Donbass: a war that Russia cannot fail to attend


В the first part of my article, I outlined the disposition on the blackboard and explained the reasons that prompted me to return to the Ukrainian topic, which I had already forgotten for a long time, for reasons of its predetermined end. But it was not by chance that an insider inside from a man who was privy to the secrets of the local court showed that the situation was changing dramatically and events were accelerating. This prompted me to break the taboo on topics related to Ukraine and go on the air. Everything turned out to be even worse than I expected.


In the same place I gave a detailed analysis of the events preceding this situation, now I turn to the current agenda.

The Wagner case. "Rat" in the Office of the President


You and I thought that the Wagner case was concocted by Lukashenka's father to flirt with the West on the eve of the presidential elections in order to play the anti-Russian card and win the elections, and we could not understand why Kiev threw such a hysteria to Minsk about the breakdown. significant joint operation of the Belarusian KGB and the Ukrainian SBU. But, according to the insider, everything was much more complicated. The guys from Langley, who occupy an entire floor in the Kiev office of the SBU, as well as their friends from MI6 and the Turkish special services, who worked in tandem with the British, were involved in the case. The Ukrainian office was just a performer there. The operation itself was a multi-layered cake. The Ukrainians were digging under the Kremlin, wanting to get live participants in the Donetsk events, each with a long record of participation in hostilities on the side of the LPNR, which made it possible to accuse the Russian Federation of directly participating in these events and to withdraw it under this pretext from the status of the guarantor of the Minsk agreements with their subsequent revision towards Minsk-3, but on Ukrainian terms with an expanded list of participating countries (for example, by attracting Britain and the United States). Say, crazy plan, but why not try? It took 3 years to prepare for the operation.

In addition to the above task, the Americans also had a super task to identify with the help of this multi-move in the depths of the top leadership of Ukraine a "rat" that was leaking information to Moscow, as a result of which there were already several failures. And according to the insider, such a "rat" was discovered by them. It was thanks to her that this operation was also successfully failed - the Belarusian KGB tied up all Wagner's fighters, after which the dad returned them to Moscow. The number of persons initiated into the operation was limited to a list of five people, among whom was the President of Ukraine. And also the head of his Office Andriy Yermak, his deputy Roman Mashovets, the head of the Intelligence Committee (he is also the 1st deputy secretary of the NSDC) Ruslan Demchenko and Zelensky's secretary Maria Levchenko (what she did at a secret meeting at the SBU, I don’t know). The President of Ukraine, like Caesar's wife, was above suspicion. There were four left. The British believe that the "rat" is the head of the President's Office Yermak, since his father is a former employee of the GRU of the USSR Ministry of Defense, a military pensioner living in Moscow (we all remember the British love for the GRU, as well as the fact that there are no former employees of the GRU ). The Americans suspect the 1st deputy secretary of the NSDC, Demchenko (and given the role of the NSDC in the latest Ukrainian events, the CIA, as a result of its own investigation, came out on its own). The Turks do not suspect anyone, they just sit and wait for the Crimea to return to them.

It was the background, so to speak. The case of 33 heroes was already forgotten when heavy artillery entered it in the person of the 46th President of America. He decided to use the compromising evidence received through his special services on Zelensky's inner circle in order to force him to take measures to strangle the oligarchs, in particular Igor Kolomoisky, the personal enemy of Sleepy Joe (old Joe turned out to be very vindictive). The infamous Bellingcat, who did not hide its collaboration with MI6, was chosen as a tool for this. It was the film from her that was announced on March 15 by the agent of all special services, the foul-smelling journalist Gordon. And the delay in the release of the film is not connected at all with the difficulties of editing, but with the elements of the game. If Zelensky bends, then he will not be brought down and the movie will go with cuts, or it will be canceled altogether. If he does not bend, then Gordon has already predicted his fate - right up to the change of president.

The Americans in the territory they control need an easily manageable president. If Zelenskiy can prove that he is exactly who they need, he will stay. No - they will use Bellingcat mechanisms and Ukraine will have a new clown who will be more compliant than the previous one, and when the Americans need it, on command from above, his hand will not flinch or provoke a war with its northern neighbor.

But about the war a little later, but for now I will finish with the Wagner case. The funny thing in this situation is that even here the Ukrainian patriots saw the "hand of Moscow". It turns out that according to their version, Putin deliberately framed 33 heroes for the recruitment of the SBU, in order to disrupt the operation later, and throw a shadow on the top of the Ukrainian government, which did not live up to his hopes, and thereby achieve its rotation. I could not agree and set up. Such a sophisticated plan to replace incapacitated Ukrainian politicians on negotiable. The plan is too complicated to be real. Where is the guarantee that the negotiable will come? Smells like a madhouse. But what patriots - such are the plans. And what role does Bellingcat play in all of this? Does the fact that she actually works for Putin eat away at their brain? Or is Bellingcat being used in the dark? What a sophisticated Putin! After watching a movie from Bellingcat, everyone will decide that MI6 has identified the "mole" in the Ukrainian elite, but in fact it is Putin who is using MI6 to remove the Ukrainian officials he dislikes. Truly the genius of Villainy!

Biden's plan for Ukraine


At the moment, the SBU is in fact no longer a special service of the state, it works exclusively under the control and in the interests of the United States. NABU, NAPK, SAP and other anti-corruption structures are also tools for managing the metropolis of its overseas territory, as a means of keeping local pro-government officials in check and an element of pressure on big business. The newly elected 46th President of the United States, or shall we say so, who returned after a 4-year absence, the new / old white gentleman did not pull rubber and began to drive into a stall all those who, in his opinion, interfered with Great America's implementation her great plans. The turn reached the local oligarchs, pro-Russian politicians, the corrupt judiciary and even the president of the banana republic himself. No one was going to stand on ceremony with them, either immediately into the scrap, or on a voluntary-compulsory basis. As the handsome Trump said in such cases: "If you don't want it in a bad way, it will be worse in an amicable way!" Believe me, you will still remember the handsome Trump for a long time, Sleeping Joe will show you Kuzka's mother.

Nobody wanted war - war was inevitable


Well, here we are with you and got to the last most important part. From now on, I ask you to be more attentive. Hard times await us all. Will touch everyone.

Someone there recently told us that the deceased Trump only spoke well about Russia and its president, but did exactly the opposite. But the senile Joe, who periodically falls into dementia, who replaced him, supposedly only speaks badly about Russia and its murderer president, but acts completely in the opposite direction. They say that START III has been prolonged, the SP-2 has not been banned, and the JCPOA is also going to be restored with Iran. All in all, a good guy. I must disappoint you. These friends are so bad at their City on the Hill that they are not up to sentiment now. They can crawl out of the abyss where they slowly but surely slide, only through our corpse. I mean the corpse of Russia. And the fact that Ukraine would have to be sacrificed for this was clear even in the first act of this tragedy. Directly after Chekhov: "If in the 1st act there is a gun hanging on the wall, then in the 1th act it will definitely fire." That's it, friends, the 4th act has come.

The probability of a war with Ukraine at the moment is hovering around 85%. It is only about the time of its beginning. Either now, or in a year, or in two, but it is inevitable. The object is being processed now. I'm talking about the president of this territorial misunderstanding. Moreover, they process it from two sides at once - from the American side and from ours. Both sides are intimidated. America blackmails with compromising evidence and possible resignation, we are the possible consequences of unleashing the hot phase of the war. To do this, Biden used Bellingcat and economic levers of pressure, and we turned on our swear words to the fullest and from all the talking irons we verbalize the consequences of such a step for Kiev. Who will be more terrible for him, we will see in the near future. Either he will say: “I'm tired, I'm leaving” and a more accommodating clown will do it, or he will become extreme. In any case, the war cannot be avoided. Moreover, you must understand that it does not matter at all who starts it. In any case, they will blame us. This is the tragedy. And we programmed it ourselves, without eliminating this abscess in 2014, preserving the Yanukovych regime (as we did 7 years later in Belarus with the Lukashenka regime).

Everyone loses from this war, except America, it again, like in WWI and World War II, will be on the sidelines and grab all the heat with the wrong hands. For us, the consequences will be simply disastrous. We will once again plunge into the era of the 80s, as after the entry of our limited contingent into the DRA. The iron curtain will fall again for us. Iron Curtain 2.0. We will again be accused of all grave ones and will be made a world outcast with all that it implies. With the disconnection from SWIFT, the arrest and blocking of all our accounts and assets in the West, with the blocking of all financial and other transport flows (I’m not even talking about Nord Stream), with a ban on exchange technology, the supply of spare parts and components, a ban on the maintenance and repair of our foreign-made aircraft fleet (and we have more than half of Boeings and Airbuses there). Forget about sports, doping and the Russian flag, there will be no time for them. How Rosatom will fulfill its contractual obligations on maintenance and replacement of nuclear fuel at foreign nuclear power plants under its jurisdiction, they will not soar - they will be replaced by assemblies from Westinghouse. How they themselves will manage without our titan - they will somehow manage, they will find in another place. Astronauts from the ISS are also being evacuated. But how Europe will manage without our gas, in my opinion, even she herself does not know. But she simply will not have a choice. Before the fact of blatant aggression on the territory of a sovereign state, everyone will break down.

We are in a stalemate. We cannot fail to defend the Donbass (this will not be understood, first of all, within the Russian Federation), but we are also unable to prevent the invasion of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on its territory. Ukraine acts in its own right, restores its territorial integrity. Remember the recent events in Nagorno-Karabakh, for some reason I did not hear the voices of the international community, outraged by the actions of Baku. They have a right! Likewise, Ukraine has the right. Even if the first one starts herself. Has the right to. True, he does not really have desires. But Sleepy Joe is working on it now. As you can see, it turned out to be not very sleepy. The words about "the killer-Putin" were also uttered not by chance now. There is an accelerated preparation for the operation to restore the territorial integrity of Ukraine. The consent of Ukraine itself is not even required for this. Poroshenko, too, if you remember, was going to establish peace, but for some reason started a war. Don't know why? Graduated, however, badly. But how the military campaign ends for Ukraine itself, its overseas curators do not care at all. At least Putin's tanks will stop on the banks of the Southern Bug. Don't care at all. The main thing is that the winner will get everything.

And the winner in this war, whatever its outcome, will be the United States. The whole world will fall at their feet. Which will become bipolar again. And Russia, as a reward, will receive a sentence - complete international isolation and the status of a rogue state, with all that it implies. America, on the other hand, has a lot of bonuses. Firstly, due to the appearance of an external enemy, it solves its internal problems, consolidating the nation around a real external threat (and they are now completely out on the internal track). Secondly, Biden will be able to finally forget, like a bad dream, all these dirty hints from Putin about a multipolar world and the division of spheres of influence and do what he does best - fighting the Russians. Third, the United States is regaining a classic bitter enemy that can be fought for decades to come, and NATO once again has a raison d'être. And fourthly, the entire remaining free world in the face of blatant lawlessness is closing its ranks around the one and only hegemon. Agree, there is something to fight for. And if for this it is necessary to sacrifice some kind of Ukraine, this is not a question at all. Consider that the decision has already been made. It is strange that such a simple thought did not occur to Trump. Beat them all with one blow. And most importantly, America itself does not risk anything. No US Army soldier will be harmed in this case. The perfect solution. Classics of the genre! And blaming them for this is stupid - they have a desperate situation. They can only survive at our expense.

How could we find ourselves in such a stalemate is no longer a question for me, but for top management. Themselves drove themselves into this trap, the keys to which the United States has. Biden, when he wants, then activates the "fire!" And we cannot do anything about it - we have no leverage on either Washington or Kiev. There is no need to rely on the self-preservation instinct of the Kiev regime, they have not belonged to themselves for a long time. In case of total defeat, they will simply flee abroad, where they will live the remnants of their shitty days in full prosperity and prosperity, posing as the government of Ukraine in exile (following the example of the government of Poland, which felt very good in 1939-45 in hospitable London). By the way, even in the case of incomplete division of Ukraine, for example, into the left bank and the right bank, we will also have to maintain the part we have inherited at our own expense. Why do we need such happiness?

At the same time, we cannot fail to appear at war! The situation could not be worse. The diplomatic activity that the Russian Foreign Ministry has now developed, Lavrov's visit to China, just indicate that the Kremlin understands this and is urgently trying to enlist support. But China is a poor ally in these matters. Too much ties him with the West. There is a lot to lose. Although it is the Sino-Russian rapprochement that Washington is most afraid of. We don't have to rely on Europe at all. Her business is a pipe. In the literal sense of the word. The Russian pipe will have to be caulked, switched to expensive LNG with all the consequences that will affect the cost price and competitiveness of EU products. Europe will again become America's vassal. A cesspool where she will dump her products. And you must admit what an elegant solution - one move with a pawn Ukraine, and America in the kings.

And so that this pawn does not have unnecessary thoughts, economic and other problems are thrown at it. The Ukrainian leadership is already in an extremely difficult situation. For some reason, it could not ensure the continuation of lending from the IMF. Why don't you know, by the way? They seemed to have fulfilled all the requirements, but the money was never given. What bad uncles! Is it old Joe's machinations? As a result, there is nothing to plug the hole in 1/3 of the budget. Moreover, as a result of the failed fight of the authorities against the pandemic, this hole risks growing up to 2/3 of the budget - business goes bankrupt, the tax base is shrinking, the departure of guest workers to work abroad has also dropped sharply, which means that there is no inflow of foreign exchange. The unpopular government is trying to strengthen its position by moving to an open dictatorship. Dictatorial methods of government and terror against the opposition are motivated by the war with Russia. Oppositionists are massively declared "agents of the Kremlin" and accused of high treason. Guess three times when Hitler, ugh, Vova Zelensky will attack the Donbass? It took his German colleague Adolf 5 years (from the moment he came to power in 1933 until the Anschluss of Austria and the annexation of the Sudetes in 1938). Vova Zelensky is moving on an accelerated schedule. More precisely, it is being moved. Who will ask this cardboard fool at all? They almost finished him off. Maybe, at the cost of incredible efforts, we will also be able to delay the start of the war for a year or two, let's see what the Kremlin comes up with.

If you suddenly see that Putin will offer Zelensky a new version of Minsk-3, do not be surprised - this is our last chance to avoid the hot phase of the war, in which the winner is known in advance, and this is not Russia at all, but the United States. But this is a road to nowhere, and the States will continue to blackmail us with war. How to break out of this vicious circle, I do not know. Only by turning the chess table over. The task is only for Putin. The States, by the way, also have no choice - Bolivar will not stand two. They can improve their affairs only at our expense. And the solution here is more than obvious. I think there will be a war. The probability is 85%.
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  1. rotkiv04 Offline rotkiv04
    rotkiv04 (Victor) 31 March 2021 07: 59
    +7
    Classics of the genre - whoever chooses between shame and war shame, he receives shame and war, there remains only the last hope for the great HSP
    1. Kofesan Offline Kofesan
      Kofesan (Valery) 31 March 2021 23: 35
      -4
      If in 2014 Putin turned back, now he will simply run away and throw money at all traces so that they do not catch up. That's the whole HSP.
      It would not be so, the Sechins and Rottenbergs in Praskoveyevki would not pull matches, but would stick in like everyone else, next to everyone, at one machine, without comfort, in quilted jackets, riveting cartridges.
      And if they want to accustom us to the idea that THIS (the surrender of Donbas) is inevitable, there is only one thing to object. Who hopes that this will give a respite ... do not hope, a respite may be, but it will be short, and then it will be even worse and NATO will definitely wake up the appetite of four. Four G. Goebbels, Hitler, Goering and Himmler ... This is their nature.
      One will involuntarily remember: Simplicity is worse than theft.
      So Donbass is a Rubicon. We hand it over - we will die quickly and not of old age. Everything. And a terrible death.
      1. Vermon Offline Vermon
        Vermon (Aslan Tsoutiev) April 3 2021 07: 40
        -2
        Quote: Kofesan
        If in 2014 Putin turned back, now he will simply run away and throw money at all traces so that they do not catch up. That's the whole HSP.
        It would not be so, the Sechins and Rottenbergs in Praskoveyevki would not pull matches, but would stick in like everyone else, next to everyone, at one machine, without comfort, in quilted jackets, riveting cartridges.
        And if they want to accustom us to the idea that THIS (the surrender of Donbas) is inevitable, there is only one thing to object. Who hopes that this will give a respite ... do not hope, a respite may be, but it will be short, and then it will be even worse and NATO will definitely wake up the appetite of four. Four G. Goebbels, Hitler, Goering and Himmler ... This is their nature.
        One will involuntarily remember: Simplicity is worse than theft.
        So Donbass is a Rubicon. We hand it over - we will die quickly and not of old age. Everything. And a terrible death.

        What are you talking nonsense? European countries accept millions of refugees from your country, from where they all flee in millions. All those Hitlers, Goeringes, Goebbels, who are called Rotenbergs, Sechins, Usmanovs, have settled there. It is you who seize foreign lands and climb with wars in all countries, bringing your population to the position of beggar slaves ...
        1. Kofesan Offline Kofesan
          Kofesan (Valery) April 3 2021 08: 12
          +1
          Georgia, perfidiously and unprovoked, was the first to attack, like Hitler, on the night of August 8, 2008, without a declaration of war. This is a fact that even you, the descendants of Hitler, keep silent, but do not deny. In addition to casualties among the civilian population of Abkhazia, Russian peacekeepers who did not suspect anything at that time were also killed. Your Goebbels call the attack and death of Russian soldiers "speculation." Then, in response, you were slightly kicked in the teeth.
          That would wake up. And so as not to quarrel too much to a state of full-fledged war.

          The same goes for Ukraine. Same.

          What Goebbels' insolence should one have when calling those who died from the bestial nature of Europe as Nazis, and the peacekeepers in Georgia and the victims of Donbass, on the contrary, as "invaders" and "aggressors"? Listen to your Gestapo - there we are to blame for the fact that we live in the land where we were born.

          And, most importantly, the same applies to Russia. The war, which Europe does not declare, is designed to destroy us on racial and territorial grounds, not because of ideology or specific oligarchs. You get along very well with those of the Abramovichs who fled to you with our money.

          This is war! Only this is not a "blitz-krieg" as then, in 41st, but a very, very slow krieg. "Anaconda loop" instead of "Barbarossa". With an attempt to simultaneously make a profit on the blood, which you also began to shed first.

          But you will get in the teeth again. The enemy will be defeated again and victory will definitely be ours!
  2. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
    Just a cat (Bayun) 31 March 2021 08: 16
    +3
    what a fantastic scenario. only there are a couple of small but, known to all neighbors of Ukraine and distinguishing Ukrainians from the rest of humanity. this is the exceptional venality and cowardice of the Ukrainians. Only a Ukrainian can sell a country for a package of buns and a tank for a box of stewed meat. And to complicate the life of Ukrainians so that they do not want to fight is not difficult ... for example, to deport all migrant workers. Asians have been through this before.
    1. Xuli (o) Tebenado 31 March 2021 15: 04
      +5
      Only a Ukrainian can sell a country for a package of buns and a tank for a box of stewed meat.

      Pardon me ... and in 1990-1991 the USSR was sold for what? For Yeltsin, the White House, freedom and McDonald's on Bolshaya Bronnaya? And there were also some "Ukrainians"?

      ... to deport all the workers.

      And this is generally the pinnacle of intelligence: they have long since switched to Poland, the Czech Republic, Germany - there salaries will be thicker than Russian ones; and those who stayed in Russia have long since taken Russian citizenship under various programs and simplified rules,
      1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
        Just a cat (Bayun) 31 March 2021 15: 10
        +4
        in 1990-1991 I lived in a tent camp after being evacuated from a fraternal pigsty to the territory of Russia at school age. this is the first. And second, the fact that Russia got rid of parasites is also a plus. When else would Russia have produced more grain alone than the entire USSR? If salaries in Germany are higher, then what are you, with your running, deceitful piggy eyes on your face swollen from drunkenness, flooded to Russia? laughing
        1. Xuli (o) Tebenado 31 March 2021 20: 12
          +1
          If salaries in Germany are higher, then what are you, with your running, deceitful piggy eyes on your face swollen from drunkenness, flooded to Russia?

          Very realistic portrait. Explicitly painted from life, as you saw in the mirror.
          1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
            Just a cat (Bayun) 31 March 2021 20: 16
            +1
            the answer is typical for a resident of Ukraine. since 2014 have already met. I don’t drink and I don’t eat pork so that I have problems with my face
            1. The comment was deleted.
              1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
                Just a cat (Bayun) 31 March 2021 21: 48
                +1
                the inhabitants of Ukraine are able to fight only with women, children and the elderly. Gogol and Shevchenko will confirm. the Dnipropetrovsk deputy from Poroshenko and the sponsor of the National Battalions with the surname Butenko has already threatened to avenge the inhabitants of Ukraine laughing yes, he just admitted that Ukrainian specialists have low intelligence
                1. Xuli (o) Tebenado 31 March 2021 23: 11
                  0
                  ... residents of Ukraine ...

                  Although I am a "Russian specialist", I cannot understand what I have to do with the "inhabitants of Ukraine" who inflicted such a severe concussion on you in childhood, which clearly affects your already meager mental abilities :)).
            2. Binder Offline Binder
              Binder (Miron) 31 March 2021 23: 45
              -3
              Quote: Just Cat
              I don’t drink and I don’t eat pork

              Young man, are you one of ours? lol
              1. marciz Offline marciz
                marciz (Stas) April 1 2021 00: 11
                +2
                Yours live in filthy Odessa where in the 21st century people live like cattle in communal apartments and the whole center stinks of cat urine, there are no roads, cardboard Kaddor are like traps for suckers !!! Take care of your Odessa, otherwise the hour will slip into the sea from you !!!!
                1. Binder Offline Binder
                  Binder (Miron) April 1 2021 13: 41
                  -4
                  If Odessa is filthy, then what can we say about Russian cities - all sorts of Voronezh and Irkutsk ... lol
                  1. Dear sofa expert. April 1 2021 22: 33
                    +2
                    If Odessa is filthy, then what can we say about Russian cities - all sorts of Voronezh and Irkutsk ...

                    And I remember that you here recently swore that you had nothing to do with Ukraine ... you have nothing to do (like born in Luga).
                    1. Binder Offline Binder
                      Binder (Miron) April 1 2021 22: 37
                      -3
                      At present, I really have no sideways to Ukraine, and I have never hidden the fact of my birth and life in Odessa.
                      1. Dear sofa expert. April 1 2021 22: 39
                        +1
                        I really do not side with Ukraine, and I have never hidden the fact of my birth and life in Odessa

                        Shit.) That is, how to understand this?)
                        Cleverly changed into a Jew?
                      2. Binder Offline Binder
                        Binder (Miron) April 1 2021 22: 44
                        -6
                        Simple - since 1990. I am an Israeli citizen, since 2003 I also have US citizenship, I live in Haifa and have nothing to do with Ukraine. And the fact that I have a negative attitude towards the annexation of Crimea and the support of the Russian Federation for the separatists of Donbass, so the majority of the world's population is of the same opinion.
                      3. Dear sofa expert. April 1 2021 22: 51
                        +1
                        I have nothing to do with Ukraine. And the fact that I have a negative attitude towards the annexation of Crimea and the support of the Russian Federation for the separatists of Donbass, so the majority of the world's population is of the same opinion.

                        No, of course this is your right, how to relate to the return of Crimea to Russia, but here you are, as it were, trying to be a "Copenhagen" in Odessa, and in Russia (in general):

                        If Odessa is filthy, then what can we say about Russian cities - all sorts of Voronezh and Irkutsk ...

                        But judging by the fact that you no longer have anything to do with either Uraine or Russia:

                        since 1990 I am an Israeli citizen, since 2003 I also have US citizenship, I live in Haifa

                        What are your unfounded statements here?
                        Just like that, the release of bile?
                      4. Dear sofa expert. April 1 2021 23: 04
                        +2
                        And the fact that I have a negative attitude towards the annexation of Crimea and the support of the Russian Federation for the separatists of Donbass,

                        That is, you confirm that your attitude to all this has a purely subjective assessment based solely on the mainstream, and has nothing to do with knowledge of the specific situation in these countries?
                      5. Binder Offline Binder
                        Binder (Miron) April 2 2021 03: 22
                        -2
                        My attitude to "all this" is based on my vision of the situation and on those moral principles that I am guided by. As for knowing the specifics of Russia and Ukraine, there are no problems with information.
                      6. Dear sofa expert. April 2 2021 09: 49
                        +1
                        As for knowing the specifics of Russia and Ukraine, there are no problems with information.

                        But then, apparently, there is a problem with your analysis of this information.
                        You demonstrate a reluctance to see cause-and-effect relationships in the Russian / Ukrainian conflict.
                        For some reason, you perfectly see them in your Israel in the case of the appropriation by you, frankly, of foreign territories.
                        Your shirt is closer to your body, right?)
                      7. Binder Offline Binder
                        Binder (Miron) April 2 2021 10: 05
                        -2
                        Quote: Dear sofa expert.
                        You demonstrate a reluctance to see cause-and-effect relationships in the Russian / Ukrainian conflict.

                        Everything is as simple as an orange - in 2014. The Russian leadership decided to take advantage of the instability in neighboring Ukraine and chop off from it a vast chunk of territory from Kharkov to Transnistria, inhabited to a large extent by Russian-speaking citizens. The name Novorossiya was invented and a lot of work was done to organize provocations and support the separatists. The idea of ​​the Kremlin would-be strategists failed miserably - Russia managed to annex Crimea and destabilize some areas of Donbass, becoming an outcast country, but other regions of Novorossia, in which triumphant processions of the local population with tricolors and portraits of Putin were expected, did not want to go under the Kremlin's authority.
                        As for my Israel and the accession of the Golan Heights to it, the situation here is fundamentally different from the Ukrainian one.
                      8. Dear sofa expert. April 2 2021 12: 01
                        +2
                        Everything is as simple as an orange - in 2014. The Russian leadership decided to take advantage of the instability in neighboring Ukraine and chop off from it a vast piece of territory from Kharkov to Transnistria, inhabited in the meaning of ... ,, ...

                        Yes Yes Yes.))

                        Let me add to your thoughtful analysis:
                        And before that, the US leadership, being in a criminal conspiracy with the Kremlin, decided to play along with Putin's plans, and created, by bribing Ukrainians with "lace panties", this very instability in Ukraine. Yes?)
  3. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
    Just a cat (Bayun) April 1 2021 03: 52
    +1
    I am closer to Arabs and Persians
    1. Binder Offline Binder
      Binder (Miron) April 1 2021 13: 42
      -3
      Arabs and Persians are two big differences, as they used to say in Odessa.
      1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
        Just a cat (Bayun) April 1 2021 19: 02
        +2
        in Odessa, apparently they don't say anything smart
        1. Binder Offline Binder
          Binder (Miron) April 1 2021 19: 53
          -4
          Of course, all clever people live in the Russian outback ... lol
  • Yury medny Offline Yury medny
    Yury medny (Yury Medny) 31 March 2021 18: 46
    +1
    There is no need to mold any idols or devils. This is not a rewarding business. Our Russian Pasha Mercedes is no different from the Ukrainian who sells the country's security for a tank. The rest is more for Cassandra. The only thing you are absolutely right about is the complete unacceptability of the position of "throwing" hats at enemies. You need to prepare for the worst development of events, but do not make a fetish out of it
  • Fourth Horseman Offline Fourth Horseman
    Fourth Horseman (Fourth Horseman) 31 March 2021 08: 24
    +5
    I think the probability of large-scale hostilities is still 50/50.
    Simply because our sworn partners cannot guarantee themselves a completely positive result. They can calculate Putin's reaction, but what kind of reaction will it be?
    1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
      Just a cat (Bayun) 31 March 2021 08: 47
      +4
      What result is positive? Russia with the old Europe has a tradition of redrawing the territory of all young non-Europeans. And the conditional Shevchenko from Donetsk with the conditional Bondarenko from Kiev will be "at war". "Overton windows" for the section of Ukraine have been open for a long time. The same ordinary Americans are periodically told about the Nazism of the Ukrainians and their movie villains come from Kiev. Ukrainians just think that everyone needs them, but in reality everything is exactly the opposite. The idea that the United States uses the Ukrainians not to attack Russia, but to destroy them with the help of Russia, does not visit Ukrainians' saucepans. The world community is very calm about the material and technical assistance of the "warring" parties and the accelerated depopulation of the aborigines.
      1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
        Volkonsky (Wolf) 31 March 2021 14: 53
        +1
        ask at your leisure what the Overton Window is - it's not at all a window of opportunity, you don't even want to discuss the rest of the masterpieces of thought, the states don't give a damn about Ukraine, their goal is the Russian Federation. And to fight Ukraine, expelling its guest workers from the Russian Federation - I have not yet met the stupider plan, you would not send a solarium for tamers here, but the brain does not work in this direction
        1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
          Just a cat (Bayun) 31 March 2021 14: 59
          0
          Overton's window (also a discourse window) is the concept of the presence of a framework of an acceptable range of opinions in public statements of politicians and activists from the point of view of the current discourse.
          There is a preparation of the opinion that a Ukrainian is a kind of belly that should be kicked with hands and feet. laughing it's not for you to tell about nonsense ...
          As for the fuel, I would not send gasoline, so that the ambulance does not reach you with another ukolchik from the pressure. wink
          1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
            Volkonsky (Wolf) 31 March 2021 15: 14
            -1
            I haven’t seen a doctor for 10 years, this is it! RF does not supply gasoline, these are two! I've already wiped off the overtone windows, that's three! the spectrum of opinions is formed within society, not outside, what does America have to do with it?
            1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
              Just a cat (Bayun) 31 March 2021 15: 19
              +1
              I look very tightly laughing can I write on Move? I'm sorry, but I stopped studying it in 1989. Or how to poke a kitten with a muzzle in a pile? I'm not going to chew the above in detail for the highly gifted. it is long and unproductive. Russian-Ukrainian "friendship" has been proven by centuries.
              1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
                Volkonsky (Wolf) 31 March 2021 15: 23
                0
                DLB BLD, let the readers figure it out for themselves, I pass!
                1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
                  Just a cat (Bayun) 31 March 2021 15: 45
                  -2
                  Well, if you disassemble the chain from where the Ukrainians have gasoline, then you can run into Russian, Kazakh and Azerbaijani oil. You don't go to the hospital yourself, so your grandchildren won't get the temperature down. and also refers to himself as a Russian. okay crest mother can sell, you do not care about your own children.
                  1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
                    Volkonsky (Wolf) 31 March 2021 15: 48
                    0
                    Kazakh oil is trash!
                    1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
                      Just a cat (Bayun) 31 March 2021 15: 51
                      0
                      The Dnepropetrovsk group supplied 2016 million tons of gasoline and diesel fuel to the market in 1,35, occupying 16,6% of the market. The main volume - 1,1 million tons or 14% of the market - fell on the products of Ukrtatnafta controlled by Privat, the largest refinery in Ukraine. The raw materials for the plant are oil and gas condensate of the Ukrnafta company, as well as oil supplied by sea from Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan.

        2. Ulysses Offline Ulysses
          Ulysses (Alexey) 31 March 2021 18: 52
          +3
          states do not care about Ukraine, their goal is the Russian Federation.

          States are going to fight with the Russian Federation ??
          How do you imagine that?

          I mean the corpse of Russia. And the fact that Ukraine would have to be sacrificed for this was clear even in the first act of this tragedy. Directly after Chekhov: "If in the 1st act there is a gun hanging on the wall, then in the 1th act it will definitely fire." That's it, friends, the 4th act has come.

          Go to the distant trench and shoot yourself ..
          1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
            Volkonsky (Wolf) 31 March 2021 19: 12
            0
            ischo one smart guy! have you tried to read the text? immediately went to kammenty?
            1. Ulysses Offline Ulysses
              Ulysses (Alexey) 31 March 2021 21: 30
              +2
              ischo one smart guy! have you tried to read the text? immediately went to kammenty?

              Tried it, that's your problem.
              "Lay softly, but sleep hard."
              Ukraine is dying quickly and sponsors are no longer interested.
              The last and only application is war.
              Only Russia should start the war, otherwise how will it work from 8.08.08.

              And “analysts” like you appear with the thesis “war cannot be avoided”.

              And we are ready, only a smart guy, this is not your level. repeat
              Level XNUMX Expert.
  • Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 31 March 2021 08: 51
    +7
    If we stop supplying energy to Ukraine, then the war will end before it starts. And if you cultivate your enemy yourself, then there is no need to throw up your hands later - they themselves did not understand why it happened! Sowing is now starting and all the fuel and lubricants will be used for this. The tanks may not stay. Think strategists.
    1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
      Just a cat (Bayun) 31 March 2021 09: 23
      0
      play on the mentality. some promised cookies, others gingerbread. they did not give either one or the other, but they wet each other intensely. they also pay for energy. Russia buys Donbass coal for next to nothing and sells it to Ukrainians through Poland as a Pennsylvanian laughing
  • Leonid Varenko Offline Leonid Varenko
    Leonid Varenko (Leonid Vaenko) 31 March 2021 09: 24
    +5
    The author showed hysteria and illiteracy.
    1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
      Just a cat (Bayun) 31 March 2021 10: 15
      0
      Ukrainian scientists? no, I have not. you are all the same there. laughing
  • Artyom76 Online Artyom76
    Artyom76 (Artyom Volkov) 31 March 2021 09: 42
    +3
    How to break out of this vicious circle, I don't know

    And how in the modern world everyone does it .... Through their "proxies", for example, create a PMC (and also register it in Europe) and send it to Donbass, and re-preserve the equipment from the warehouses - even in this situation, it will be on order is in a better condition than that of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, ... how the USSR fought in Korea, Vietnam ... And then the Russian Federation seems to be out of business, and who is bursting with something, but spit from a tall ash tree ...
    In words, of course, it is simple, but earlier things seemed to be resolved this way. In the same Africa, the USSR against the USA constantly acted like this ...
  • kriten Offline kriten
    kriten (Vladimir) 31 March 2021 10: 24
    +6
    Complete nonsense. All that can be is a lot of shouting and the addition of sanctions, when it is already essential and there is nothing to add, but there will definitely be a rise in the country's prestige, even among its enemies.
    1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
      Just a cat (Bayun) 31 March 2021 10: 34
      0
      and how many similar articles do his colleagues have? only instead of Russia and Putin there will be Europe and Merkel. and everywhere dill is the potential savior of mankind and the hordes of the enemy they hold back ... the main thing is to devour the given. the price of themselves is stuffed. Like Putin would give not 5 billion like the United States but 6 and there would be no Maidan laughing
  • Sapsan136 Offline Sapsan136
    Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 31 March 2021 11: 30
    +4
    As for rats, there are enough rats in the Kremlin and in the Russian Federation in general. It is enough to remember Shevardnadze, Chernomyrdin and the like to understand the appearance of the Kremlin rat. Some kind of work with the capture of rats in the Russian Federation, thank God, is being carried out. The FSB constantly traps Pasyukov, but little is visible, because these rodents continue to harm the Russian Federation, but many thanks to the guys from the FSB for the captured rats. For example, two recent results of the successful work of the FSB in catching rats in the Russian Federation:

    1) 16.03.21/XNUMX/XNUMX in Crimea, the FSB of the Russian Federation caught a Zionist from Radio Liberty, not only was this type openly spying in favor of Ukraine, but also a bomb (explosive device) was found in the trunk of his car during the arrest. So this is no longer just a spy, it is a Bandera terrorist. People like him should not be planted; they should be hung on aspens. The name of the animal has not yet been specified, in the interests of the investigation.

    2) In addition, the FSB detained Galina Dovgopolaya for collecting military data in Crimea and transferring it to Bandera intelligence. Dovgopolaya tried to get codes, ciphers and similar nishtyaks of the Russian military aviation. ...... What will happen to this Jew-terrorist from Radio Liberty is still a question, and Dovgopolaya received 12 years in prison for espionage in favor of Ukraine and departed for the zone ...... As for the war with Dill, then if the Kremlin start to fight, then we will smash Ukraine quickly, if, following the example of the drunkard Boris Yeltsman, they launder money on the blood of the Russian army, as during the First Chechen War, then at such a pace the Russian Federation can lose the war to Estonia.
  • Valentine Online Valentine
    Valentine (Valentin) 31 March 2021 11: 35
    0
    Is it all gone again? You would, Vladimir, write such little articles in "Censor No", Butusov would be pleased. In our General Staff, they are not stupid, and all situations have been calculated there for a long time. You are only right in one thing that we cannot avoid a war with such a Ukraine, but we just don’t need to go to extremes, there is a wonderful way to instantly calm down both Ukraine and the whole of Europe, and even the United States, if only Ukraine takes something serious about the DPR , and this will already be the beginning of a war with Russia - this is, first of all, the destruction of the Khmelnytsky nuclear power plant, which is located almost in the center of Western Ukraine, the consequences of which will immediately silence both Ukraine and Europe, and NATO will not drive its troops into the contaminated territory. And after this remote missile strikes, destroy all accumulations of Ukrainian troops and armored vehicles, and believe me, in this case, neither NATO, nor Europe and the United States will intercede for Ukraine, because they understand very well that after this a complete nuclear apocalypse may begin on land .... And the troops of the LDNR with the help of the "north wind" will calmly reach the Dnieper, and maybe further, and Poland, Hungary and Romania will return to themselves what they belonged to before 1939 ..
    1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
      Volkonsky (Wolf) 31 March 2021 14: 57
      0
      what are you smoking, Valentine? Have you seen enough movies?
      1. Valentine Online Valentine
        Valentine (Valentin) 31 March 2021 16: 01
        0
        Quote: Volkonsky
        what are you smoking, Valentine? Have you seen enough movies?

        When everything starts, there will be no time for exhortations and sentimentality, and what hostilities are, I know firsthand, or let's return Crimea back, pay reparations to Ukraine and apologize on our knees, and then we don't need to do anything with the LPNR , he, de jure and de facto, is not ours, and let the Galician people take it for themselves .... do you want that? And the destruction of the Khmelnytsky nuclear power plant will be a very strong and formidable warning to everyone who wants to attack us, otherwise we have already been humiliated, spat, kicked, threatened by everyone who is not lazy, and we only in response wipe ourselves off and squeal guiltily, and hordes of NATO troops near our borders is so, for our entertainment.
        1. Vermon Offline Vermon
          Vermon (Aslan Tsoutiev) April 3 2021 07: 49
          -1
          Quote: Valentine
          When everything starts, there will be no time for exhortations and sentimentality, and what hostilities are, I know firsthand, or let's return Crimea back, pay reparations to Ukraine and apologize on our knees, and then we don't need to do anything with the LPNR , he, de jure and de facto, is not ours, and let the Galician people take it for themselves .... do you want that? And the destruction of the Khmelnytsky nuclear power plant will be a very strong and formidable warning to everyone who wants to attack us, otherwise we have already been humiliated, spat, kicked, threatened by everyone who is not lazy, and we only in response wipe ourselves off and squeal guiltily, and hordes of NATO troops near our borders is so, for our entertainment.

          Even in Russia, there are no such fools to do what you say here ... You are very offended. Did your wife kick you out of the apartment?
    2. Xuli (o) Tebenado 31 March 2021 15: 14
      +1
      is, first of all, the destruction of the Khmelnytsky nuclear power plant,

      Bravo! The Chernobyl nuclear power plant and without missile strikes dirtied half the Earth: ((
      https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/3239985
      1. Valentine Online Valentine
        Valentine (Valentin) 31 March 2021 16: 13
        0
        Never mind, the Japanese survived the American bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. survived the largest accident at the Fukushima nuclear power plant, one reactor exploded in Chernobyl, and three reactors at Fukushima, and both accidents passed on the seventh scale of seven.
        1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
          Just a cat (Bayun) 31 March 2021 16: 18
          +1
          Nuclear power plants are protected from bombing, but the spare parts there are Russian.
        2. Xuli (o) Tebenado 31 March 2021 18: 05
          0
          Yes, yes, just take into account that the Russians are NOT JAPANESE, and the war with Ukraine will have unpredictable consequences for Russia.
          1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
            Just a cat (Bayun) 31 March 2021 18: 11
            0
            do not fight with worms, they are taken out by other means laughing
  • Design Ovragov Offline Design Ovragov
    Design Ovragov 31 March 2021 11: 37
    -3
    back in 2014, they warned how his Sly Plan would end.
  • andrew42 Offline andrew42
    andrew42 (Andrei) 31 March 2021 17: 39
    0
    Only by turning the chess table over.

    - The author answered himself. If you are surrounded by killers in a confined space, and one of them closes the door, then the only way out is to rush forward, smear the closing one and jump out until the doors are closed. Yes, there can be unpleasant surprises outside too, but there will be a maneuver. Otherwise, they will be tied to a chair, and a professional butcher with 13 daggers will slowly and with arrangement extract the whole gavvah from the victim. Thus, IF the Ukronazis launch an offensive on Donbass, the only way out is the most powerful missile and bomb attack that Russia has, with the maximum utilization of equipment and personnel of the Banderstadt Armed Forces, and the FAS team by a DPR / LPR unit to the Dnieper, to Kiev. After all, Russian Ukraine should fight the human-hating Urkaina, at least in the second round. ... Will have to beat in full, a second chance and time to swing the "west" will not give. The only question is whether the Russian tricolor authorities are capable of male behavior when there is nothing left to lose, or they will continue to whine in the mode of a sluggish drain. If there were a Soviet red flag in Moscow, the same would have fluttered over Kiev for a long time. With our bourgeois, nothing is clear.
    1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
      Just a cat (Bayun) 31 March 2021 17: 55
      +1
      this had to be done when they were separated from Russia, and not after a quarter of a century when he didn’t share the bacon with yesterday’s drinking companion. there now even dogs wear embroidered shirts. "bourgeois" and the population of Russia see the same thing. cheap, brainless workforce in harem pants.
      1. andrew42 Offline andrew42
        andrew42 (Andrei) April 2 2021 12: 44
        0
        It is not true, the population of Russia does not see any "labor force in trousers", because the same "labor force" for their Russian masters, moreover, subject to reduction of the "livestock". The problem is different: the Russian state has nothing to offer ordinary normal Ukrainians, except how to exchange Kiev oligarchs and thieves for Moscow oligarchs and saw-cutters. So far, the struggle for Ukraine is between the Moscow bourgeoisie and the American / transnational ones. And unfortunately, this is a fact. That is why Russia is deprived of the opportunity to attack conceptually, and can only fight back. And the fact that the West fostered Bandera and spread rot with their hands everything Russian, finishes the reformat of the consciousness of Ukrainians under "anti-Russia" - just a strategy of the Western elites, a technique - they don't care what kind of logs to throw in the oven - Ukrainian or Russian.
  • Alexander Zima Offline Alexander Zima
    Alexander Zima (Alexander Zima) 31 March 2021 18: 14
    +2
    The author did not listen to the GDP well ... why do we need such a world without Russia ... why then Poseidons..Avant-gardes..and other weapons ... once the button is in the USA..that he should otvetstvovat..as an instigator for the outbreak of war. AS A CUSTOMER .... I think so.
    1. Vermon Offline Vermon
      Vermon (Aslan Tsoutiev) April 3 2021 07: 57
      -1
      Quote: Alexander Zima
      The author did not listen to the GDP well ... why do we need such a world without Russia ... why then Poseidons..Avant-gardes..and other weapons ... once the button is in the USA..that he should otvetstvovat..as an instigator for the outbreak of war. AS A CUSTOMER .... I think so.

      But it doesn't seem to me that Putin is going to "die" in an atomic war, having fought with America ... It is he who fights with everyone because he WANTS TO LIVE AS A KING, and not die ... And then everyone sends him for the "last battle" with America. This is not an ideological communist for you, and he does not want to die for an idea ... Why would he, with his trillions of money, palaces and a brush that is dearer than your salary in your entire life? This is you, who, apart from a squeezed couch, has nothing for his soul, you are ready to die from such a life even today. He has something ...
  • Nicholai Ivanitsky (Nicholai Ivanitsky) 31 March 2021 18: 28
    +1
    I have to agree with the author. By all indications, things are heading for that.
    And there is nothing fantastic in this scenario.
    I think that Putin will choose the minimum damage: strengthening the armies and rebels to the level of disrupting the offensive.
    Actually, there are about 35 thousand in the republics versus 65 thousand in the Armed Forces of Ukraine. This is not enough for a successful war.
    With such numbers, they will "get bogged down".
    1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
      Just a cat (Bayun) 31 March 2021 18: 40
      0
      with such figures there is Malopolsha, Transcarpathia and Bukovina. It is necessary to listen to GDP and not to the radio of Kharkiv. and since the aborigines themselves do not choose the authorities, and if they did, they would not choose anything worthwhile, then there is no reason for these aborigines to like them. http://k-politika.ru/nazvan-edinstvennyj-dlya-rossii-stimul-soxranit-ukrainu-no-ego-skoro-ne-budet/?utm_source=politobzor.net
  • Cosine Phi ... Offline Cosine Phi ...
    Cosine Phi ... (Vladimir Rodionov) 31 March 2021 18: 51
    0
    Bredyatina.
    1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
      Volkonsky (Wolf) 31 March 2021 19: 15
      -1
      Uncle, who are you talking to here? the way out is there! do not slam doors!
  • Ulysses Offline Ulysses
    Ulysses (Alexey) 31 March 2021 19: 23
    0
    We will once again plunge into the era of the 80s, as after the entry of our limited contingent into the DRA. The iron curtain will fall again for us. Iron Curtain 2.0. We will again be accused of all grave ones and will be made a world outcast with all that it implies. With the disconnection from SWIFT, the arrest and blocking of all our accounts and assets in the West, with the blocking of all financial and other transport flows (I am not even talking about Nord Stream), with a ban on the exchange of technologies, the supply of spare parts and components,

    All this is garbage, if we are kicked out of PACE, not invited to Eurovision and the flight of our birds for wintering in their warm lands is banned, then really hard times will come for Russia ... recourse

    PS The author has mixed in a bunch everything that he could remember, starting from his barefoot childhood in the 80s.
    He had no jeans then and no gum ...
    The catastrophe is approaching ........
  • Ivan Ivanov_21 Offline Ivan Ivanov_21
    Ivan Ivanov_21 (Ivan Ivanov) 31 March 2021 19: 32
    -2
    Igor Strelkoff constantly talks / since the age of 14 / about the inevitability of war. According to him, ** Crimea is a Rubicon that has been transferred ** and there will be no forgiveness. For my part, I want to ask a simple question ** why in Moscow they think that the history of the Ukrainians itself will resolve because for example the Japanese do not forget ** northern micro-territories ** and Crimea is a huge peninsula.
    1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
      Just a cat (Bayun) 31 March 2021 20: 08
      +2
      so Ukrainians dissolve laughing before 2014 52 million and now at best 30
  • Igor Berg Offline Igor Berg
    Igor Berg (Igor Berg) 31 March 2021 20: 14
    -4
    What kind of war? Are the women still giving birth? No longer anymore, those days have passed ... Peskov called the demographic situation in Russia very bad. The Kremlin is concerned about the decline in the Russian population in the country, but it has not yet been able to remedy the situation, said Dmitry Peskov, press secretary for the Russian president.
  • danyla Offline danyla
    danyla (Vasily Doinichenko) 31 March 2021 21: 03
    +1
    Repetition of the Yugoslav events. Only in the role of NATO will Russia be. And no iron curtain, everything is within international law, albeit with a stretch. Of course there will be sanctions, and maybe other "joys", but not as sad as the author described. And of course the author is right that everything had to be decided in 2014.
    1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
      Just a cat (Bayun) 31 March 2021 21: 11
      0
      sanctions will be in any case and for other reasons. Ukrainians did not fly close there with their miserable problems.
  • Nikolay Fedorovich (Nikolay Fedorovich) 31 March 2021 21: 10
    +1
    Where did such an analyst come from?
    1. Ulysses Offline Ulysses
      Ulysses (Alexey) 31 March 2021 21: 45
      +2
      Where did such an analyst come from?

      From there I took ... wassat

      I have not seen a doctor for 10 years

      DLB BLD, let the readers figure it out for themselves, I pass!

      ischo one smart guy! have you tried to read the text?

      what are you smoking, Valentine? Have you seen enough movies?

      Uncle, who are you talking to here? the way out is there! do not slam doors!

      Dove Volkonsky plays chess with us ..


      PS I don't like this Cossack .. negative
      1. isofat Offline isofat
        isofat (isofat) 31 March 2021 22: 07
        +2
        Quote: Ulysses
        Dove Volkonsky plays chess with us ..

        I think he's a Russian guy who wants the best ... smile
        1. Dear sofa expert. April 1 2021 23: 27
          +3
          Dove Volkonsky plays chess with us ..

          I think he's a Russian guy who wants the best ...

          I think Isofat is RIGHT!

          Volkonsky, although "a little rude", but he is "OWN ROUGH".)

          He is in the same trench with all of us.
  • Viacheslav Lukstin (vyacheslav lukstin) 31 March 2021 21: 52
    +3
    The fact that Ukraine is being incited into a war with Russia is true. The situation is really very difficult, but there is also a high probability that all these US plans will not come true due to the non-obligation of execution of orders by the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. There are far from stupid people, it is one thing to maintain a sluggish current conflict, while profiting from it, and it is completely different to become "meat" for the sake of fulfilling the wishes of the overseas owner. I think the situation is 50/50 and the likelihood of a successful outcome for Russia is quite high.
    1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
      Just a cat (Bayun) 31 March 2021 22: 08
      +3
      deeply corrupt and cowardly inhumans sit there. but thinks for them a helmet, like a Tymchuk. before the first blow to the jaw, and then "what about me?"
      1. andrew42 Offline andrew42
        andrew42 (Andrei) April 2 2021 12: 51
        0
        Indeed, there has long been negative selection. It is foolish to count on glimpses of reason in the heads of the commanders of units and subunits of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Units don't count. The only brake is fear.
  • Friend of the People_2 (Kirill Vetrov) 31 March 2021 22: 57
    0
    Don't give a damn. To extinguish all who are against. And sweep away the USA with a nuclear strike.
  • Siegfried Offline Siegfried
    Siegfried (Gennady) April 1 2021 00: 45
    +2
    Not everything is as gloomy as the author sees it. Neither Zelensky nor anyone else in Ukraine will be able to start hostilities without the consent of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. And those will agree to this only if there are good reasons for success. Of course, everyone hopes for Baikatars, Javelins, intelligence and Western electronic warfare systems, but still, Ukrainian warriors are far from stupid people and will be able to estimate the probability of success.

    Also, do not assume that the European intelligence services are also stupid people ... they are clearly not interested in a new conflict with the possibility of escalation under their noses. They will not allow the United States to start a new war in Ukraine. It is also not so easy to start hostilities and blame everything on Russia. The attack must be sudden and decisive. The Ukrainian Armed Forces will have to quickly move into the depths of the DPR and LPR, which will obviously complicate the "they started" version. Without a doubt, the Armed Forces will attack if they are confident of success or if the United States promises to intervene. It is more likely that the Armed Forces of Ukraine will slightly increase the intensity of hostilities and will use the Baykatars and whatever else they have left. If the opposition is weak, then a decisive invasion will follow. Such a two-stage approach would make it easier to justify the invasion and support the version that Russia is the initiator of the escalation of the conflict.

    For the United States, this conflict cannot be "a salvation from all troubles," Russia simply does not have the influence and weight to play the role of the second pole in the new Cold War for the United States. And here, again, do not think that Europe needs it. Europe just does not need it at all and they will do everything to prevent this from happening.

    And finally, the same Langley understands that things may not end the way they wanted. The Ukrainian Armed Forces can again lose miserably without losing new territories. Russia will not enter its troops, occupy territories. But what will obviously need to be done is to achieve a clear and resounding victory, such as a new cauldron or the destruction of the invasion group and everything else far beyond the line of contact. What will happen to Zelensky then? What then will happen to Ukraine in general? It is unlikely that "such" consequences are in the interests of the United States. It is more important for them that the conflict smolders itself on the sly as long as possible. To create from Ukraine an example of transformation from a scoop into a torch of democracy and economic prosperity in order to provoke the Russians to similar goals and desires, this idea clearly failed and everyone has long understood this.
  • alexey alexeyev_2 (Alexey Alekseev) April 1 2021 06: 25
    +1
    The FSE is gone. The author does not frighten the people and do not screw yourself up. Our people are used to believing the printed word, but not to the same extent. But even though it is not clinical. Who will allow him to unleash a war in the center of Europe. Most of all, Europe is afraid of losing its well-fed well-being .Where is there a guarantee that some stray shell or rocket will not shuffle around the nuclear power plant. How many naughty Chernobyls have done in the world. And there are four such Chernobyls in / in Ukraine. Seize the Rivne nuclear power plant and Europe paragraph. The sabotage and reconnaissance groups will also not sit idle. If the war lasts until the winter, break the gas pipeline. And there won't be a blitzkrieg in Ukrainian. Donetsk people haven't caught flies with their nostrils either. They have something to defend.
  • Igor Berg Offline Igor Berg
    Igor Berg (Igor Berg) April 1 2021 06: 34
    -3
    You read, and you are amazed ... Most want so much, so they want war, like Stalin. Not for myself, but for a neighbor. And I am sure that most of those who are so thirsty for blood here on the resource will not run on the very first day of something to the military registration and enlistment office ... but they will also fearlessly scribble here
  • Igor Lyamin Offline Igor Lyamin
    Igor Lyamin (Igor Lyamin) April 1 2021 09: 41
    +1
    The situation is not stalemate - Europe will not give up gas and oil (not quite the same), like China, and sanctions will still be introduced (even with the Ukrainians, even without). It's just that the GDP policy has failed and it has to be changed for a long time - without the author's hysteria.
  • Alexander Loginov (Alexander Loginov) April 1 2021 10: 09
    0
    All bullshit. At first. There is no need to get involved in a war, it is enough to declare a no-fly zone and quietly unpack all the artillery of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, well, let the LDNR corps occupy several settlements in their regions or even entirely their own regions, and then threaten Ukraine that either negotiations or a gallows with the adoption of laws, on which participation in the so-called ato, oos and others like them at once a suspended sentence, and if they prove banditry or any other crimes, they will immediately be shot with confiscation, and they will get scared, sit down at the table and agree on eternal peace.
    Secondly, nothing will develop our economy like the Iron Curtain 2.0.
    Third, the fact that Europe will be left without gas is the ultimate goal of American foreign policy over the past 30 years. Do you seriously think that they need the war of Russia on its own? Yes, they spat on us from a high bell tower, they need to destroy or drag European industry to the States in order, firstly, to kill a competitor, and secondly, to revive the industry in the United States. The great dream of the United States is the great dream of Europe and Russia, in which Russia will destroy Europe to rubble, and America will not come, or will come in a month, ostensibly to protect the remnants of its allies.
  • Ilya Melekhin Offline Ilya Melekhin
    Ilya Melekhin (Ilya Melekhin) April 1 2021 18: 38
    0
    Any war is death, blood, pain and suffering. Who needs it and, most importantly, what will it give? That is the question...
    1. Igor Berg Offline Igor Berg
      Igor Berg (Igor Berg) April 2 2021 15: 49
      -2
      unfortunately, many for some reason think that this will not affect them and their families, so they are happy ...
  • Vermon Offline Vermon
    Vermon (Aslan Tsoutiev) April 3 2021 07: 34
    0
    It is interestingly written, but .... "plausible" nonsense .... Specifically, the line amused

    what will Europe do without our gas?

    Probably "perish" .... Apparently there is nowhere else to buy gas in the world. And I kind of heard that gas suppliers are fighting for customers all over the world.
  • Rul Offline Rul
    Rul (Rul) April 3 2021 14: 18
    0
    Everything is described as if the scenario was already known, the roles were assigned, similar examples were found in history, all the figures were placed, all that was left was to cock the trigger and shoot. Oh, how many times the gun has not fired or the script had to be changed on the go. Let's assume that Russia is demonstratively concentrating its armies at the border and will not do anything in the event of an attack by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The concentration of forces will be visible from all satellites and scouts, and the fact that it has remained in place will also be visible. The Ukrainian Armed Forces will deliberately launch an attack when the largest number of spies hover over the border. They and the bandabats will mercilessly destroy everything in their path in the hope of meeting the Russian army. And here they will play a giveaway with her, in addition, they will completely de-orientate on the terrain, slip in imaginary places of deployment, force them to stretch out and disperse. Destroying everything around, they can thus either cross the border, or bomb the territory of the Russian Federation. This will be recorded, the last Chinese will be done and ... more 2008 - 2. And in this case, Europe finally turns away from cooperation with the United States and Britain for constant conflicts on its territory, permanent damage to its economic ties around the world. Moreover, the United States is at its peak of consuming goods from Europe and they will no longer be able to do more, and Asian markets are gaining a tremendous growth in consumption, and in place with the subsoil of Russia and their technologies, they will be able to reorient markets and earn much more without constant fear. .. All these are just theories.
  • Valery Radevich_2 (valery radevich) April 3 2021 20: 20
    0
    The United States needs Ukraine as a pain in the ass of Russia. A splinter that constantly hurts and creates discomfort. If events are forced, then Russia will go to an extremely painful but extremely necessary operation to surgically remove a splinter. The United States will not want to lose such a long-lasting instrument.
  • The comment was deleted.
  • Igor Berg Offline Igor Berg
    Igor Berg (Igor Berg) April 4 2021 12: 13
    -1
    We still have unnecessary imperial thinking. We should not show up for someone else's war. In a foreign country. Where the conflict is internal. About the conflict is the official statement of our Kremlin.
  • Vladimir Moroz_2 (Vladimir Moroz) April 4 2021 18: 44
    0
    No shit. I wanted to write in more detail, but that's enough.
  • marciz Offline marciz
    marciz (Stas) April 5 2021 00: 16
    0
    Yes, let the mouse sit behind the Urals !!!!
  • Maria Tyuleneva Alexandra Riamon (Maria Tyuleneva) April 5 2021 04: 36
    0
    Stakh's eyes are big. There will be a war. And it is impossible to calculate the results of the war. I like how Catherine the Great spoke about such situations.

    And as for Europe, so the opinion of theirs is not worth paying attention to a great power, which has a victorious army and navy. Where that zherzhava turns, there and all Europe will be pulled. They will crackle from powerlessness and only.

    Yes. America has been waging the Indian War from time immemorial. She loves to play off neighboring tribes. And then finish off the survivors. But, we must not be afraid of this war, if we give up the slack, the consequences for us will be worse than the blockade.
    Do you know what I am so sorry about? The fact that during the collapse of our USSR into small principalities, Russia did not stipulate an item on the case of returning the land back. And such a fad must exist. And it should sound like this:

    Each territorial state voluntarily separated from the USSR should be given a time period equal to 25 years, in order for this state to prove its political sovereignty. But in case of non-compliance with this point. Russia, as the heir to the USSR, has every right to return the lands of the puppet states to itself, even if it has to use military force.

    somehow this phrase should sound like that. Then we would provide ourselves with a legal framework for restoring borders. In general, what was glued together with the blood of our ancestors should stick back to us, alas, only with blood.
    Who dares to doubt that the inheritance of the USSR passed to Russia. Let him remember who took the nuclear weapon for himself.
    Remember! Ukraine is the belly of Russia. The most vulnerable part of it. And if we do not close this belly now, we will receive a blow in the gut. And then they just physically finish us off.
    No! This war is not worth fearing. Russia is a self-sufficient country. And with a normal position of leadership, she does not need anything from the world at all.
  • Olegator962 Offline Olegator962
    Olegator962 (Oleg) April 7 2021 08: 31
    +1
    Living in constant expectations of the end is a flawed strategy. Yes, the existing liberal economy has put the country at a standstill, but if you do not go all the way and endure, it will only get worse. Even the existing restrictions have had a positive result. And if the lid is slammed shut, we may turn on the brains.
    Our country is the only country in the world that has the experience of living as an author, and this experience is more valuable than anything we have gained from the return to financial capitalism. This horse is no longer lucky, including the Americans. We need to return to socialism, but not to that of the Khrushchev type, but to the normal one, as it was originally conceived.
  • Algrishin Offline Algrishin
    Algrishin (Algrishin) April 7 2021 15: 39
    0
    Yeah! The theme is such that it is straight in everything, do we lose? And what, nothing will reach the states? Where does such a hysterical confidence and obsolescence come from? Why not start with the states? There are no states and no hegemon!
    VVP spoke correctly at one of the press conferences, but why the heck do we need a world in which we have no place? but burn it all with fire! And there God will judge who is in Paradise and who is in Hell! And if someone, I'm sorry pissing, then why is he sure that even with a small war, he will live? Russian roulette though! Spin the drum, gentlemen!
  • Zeus the Thunderer (Zeus the Thunderer) April 8 2021 01: 20
    +1
    The article is biased and hysterical))), from a specialist in politics at the taxi driver level))). You never need a false start, calmness, the necessary things are done without advertising. so don't get stupid tantrums. Particularly annoying are feeble-minded strategists who criticize Putin and impudent insults. Normally, such a public is shot in front of the formation as alarmists and traitors. They did little and understand little, but with good reason they climb where they know nothing at all. Disgusting experience. Abomination. Despite the fact that none of the commentators ruled the country and intelligence, they did not play 20 years of a subtle game. The United States was so sure that Russia would not be reborn, and here everyone criticizes Putin that he did the wrong thing for 20 years. Well, you would do everything if you were given. Disrespect for other people's merits is shown by the complete absence of these from critics and the stench about HPP. Abomination. Well, in politics, the main thing is not to jitter, who blinks and loses. I trust the Commander-in-Chief, since I was connected with military affairs, so mind your own business and do not clog the Internet.