How much will it cost Russia to transfer Belarusian transit to its ports

In the past few years, Russia has been actively developing its port infrastructure in order to get rid of dependence on the part of the Baltic states and other unfriendly intermediaries. A concomitant task is to lure Belarus over to its side, which is tied for transport to neighboring Lithuania. After the quarrel between Minsk and Vilnius, the chances of doing this have sharply increased, but what will it cost in terms of money for Moscow itself?

President Lukashenko himself announced his intention to teach the Lithuanian authorities a lesson for their position in the recent political crisis in Belarus:

30% of the Lithuanian budget is formed by our cargo traffic through Lithuania. What else does? Got sick. So let's put it in place.

True, it should be clarified that 30% refer, rather, to the budget of the port of Klaipeda, and not to Lithuania as a whole, but still the figures are decent, for a small republic they are quite tangible. The process of gradual reorientation of the transit of Belarusian oil products from Lithuanian terminals to the Russian port on the Baltic of Ust-Luga has begun. In order for Minsk not to lose money due to the need for delivery over a longer distance, Moscow is ready to generously grant it a 50% discount on transshipment of goods on our railways. What to do, for the loyalty of an ally you have to pay from the federal budget.

Now the example of the Belarusian oil workers may be followed by "Belaruskali". Previously, this was practically impossible due to the lack of port facilities. Mineral and chemical fertilizers are one of the most demanded products. During the Soviet era, a significant part of our exports went through the “western gate” in the form of the Baltic States, where all the necessary infrastructure was created and logistics were streamlined. It is not surprising that it was convenient for Belarus to use neighboring Klaipeda, and even a third of Russian exports of mineral fertilizers went through the Baltic ports in 2019. There were a lot of problems with shipping through domestic ports. The main cargo traffic goes through St. Petersburg, Ust-Luga and Murmansk, small streams - through Novorossiysk and Tuapse, quite a "drop" against the general background - through Vladivostok. At the same time, the profitability of such exports was significantly higher than that of competitors, due to the lack of specialized bulk terminals. I had to use universal ones, simultaneously applying various schemes for overloading mineral fertilizers, even container ones.

Good news is that the situation is changing rapidly. In the Far East, it is planned to build the Nakhodka Mineral Fertilizer Plant, whose products will be exported through the port of Vostochny. The Taman Bulk Cargo Terminal (TTNG) is being built in the Azov-Black Sea basin, with a capacity of 50 million tons of coal per year, 5 million tons of sulfur and 5 million tons of mineral fertilizers. In the Arctic zone near Murmansk, it is planned to create a universal transshipment complex with a capacity of 4 million tons of mineral fertilizers per year. The Primorsky UPK in the Leningrad Region is designed for 7 million tons. Slightly more than 6 million tons can be handled by the EuroChem terminal in Ust-Luga.

And, finally, the crown of this construction is the Ultramar terminal in Ust-Luga, whose capacity will initially be 5 million tons per year, but by the end of 2021 it will grow to 12 million. And in the future it will be possible to expand it to 20 million tons. The complex is connected simultaneously with the railway and the sea part, and is capable of performing all transshipment operations. The storages visually look like giant domes designed for different types of mineral fertilizers. The project cost is estimated at 30 billion rubles, the payback period is 6-7 years.

The first stage of the Ultramar terminal was recently commissioned. This means that Russia will finally receive all the necessary transport infrastructure, which will be enough for itself and allied Belarus. There is only one unclear question, which is who and how will pay for the transshipment services. All of these projects are private, the construction of the same "Ultramar" was carried out with borrowed funds, which must be returned. At the same time, the Governor of the Leningrad Region Alexander Drozdenko made it clear that new projects should not be expected yet:

We solve the issue of shipping fertilizers through a "one window". It is no longer necessary to allocate land plots on the coast, this is enough for the largest producers. The project allows for all export transshipment of fertilizers in Russian ports.

Some experts associate this decision with the fact that the authorities of the region are meeting halfway with the business, which is interested in the earliest repayment of investments. World prices for fertilizers have now dropped, entrepreneurs' incomes have decreased, and interest on loans must be returned. This means that they will definitely not be involved in charity work towards their Belarusian partners. Thus, either Minsk will have to pay, like everyone else, according to market price tags for the services rendered, or it will raise the issue with the Kremlin about compensation for additional overhead costs. And we won't go anywhere, the budget will have to pay extra for the Belarusians.
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  1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 4 February 2021 16: 17
    Why are the Kaliningrad ports forgotten, which is more profitable for Belarus and the western regions of the Russian Federation than Klaipeda and the Latvian Venspils, not to mention the remote ports of Luga. Leningrad ports for the inland regions of the Russian Federation with access to the Baltic .... To Kaliningrad ports, transit through Lithuania from Belarus is no more than 230 km and through the Kaliningrad region up to 180 km, especially since the passage by sea to the west is also saved up to 200 km.
    1. oderih Offline oderih
      oderih (Alex) 4 February 2021 19: 01
      It's very simple, rusophobes shouldn't stink for our money
      1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 4 February 2021 19: 07
        Let's give a penny, save ourselves and our friends a ruble, and there is no need to become a stubborn ram at a loss. To act in your favor prudently and competently ...
        1. oderih Offline oderih
          oderih (Alex) 4 February 2021 19: 10
          Russia is developing its ports and railroad infrastructure. It plays for the future. Some sheep do not understand this.
          1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 4 February 2021 19: 14
            Kaliningrad is also Russia and the ports are not freezing, geography is not taught to sheep?
            1. oderih Offline oderih
              oderih (Alex) 4 February 2021 19: 22
              Aha. Here is a man carrying fertilizer to Kaliningrad and here on your way a Chukhonsky ram demands tenga for transportation. Kaliningrad with Baltimore has some other strategic functions.
  2. Pishenkov Offline Pishenkov
    Pishenkov (Alexey) 4 February 2021 19: 08
    Analytically, the article is good and informative. Not only, in my opinion, is the very formulation of the question adequate

    How much will it cost Russia to transfer Belarusian transit to its ports

    There is a concept of state strategy, in the analysis of which a purely commercial approach is simply harmful. The army also costs us dearly, and from a commercial point of view, its maintenance seems to be unprofitable. "Kind of like" because that is ultimately not true. Therefore, considering this issue from the point of view of "how much it costs" I consider it initially incorrect. Although personally I am convinced that in the long term it will be beneficial for the Russian Federation from a purely financial point of view. I am already silent about politics and security ...
    1. Bakht Online Bakht
      Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 4 February 2021 20: 32
      Killing the Baltic economy and putting it on the EU budget is a huge victory. There are many more pluses than minuses.
      There is no war without losses. But if the enemy is killed and you are wounded, then the victory is yours.
      1. Pishenkov Offline Pishenkov
        Pishenkov (Alexey) 4 February 2021 20: 37
        I agree. And the Baltic economy is already hanging on the EU budget, as it used to hang on the Soviet one.
    2. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 5 February 2021 08: 03
      Quote: Pyshenkov
      There is a concept of state strategy, in the analysis of which a purely commercial approach is simply harmful. The army also costs us dearly, and from a commercial point of view its maintenance seems to be unprofitable. "Kind of like" because that is ultimately not true.

      Well, this is the current trend: count like an accountant. I also do not think this approach is correct, but now it is a new norm.
    3. antibi0tikk Offline antibi0tikk
      antibi0tikk (Sergei) 6 February 2021 10: 05
      Well said. I also think that it is better to give 100 rubles to a brother than the same 100 rubles to a neighbor who is constantly dissatisfied with something.
  3. gorenina91 Online gorenina91
    gorenina91 (Irina) 5 February 2021 15: 55
    How much will it cost Russia to transfer Belarusian transit to its ports

    - Personally, I don’t understand ... - what else can we talk about; except for the transportation of goods from Belarus, through the territory of Russia ... - to the ports of St. Petersburg (well, there are also the ports of Arkhangelsk, Murmansk, etc. ... - but this is already ... - hardly; although it may be so). .. - Here ... - this is a real and only option ...
    - And what other "ports of Kaliningrad" could it be ??? - How to get to these "ports of Kaliningrad" ??? - Through the territory of Lithuania; maybe Poland; or from the ports of Petersburg ???
    - Sandwiched between Lithuania and Poland ... - Kaliningrad (region), located so poorly (for Russia); that its (Kaliningrad ports) can play little in the Russian economy as a whole ... - At this point ... - God forbid ... - Kaliningrad itself can be "fed" at the expense of these Kaliningrad ports ... - and about Russia here we are not talking at all ... - Just don’t here ... here ... here ... here to start “patriotic polemics” about Kaliningrad; about Kaliningrad plants, factories, etc. ... - the location of Kaliningrad (region) ... - is so unfortunate for Russia; which is simply more stupid and more unfortunate ... - it's hard to come up with ...
    - As for Belarus ... - the only export of Belarusian products to Russian ports ... is ... - first through the territory of Russia; and then to Russian ports ... -This is, if you "ignore" all the ports of the Baltic States ... - which is what we are talking about here ...
    - And don't ... - try to "reinvent the wheel" ...