Russia is taking great risks by not responding to the "opening" of airspace over Crimea for NATO

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February 10, 2021 on the territory of the naval base "South" in the Practical harbor of the Odessa port a solemn ceremony took place receiving by the Ukrainian military sailors of the next batch technical help from the USA. This was reported on its official Facebook page of the Ukrainian Navy. According to the communiqué, the Ukrainian Navy received 10 high-speed inflatable boats, 74 inflatable boats and related equipment from the Americans.

Immediately after that, I heard a powerful threefold amplified boo-ha-ha from the Russian shores and a sigh of disappointment from the Ukrainian ones. Russian commentators joked about the epic confrontation between the forces of the Naval Forces of Ukraine and the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Navy, when the Ukrainians, in a wake formation of 84 air mattresses, try to storm the well-fortified bastions of the coastal artillery of Sevastopol, or, turning around the front, they will attack Perekop. The non-brothers babbled something in response about the "mosquito" attacks by the Navy of the Black Sea Fleet's flagship, the missile cruiser "Moskva", and that Putin would scurry out of the Crimea, abandoning ships and equipment. In general, both sides were far from the truth.



You can laugh and mock for as long as you like about the receipt of the next batch of rubber-technical products by Kiev and remember the times when it built aircraft carriers, missile cruisers and the world's largest transport aircraft, but I would not recommend it. And that's why.

Nobody wanted war - but war was inevitable


Unlike our Ukrainian neighbors on the globe, our American sworn "friends" do nothing for nothing. Moreover, they deliberately do not try to hide their intentions. This is not the British MI6, which does everything on the sly, and even with someone else's hands. The Americans themselves are not going to get dirty either, but they make it clear where we will soon have to wait for complications and from whom. In the Donbass, I do not see water spaces. This means that soon we will have problems in the Crimea or Azov.

I am absolutely sure that the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces does not underestimate the potential enemy. As well as from the opposite side, the Pentagon understands perfectly well who they are dealing with and what kind of reaction should be expected from the Russian Federation in the event of possible sabotage in the area of ​​the Black Sea Fleet forces of the Russian Navy. And for what it is possible to use inflatable boats by the Special Operations Forces of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation knows very well. Well, definitely not to demonstrate the power of the Naval Forces of Ukraine, so that on the next Independence Day in a parade of 84 mattresses to pass in front of the admiring citizens at the base of the deployment of the naval forces in the hero city of Odessa, and certainly not for sea fishing. Such floating craft are used exclusively for the release of troops and sabotage and reconnaissance groups (DRG). And given the storage and operation periods of these rubber-technical products, it is safe to say that such actions should be expected in the next 5 years. The Naval Forces of Ukraine also have a special unit for this, created on the basis of the 73rd Maritime Special Operations Center, which in May 2016 became part of the MTR of the Armed Forces.

Believe me, for the remaining time, the non-brothers are perfectly trained to land from the sea in any weather conditions on the unequipped coast by the forces of a reinforced Marine Corps battalion. And covertly, and at night, and in conditions of limited visibility. And as teachers-instructors they will be "seals" who have gone through more than one such operation in various hot spots of our planet. And the Ukrainians will willingly do it. Believe me, they were well-brainwashed during this time, and they know perfectly well who their enemy is and who stole Crimea from them. And their task is not to seize the base of the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Navy, but to create a favorable background for the resumption of attempts to alienate Crimea from the Russian Federation by the forces of the outraged international community, and since this is even theoretically impossible, then to unwind another flywheel of sanctions against the Evil Empire.

Do you doubt it? Look who came to the White House. No, you don't have to look at Sleepy Joe (this one not today or tomorrow, look, he will drop his skates), look at his closest entourage. These people do not even hide their plans. RF is their main enemy. Fighting him is their main goal. And in war, all is fair. Just the corpse of Ukraine will come in handy, how much can you equip it with RDX? If in the 1st act there is a gun on the wall, then in the 3rd act it should fire. The gun in the 1st act was hung up by Obama. The second was held under Trump. Draw your own conclusions. Act 2 of the play began on January 3 of this year.

Over all Spain (Ukraine) cloudless sky


And to make it easier for you to think, I will cite a couple more interesting documents. Last fall, the US Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) did not extend the ban on US airlines from operating in “certain areas” of Simferopol's airspace. Deutsche Welle reported about it on October 16, 2020 with reference to an official document of the American government:

“Due to the change in conditions in Ukraine and the attendant risks for US civil aviation ... the ban on certain flights in certain areas of Simferopol is not extended ... which expires on October 27, 2020


The United States acknowledged that Ukraine is able to manage the risk of dual air navigation and counter Russia's intentions to interfere in flight operations. Also, the United States does not recognize the newly created, as declared by the Russian Federation, the flight information zone in Crimea.

- such an explanation of the FAA decision on his Facebook page was given by Andrey Guk, an expert on aviation law, a partner of the law firm Ante. Note that the decision was made just before the US presidential elections.

Less than 4 months have passed, or rather, after waiting for the 46th President of America to take office, the Minister of Infrastructure of Ukraine Vladislav Krykliy proposed to use the airspace of Ukraine, limited by the Simferopol Flight Information Region (FIR), for NATO air operations in order to monitor the air situation along borders with Russia. He stated this during talks with the NATO Deputy Secretary General for Defense policy and planning by Patrick Turner, which took place on February 10 in Brussels during a working visit there by the government delegation of Ukraine headed by Prime Minister Denis Shmygal.

Help: The airspace in the Simferopol Flight Information Region (FIR) includes the airspace over the sovereign territory of Ukraine, as well as the open waters of the Black Sea, where responsibility for airspace maintenance is delegated to Ukraine by international treaties.

For those who did not understand, we are talking about the territory of Crimea. On February 9, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg, during a press conference with Ukrainian Prime Minister Denis Shmygal, said that the strengthening of the presence of the military alliance in the Black Sea is a response to Russia's actions.

The Minister of Infrastructure of Ukraine Vladislav Krykliy immediately reacted to this statement by the NATO Secretary General:

Ukraine adheres to the chosen course of integration into the Euro-Atlantic collective security systems. One of the important areas of such integration is Ukraine's participation in the NATO Air Traffic Data Exchange Program. In modern conditions, it is important to strengthen control of civil air traffic and respond to crisis situations in the Black Sea region and the ATO zone. Taking into account the updated EASA bulletin on flight safety in the Simferopol flight information area and the abolition of the US Federal Aviation Administration's restrictions on flights in the Simferopol FIR, we propose to use this part of the airspace for NATO air operations for the transport of troops, equipment, cargo, and the like. We look forward to NATO support in monitoring the air situation along the border with Russia.

After that, the parties discussed the participation of the Ministry of Infrastructure in the preparation of the joint Ukraine-NATO exercises in the Black Sea "Coherent Resilience 2021", as well as in the process of creating a national sustainability system in Ukraine.

Conclusions: Since the European Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) recognized the Simferopol FIR area as a non-hazardous flight zone and the US Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) removed flight restrictions over this area, and the time for the maneuvers "Coherent Resilience-2021" in the Odessa region we know, we can say that we know exactly the time and place of the impending provocation.

The very first aircraft of the North Atlantic Alliance, which appeared in the airspace over the Crimean peninsula, will be shot down by Russia

- Yakov Kedmi, a former intelligence officer from Israel, made a corresponding forecast.

There is no doubt about this in the West either. And they are counting on this. After all, Crimea, according to foreign opinion, is the sovereign territory of Ukraine. She gave the appropriate permission to fly over it. Before shooting down a NATO plane, the Kremlin should think very hard. Very much! And then there are naval saboteurs, out of nowhere. The spiral is clearly twisting.

Own comment: I really respect Yakov Kedmi, but he is not the one who should comment on these events. If Russia does not want complications at the international level with Crimea as well, then in this case it must (simply must!) Seize the initiative and try to translate the situation at least into the verbal plane to begin with. All the latest actions and statements of the new American administration make it clear that they are transferring the vector of their activity from Donbass to the Crimean Peninsula.

There are no complaints about Ukraine at all. Firstly, it acts in its own right and, according to all international laws, has grounds for that (the whole world believes that Crimea is its, I have not heard something so that over the past 7 years someone has officially recognized its belonging to the Russian jurisdiction) ... And secondly, who is Ukraine? Who in this situation asks her opinion? A country that has completely lost its independence and is under the external control of the United States. As they said there (in this case, NATO), she did just that. Its risks are zero.

But the risks of the Russian Federation are great here. And in order not to bring the matter to the downed plane, the Russian Federation should be the first to issue an official warning. Moreover, it should not be Putin or Lavrov who should speak, but the head of the Department of Information and Mass Communications of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, Major General Igor Konashenkov. And his statement should be short and extremely laconic - in the event of a violation of the air borders of the Russian Federation in the area of ​​the Simferopol FIR, any violating aircraft, regardless of its affiliation (even NATO, even the United States) will be shot down! Briefly and clearly! It is not politicians who should talk here, but the military. They understand each other (at least they understood each other until now). After that, the ball will be on the US side and responsibility for the downed plane (and it will be shot down!) Will also be on them. And then we'll see how it all ends. It will be worse if the Americans send there, as they usually do, a civilian plane. Then you have to plant. Forced. Or history will repeat itself with the South Korean Boeing of 1983.
34 comments
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  1. -11
    19 February 2021 08: 45
    What provocations? Do not be lazy, read who, according to international law, owns the airspace over Crimea?
    1. +7
      19 February 2021 09: 04
      And to whom does it belong under Russian law? What country do you live in? In Russia or in some "international country"?
  2. +6
    19 February 2021 09: 09
    Russia is taking great risks by not responding to the "opening" of airspace over Crimea for NATO

    laughing Interesting, very interesting. What is Russia risking? For some reason it seems to me (I can be wrong) the one who decides to fly over the Crimea and check whether the air space is really "open" is at risk. And there is no one who wants to check it. lol
    1. +1
      19 February 2021 09: 21
      And these American bastards, in fact, will not send a military aircraft. They will send a civilian, as they have already. And the desires of pilots and airlines will not ask.
      1. +5
        19 February 2021 09: 55
        What does civil board mean? All civil aircraft fly on designated routes and at specific times. And for this there are fighters that fly out even if the adversary is flying near our borders.
        1. +2
          19 February 2021 12: 10
          The author pointed out about the sad story of the South Korean Boeing, which deviated more than 500 km. This was attributed to a malfunction of the autopilot. But then the autopilot broke so correctly that the plane ended up directly over secret Soviet military facilities.
          1. 0
            21 February 2021 10: 55
            With that Korean Boeing, the story is murky, it was already under Yudushka Gorbachev. There is information that there was a real battle, as a result of which the USSR air defense shot down at least 3 reconnaissance aircraft of the US Air Force, and Boeing was shot down by the Americans themselves, with a missile from their ship, since there were records of negotiations with the same Korean Boeing, after of how he was allegedly shot down by a Soviet interceptor Su-15
            1. +1
              23 February 2021 22: 01
              Sorry sir, but you clearly confused something, YuK Boeing was shot down on September 1, 1983, and Gorbachev came to power on March 11, 1985, where he was elected general secretary of the CPSU Central Committee, in 1983 Andropov was the general secretary, this Boeing pilot of the Su-15 interceptor shot down Gennady Nikolaevich Osipovich (he was awarded for this and then dismissed from the army), so you don't need to mislead the people, find Osipovich's interview on social networks, where he talks about this incident in detail ...
              1. +2
                13 March 2021 12: 06
                As a matter of fact, I have not overdone anything. Gorbachev was a man of Andropov, and it was Andropov who arranged in the USSR a series of political murders of people like Masherov, over the corpses, brought Judushka Gorbachev to power. Osipovich is just a pilot, he could not see the whole picture in the area from his plane and he could not know everything, for not by rank.
  3. +1
    19 February 2021 10: 03
    The author, do not escalate the situation .... All that the West is doing at the moment is concussion. The Russian group on the Black Sea is many times superior to the NATO bloc. It is even beneficial for Russia if Ukraine makes an adventure against Crimea. The capture of Ukraine will be swift and lightning-fast. Nobody even has time to make a peep there. And for the sake of Ukraine, the West will not dare to start a nuclear war against Russia.
    1. -7
      19 February 2021 10: 28
      what does Ukraine have to do with it? the NATO plane will fly, it will be shot down, then what? international scandal, the Russian Federation - the Evil Empire, the next sanctions, then not that you can forget about SP-2, but remember about the embargo on your goods
      1. +3
        21 February 2021 01: 41
        a NATO plane will fly, it will be shot down,

        A NATO plane will fly, it will naturally be shot down. Well, or forced to land. It just so happens that military aircraft do not fly with impunity over foreign territories, even if this territory is officially considered disputed.
        But I don’t understand, but with what fright did the author decide at all that a NATO plane would fly there?

        Test Russian borders for strength?

        Then why didn't you fly before, why didn't you experience it?

        Was he waiting for permission from the Ukrainian side?

        Why does he need it? For what? For what?

        The author at least understands the depth of the archaic nature of such speculations on themes from the genre: "what if he was carrying cartridges?"
        1. -4
          21 February 2021 14: 08
          Then why didn't you fly before, why didn't you experience it?

          I find it difficult to argue with people who have problems with the perception of printed text! It seems that tovarisch himself did not read the text, he immediately moved on to the comments. Do you want to hunt? I don’t! Read the text, there will be fewer bad questions.

          And to make it easier for you to think, I will cite a couple more interesting documents. Last fall, the US Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) did not extend the ban on US airlines from operating in “certain areas” of Simferopol's airspace. Deutsche Welle reported this on October 16, 2020 with reference to an official document of the American government: “Due to the change in conditions in Ukraine and the associated risks for US civil aviation ... the ban on certain flights in certain areas of Simferopol is not extended ... which expires on October 27 2020

          The United States acknowledged that Ukraine is able to manage the risk of dual air navigation and counter Russia's intentions to interfere in flight operations. Also, the United States does not recognize the newly created, as declared by the Russian Federation, the flight information zone in Crimea.
          Andestend? Do you have any questions? Therefore, we have not yet flown. And when they decided to fly, Ukraine immediately granted them its permission. I hope you are smart enough to understand who makes decisions here and who implements them? But why the Americans needed to test our air defense for strength is another question.
          1. +3
            21 February 2021 23: 32
            The United States acknowledged that Ukraine is able to manage the risk of dual air navigation and counter Russia's intentions to interfere in flight operations.

            Oh, how complicated everything is for you .. Straight conspiracy theory.)

            Or are you impressed because this is how "the United States recognized .."?)

            But I like it better when it's simpler:

            “America is a very pragmatic country, and all the decisions it makes have good reasons. After the ban on flights over Crimea in 2014, many airlines were forced to make a loop in the air in order to fly around the forbidden region along their course, and this is an additional, little justified, apart from politics, expenses, "the political scientist commented.

            It is noteworthy that the American specialists did not film civil aviation flights in the flight information areas of Dnepropetrovsk.

            https://riafan.ru/1321891-politolog-obyasnila-merkantilnostyu-ssha-reshenie-letat-vblizi-kryma

            By the way, do not tell me why, if: "Ukraine is able to manage the risk of double air navigation and oppose the intentions of the Russian Federation to interfere in flight tracking ..", the Americans, having lifted the restrictions on civil aviation flights in the Simferopol region, still did not lift the same restrictions, in flight information areas of Dnepropetrovsk?
            What is wrong with Ukraine's ability to manage the risk of double air navigation and counteract the intentions of the Russian Federation to interfere in flight support?)

            PS Make an incredible effort on yourself, and try to answer without rudeness.)
            1. -2
              22 February 2021 03: 50
              and the mind itself is not enough? Crimea is the territory of the Russian Federation and the Russian Federation (de facto) will be responsible for the aircraft shot down over it, and the Dnieper FIR is within the reach of the LPR and the LPR (de facto) and Ukraine (de jure) will be responsible for the plane shot down over it, and the Russian Federation (de jure) has every right to freeze - what do I have to do with it, I stole permission, the United States confirmed, let the two of them answer, the terrorists, what to take from them
              1. +2
                22 February 2021 09: 00
                Crimea is the territory of the Russian Federation and the Russian Federation (de facto) will be responsible for the plane shot down over it,

                Can you already decide which plane will fly over the Crimea?)

                The ban was lifted from the overflight of civil aircraft. Crimeans consider this to be an indirect (and, in fact, actual) recognition of Crimea as Russian. That is, civil aviation flights will resume.
                What does a military plane have to do with it ???

                and the Dnieper FIR is in the reach of the LPNR and the LPR will be responsible for the plane shot down above it

                Reach than, sorry? What is the magic of the LDNR to shoot down a civilian plane at a distance of 80 km, and before that fly it the same amount?
                1. -3
                  22 February 2021 16: 15
                  The ban was lifted from the overflight of civil aircraft. Crimeans consider this to be an indirect (and, in fact, actual) recognition of Crimea as Russian. That is, civil aviation flights will resume.

                  Less than 4 months have passed, or rather, after waiting for the 46th President of America to take office, the Minister of Infrastructure of Ukraine Vladislav Krykliy proposed to use the airspace of Ukraine, limited by the Simferopol Flight Information Region (FIR), for air operations NATO in order to monitor the air situation along the borders with Russia. He stated this during talks with NATO Deputy Secretary General for Defense Policy and Planning Patrick Turner, which took place on February 10 in Brussels during a working visit there by the Ukrainian government delegation headed by Prime Minister Denis Shmygal.

                  We read in bold and stop turning on the fool.

                  Reach than, sorry? What is the magic of the LDNR to shoot down a civilian plane at a distance of 80 km, and before that fly it the same amount?

                  This is no longer for me, but for the Americans. What did they see there, I don't know? Fear has big eyes.
                  1. +5
                    22 February 2021 21: 20
                    We read in bold and stop turning on the fool.

                    So, it seems like you're not good at it.

                    All right.

                    I now have the feeling that, the fool is you who turn on when you demonstrate just a pathological misunderstanding, by yourself, of the written text.

                    Here you first write:

                    Last fall, the US Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) did not extend the ban on US airlines from operating in “certain areas” of Simferopol's airspace.

                    That is, back in the fall, without any suggestions from some kind of Krikliya, the Americans single-handedly made a decision for themselves to allow GA flights in "certain areas" of the airspace of Simferopol. "

                    Point.

                    After that, after a few months, you have a kind of "key figure" - Krykliy, with his proposal:

                    Less than 4 months have passed, or rather, after waiting for the 46th President of America to take office, the Minister of Infrastructure of Ukraine Vladislav Krykliy proposed

                    That is, following your logic, devoid of any consistency, the Americans, as it were, initially, would like to violate something, but did not dare until they received permission from a Ukrainian politician?

                    Isn't that funny to you yourself?)

                    Further - even more miraculous ...

                    Here you are citing Kedmi:

                    "The very first aircraft of the North Atlantic Alliance, which appeared in the airspace over the Crimean peninsula, will be shot down by Russia"

                    Regardless of the context to which Kedmi made this conclusion, let's see what you yourself write next:

                    "Minister of Infrastructure of Ukraine Vladislav Krykliy proposed to use the airspace of Ukraine, limited by the Simferopol Flight Information Region (FIR), for NATO air operations in order to monitor the air situation along the borders with Russia."

                    Let's highlight. here the words: ".. limited to the Simferopol flight information area .."
                    Limited by the area. That is, to the border of this area. Anything else would be absurd.

                    That is, even on the territory of Ukraine.

                    Next:

                    ".. in order to monitor the air situation along the borders with Russia .."

                    Along the borders!
                    And not crossing borders, which means staying on the territory of Ukraine.

                    Even if Ukraine allows (has the right) NATO planes to fly along the Russian border, and NATO takes advantage of this, and flies along these borders, then where did you get the conclusion that NATO will try to violate these Russian borders? NATO has been flying all its life along the borders of Russia.

                    Your, not mature enough, for an analyst, a reference to the fact that Crimea, according to foreign opinion, is a sovereign territory of Ukraine, does not stand up to criticism. At the most, it could be considered controversial.

                    For that "de facto" - Crimea is the territory of the sovereign state of Russia. In my opinion, this is not even discussed. And according to the jurisdiction of the Russian Federation - "de jura", too.

                    What kind of speculation can there be on this topic?
    2. -3
      19 February 2021 12: 27
      This is the correct comment. laughing
    3. +1
      20 February 2021 14: 44
      Quote: Dust
      The capture of Ukraine will be swift and lightning-fast. Nobody even has time to make a peep there.

      Dust... Since we started talking about NATO and how to react to aggression, I think the seizure of Ukraine is a mistake. Have to take the whole of Europe under temporary control.
    4. -1
      20 February 2021 22: 44
      The seizure of Ukraine will be lightning fast ... laughing
  4. -8
    19 February 2021 10: 28
    Well, to open or not to open this business Russia, but in my opinion the US, Ukraine, the EU have where to fly and besides Crimea! No matter how it turns out that Russia will only fly over the Crimea!
  5. 0
    19 February 2021 10: 43
    This is what an article about non-flights over Crimea?

    It seems that everyone has already been warned, but we need to push it ...
  6. +3
    19 February 2021 10: 55
    If everything were so dangerous, then Russia would not sell strategic resources to Ukraine. And if it sells, then everything is going fine.
    1. +2
      19 February 2021 11: 40
      Well, or no one thinks about the consequences, but only about the profit.
      1. +3
        19 February 2021 12: 42
        Quote: Marzhetsky
        or no one thinks about the consequences

        Of course they don't. Because there is nothing to think about: a military plane will be shot down, a civilian will be planted.
  7. +4
    19 February 2021 13: 34
    If the object is unidentified and does not respond to warnings, as in the case with the ships of Ukraine, of course, force will be used for security purposes. Just don't say that you did not hear
  8. 123
    +8
    19 February 2021 15: 28
    For those who did not understand, we are talking about the territory of the Crimean peninsula annexed by Russia.

    Do you consider Crimea annexed? belay

    Annexation is the forcible annexation of a country or part of it to another state.

    One can argue for a long time whether Crimea had the right to secede from Ukraine (depending on the point of view) and whether the rejection of Crimea was violent, but do you really think that Crimea was included in Russia by force? What kind of annexation is this?
  9. +1
    19 February 2021 15: 43
    Before shooting down a NATO plane, the Kremlin should think very hard

    Should Russia? I assure you, if Russia immediately knocks down, then the next time NATO will have to! Explain to me your cowardly position. Why are they not afraid to go to an armed provocation, and we should be afraid to respond? Pay attention - answer. And they will introduce sanctions anyway, they know how to come up with reasons.
  10. +3
    20 February 2021 13: 44
    Don't talk nonsense. Air defense will shoot down NATO aircraft in the skies over the Crimea. Yankees will never fly under the S-400, and in general, fools are only in Kuevo-Kukuev. And the maskit-landing fleet, so the coast of Crimea, not the coast of Somalia, but the Border Troops, not the patrol Golan warriors.
    If Crimea is Ukraine, then Ukraine should be prosecuted for the genocide of its own people, but they officially declare that they are blocking the canal with water so that everyone in Crimea would die.
  11. -4
    20 February 2021 14: 26
    - Provocateurs from NATO can launch a plane without a crew - fly through the Crimea - and check: will they shoot down - won't they? Put a mannequin in the cockpit! lol
  12. -1
    20 February 2021 22: 40
    Nobody will be knocked down by the Russian Federation;
  13. +2
    21 February 2021 16: 10
    The author is Svidomo? The annexation of Crimea is worth it))) The author, according to all international laws, Ukraine has NO borders so far. The demarcation of the borders with Russia was not done, Ukraine threw out the Great Treaty of 97 years long before the Maidan, when the start of tricks in NATO and the EU. The West supports the so-called borders of Ukraine politically, not legally. Therefore, Ukraine does not make any appeal to the courts - but only applies to private property.
  14. 0
    26 February 2021 22: 45
    Why be sure to shoot down the ship, if the technique has been worked out on the Donald Cook? It will be deprived of all the electronic filling and it will be a useless tin can with surveillance cameras and surveillance of border air defense and dummies inside with other debris to simulate a civilian side. Not a single airline in the world with sane dispatchers will buy into the "permission of flights" and will not fly over this territory to "check" - reputation is more expensive. And in pandemic conditions, with the A / C close to bankruptcy due to the termination of flights, each flight is now safe and worth its weight in gold. In addition to thugs, they are easy to provoke, they are easy to manipulate, it is easy to promise them preferences ...