Three scenarios of Russia's actions in the event of an offensive by the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Donbas


The escalation of the armed conflict in Donbass is growing. On the eve of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the positions of the People's Militia of the DPR in the villages of Shakhta im. Gagarin, Veseloe and Oktyabr. As a result, three were killed and one defender of the unrecognized republic was wounded. Return fire destroyed the position of the 58th brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, three Ukrainian servicemen were killed and four more were injured. Nobody wants war, but is it inevitable?


We are detailed about the reasons for the possible resumption of active hostilities in Donbas. told earlier. This is a request for an increase in the fallen ratings of President Volodymyr Zelensky among the jingo-patriotic public of Ukraine, and the coming to power in the United States of the Democratic Party, which in fact was the creator of the Maidan in 2014, and dizziness from the military successes of the alliance of Azerbaijan and Turkey in Nagorno-Karabakh. Perhaps it is worth adding to this one more important economic factor: Gazprom is firmly attached to Ukraine as a transit country for the next 4 years, and Washington and Brussels are obviously ready to do everything to make this dependence permanent and only intensify. Right now, when negotiations are underway on the future of the Nord Stream-2 gas pipeline, Kiev's hands are untied as much as possible, unlike Moscow. This factor will undoubtedly play its role in determining the strategy of the Kremlin's actions in the Ukrainian direction.

The fact is that without the active assistance of Russia, the DPR and LPR will not be able to withstand the onslaught of the Armed Forces of Ukraine for a long time. If Moscow simply closes the border and declares that what is happening there is a purely internal Ukrainian affair, the two republics will be doomed. The key question is how far the Russian leadership will be ready to go to defend Donetsk and Lugansk. Famous Ukrainian political emigrant Rostislav Ischenko In an interview On the YouTube channel, Solovyov-live suggested that in response to a large-scale offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the General Staff of the Russian Federation could respond by taking control of the entire Donbass within its original administrative boundaries, as well as go beyond its borders, “grabbing” new territories. How adequate is this assessment, let's reflect.

Expansion?


I would like to remind you that when asked about the possible actions of Russia in response to the Ukrainian offensive during the 2018 FIFA World Cup, President Putin answered as follows:

And if this happens, I think it will have very grave consequences for the Ukrainian statehood as a whole.

It sounds very significant and ominous, especially since Vladimir Vladimirovich did not bother to decipher what exactly he had in mind. Therefore, let us make the assumption that we could talk about a total military defeat of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and the elimination of Ukrainian statehood, if he himself left such a space for speculation. Is Russia able to defeat Independent and reach Kiev? Yes, only it will be quite expensive in all respects: large losses in manpower, combat technology, then there may be problems with partisanship, etc.

But the most important thing today is that the West will not calmly look at such a full-scale war. The law on the right to bring foreign troops into Independence has already been adopted, so the campaign against Kiev will most likely end with the introduction of a NATO contingent into the territory of Western, and then the entire Right-Bank Ukraine. Here everything will depend on the quickness of the RF Armed Forces and the actions of our Airborne Forces, that they will have time to be the first to take control. In fact, this means the section of the Independent. Will NATO move closer to the Russian borders or, on the contrary, move away from this, is a very controversial issue.

Now Russia is already head over heels in Western sanctions, and such active expansionist attempts on the part of the Kremlin will end with a new package of even tougher restrictive measures. It will be possible to forget about Nord Stream 2, in particular. Perhaps Kiev will even stop the transit of Russian gas through its territory, and prices in Europe will soar, to which American LNG producers will only applaud. The optimal time for such a scenario has already been missed; it would have been better to crank it in 2014-2015. In 2021, this can also be done, but the cost of the issue will be very high, especially if you do everything yourself, without local "proxies". Is the Kremlin ready for such an aggravation?

"Ossetian" scenario?


A repetition of the 2008 Olympic War scenario looks much more realistic. Let us remind you that then Russia responded to the Georgian aggression with direct military force, protecting its citizens living in South Ossetia and Abkhazia. Formally, now there are also grounds for this: after simplifying the procedure for providing a Russian passport, more than 400 thousand residents of Donbass managed to get it. If the Armed Forces of Ukraine launch a large-scale offensive against the DPR and LPR and our fellow citizens begin to die, the RF Ministry of Defense will be obliged to intervene.

True, there is one "but". The Russian peacekeepers who were attacked by the Georgian military were in South Ossetia at that time on the basis of an international mandate. In Donbass, if there is anyone, it is only in the unofficial status of "vacationers", as well as volunteers. Also, the aggression from Georgia then forced Moscow to recognize the independence of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Will she do it today in the above scenario? The likelihood that the Kremlin will apply the 2021 recipes in 2008 "by tracing paper" can be estimated 50% by 50%.

"By yourself, all by yourself"?


Let us recall that the principled position of the Russian leadership is that it "respects" the choice of Donbass residents in the issue of self-determination of the DPR and LPR, but does not recognize their independence. Especially for the adherents of the idea of ​​Greater Novorossia, President Putin personally stressed:

You said that some (Ukrainian) official said that Kramatorsk is not Ukraine. He's a complete idiot. A person not only does not fulfill his duty, but also commits a crime against his own country, as if cutting off part of the territory from it. Who authorized him? Complete nonsense.

The end result of the Minsk agreements should not be independence, but the return of Donbass to Ukraine on "special conditions." Within this policy there is simply no point in using military force to go beyond the borders of the current DPR and LPR. All that Donetsk and Lugansk can really count on in the event of a full-scale offensive by the Ukrainian Armed Forces is assistance with weapons, ammunition and fuel and lubricants, the dispatch of Russian volunteers and "vacationers" to carry out special operations. The main task in this context: without participating directly, so as not to fall into the next package of Western sanctions, not to allow the DPR and LPR to be defeated by military force, trying to persuade Kiev to its own version of their return to Ukraine.

In the end, it turns out that without a radical change in the Kremlin's approaches to Ukrainian issues, one should not count on some kind of military miracle in the Donbass.
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  1. Alsur Online Alsur
    Alsur (Alexey) 6 March 2021 12: 17
    +5
    Now Russia is already head over heels in Western sanctions, and such active expansionist attempts on the part of the Kremlin will end with a new package of even tougher restrictive measures. It will be possible to forget about Nord Stream 2, in particular.

    A strange formulation for a Russian author, it corresponds to an external opinion in relation to Russia. The Kremlin is Russia. Even if the opposition came to power and Navalny became president and whatever policy he pursues, the Kremlin would not be separated from the concept of Russia anyway. The White House and the USA do not speak separately, it is identical.
    The author, if you are not from Russia, you must indicate this in the article. You have the right to speak out, but the reader should not be misled that you are Russian.
    1. Piramidon Offline Piramidon
      Piramidon (Stepan) 8 March 2021 19: 44
      +1
      Quote: ALSur
      The Kremlin is Russia

      This in this context means that the Kremlin is the leadership of Russia. Just as the US leadership is meant under the name "White House"
  2. Valentine Offline Valentine
    Valentine (Valentin) 6 March 2021 13: 44
    +1
    At the present time, and in the boundless future, Ukraine is now the worst enemy on our borders for us, and for us, in order to save our army from great losses, we should choose the tactics of the United States, which they used in August 1945, when they dropped their atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki at a time when Japan was already defeated. Wipe Lviv and Ivano-Frankivsk off the face of the earth, and all of Europe will subside from our barbarism, but war is war, and the Americans quite deliberately dropped the "kid" and "fat man" on the peaceful Japanese cities, but in our case neither Europe nor America and they won't lift a finger to give us a similar answer - it will be more expensive for themselves ..... This is just a hypothetical scenario, just as our Ukrainian neighbors call it all over the world, about the imminent bombardment and seizure of Moscow, Krasnodar Territory, Rostov Region and etc. Ukraine has been ringing about this for many years, and this is a direct and obvious threat to the security of our country and its people, so there is nothing to lisp about, but concrete, tough and decisive steps must be taken, because if Washington in fact, he is ready to fight with us, then he would have done this immediately, otherwise he will incite his petty lackeys, such as Georgia, Ukraine and the Baltic states, against us, but if they are defeated, no one will stand up for them.
    1. Anatoly Anistratov (Anatoly Anistratov) 11 March 2021 12: 18
      0
      I agree with the author of the comet. The beat is neat, but painful.
  3. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 6 March 2021 13: 50
    -7
    All that Donetsk and Lugansk can really count on in the event of a full-scale offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is assistance with weapons, ammunition and fuel and lubricants, the dispatch of Russian volunteers

    Most likely, it will be so. If Putin wanted expansion, this would have happened long ago. There are a lot of ways, including a referendum, and mind you peacefully! And this is water for the Crimea, and the Ukrainian GTS, and ports, and fertile lands, etc. The trouble is that our government is lazy and thieves. For 30 years they cannot give their people a better life, nothing has been built, everything is not being stolen, and you want to rebuild Ukraine later.
    "" By yourself, all by yourself "!!!"
    1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
      Just a cat (Bayun) 6 March 2021 16: 37
      +8
      Change the mantra! nothing was built for him ...
      1. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
        steelmaker 7 March 2021 12: 46
        -2
        Change the mantra itself! Builder of palaces, yachts and high fences!
        1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
          Just a cat (Bayun) 7 March 2021 13: 23
          0

          Here's my personal palace, next to it there is a "yacht" and a high fence.
    2. Ulysses Offline Ulysses
      Ulysses (Alexey) 7 March 2021 00: 18
      +3
      nothing is built, everything is not stolen,

      It's hard for you with multiband internet.
      My sympathy .. crying
      1. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
        steelmaker 7 March 2021 12: 54
        0
        It's hard for you with multiband internet

        Here the bourgeoisie and their greed backfired. And how good is it to steal and that no one knows about it? The Chinese have built their Internet and control their country. And our authorities are only sharpened for theft, but here we have to build! So let me now drink a full spoon! The truth will be told and shown!
        1. Ulysses Offline Ulysses
          Ulysses (Alexey) 7 March 2021 14: 29
          +3
          Here the bourgeoisie and their greed backfired. And how good is it to steal and that no one knows about it? The Chinese have built their Internet and control their country. And our authorities are only sharpened for theft, but here we have to build! So let me now drink a full spoon! The truth will be told and shown!

          Excuse me, where and with whom were you in August 1991 ?? repeat
    3. Moskal 55 Offline Moskal 55
      Moskal 55 7 March 2021 14: 49
      0
      Something has been built, for example the Crimean bridge. Something with weapons is moving. Are they stealing? How does it compare to voucher privatization? Then we destroyed our own USSR, the miners knocked on their helmets and most of the steelworkers supported them! And now we are throwing comments, as if they had flown in from the moon, and not Yeltsin was also chosen in 96. Now the USSR is gone, the train has left and the rails are dismantled. They did everything to merge with the West. Europe to Vladivostok! Now it seems to be unfolding. Slowly, awkwardly, one step forward and two steps back ... And the LDNR? And they need help, the simplest thing for steelmakers is loot. Where to list - you will find! And then how to destroy your country and change socialism for capitalism - so much so, but how now to disentangle - so everyone is to blame!
      1. andrew42 Offline andrew42
        andrew42 (Andrei) 9 March 2021 12: 36
        0
        USSR then we destroyed our own

        - what kind of naphthalene mantras from "Zhvanetsky"? Yeah, cleaning lady Klava and locksmith Vasya ruined the Union! - Find them and make them repent? - And let Gorby live in Germany as an honorary German.
  4. Rinat Offline Rinat
    Rinat (Rinat) 6 March 2021 16: 20
    +7
    Author's conclusion:

    All that Donetsk and Lugansk can really count on in the event of a full-scale offensive by the Ukrainian Armed Forces is assistance with weapons, ammunition and fuel and lubricants, the dispatch of Russian volunteers and "vacationers" to carry out special operations.

    - does not fit in any way with the statement of V.V. Putin cited by him about the loss of statehood of Ukraine in the event of a full-scale offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
    Vladimir Putin usually does not throw words to the wind, unlike Sergei Marzhetsky. Dear and thinking readers, what do you think, whose word in this example is more significant. Vladimir Putin or some Marzhetsky?
    I think this time the defeat of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be very fast and the Russian army will play an important role in that. And I agree with Marzhetsky that our relations with the West will worsen even more,
    1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
      Just a cat (Bayun) 6 March 2021 16: 49
      +4
      It is possible to "reconcile" Ukrainians without "liberating" Kiev (Tbilisi was not liberated) ... Putin seemed to be hinting at the emergence of new hot spots. the same ragulie will secede with pleasure towards Poland.
      1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
        Marzhecki (Sergei) 7 March 2021 08: 10
        +3
        Quote: Just Cat
        It is possible to "reconcile" the Ukrainians without the "liberation" of Kiev (Tbilisi was not liberated) ...

        Yeah, and they didn't release it in vain. Because now Georgia is an irreconcilable enemy of Russia, which is going to NATO.
        Real reconciliation is possible only after Ukraine signs an act of surrender, recognition of Crimea as Russian, etc.
        1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
          Just a cat (Bayun) 7 March 2021 11: 40
          +2
          Tell this to Sheremetyev, whom grateful Ukrainians sent as a slave to Turkey for their help in liberation from Poland. And somehow do not care about poverty-stricken Georgia. except wine with urine and tangerine they have nothing to offer. the history of Ukrainians is an eternal story of betrayal and shed Russian blood.
      2. Anatoly Anistratov (Anatoly Anistratov) 11 March 2021 12: 22
        0
        It would be nice if Poland has its own scores for the Banderaites.
    2. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 7 March 2021 07: 44
      0
      Vladimir Putin usually does not throw words to the wind, unlike Sergei Marzhetsky. Dear and thinking readers, what do you think, whose word in this example is more significant. Vladimir Putin or some Marzhetsky?

      Well yes. I promised and promised about raising the retirement age.
      I throw these words into the wind, that's right. hi
      1. isofat Online isofat
        isofat (isofat) 7 March 2021 13: 07
        -1
        Quote: Marzhetsky
        Well yes. I promised and promised about raising the retirement age.

        Marzhecki, about the retirement age should be a separate topic to start. Vladimir Vladimirovich is not the kind of person who makes unfounded promises.

        So there was someone he trusted and he was let down. The degree of responsibility in this case must still be determined, after analyzing what happened.

        Our liberal government does not bear any responsibility and is not responsible for anything?
    3. Natan bruk Offline Natan bruk
      Natan bruk (Natan Bruk) 7 March 2021 12: 38
      -3
      Putin throws them to the wind all the time. He has already promised you a lot of things. List?
  5. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 6 March 2021 16: 41
    -3
    Spring has come, and everyone again, as before the crown, recorded the imminent offensive ...
    to NG, everyone will calm down, and quietly calculate the losses and fees of "experts" ...
  6. Maxim Starikov Offline Maxim Starikov
    Maxim Starikov (Georgy Novikov) 6 March 2021 16: 50
    +4
    How many homebrew experts. Life has shown that Putin makes and prepares decisions long before their implementation is needed. And in 90% of cases they come as a surprise to politicians and political scientists, I'm not even talking about amateur profane people. If you are already playing strategists here, I can immediately suggest the fourth option. A powerful strike by the Russian Aerospace Forces on the second echelon and infrastructure of the Armed Forces of Ukraine prepared in advance. Just leave scorched earth and steaming meat. Demoralized by such a turnover, the attacking military units of the LPR and DPR can easily cope with it, especially when they lose contact due to the actions of Russian means of suppression. To clear the sky from the miserable inclinations of the so-called lumps. Ukrainian aviation is also not a question. Of course the howl of the west will rise But here our violations are against violations of Ukraine. As in Georgia. The International Commission, after a year of work, recognizes the obvious for all, the Ukrainians violated the first. There will of course be demagoguery, lumbering accusations, but Europe will not agree to a total rupture. The cessation of Russian gas supplies will hit them very painfully, because the American one is not just much more expensive, the Americans are now simply not able to compensate even half of these supplies. Especially after Biden's actions. The Germans directly write that the Americans are against Russian supplies, but they are completely unprepared and do not even promise to replace them. This is force majeure for the population and a blow to the economy. It is not for nothing that Germany, which has always stood at attention at any direction from the United States, is holding on so unwaveringly. According to some Western economists, it can cost it up to 1% of its gross domestic product, which is a monstrous amount in the current situation.
    1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 7 March 2021 07: 45
      -3
      How many homebrew experts. Life has shown that Putin makes and prepares decisions long before their implementation is needed.

      Can I have 2-3 specific examples?
    2. Natan bruk Offline Natan bruk
      Natan bruk (Natan Bruk) 11 March 2021 17: 11
      -3
      Another sofa strategist was dreaming :)))
  7. GRF Offline GRF
    GRF 6 March 2021 17: 26
    +4
    It means that there will be partisans against us, but against the Ukronazis, there will be none.
    The wrong side of the world pretends to be the front side.
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  9. dmitri_ovchinmail.ru (DO) 6 March 2021 21: 23
    +5
    A hypothetical military provocation by Ukraine against the Donbass republics, in which many residents have Russian passports, will untie Russia's hands - first of all, to solve long-standing and extremely acute problems:
    - to establish the land connection of Russia with the Crimea and Transnistria;
    - restore the water supply to Crimea from the Dnieper.
    As for the fulfillment of other tasks desirable for Russia, such as control of the entire gas pipeline, the author correctly said "everything will depend on the promptness of the RF Armed Forces."
    1. Larisa Larisa Offline Larisa Larisa
      Larisa Larisa (Larisa Larisa) 7 March 2021 00: 47
      +2
      And why have not your hands been untied in seven years? !!!
  10. Oleg Burman Offline Oleg Burman
    Oleg Burman (Oleg Burman) 6 March 2021 22: 25
    +4
    Force Kiev to comply with the Minsk agreements. To do this, stop trading with them: oil products, fuel rods, coal, etc. not to pay for gas transit this year, a debt of 3 billion for them from 2013. To warn Europe that it would not twitch, about any kind of revenge for 1945 there will be no.
    1. Larisa Larisa Offline Larisa Larisa
      Larisa Larisa (Larisa Larisa) 7 March 2021 00: 45
      +3
      And you ask the people of Donbass, on what they turned your "Minsk agreements" ?! According to your agreements, the Ukrainians must enter the Donbass with the closure of the borders, with Russia! You don’t live here, so don’t talk nonsense !!!
      1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
        Just a cat (Bayun) 7 March 2021 04: 45
        -2
        You are already running with pleasure to the Ukrainian "grandmothers" ... At the same time, turn the European agreements over a cup of vodka with bacon.
      2. Dear sofa expert. 7 March 2021 14: 57
        +2
        According to your agreements, the Ukrainians must enter the Donbass with the closure of the borders, with Russia!

        Yes, but only after the elections in Donbass, and the granting of a special status to Donbass, enshrined in the Constitution of Ukraine, that is, the adoption of permanent legislation on the special status of these territories, which will mean the decentralization of the country.

        The region's pro-Russian attitude, in turn, will bring down the main ideological structure of today's Kiev, which is based on "Russian aggression" and will interfere with pursuing policies in the interests of the United States.

        And the very side of the Ukrainian "curators" is quite satisfied with the presence of a hot spot near the Russian border.

        So you can be "calm" - the Minsk agreements are a priori and practically impracticable.)
  11. pol_pol Offline pol_pol
    pol_pol (Vladimir Nikolayevich) 6 March 2021 22: 39
    +4
    We must clearly imagine that Western Europeans, whose mentality is formed on the genetic matrix R1b, are our primordial enemies for about 5000 years.
    Our mentality is formed on the genetic matrix of R1a1 and the aboriginal population of Europe I2a, i2c, the community with which was formed as a counterbalance to the expansion of R1b to the east and as an alliance against the destruction of the local population of Western Europe I2a, i2c, by aliens.
    This community was later joined by carriers of the N3000a3500 genetic matrix, about 1-1 ago.
    On the genetic basis of this community, where people with the R1a1 genetic matrix and on this basis dominated both culturally and numerically, the Slavs and Slavic peoples arose later.
    It should be borne in mind that the genetic matrix R1b was formed by mutation from people R1 about 22 years ago in southern Siberia, in the vicinity of Lake. Baikal.
    In the same place, but a little earlier, about 24 years ago, also through a mutation from R000, R1a appeared.
    And in this respect, R1a and R1b are brothers.
    In turn, R1a1 appeared as a result of a mutation from R1a already on the Russian Plain, where they moved to live from South Siberia. They are already sort of nephews of R1b. This happened about 4500 years ago.
    But the paths R1a and R1b since the departure from South Siberia to the west have diverged for millennia to meet as enemies in Europe about 5000 years ago.

    How did this happen?
    From the southern Urals, R1b went further south and skirting the Caucasus along the shores of the Caspian and Black Seas through the Asia Minor Peninsula, the Mediterranean coast again went west and already through Gibraltar ended up in western Europe.
    There they almost completely destroyed the local residents with the I2a, i2c matrix, except for those who fled under the protection of R1a (R1a1) in the east or hid in the mountains of Scotland and the Balkan Peninsula.
    This period is called the "European genocide" in archeology.
    Part of R1b left North Africa to the south and settled around Lake Chad. They became negroes in appearance, tk. used to continue a kind of local women. And so these blacks are also R1b, like Western Europeans.
    At the same time, some of the R1b seized power in Egypt and the Egyptian pharaohs and the nobility of the ancient Egyptian kingdoms also R1b

    People with the R1a matrix from the South Urals left for the Volga and settled on the Russian Plain, gradually continuing their expansion to the west.
    From here already R1a1 migrated to Wed. Asia and there these are the current Kyrgyz, then Afghanistan, Pakistan, India. In India they became known as the Aryans and formed the castes of Brahmins (priests) and Kshatriyas (warriors). In these castes, the R1a1 matrix is ​​over 70 percent.
    Accordingly, the Kyrgyz R1a1 also became Mongoloids, because took inherited from the local population of women, almost completely killing men.
    In India, in the higher castes, it was forbidden, on pain of death, to give birth to children from men of the lower castes and to marry women from there, therefore, representatives of the higher castes in India have a European look.

    In general, our mentality and consciousness
    To conquer, annex, include the nobility of the conquered in their own, exploit the local population, but not make them slaves, raise the locals to their level and make allies.

    Consciousness and mentality of Western Europeans
    To conquer, annex, make the local population slaves who did not obey to kill, and if someone from the local remains, then neither he nor his descendants will be considered equal by Western Europeans. For them, these are second-class people.
    The most striking expression of this mentality and self-awareness of Western Europeans is the ideology of Nazism in Germany.

    Western Europeans only understand strength.
    Our behavior is similar to the behavior of Leopold the cat from the popular cartoon: - "Let's live together" and this is perceived by Western Europeans as weakness.
    Therefore, they must be beaten, beaten, beaten everywhere. To feel strong.

    And so we lose. Although after the Second World War, the border of confrontation in Europe between people with the R1b genetic matrix and the states they created with R1a1 people was restored to the line that was established almost 4500 years ago. Along the borders of the Eastern Bloc states.

    And this confrontation will never end. Everyone needs a food base for their offspring and to fulfill the first commandment that God gave to man immediately after creation: - "Be fruitful and multiply, and inhabit the earth ....." Genesis 1.28
    Wars are inevitable. The call "Let's live together" is unfulfilled.
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  13. Larisa Larisa Offline Larisa Larisa
    Larisa Larisa (Larisa Larisa) 7 March 2021 00: 37
    0
    Donbass will endlessly beat, and Russia will endlessly build its "streams"!
    1. Just a cat Offline Just a cat
      Just a cat (Bayun) 7 March 2021 05: 18
      +1
      how to blow up an echelon with ukrami so there are brothers Ukrainians, but how to get a passport so already Russians ... they will not beat endlessly, but it hurts until hochlism comes out.
  14. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 7 March 2021 07: 38
    +3
    Quote: ALSur
    A strange formulation for a Russian author, it corresponds to an external opinion in relation to Russia. The Kremlin is Russia. Even if the opposition came to power and Navalny became president and whatever policy he pursues, the Kremlin would not be separated from the concept of Russia anyway. The White House and the USA do not speak separately, it is identical.

    Also, as they say, separated by commas to avoid repetition. "Russia, Russia, Russia, Russia .." It is then that it is identical. Similarly, we write: PRC, China, Beijing, China, etc., meaning the same thing. Don't teach me to desire my job in which you don't understand anything, okay?

    The author, if you are not from Russia, you must indicate this in the article. You have the right to speak out, but the reader should not be misled that you are Russian.

    First, what are the other requirements for indicating the place of residence of the author? From what article? And what exactly can the place of residence affect? Smart and stupid people live both in Russia and abroad. Maybe we will go straight to measuring the shape of the skull without unnecessary conventions, and the right to write articles about Russia will only be trusted by true Russians?
    Secondly, personally, I am a citizen of the Russian Federation from birth and have lived in the Urals all my life.
  15. Jacques sekavar Offline Jacques sekavar
    Jacques sekavar (Jacques Sekavar) 7 March 2021 09: 34
    +3
    A request for war - to involve the Russian Federation in a civil war in Ukraine in order to make the Russian Federation an unconditional world outcast, lead to a powerful anti-Russian consolidation and an absolute blockade, test its military potential, the ability to defend itself against the outbreak of terrorism and an internal fifth column.
    The ideal scenario for the West is, with active Western support, the most destructive and bloody war that can inflict irreparable economic damage to the Russian Federation, split society and destabilize the internal situation in the Russian Federation, lead to a change of power, civil war and the collapse of the state, thus getting rid of one of the two main strategic enemies and along the way and stimulate their potential at the expense of resources, scientific and technological achievements, the supply of weapons to Ukraine.
  16. Sergey Pedenko Offline Sergey Pedenko
    Sergey Pedenko (Sergey Pedenko) 7 March 2021 15: 59
    0
    wherever you throw-everywhere a wedge-for Russia /
  17. A good one Offline A good one
    A good one (Viktorovich) 7 March 2021 16: 06
    0
    Again, the opus of Alya, whoa, whoa, whoa, what a new joy, you decided to convey, the whole zen prints this miracle, not the first week. Have you decided to surpass everyone? There is no plagiarism, we get information from one well. winked
  18. oderih Offline oderih
    oderih (Alex) 7 March 2021 20: 04
    +3
    Morzhetsky: Enough to teach us politely afraid of Europe and the United States. Russia is already a self-sufficient country. Scripts from the humanities will not be accepted here. Believe me. They are. But this is not a topic of discussion. For information is zero.
    1. Levaksinyak Sinyak (Levaksinyak Sinyak) 8 March 2021 18: 02
      0
      Economically, Russia is by no means a self-sufficient country. We produce little and sell a lot of raw materials. What kind of self-sufficiency are we talking about?
  19. burgamistr Offline burgamistr
    burgamistr 7 March 2021 20: 45
    0
    Already tired of writing about the fact that Russia itself has become a hostage of its pipes! Half of the Russian Federation is not supplied with gas! Make gas available to your citizens and receive no less income, including from new enterprises, from the development of territories. Here you need a strong-willed decision and a desire to plan for a long time. Gazprom's people will never get drunk, and they need money now, immediately! And the tasks of the state are completely different ...
    And so they have lost the right to speak, they are afraid to open their mouths. For 7 years people have been dying in Donbass, but you can't interfere - the pipe will be closed! You cannot raise your voice to the Sultan - the trumpet interferes!
    So what did these pipes give? Almost complete loss of subjectivity at the international level. And that's it ...
    1. Alexander Tsallagov 7 March 2021 23: 22
      +2
      How long can stamps be repeated? What non-gasified half of Russia are you writing about? By territory or by number of households?
      1. Levaksinyak Sinyak (Levaksinyak Sinyak) 8 March 2021 18: 04
        -1
        According to Gazprom, 60% is only gasified. And this is in a country that trades gas all over the world. Is this normal in your opinion?
        1. House 25 Sq. 380 (House 25 Sq. 380) 10 March 2021 12: 45
          +1
          What year is this outdated data?
  20. Alexander Tsallagov 7 March 2021 23: 20
    +1
    Most likely there will be an option, which is known only to the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces and the Supreme Commander-in-Chief.
  21. Radziminsky Victor (Radziminsky Victor) 8 March 2021 01: 08
    -4
    The problem for the Russian authorities is that in the event of a proven participation of Russia in hostilities in the Donbass, BOTH Nord Streams will be blocked. The US-Britain needs the maximum weakening of both Russia and Germany-EU. The Nord Stream is a trap for Russia. Donbass is a trap for Russia. The United States and Britain are playing their win-win game - "Project Ukraine." Nobody is interested in the life of Ukrainians. "Project Ukraine" blows up the situation in Russia - millions of Ukrainians inside, and weakens, subjugates Germany-EU.
    The Russian leadership needed to think and act BEFORE! - when a pro-NATO, warring Ukraine was grown from Ukraine. Russia will have to act, but all the consequences are dire.
    1. Vladimir Sharp Offline Vladimir Sharp
      Vladimir Sharp (Vladimir) 8 March 2021 23: 14
      +1
      ... BOTH Nord Streams will be blocked ...

      - end of quotation.
      yes, yes ... and where will the europidores be taken from? aaaa. :) at pin *** s ...
      at an exorbitant price ...
      they don't look like idiots ...
      1. Radziminsky Victor (Radziminsky Victor) 9 March 2021 18: 15
        0
        The fact is, unfortunately, that by blocking the Nord Streams, no one will ask Germany-EU
        will not. In the event of Russian military action in Donbass, the main will be "the great goals of NATO."
        And this is the maximum damage to Russia. Why did Britain leave the EU? The US-Britain needs to weaken and completely subjugate Germany-EU. That is why they need "Project Ukraine".
  22. Alisher Alievich IbragimoFF (Alisher Alievich IbragimoFF) 8 March 2021 07: 57
    +2
    Now Russia is already head over heels in Western sanctions.)))))) Author, what are the sanctions? They are not. PendoSSy punish their businessmen and their sixes for contacts with Russia .... That's all))))
  23. Herman 4223 Offline Herman 4223
    Herman 4223 (Alexander) 8 March 2021 11: 35
    +1
    There is only one legal way to stop this conflict. Declare the illegal secession of the republics from the USSR (and it was illegal).
    And on this basis, return any territories. In this case, Ukraine itself turns into an illegal separatist entity where we will have the right to restore order.
  24. Vladimir Sharp Offline Vladimir Sharp
    Vladimir Sharp (Vladimir) 8 March 2021 23: 09
    +1
    some kind of rogue analysis.
  25. Sabinur86 Offline Sabinur86
    Sabinur86 (Ilnyr Sabirow) 9 March 2021 06: 46
    0
    In my opinion, Ishchenko, in his analysis, on the contrary, warned of many disadvantages of the deep entry of the LPNR army into the territory of Ukraine and, if anything, suggested limiting itself to reaching the geographical borders of the Luhansk and Donetsk regions, and fixing on them ...
  26. The comment was deleted.
  27. Anatoly Afonin Offline Anatoly Afonin
    Anatoly Afonin (Anatoly Afonin) 9 March 2021 15: 27
    +1
    The Kremlin has already written the scenario for Ukraine and there is no need to guess here how Russia will behave, but in the trouble of compatriots it will not leave it for sure.
  28. Anatoly Anistratov (Anatoly Anistratov) 11 March 2021 12: 26
    +1
    Only by tough and decisive measures. Russia must free Ukraine from the Bandera government. The forest brothers will run to Galicia, which must be given to the Poles. Poles with Bandera will quickly figure it out and everyone will be fine. And the Americans will wipe out the snot and roll off, they cannot afford to fight with Russia, the Yankees also want to live.
  29. Lev Dubikovsky_2 (Lev Dubikovsky) 11 March 2021 14: 26
    0
    scenarios can be any, but the result must be one .... not repeat the mistakes of the communists in the fight against Bandera.