Expert: NATO will respond to the Russian seizure of the Baltics with only sanctions


Norwegian business newspaper Finansavisen touched upon an unusual topic of geopolitical risks. Commenting on the situation in the financial markets, economist Stig Mirset noted an important factor that is still relevant against the purchase of Russian shares, namely the growing political risk. And the challenges faced by the leader of the Russian Federation, Vladimir Putin, are very significant.


Putin is now being challenged both at home and abroad. On the inside, he is grappling with low popularity, as well as growing social unrest caused by the crown crisis and Navalny's arrest. In foreign policy, he is being challenged by the United States, which has taken a tougher stance following the presidential election. [Joe] Biden wants to create an alliance of democracies against Russia and China

- reminds the author.

In addition, he pointed out that the President of the United States "is actively promoting democracy both in Russia itself and in neighboring buffer states, for example, in Belarus."

The expert expresses the opinion that when Putin "previously struggled with the decline in his own popularity," his response was "distracting military adventures."

The danger is that Putin may resort to the same remedy this year. One of the possibilities is to swallow up Belarus, which is a vassal state anyway. This will enable Russia to move its forces westward and further jeopardize NATO's eastern flank. Another option is the aggravation of the conflict in Ukraine

- the expert argues.

An absolute political shock would ensue, he continues, if Putin invades the Baltics under the guise of protecting ethnic Russians. Russia has military superiority here and will be able to occupy the entire region before NATO can mobilize. Such a move risks provoking World War III, but the more likely scenario is that the West will only respond with sanctions and condemnation.

Yes, American society is ready for war, but all polls show that Americans are much more afraid of China or Iran than Russia.

But the likelihood of an invasion of the Baltics is low, the Norwegian continues, because then the Russian Federation will face years economic sanctions, at the same time forced to hold areas with hostile local populations.

So far, Europe has been slow to join Biden's hard line. This clearly shows how the entire continent is divided in terms of the view of its eastern neighbor. An important indicator here is the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline, which runs through the Baltic Sea. Less than six months were left before its completion, and the United States made it clear that the project was undesirable.

So far Germany is not listening. However, as the author emphasizes, if Biden manages to convince Angela Merkel, it will be bad news for Putin and the Russian stock market, and the Russian Federation itself will face a united front between the EU and the United States. At the same time, additional opportunities are opening up for Norwegians in terms of selling their own natural gas.
  • Photos used: Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation
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  1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
    Just a cat (Bayun) April 2 2021 08: 10
    +7
    If Russia seizes the Baltic states, then Europe will look at Russia the same way Russia looks now at Europe, which has seized Ukraine. Themselves got into the shit, and wash yourself. So eat your Baltic states yourself and don't cough.
  2. Alexander Betonkin April 2 2021 08: 24
    +6
    Under the USSR, the Baltic countries received subsidies (for example, in Estonia, per capita consumption exceeded Russia's level by 3 times https://www.kp.ru/daily/26571.7/3586720/).
    Electronic, auto and other technology enterprises were developed. Fishing - you can't buy sprats just like that, they were immediately swept off the counter. Tartu is a student city. And now? What is the capture? Again investing a lot of money, so that later we can listen to what we are not good and invaders. So this "expert" economist Stig Mirset is not any expert, but (such a word cannot be written for sure).
    1. bear040 Offline bear040
      bear040 April 2 2021 21: 05
      +6
      What for?! You can evict all the bastards as Germans from Kaliningrad forcibly and live in peace, but these, even to Canada, go to the felling. Canada at one time accepted all the Bandera shortcomings, even if it accepts these, especially since there are not so many of them. In all these Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia, the people are about the same as in Moscow
      1. Alexander Betonkin April 2 2021 22: 51
        +3
        In Moscow, the population is three times larger.
        1. Wanderer039 Offline Wanderer039
          Wanderer039 April 3 2021 00: 41
          +4
          Moreover, let them sail to Canada, at least on their own, at least on oars and those (cauldrons) that the Yankees gave them
  3. 123 Online 123
    123 (123) April 2 2021 09: 00
    +6
    Putin is now being challenged both at home and abroad. On the inside, he is grappling with low popularity, as well as growing social unrest caused by the crown crisis and Navalny's arrest. In foreign policy, he is being challenged by the United States, which has taken a tougher stance following the presidential election. [Joe] Biden wants to create an alliance of democracies against Russia and China

    Those who want to get acquainted with the popularity of old Joe can count the likes and the number of views on the Biden channel
    https://www.youtube.com/c/WhiteHouse/featured

    This is Trump's archive
    https://www.youtube.com/c/whitehouse45/videos

    It seems far from him to Navalny laughing
    Regarding the social unrest caused by the corona crisis, who would say laughing

    We were told a lot about how everyone in the USA is supported and money is given to both people and business. Cutie Psaki voiced the results in her usual manner laughing
    To begin with, I have good news for the American people that can please.
    And then in one paragraph - grandfather Joe will sign everything and give a lot of money. Since the beginning of the pandemic, 400 thousand small businesses have closed, and millions are still floundering.
    For 2 months, they approved the allocation of free loans for 200 billion for 3 million small businessmen, another 284 billion were allocated in December to raise wages. 0,5 billion was poured into the economy only under these programs. Inflation will still be there.
    Judging by the number of those who closed and floundered, about every seventh did not come out.
    Still interesting figures, until April 19, they promise to vaccinate 90% of the population, for this they will expand the network of pharmacies from 17 to 40 thousand.
    Cherry on the cake - a list of candidates for a judge has been submitted. Cutie called it historical and in my opinion she is right. The list includes 4 lawyers, 4 Asians, 1 Muslim (if approved, it will be the first in history). 9 of the candidates are women. The sex of the remaining 3 and the number of transgender people is not specified. Whether the candidates, with the exception of lawyers, understand at least something in jurisprudence is not reported.
    https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/press-briefings/2021/03/30/press-briefing-by-press-secretary-jen-psaki-march-30-2021/

    As for the Balts themselves, I would have tensed in their place. The Americans are considering different options, either to attack Kaliningrad from there, or to attack the Baltic states from us, but they decided on the choice of location yes Whether the opinion of the allied aborigines is taken into account is a rather rhetorical question winked
  4. Valentine Offline Valentine
    Valentine (Valentin) April 2 2021 09: 14
    +6
    Why carry any nonsense, we can’t give our little land a fret, but here they also get us into some kind of volleyball court from three farmsteads.
    1. Petr Vladimirovich (Peter) April 3 2021 16: 10
      +2
      May it be too much for you! In the early 70s, on the site in Gurzuf, the girls from the Riga "Radiotekhnika" (national champions) were one of the left men from all over the Union, including me, and it seems that they played for the university ... fellow And the rest did not stand up for the first time ..
  5. Machete Offline Machete
    Machete April 2 2021 11: 19
    +4
    The level of journalism in the EU is at the bottom.

    They write analytics based on stamps and fakes.
    At the same time, not knowing ANYTHING about Russia and the affairs within it.
  6. Nikolay1 Offline Nikolay1
    Nikolay1 (Nikolai) April 2 2021 13: 40
    -4
    Well, well, Russia will surrender Donbass for the security exchange of Kaliningrad ... this is already clear
    1. Ulysses Offline Ulysses
      Ulysses (Alexey) April 3 2021 02: 18
      +2
      Well, well, Russia will surrender Donbass for the security exchange of Kaliningrad ... this is already clear

  7. Barmaley_2 Offline Barmaley_2
    Barmaley_2 (Barmaley) April 3 2021 02: 34
    0
    for a long time already the Baltics as a whole have no geopolitical value. In general, it is not clear why the Russian Federation needs to attack it. Duc of the Russian Federation does not particularly pamper its population. Why does she need more freeloaders?
  8. Igor Berg Offline Igor Berg
    Igor Berg (Igor Berg) April 3 2021 21: 16
    -1
    NATO is responsible for NATO members. The expert is not in the subject.
    1. Ulysses Offline Ulysses
      Ulysses (Alexey) April 3 2021 21: 30
      +2
      NATO is responsible for NATO members.

      Each NATO member government makes a personal decision on how to respond.
      Someone is ready to send meat for the war, and someone only toilet paper.
      There is no unity in this "rati". repeat