Expert: A turning point has come for Russia in Syria


Relations between Moscow and the Syrian government could be turning, according to Canadian expert on the Middle East, Faysal Mohamad, in an article on the website of the Turkish state-run television channel TRT World.


The author writes that having entered the Syrian civil war in 2015, Moscow found itself embroiled in a series of local contradictions. Among other things, there were difficulties with the return of investments spent on supporting the ally.

In this regard, the Canadian expert with Syrian roots believes that the Kremlin has four options for possible actions.

First, [President Vladimir] Putin can let the [Syrian] regime continue to hold its fake elections. […] Over time, the practice itself became a laughingstock for the Syrians, including even many loyalists. In 2014, in the last election, [Bashar] Assad brought in a galaxy of little-known "candidates" for the presidency.

- the article says.

However, if this practice continues, Damascus will not see billions of dollars that could be allocated for the restoration of the country by the European Union and the monarchy of the Persian Gulf. The Russians, however, cannot provide such large-scale assistance.

The second option, Mr. Mohamad continues, is to apply minimal pressure and encourage Damascus to implement cosmetic changes, framed as “reforms”. However, the situation is such that it will be extremely difficult, if not impossible, for the Russians to push through such a scenario.

The third way assumes that Moscow will force Damascus to a full-fledged political settlement. However, this may lead to the emergence of a new regime, more independent and unfriendly to Russian interests.

The fourth course is to organize a palace coup and replace Assad with a more obedient figure. According to an expert on Middle East affairs, this will require a significant penetration of Russia into the Syrian army, which so far remains protected from such a scenario.

The author points to the significant Iranian influence in the country, which is capable of derailing certain plans of the Kremlin. In addition, Bashar al-Assad himself can bring unpleasant surprises, and the resources of Moscow itself are by no means unlimited.

Given her own economic difficulties, anti-Putin protests [in RF] and uncertainty about Biden’s presidency, Russia will face problems continuing to support the Assad regime

- sums up the author.
  • Photos used: Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation
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  1. GRF Offline GRF
    GRF 17 February 2021 14: 27
    +7
    Canadian expert Mahmoud ....
    He would write fairy tales, but Stephen King is far away.
  2. Alexzn Offline Alexzn
    Alexzn (Alexander) 17 February 2021 14: 28
    +3
    A turning point has come for Russia in Syria

    Again?
    1. nov_tech.vrn Offline nov_tech.vrn
      nov_tech.vrn (Michael) 17 February 2021 15: 23
      +1
      do not worry, until the next bombing of the irreconcilable, they do not return from there and do not break anything else
  3. nov_tech.vrn Offline nov_tech.vrn
    nov_tech.vrn (Michael) 17 February 2021 15: 20
    +7
    Hmm, "Syrian Observatory" from London, "expert" from Canada, but look closely, just another abrek, washed, shaved off his beard and made him a talking head.
  4. 123 Online 123
    123 (123) 17 February 2021 15: 47
    +6
    Old songs about the main thing ...
    Assad must go ...
    Since the West has short hands, can Russia do it?
    Western partners could give a lot of money, but not to him ... but to their protege.
    Here is such an analytics. Don't shoot the pianist, he plays as best he can.
    Date sales in Canada are falling, the stall is closed, you have to live somehow.
    Canada is an interesting country, 70 years ago many analysts with Ukrainian roots settled there, now a new wave. They will make friends.
  5. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 17 February 2021 16: 01
    +2
    Another Turkish expert ...

    We have already defeated everyone there, at least 3 times, in Shoigu and the Kremlin.
  6. ioan-e Offline ioan-e
    ioan-e (Boris) 17 February 2021 16: 18
    +4
    How degraded the Western expert environment is! The "expert" thinks that he looks like a talented manipulator who has hung a carrot in front of a donkey, but in fact looks like a monkey with a microphone - twirls it in his hands and does not know where else to cram it! Europe and the monarchies of the Gulf are sponsors of the destruction of Syria! They are asleep and see how to donate two ships with cash to Assad! Nirazu in the entire history of a penny was not donated to anyone, but here .........
  7. zz811 Offline zz811
    zz811 (Vlad Pervovich) 18 February 2021 11: 06
    +2
    obviously paid ...
  8. Nik Kulinich Offline Nik Kulinich
    Nik Kulinich (Nik Kulinich) 19 February 2021 15: 37
    +1
    paid Turkoman
  9. al2145133 Offline al2145133
    al2145133 (Alexey Gribalev) 20 February 2021 07: 09
    +1
    Mahmoud overdosed on the American vaccine