Why does the Kremlin support the Kiev regime

19

В previous article I told why the United States broke into Ukraine in 2014, financing a coup d'etat there, and explained why neither Putin nor Ukraine itself had a single chance to escape. In this text I will finish what I started and outline what shines for Ukraine and Russia with the advent of the new / old US administration and why Putin is feeding the Kiev regime.

Ukrainian shale


In addition to the Ukrainian gas pipe as an element of pressure on the EU (which I talked about in the previous text), the United States also had its own selfish interest. There, it was quite rightly assumed to discover the presence of industrial reserves of shale gas in Ukraine. On the eve of the Maidan, two foreign companies entered in search of it. British-Dutch Shell has begun exploration drilling at the Yuzovskoye field with an area of ​​7 square kilometers with a projected capacity of 886 trillion cubic meters of shale gas. In November 4, she drilled two exploration wells, but was unable to conduct a full exploration of the field due to the hostilities in the Donbass (at least here Putin broke off their buzz).



Another, the Olesko field of 6 324 square kilometers, located in western Ukraine in the Lvov and Ivano-Frankivsk regions, its reserves were estimated at 3-3,5 trillion cubic meters of gas. The American company Chevron entered geological exploration and production of gas at this field, planning to invest more than $ 10 billion there. In November 2013, for this purpose, it signed an agreement with the Ukrainian company Nadra Oleskaya. However, in December 2014, Chevron suddenly decided to leave Ukraine, finally closing its office in 2015. The reason is banal, the cost of shale gas production in Ukraine turned out to be much higher than the cost of natural gas production in the traditional way. This is supported by the withdrawal of Chevron not only from Ukrainian, but also from Polish projects for the exploration of shale gas fields. Its production becomes profitable only at a gas price of $ 265-350. But the United States continues to work in this direction. If they manage to implement their plan to zero the transit of Russian gas to the EU, then the gas price will even exceed this level, and they will still return to their Ukrainian and Polish projects.

The shale boom in the United States itself was due to a cheaper method of its production (by hydraulic fracturing) compared to Ukrainian gas, which was located in hard-to-recover rocks, where such a method was not possible. The cost of drilling wells in Texas (USA), for example, was $ 3,5 million, in contrast to the Ukrainian one, where it reaches $ 15 million. Despite the fact that the Ukrainian resource base is many times larger than the American one, well productivity is only 1/10 of the US average, which puts an end to it for now.

Damn Trump


However, the forward movement of the United States towards its world domination, which I described earlier, was unexpectedly suspended in 2016. And it was not Vladimir Putin who did it at all, and not even Comrade. Si, and upstart Trump, who won the 2016 presidential election, unexpectedly outstripping the evil old woman Shapoklyak, who was already resting on her laurels (sorry, Clinton). It was a blow in the stomach! The world globalist behind-the-scenes did not expect such a thing. And where? In my fiefdom - in the United States of America. After that black times began there.

The isolationist Republican Trump was diametrically opposed to the globalist Democrats. He did not fight for world domination, he tried to create a self-sufficient closed market in America. Not to expand in breadth, capturing new sales markets, as his opponents Obama and Clinton wanted, but to focus on the US domestic market, encouraging domestic producers and displacing foreign ones with high tariffs and trade wars. To do this, he printed out the internal reserves of hydrocarbons, lifting the ban on their export, which had existed since the 70s of the last century, after which the United States in one fell swoop turned from a net importer into a large net exporter, displacing such seasoned players as Saudi Arabia in this field. and RF (for oil), and Qatar and RF (for gas). In addition, he began to destroy and withdraw from all agreements on Transatlantic and Trans-Asian cooperation signed and cherished by Obama, turning to dust all the achievements of his predecessors in conquering new and redistributing old global markets. And the globalists could no longer tolerate this. This led to such desperate resistance and doomed Trump to inevitable defeat in 2020, when the Democrats went for an outright forgery, trying, by all means, to remove the unwanted upstart from office.

Now, with the arrival of Biden's team, we are witnessing a democratic revenge and a return to policy Obama sample 2014. What will this result in? Rollback on all fronts. With regard to Ukraine, the United States will not loosen its grip, it will continue to destroy it the economydriving them into debt through the IMF, deliberately reducing the load on the soil through accelerated natural population decline (due to increased mortality due to insufficient and expensive medical care), as well as by washing out the working-age population abroad. So that when, after the Nth number of years, this territory still gets to Russia, so that there will be scorched earth (in the literal and figurative sense of the word) with 10-15 million of the remaining population (and the agrarian power does not need more). The Americans are likely to privatize the Ukrainian pipe as a national treasure in order to further influence Europe by creating a consortium of owners with the participation of Germany, the United States and representatives of the banana republic. I do not expect an escalation of hostilities until the native administration has fulfilled all that was entrusted to it, so the Biden administration will not risk the expected defeat in the war with the Russian Federation. Most likely, this will become possible closer to 2024. Then this stillborn corpse will be transferred to the balance of the Russian Federation, imposing sanctions on the Russian Federation for this. But is it necessary for the Russian Federation itself and what should the Kremlin do in this situation?

Outsider tips


I do not presume to give advice to Vladimir Vladimirovich, but it is worth remembering the era of the USSR. To create a self-sufficient closed-cycle market in the Russian Federation, Russia has everything except the human factor - for this it needs to accumulate a population of at least 300 million people on its territory. At the moment, there are only 145 million, where to get the missing 150? That's right, try to return the former Soviet republics, and maybe even the former socialists, to the orbit of their economic interests and their economic influence. countries (which may well become possible as the EU weakens).

Most likely, it is this factor that explains for many the Kremlin's incomprehensible behavior in supporting the Kiev regime by supplying it with electricity, coal, gas, diesel fuel and other import items that are critical for the existence of the country and its population. The Kremlin is not interested in creating a European version of Somalia on its southern borders, with the inevitable population creep in this case. Moscow still hopes to expand its market cluster at the expense of him and at the expense of other former republics. Although, given what cyclopean difficulties in this direction we are experiencing even with brotherly Belarus, the task may turn out to be unsolvable (or solvable, but only in the very distant future, they can only be pushed to this by a common EU member as the globalists' plans move towards world domination) ...

Also, the Russian Federation needs to make the most of its geographical position as a bridge between East and West, not only overland, as part of the Chinese New Silk Road project, but also sea, as it masters year-round navigation along the Northern Sea Route. The Tokyo-Moscow-Berlin axis is Washington's nightmare, an alliance of continental powers (although Japan is considered a maritime one), which will lead to the collapse of the entire concept of the post-war world order, which assumed the vassal dependence of the countries that lost in World War II (Japan and Germany) on the United States by creating on their territory of American military bases. That is why the States lay down with bones under the SP-2, in order to prevent the FRG not only from gaining energy independence from the pro-American gas gaskets (Ukraine and Poland), but also to avoid a potential German-Russian continental alliance (this is a nightmare not only for the United States, but also for Britain with from time immemorial, all wars between Russia and Prussia were inspired by the Anglo-Saxons).

By the way, back in 2009 (after the famous gas war between Kiev and Moscow), the States already tried to squeeze out Russian pipeline gas from the European market by laying the Qatar-EU gas pipeline through the territory of Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Syria, Turkey, and then joining the Nabucco gas pipeline ". Qatar, for a second, has, along with Iran, the largest proven gas reserves in the world. You know how Bashar al-Assad ended, who was faithful to his allied obligations to the Russian Federation and did not allow the pipeline to be laid through his territory. In 2011, the States, with the hands of their Middle Eastern vassals, unleashed a war against him, and now you understand why the Russian Federation has been fighting there since 2015. If you think that for Assad, then you are deeply mistaken, the Russian Federation is fighting there for itself and its economic interests.

This concludes the review. I think there will be no more questions after him. People die not for metal, but for transit. Logistics is everything! I hope the Kremlin will take into account my wishes.
19 comments
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  1. +2
    2 March 2021 07: 42
    Why haven't China and India created a self-sufficient market? And Russia is simply obliged to shelter another 150 million of those who eat more than they produce ...
    1. 0
      3 March 2021 09: 01
      Why haven't China and India created a self-sufficient market?

      Maybe because these hundreds of millions should be not just rogues, but solvent consumers?
      For some reason, the author kept silent about this nuance.
      1. -1
        3 March 2021 17: 00
        I didn’t say anything. It's just that this was discussed in the first part of the article - https://topcor.ru/1-vojny-za-tranzit-pochemu-ukraina-byla-obrechena-iznachalno.html

        The rest of the Gulf countries, rich in natural resources, passed this cup (the cup that befell Syria, Libya and Iraq with Iran) only because they played and play by the rules that their overseas and European masters write for them, in whose plans absolutely does not include access to their resources of China rearing its head. And not at all out of harm and not out of principle, but only so that the one and a half billion China could not transfer the structure of its national economy to a closed cycle, after which the decrepit hegemon will finally lose the last possibilities of external influence on its politics and economy. This will happen when the quantitative and qualitative indicators of the PRC (in other words population size and purchasing power) will reach such figures that will create such a volume of domestic demand that will make this region of habitation self-sufficient. And China has already reached these figures (that's why we are seeing all this bedlam!).

        I did not explain this to a person who does not understand that the market is the place from which they feed, and not the one that is fed, I did not, but I answered you. India has yet to reach these numbers. But China, too, 15 years ago, in terms of the population's ability to pay, grazed the back, and there was a cheap slave power, now this is no longer the case, so TNCs move their production to Vietnam, Malaysia and Indonesia. If the Russian Federation wants to detach itself and not depend on the West, it will have to go the PRC's way, but this requires at least another 150 million of the solvent population.
  2. 123
    +2
    2 March 2021 08: 57
    If they succeed in realizing their plan to zero the transit of Russian gas to the EU, then the gas price will even exceed this level, and they will still return to their Ukrainian and Polish projects.

    The cost of drilling wells in Texas (USA), for example, was $ 3,5 million, in contrast to the Ukrainian one, where it reaches $ 15 million. Despite the fact that the Ukrainian resource base is many times larger than the American one, well productivity is only 1/10 of the US average, which puts an end to it for now.

    If the cost of drilling in Ukraine is 4,2 times more than in the United States, and the return is 10 times less, and this is in comparison with those wells themselves that could not stand the competition. There is not just a cross on the Ukrainian oil shale, it is concreted and the surroundings are sprinkled with salt so that nothing grows. Not any yet. No.

    But the United States continues to work in this direction. If they succeed in realizing their plan to zero the transit of Russian gas to the EU, then the gas price will even exceed this level, and they will still return to their Ukrainian and Polish projects.

    No zeroing. The plan has failed, and there are no signs of its successful implementation. Even if it were implemented, the Americans will not give the market to the Ukrainians and Poles, especially since their gas is cheaper.

    However, the forward movement of the United States towards its world domination, as I described earlier, was unexpectedly suspended in 2016. And it was not Vladimir Putin who did it at all, and not even Comrade. Si, and upstart Trump, who won the 2016 presidential election, unexpectedly outstripping the evil old woman Shapoklyak, who was already resting on her laurels (sorry, Clinton).

    This is not true. The United States did not go to any world domination in 2016. Trump's actions are due to the changed state of affairs in the global balance of power.

    The Americans are likely to privatize the Ukrainian pipe as a national treasure in order to further influence Europe by creating a consortium of owners with the participation of Germany, the United States and representatives of the banana republic.

    Will not work No. Russia will not agree to this, it is not just fighting for alternative transportation routes. If gas is taken from us at the border, we turn into a conditional Turkmenistan. There is gas, but the neighbors decide how much and for what they will sell it. To prevent such a situation, all the "streams" were built. All US plans to resist their construction are pouring in like houses of cards. And in these conditions, Russia will suddenly agree? belay Why exactly? What would be pleasant for partners? Yes, a "flagimitator" in their hands sad If Russia resists, will they? ... will they declare sanctions or will they say the magic word please?
  3. +2
    2 March 2021 10: 42
    Ukraine is not supported by a big mind and by the fact that it is not because of a big mind that they have surrounded themselves with advisers from people from Soviet countries suffering from Russophobia.
  4. +2
    2 March 2021 11: 26
    I do not agree with the author. Although there is no such intensity of aggression against the Donbass destroyed by the banderlog, people are suffering. Don't give a damn about that ??? For the sake of some future mythical national projects ... I DO NOT BELIEVE!
  5. -1
    2 March 2021 11: 51
    I noticed long ago that the Kremlin's words and deeds do not match. As they say, listen to a woman and do the opposite.
  6. +2
    2 March 2021 11: 56
    Another question must be asked: why is the Kremlin helping to complete the construction in Ukraine of a purely fascist state, which the West is aiming at a war with Russia? And in many ways with our money?
    1. 0
      2 March 2021 13: 41
      I already asked this question -
      https://topcor.ru/18715-istorija-nichemu-ne-uchit-rossija-sobstvennoruchno-podderzhivaet-agressivnuju-ukrainu.html
  7. +1
    2 March 2021 14: 52
    The attempt counts, albeit with flaws. The West decided to exterminate Syria only because it did not allow the construction of a gas pipeline from Qatar to the EU in the interests of Russia. Well, the EAEU market now has 186 million people, and the free trade zone also includes Vietnam with 97 million, Iran with 81 million, Singapore with 7 million and Serbia with 7 million. In the complex, this amounts to 378 million
  8. 0
    2 March 2021 15: 10
    And, again, some super-plans, some conspiracies ...
    In fact, money doesn't smell.
    The desire of Ukraine, the Republic of Belarus, the Russian Federation, Europe and JSA to get money from their neighbors can be seen every day.

    And the fact that Gazprom got into the war, - they say, everything is possible in the Russian Federation, so everything is possible in Europe, without contracts, lawyers, etc. - So he puts the price on the Russian Federation.
    Profits - for themselves, the forge of Kremlin personnel, all the same, Medvedev, Usmanov, etc., losses for the budget ...
  9. 0
    2 March 2021 21: 31
    Why does the Kremlin support the Kiev regime

    Because money doesn't smell.
  10. +1
    2 March 2021 21: 42
    What kind of economy is there in Ukraine? There are entirely rocks. But the field off the coast of Syria is more than Ukrainian. It's not for nothing that our base is there. And Russia has already been there for a long time. Putin broke off the Americans in time.
  11. RFR
    0
    2 March 2021 22: 21
    Nonsense of a gray mare ... Well, how can you tell us we will grow at the expense of pots, if in 7 years even the eastern regions have become Russophobes there, I'm not talking about young animals who grew up in hatred of us ... The author tells us the Kremlin's tales
  12. +2
    2 March 2021 22: 41
    The axis "Tokyo-Moscow-Berlin" is from the realm of fantasy. This was true in the late 30s. But now it is ABSOLUTELY unrealizable. At this stage, the Beijing-Moscow-Berlin axis is possible (only possible). To do this, you first need to get Berlin out of the occupation of the States.

    The second point is that there is a self-sufficient market in China. Not the largest in terms of purchasing power. But capacious enough. And China is looking to increase its purchasing power.

    The third point - to create your own market, attracting insolvent population into it - is not quite a sensible idea.

    Some propose to split Ukraine and take what is possible. There is no buzz, because the rest will go to the West and it is not a fact that Kiev will not become Polish.
    Others (including myself) propose to keep Ukraine within its current borders. But who will pay off the multibillion-dollar loans that Ukraine has raised? If the West allowed Ukraine not to give a 3 billion loan from Russia by a court decision, then they will demand their money through the same courts.
    Conclusion - there is no unambiguous solution. But in any case, supporting the Russophobic regime is "worse than a crime. This is a mistake."
    1. -1
      3 March 2021 07: 32
      Avtarkia (from ancient Greek. Αὐτάρκεια - self-sufficiency; self-sufficiency) is a system of closed reproduction of a community, with minimal dependence on exchange with the external environment; the economic regime of self-sufficiency of the country, in which the external trade turnover is minimized. In modern economic vocabulary, the author denotes an economy oriented inward, towards itself, towards development without ties with other countries. In this regard, autocracy is a closed economy, an economy that presupposes absolute sovereignty.

      It is not necessary to pass off individual signs as a rule In Hohland, then there is also a self-sufficient market for bacon in banks ...
      Only one island tribe has a completely self-sufficient market, which refuses to contact the outside world, and the world is not interested in them.
      1. +1
        3 March 2021 09: 44
        There is a difference in the concepts of "autarchy" and "inclusive development". Autarchy is difficult to achieve at this time. Inclusive development is the path to independence. First economic, and then political.
  13. 0
    3 March 2021 11: 45
    This is not the main thing. The fascist regime in Ukraine is being built with the tacit support of Russia and its money to a large extent, so that in the face of the impending fascist aggression, the people inside the country do not think about improving their lives, but rallied under the leadership of the existing government and prepared to repel the aggression.
  14. 0
    10 March 2021 00: 53
    The Russian authorities support Ukraine counting on Medvedchuk and others like him, but the United States will never allow Medvedchuk and the same people to come to power.
    The United States-Britain has a very important stage in their "Ukraine project" - the "Ukrainian WAR". They are preparing an attack on Donbass. They are not interested in the opinion of Ukrainians, Russia and Europe.
    A blow is being dealt to the Donbass. Russia will not defend Donbass? Russia will defend Donbass. In case of proven participation of Russia in hostilities in Donbas, the US-NATO decides to block both Nord Streams. Germany is a NATO member - is obliged to fulfill. Liquefied gas is supplied to Europe from all over the world and from the USA.
    "Project Ukraine" is being implemented by the United States-Britain thoughtfully and methodically. "Project Ukraine" is both the maximum blow to the Russian economy and the weakening and subjugation of Germany-EU. Nord Streams and Donbass are traps for Russia.