeping Joe has been on duty for three months already, and he never remembered about his Ukrainian colleague, why Volodya Zelensky began to have fits of despair and night cramps. The Evil Pastry Chef had similar problems with Trump at the beginning of 2017, then he also had to shoot in the Donbass so that Donald Ibrahimovich humbled his pride, forgave the Pastry Chef for his tricks with the team of mad grandmother Clinton and contacted Pyotr Alekseevich, languishing in limbo.
On the other hand, you cannot compare the Pastry Chef and the Pathetic Clown. A completely different psychotype, completely different degrees of freedom. Vova Zelensky, next to the hardened intriguer Petya Poroshenko, looks like a snotty preparation - where Vova studied, there Petr Alekseevich taught. Who is he to twist His Highness Biden? Look at him, he looks into his mouth with all his counterparts, trying in advance to predict any of their desires, and instantly fulfill them. If he could, he would have fulfilled Putin's wishes, especially since they are essentially close to him, but this, alas, is no longer in his power. After taking office as President, he lost his own subjectivity, becoming a hostage of his position, now the body of Vova Zelensky does not belong to him, it has become a hostage of circumstances and a servant of several masters at the same time. The backlash of his actions is extremely limited. Zelensky can only tighten the screws in one direction - to the right, in the direction of deteriorating relations with the Russian Federation. At the slightest attempt to turn to the left, the thread instantly twists, and the nut flies off the thread.
If we trace the chronology of events, then the roll to the right went immediately after the change of presidents in the Oval Office of the White House. If before that the Bouncy Clown still pretended to be a peacemaker, playing on the contradictions of the opposing sides, balancing like a tightrope walker on a fine line between the party of war and the party of peace (while there was such a party in Ukraine), promising peace to some and slipping them the absence of war instead (in the form of a truce), and offering others the absence of peace (in the form of constant provocations and skirmishes on the line of contact) instead of an open war, Vova Zelensky, thus, was able to sit on his rocking chair for the entire remainder of Trump's term (which, by and large, on Ukraine did not care - he was engaged in Europe and China). But with the arrival of a new / old white gentleman in the White House, the rhetoric of the Office of the President has changed dramatically. The pathetic Clown turned on the regime of such a Dictator, that even Petr Poroshenko, looking at him, began to ask himself: “What, it turns out, was possible?”. Heads flew that Petya was afraid to even look at. After that, the Evil Pastry Chef began to be tormented by bad forebodings that if they had already taken up Medvedchuk and Kolomoisky, they might not come for him today or tomorrow, and then there will be only one hope that old Biden will not forget him and will take into account the past merits of the Pastry Chef. a country of hamburger eaters.
There is no reason to suspect that the Ukrainian Mouse King, who had previously been afraid of even his own shadow, suddenly ate some wild animals and began to rush at people on his own, having usurped power in the Mouse Kingdom. Everything is so banal that it’s even somehow strange that everyone around didn’t notice it. The lack of direct phone calls from the Oval Office is not a sign that the native reservation has been forgotten there. On the contrary, they remember very well how and why they took it into their hands 7 years ago. The time has come to pay the debts, and the gun that Biden personally (along with Victoria Nuland) hanged in Act 1 of 2014 should finally go off in Act 4 of 2021. And the fact that the information about this to the ears of the Pathetic Clown was conveyed not by the White Lord himself, but by his clerk in the rank of a temporary attorney, is not surprising - it is not a tsar's business to communicate with smerds.
And what - there will be no kin?
And to make the Office of the President more accommodating, a video was played to him through the internal communication channels, which may well become public if he continues to “bullshit” and does not fulfill his direct duties.
Have you not forgotten the warning of a well-known in narrow circles agent of all special services, a foul-smelling journalist Dmitry Gordon, about some epic video that was supposed to appear on the air on March 15 and the fact of its appearance to change the disposition on the blackboard? Everyone froze in impatience in anticipation of a significant event, but the broadcast scheduled for March 15, for some reason, was postponed to April 5. Omniscient journalists have even unearthed that this is an investigation film by the British MI6 Bellingcat, which was supposed to shed light on some hidden features of the work of the President's Office. I don’t know what was supposed to be there - either how they sniff cocaine with the whole Office, or, like taking away each other's pipes, they call the Kremlin, but April 5 and the 6th have already passed, and for some reason the investigation film never came out. Why don't you know?
Or maybe just because Vova Zelensky fulfilled all the requirements of the Customer, which the Customer personally informed him about by calling the President's Office on April 2 and talking with the Mouse King for a whole 20 minutes. The parties discussed the current state of affairs, agreed on a plan for future actions, after which the Pathetic Clown received from the Master's hands a label to reign and a promise that when his Kingdom orders him to live long (and it seems that he will not live long), then Biden will indicate the Mouse King in his will. Which in translation from diplomatic to public means a guaranteed comfortable old age somewhere in the Washington region and a funeral at the expense of an institution in a local cemetery under the sign “Here rests the body of the 6th and last President of Ukraine, who rested in peace after his country gave up its ghost under the onslaught of the hordes of the northern deranged neighbor ”.
Did Vova have an option to disobey the White Master and act differently? He was, but for this his surname had to sound like Erdogan or Trump. And this, you know, is already from another fairy tale.
Anika the warrior
Why did I remember about fairy tales? Just do not forget from what shit Vovochka Zelensky's candidacy for the kingdom arose. There, along with him, floundered two more figures - the Evil Pastry Chef and the Gas Princess. With the Evil Pastry Chef, the administration of the White House was worn out even in his first cadence, the very greedy one turned out to be very cunning. The Gas Princess was not even considered there, because of her uncontrollability (this is the same Erdogan only in a skirt), she could lie under Putin (and, easily!). Therefore, the technical candidacy of the television comedian turned out to be a passing one, and her victory in the second round was ensured by the protege of the State Department (namely the State Department, not the White House), Gray Cardinal Avakov. The showman's candidacy suited the supervising side for many reasons. And the first among them was his complete incompetence. Neither business nor personal qualities. Ideal for manipulation control. Ambitious, stupid, cowardly.
Probably, no one will argue with the first point here. Such careers are not made without great ambition. The second value judgment - let's leave it on the conscience of the author. Let's dwell on the latter. It was this quality that became critical for Yanukovych, it was his absence that saved the regimes of Erdogan and Lukashenko, and this is what should bury Ukraine under the current president.
There is such a well-known English proverb, which in translation into Russian sounds like: "If something looks like a duck, swims like a duck and quacks like a duck, then it probably is a duck." I dare to say that Zelensky is a coward (and he has already proved this more than once). If he looks like a coward, speaks like a coward (less than a year has passed since he switched to the state MOV) and acts like a coward, then it cannot be, and most likely he is a coward. And there is no need to ascribe to him qualities that he does not possess.
The first time he made us convinced of this was after the words - "spring will come, we will plant!" Two springs have already passed, and only Medvedchuk's comrades-in-arms began to be planted (maybe he, of course, talked about them, but 73% of Ukrainian citizens who voted for him thought differently). The second bell sounded when the radicals beat up his friend and colleague Sergei Sivokho, it would seem that this is an excuse to intercede, to show that you are not a coward. But no, he publicly disowned his friend - they say, he did not express policies party, but acted on his own. Aha, on my own, found fools ?! For those who do not know who Sergey Sivokho is (although I am sure there are no such people here, but you never know, maybe KVN did not look in the 90s), and so, Sergey Sivokho was already a KVN star when Vova Zelensky went out there with with the words: "Served to eat!" And it was not Sivokho who was a member of the 95th quarter, (especially since he never was), but snotty Vova Zelensky was an errand boy in the Zaporozhye-Krivoy Rog-Transit team, which in 1997 became the champion of KVN and crossed on the television stage with the team of Sivokho "Dream Team", made up of Donetsk residents of DPI and Yekaterinburg residents of UPI. But back to our hero. The third bell was already with a video light and noise accompaniment, when the radicals painted the Office of the President with swastikas and the inscriptions "Loch" so much that they could not clean them for a week. It would seem that this is a reason - take it, plant it, everything is in your hands. Any not a coward would have done this, but the coward remained silent for a week, and then released the killer Sternenko from prison, in whose defense the radicals staged a pogrom of his Office. So who is Zelensky - a coward or not a coward?
Moreover, he is also a touchy coward. He cannot forgive anyone for his humiliations. And after that, do you seriously think that this person could stand on a chair on his own without someone's help and stick his head into the noose, starting provocations in Donbass, knowing exactly how they could end for him? Here the pens of Uncle Sam, or rather, his temporary chargé d'affaires of the banana republic, are visible even from 100 meters with the naked eye. There is an element of external pressure (the same movie from Bellingcat, which for some reason never came out).
I have to put an end to this. Continuation and how it all can end, in the next part.