Russia prepares for revenge in Syria: what is behind the campaign of the BDK in the Black Sea


Strange things are happening on the Black Sea these days. In response to the multinational exercises of the NATO bloc "Sea Shield-2021", the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation first expelled all submarines of the "Varshavyanka" class, which are in service with the Russian Black Sea Fleet, and now "for strengthening" directed four ships of the Baltic Fleet into the Black Sea area, thereby weakening our western flank. The strangeness lies in the composition of the flotilla that goes "to the rescue", as well as in the path it has chosen. What is the Russian defense department really trying to achieve?


So, let's figure out what is the reason for our doubts. In more detail about the exercises "Sea Shield-2021", their goals and objectives, we already told earlier. In large-scale maneuvers at sea and on land, more than two thousand servicemen of the North Atlantic Alliance, combat aircraft and 18 ships at once, among which there are cruisers and destroyers of URO, frigates, corvettes, minesweepers and tugs are involved. In response, the RF Ministry of Defense demonstratively put out to sea all our best Varshavyanka-class diesel-electric submarines equipped with anti-ship missiles and Caliber-PL cruise missiles capable of striking from a submerged position. Against the NATO fleet, this is the right thing. If you believe the statements of the military department, one "Varshavyanka" left for the Mediterranean Sea, and five others remained in the Black Sea water area, where, presumably, they are practicing maneuvers of covert approach to a potential enemy at a distance of an effective missile strike.

This all makes sense, but this is strange. Four surface ships sail from the Baltic to the Black Sea, including one corvette and three large landing ships (BDK). How even theoretically can they withstand the cruisers and destroyers of the NATO bloc's missile defense system? What could be the practical benefits of practicing such a redeployment? It is clear that in wartime nothing can actually be sent from the Baltic to the Black Sea through the English Channel, Gibraltar and the Turkish Straits. Interesting questions, and the possible answer is even more interesting.


Let's fast forward a little further south. There we have Turkey, our "sworn" partner, which is currently pursuing an active expansionist policies... The pan-Turkist project of President Erdogan, which can include in some supranational association, in addition to Turkey itself, Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and even Turkmenistan, is a direct competitor to the Russian CSTO and the Eurasian Union. Just a few months ago, Ankara made a big step forward in realizing its geopolitical ambitions by providing decisive assistance to Baku in defeating the Armenians in Nagorno-Karabakh. In return, Turkey received a new land transport corridor through the territory of its closest ally, Azerbaijan, to the Caspian Sea. What's next? And then, in order to implement the concept of a "logistic superpower" and create an "Eastern NATO" led by Turkey, "Sultan" Erdogan needs to take the next step, drawing Kazakhstan into the orbit of his interests, located on the other side of the Caspian Sea and being the key to Central Asia. And he is doing it now.

On March 30 and 31, the Turkish president will visit Kazakhstan, and the agenda includes issues of deepening economic and military-technical cooperation. Ankara and Nur-Sultan intend to more than triple the volume of mutual trade, and the Turkish parliament has already ratified an agreement on military cooperation. In particular, the Kazakh side is interested in the issue of purchasing and joint production and subsequent maintenance of strike UAVs. Nur-Sultan is also showing interest in Turkish armored vehicles. Among other things, the two Turkic-speaking states are discussing among themselves the issue of possible joint training of military personnel.

In general, it is high time for the Kremlin to be on its guard. Kazakhstan, with its northern regions inhabited by a Russian population, could become a source of contention between Moscow and Nur-Sultan. And, apparently, the RF Ministry of Defense has begun to prepare a response. It is clear that we are not yet ready to fight directly with the Turks, so it will take place in the "proxy" format. It is very likely that the Kremlin will respond to Turkey's eastward expansion into the zone of Russian national interests in the Syrian direction, in Idlib.

Recall that the northern part of this province is still occupied by Turkish troops, and various pro-Turkish terrorist groups are based there. President Bashar al-Assad punches himself in the chest, promising to squeeze out this abscess on the body of his country, and takes steps to prepare for the offensive. Over the past year, government troops have gradually accumulated in northern Syria. Artillery is working, and the Turks are scribbling official complaints:

The Assad regime, which previously attacked a hospital in Atarib, has now launched a missile attack on the Qah residential area in the Idlib de-escalation zone and a truck and trailer park in the Sarmada area. Many farm animals have died in Kakh, and seven civilians have been injured in a truck and trailer park.

True, according to other sources, the Russian Iskander-M OTRK deployed at the Khmeimim airbase worked on Kakha, and they did not hit pets, but aimed at the headquarters of the pro-Turkish militants. The missile successfully hit the target, flying a distance of 120 kilometers. And this is not the first time that Iskanders have knocked out the military infrastructure of terrorist groups. Not too long ago we toldhow the "logistics center" was destroyed by a similar blow, where oil products and fuel were accumulated, intended, among other things, for refueling tanks and other armored vehicles of militants. The RF Aerospace Forces have also become more active recently.

There are all the signs of preparations for an offensive by Syrian troops on the Turkish enclave in the SAR with the support of Russian allies. In this context, the transfer of three large landing ships from the Baltic to the Black Sea at once acquires a new meaning. They are useless there against the NATO fleet. But they are the very thing for the operation of the "Syrian Express". Russian large landing ships will be able to transport tanks, other armored vehicles and artillery to help the Syrians, loading in Crimea. The Turks will not stop and inspect warships in their straits. By the way, the information about the sailing of all our "Varshavyankas" began to play with new colors. Placed on them cruise missiles "Caliber-PL" can be used to attack the infrastructure of terrorist groups in Idlib.

If our conclusions are correct, the Kremlin is responding to Ankara's attempts to expand its influence in Central Asia with the offensive of the Syrian government on Idlib in the very underbelly of Turkey. Perhaps it should have been done even a little earlier, during the war over Nagorno-Karabakh.
  • Author:
  • Photos used: Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation
45 comments
Information
Dear reader, to leave comments on the publication, you must sign in.
  1. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 22 March 2021 14: 32
    +11
    Uzbek Timur at one time piled on the Turks to the fullest and the Uzbeks are proud of this. So their heroic pride will not allow them to lie under the Turks. And the Turks will not want to cooperate on equal terms. They need vassals. So the Uzbeks' interest in Russia has increased.
    1. Rinat Offline Rinat
      Rinat (Rinat) 23 March 2021 08: 27
      +5
      I agree with you. In the late 90s, Islam Karimov, the then president of the Republic of Uzbekistan, tried to get closer to the Turks, and even the Turkish way of Uzbekistan's development was announced. But very quickly, in no more than two or three years, the Uzbeks figured out who they were dealing with and what the Turks needed from Uzbekistan. As a result of this analysis, Islam Karimov led the country his own way and did not take the Turkish path.
    2. Antichubays 777 Offline Antichubays 777
      Antichubays 777 (Antichubays 777) 26 March 2021 13: 50
      0
      Until the Russian Federation renounces the West, nothing will come of it.
    3. Vladest Online Vladest
      Vladest (Vladimir) 31 March 2021 09: 55
      -2
      What does it have to do with now, what was it once? There is no transfer of skills and talent from the past. How did you adapt to the present, this is the place you will have.
      Turkey defeated Russia in Libya, for example. Libya is now heading towards the West. Germany, France and Italy open their offices in Tripoli.
      Where are Russia's victories?
      1. tian shan Offline tian shan
        tian shan (tian shan) April 20 2021 13: 58
        0
        The Russian Federation did not defend the interests of Libya, the iPhone handed them over to the West. Remember how the westward bombing of Libya began. In the UN Security Council, ours handed them over, and Libya hoped for the Russian Federation to the last
        1. Vladest Online Vladest
          Vladest (Vladimir) April 20 2021 21: 33
          -1
          Quote: Tian Shan
          RF did not defend the interests of Libya

          As in this case, I am not interested in the history of Libyan-Russian relations. It cannot be returned. And the realities of our time are more important here. The fact that the Russian Federation has caught up with Marshal Haftar Wagner in Libya and even aviation is not a secret. All this proved to be useless for the victory over Turkey there. How much it cost Russia in days and in 200 we will find out later.
      2. Igor L Offline Igor L
        Igor L (Igor) 15 May 2021 19: 24
        0
        Write “Turkey defeated the Russian Federation in Libya. ... Libya went to the west ... ”Even if we assume that this is so, why did Turkey need it ?? There is some strange causal connection in your words ...
        1. Vladest Online Vladest
          Vladest (Vladimir) 17 May 2021 19: 02
          -1
          Isn't Turkey the West? NATO and ties with the EU and the desire to join there. After all, if Turkey is on its own, then it is clearly not with Russia.
    4. tian shan Offline tian shan
      tian shan (tian shan) April 20 2021 13: 55
      0
      Timur was never an Uzbek
  2. 123 Offline 123
    123 (123) 22 March 2021 15: 10
    +9
    What might be the practical benefits of practicing such a redeployment?

    Unloading in Tartus, then exercises in the Black Sea, loading, Tartus, unloading and home to the Baltic. So to speak, they combine business with pleasure. Why complicate things when there is a simple explanation?

    "It is not necessary to multiply entities unnecessarily." This is a warning not to resort to complex explanations where simple ones are fine. (Occam's razor).

    What does Kazakhstan have to do with it? request
    1. A B B A Offline A B B A
      A B B A (Ivan Bellew) 26 March 2021 08: 50
      0
      I think, yes. Plus, probably as before, transports from the Crimea and Rostov to Syria. As far as Kazakhstan is concerned, Putin does not particularly react to all his body movements and the body movements of others towards him, as life shows. Therefore, I would exclude the Kazakh moment from this case, it is unlikely that it is here
      1. 123 Offline 123
        123 (123) 26 March 2021 15: 43
        +2
        As far as Kazakhstan is concerned, Putin does not particularly react to all his body movements and the body movements of others towards him, as life shows.

        Why react to all movements? Let the little thing wag its tail. Life shows that the time comes and it turns out that on the drum what kind of body movements were there.
    2. Antichubays 777 Offline Antichubays 777
      Antichubays 777 (Antichubays 777) 26 March 2021 13: 55
      0
      In Syria, Russia is a trap ... "The king of the north will fall on the mountains of Israel" and "no one will help him" (Diary 11:45).

      The victory of the World of Islam in the Battle of the End in 2012 was predicted by the mouthpiece of the "Sons of the Covenant" G. Kissinger, stating that "in 10 years (by 2022) the State of Israel will not exist."

      Thus, we can assume that by 2017. The first phase of the Battle of the End with the provocation of the "black Caliphate" of ISIS has ended and now the phase of the "red Caliphate" led by Turkey begins.
      https://devyatov.su/articles/251-nebopolitika/54538-bol-shaja-igra-bitva-kontsa
      1. Vladest Online Vladest
        Vladest (Vladimir) April 20 2021 21: 36
        -2
        Quote: Antichubays 777
        There is a trap for Russia in Syria.

        This is absolutely true.
  3. amateur Offline amateur
    amateur (Victor) 22 March 2021 16: 54
    +5
    The pan-Turkist project of President Erdogan, which can include in some supranational association, in addition to Turkey itself, Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and even Turkmenistan,

    Loved Gavril pasties
    Gavrila was a Turkophile
    A fixed idea about Pan-Turkism
    In any article he spent.

    Turkmenboshi II and Sh. Mirziyoyev "sleep and see" "Sultan Tayyip" AKA (elder brother), and themselves

    ̶Ch̶t̶o̶b̶ ̶s̶l̶u̶zh̶i̶l̶a̶ ̶m̶n̶e̶ ̶r̶y̶b̶k̶a̶ ̶z̶o̶l̶o̶t̶a̶ya̶ ̶I̶ ̶by̶l̶a̶ ̶b̶ ̶u̶ ̶m̶e̶n̶ya̶ on his parcels
  4. alexey alexeyev_2 (Alexey Alekseev) 22 March 2021 17: 30
    0
    Well, they shouldn't open their mouths in Kazakhstan. Considering that the army of Kazakhstan is not more than 50 thousand, together with the police. In Russia, the forces of the Special Forces and Special Forces of the Airborne Forces are more than a hundred.
  5. Cudgel Offline Cudgel
    Cudgel (Dubina) 22 March 2021 18: 41
    -20%
    all our best Varshavyanka-class diesel-electric submarines, equipped with anti-ship missiles and Caliber-PL cruise missiles capable of delivering a strike from a submerged position. Against the NATO fleet, this is the right thing.

    among the non-nuclear submarines, the Varshavyanka are considered the worst. Non-nuclear submarines and conventional diesel-electric submarines of the Scorpen type, type 209 are much better than them. Once upon a time, they really were not bad, but 20 years of Putin's getting up from his knees finally ruined the aviation industry, the shipbuilding industry, etc., and the construction of non-nuclear submarines.
    NATO laughs at the "Invincible Armada" exhibited by Generalissimo Shoigu! What is good, NATO will die of laughter.
    1. serij1970 Offline serij1970
      serij1970 (sergey fatsun) 27 March 2021 19: 40
      +3
      Well, why is a scorpion better than a Warsaw woman? Just the facts. And take the pot off your head first, however, your nickname speaks for itself. Unfortunately, there are too many people like you who have been in full head lately. For you, you need to make a separate website in Ukrainian mov. Here, write to each other. how you dug the Black Sea with spoons and what great dill you are. Just do not say that you are Russian. Although you can work in Russia too
  6. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 22 March 2021 19: 31
    0
    Yeah. "Experts" are already beginning to tie any dumplings to their partner Endogan and to Syria, where everyone has already been defeated 3 times.
    1. Cudgel Offline Cudgel
      Cudgel (Dubina) 22 March 2021 21: 37
      -12%
      Perhaps Israel has already defeated Erdogan. This will be reported, but closer to 2024, when the dollar will be 120. All with a victory over Erdogan!
  7. Binder Offline Binder
    Binder (Miron) 22 March 2021 20: 23
    -11%
    The Assad offensive against the Turks in Idlib is doomed to failure - the Turks will smash Basharov's warriors to dust, so as an equivalent response from the Kremlin to the Turkish rapprochement with Wed. This step is not suitable for Asia and Kazakhstan, something else should be invented ...
    1. The comment was deleted.
  8. aries2200 Offline aries2200
    aries2200 (aries) 23 March 2021 06: 04
    +1
    maybe they weakened the Baltic Sea ... they lure NATO to KALININGRAD in order to have an excuse to fuck but europpa
  9. Dukhskrepny Offline Dukhskrepny
    Dukhskrepny (Vasya) 23 March 2021 12: 05
    -11%
    As under the king, priest will drive one fleet of samotopes to help another.
  10. gm6247 Offline gm6247
    gm6247 (Georgy Coordinator) 23 March 2021 12: 50
    +4
    We need to be cool with Iran. From the side of Orsk and Rubtsovsk to create (within the framework of the exercises) strike groups of mobile forces. It is high time to create a blocking belt: northern Syria - northern Iraq (with the support of the Kurds) - Iran - Turkmenistan and - everything will become quiet.
    1. andrew42 Offline andrew42
      andrew42 (Andrei) 24 March 2021 14: 04
      +1
      A good idea that suggests itself. But ... in Iraq, the Americans, and in eastern Syria too, and they sit tightly - the Yankees clearly understand that it is not the stolen oil that is important here, but the disruption of communications between Iran and Syria. Kurds are the key to solving the problem. We have to work with this. While the Kurdish leaders are under the Americans. We need to change these leaders. The Americans would have done so a long time ago - they have more than half a century of experience in such matters. So "Mr. Ricco" is in charge of the kitchen, and Russia is faced with the question "Well, what are you?"
  11. Petr Vladimirovich (Peter) 23 March 2021 13: 45
    0
    Russia prepares for revenge in Syria

    Turkey gets a new overland transport corridor

    Russian large landing ships will be able to transport tanks, other armored vehicles and artillery to help the Syrians, loading in Crimea

    President Bashar al-Assad punches himself in the chest

    sad sad sad
    With the most sincere respect to the author, P.V. drinks
    1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 24 March 2021 07: 00
      +1
      To be honest, I did not quite understand what you wanted to say with a selection of quotes taken out of context?
  12. The comment was deleted.
    1. The comment was deleted.
  13. Ragnarek Offline Ragnarek
    Ragnarek 25 March 2021 13: 00
    +1
    Revenge is if the Russian Federation lost something. And in this case, what is lost in order to prepare exactly a revenge, and not a planned operation
  14. Alexander Simakov (Alexander Simakov) 25 March 2021 15: 11
    +1
    Another option is also possible. In the event of an aggravation in the Donbas, prevent NATO ships from providing assistance to the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
  15. Tota Offline Tota
    Tota 26 March 2021 08: 28
    0
    I think we are flirting with them too much. No matter how it turns out to be some other problems for us
  16. A B B A Offline A B B A
    A B B A (Ivan Bellew) 26 March 2021 08: 45
    0
    I agree with the author on Varshavyanka. But why are there AMBANDING ships ?! All cargo (consumables for equipment) could be transferred to Syria as before - by transports through the Turkish straits, and before that - through Rostov-Taganrog or Taman. BDK are usually needed for the landing of troops. But in this case - whose and where ?!
    1. Alexander Markov (Alexander Markov) 20 May 2021 13: 55
      0
      Russian to Odessa.
  17. mjav Offline mjav
    mjav (Vasily Ackerman) 26 March 2021 19: 54
    +1
    Girls - why do you care about the deployment of ships ?? Russian CALIBERS have proven in practice - that from any corner of the planet the Earth will not give their fellows of offense
  18. Grid.Do Offline Grid.Do
    Grid.Do (Grid Do) 27 March 2021 11: 58
    +1
    author, no landing operations will save Syria in the event of a war with Turkey with a common land border. Erdogan, in his statements, sets aside a few days for Syria's annexation to Turkey and the destruction of Assad's army while blocking the forces of the IRGC and Hezbollah, so you should not look for amphibious operations where they cannot be, the flotilla that the Russian Navy is going to in the Black Sea is designed to solve confrontation between Russia and Ukraine, Turkey, NATO in Donbass and Crimea. Where can amphibious assault ships be used? yes, anywhere, from the landing of troops and blocking the actions of the Armed Forces in the rear, to supporting performances in Nikolaev, Odessa, Mariupol. Yes, of course, Erdogan has his own plans to revive the empire and struck a number of test strikes in Syria, Libya and Karabakh, and he will not give up pressure, including on the Muslim North Caucasus. and here, I agree with the author, the Ottomans will inflict a vector of offensive in the East, where they currently have the least form of resistance and the possibility of easy advancement. but I would not focus on Kazakhstan, now Erdogan is interested in gas from Turkmenistan, Azerbaijan and the North Caucasus. Realizing that Russia will not agree with such a position, Erdogan needs to fetter her with a conflict on the border of Russia itself. Donbass and Crimea are an ideal strike site, where the interests of Ukraine, Turkey, Russia and, in part, NATO countries wishing to teach Russia a lesson on the model of the war of 1856-7 converge. I would not be surprised if we learn about the impending concession of Crimea to Turkey in connection with old historical analogies, it is not for nothing that Erdogan promises full support to Ukraine in liberating the Crimean Tatars from Russia's oppression and restoring historical justice. I'm even ready to send my navy there. In any case, the events in the south of Russia are only a matter of time, and the Kremlin understands this. Moscow has hinted more than once that the outbreak of hostilities in Donbass will lead to the liquidation and dismemberment of Ukraine itself as a quasi-state with a population antagonistic to each other.
  19. Sergey Demin_2 Offline Sergey Demin_2
    Sergey Demin_2 (Sergey Dyomin) 28 March 2021 21: 15
    +1
    What kind of revenge does Russia have in Syria, what have we lost?
  20. Sergey Freeman Offline Sergey Freeman
    Sergey Freeman (Sergey Freeman) 29 March 2021 11: 14
    +1
    as if everything is true ... but I would not replicate thoughts about the confrontation between Turkey and Russia in the post-Soviet space for one reason ... Turkey is our neighbor and strategic partner in many issues. This is the first thing. Second, it is not necessary to overestimate the role for Russia of former neighbors in the USSR and the CSTO, such as Kazakhstan and others. In economic terms, let them go wherever they want, in geopolitical terms, yes, we care. Then the question is: what are our prospects for further cooperation with Turkey in the long term, Turkey's true interests in the region and Turkey's membership in NATO in the long term. We must clearly understand that Russia, developing Turkey and China are a serious fist, first of all, for a developing and expanding Turkey. I think that the Turks will reconsider their membership and role in NATO.
  21. Vladest Online Vladest
    Vladest (Vladimir) 31 March 2021 09: 49
    -2
    Revenge by someone else's hands. Or not the whole brunt of the fighting on the ground is borne by numerous military formations, both the Syrians themselves from the SAA and Iranian units and mercenaries from other Muslim countries.
    The problem is that the Russian Federation cannot openly strike at the Turkish Armed Forces in Idlib. And those, in turn, can use all their power in repelling the offensive by supporting their proxies.
  22. Nikolay Kvasov Offline Nikolay Kvasov
    Nikolay Kvasov (Nikolay Kvasov) April 8 2021 18: 00
    0
    For any you need to fuck someone, otherwise they will be perceived as a show-off. Who is more reluctant to fuck up, Turkomans or Americans in Syria?
  23. Vladimir Alekseevich (Vladimir) April 23 2021 14: 01
    0
    There is only one conclusion: you need to return to the USSR. Stop playing independent.
  24. maiman61 Offline maiman61
    maiman61 (Yuri) April 25 2021 17: 06
    0
    Do not dare to call the legitimate President of Syria "regime"! The Washington regime in America, the regime in the so-called European Union!
  25. andreypilot Offline andreypilot
    andreypilot (Andrei) 3 May 2021 19: 07
    0
    After the Crimea and Syria, it remains only to say that the General Staff is big, he knows better)) If they are sailing, then it is necessary!
  26. end Offline end
    end (Andrew) 4 May 2021 04: 42
    0
    Well, in Syria, yes, I agree. There is an ambush there. Syria is a diversion. Further we see a ring. As a result, the solution is simple, to squeeze out Alaska - check, and checkmate.
    And everything that is spinning in front of Ukraine, and so on, it's the whole ring. The boiler is roughly speaking, and it is urgent to expand in the other direction. Americans can even seduce China, and this will be their trump card. So Alaska needs to be seized.
  27. end Offline end
    end (Andrew) 4 May 2021 06: 03
    0
    Return Fort Ross!
    For 200 years, they just squandered the territory of the Russian Empire, but now everything needs to be returned back. Or tryndets.
  28. Valery Valeriev Offline Valery Valeriev
    Valery Valeriev (Valery Valeriev) 9 May 2021 15: 27
    0
    And how much more will you amuse the Internet rag-tag with this dregs?
  29. HOMUT1430 Offline HOMUT1430
    HOMUT1430 21 May 2021 18: 13
    0
    we are ready to fight !!! even with the whole world, even with aliens. mrk against cruisers and destroyers! - "How even theoretically can they withstand the cruisers and destroyers of the NATO bloc's missile defense?" , slow rocket, up to 8km.mrk, if 300 uranium is about the same. . at least from the satellite, at least to the anthem from the smartphone. :)))