How the construction of the railway between Armenia and Azerbaijan will turn out


A meeting of the leaders of the three countries, Russia, Armenia and Azerbaijan was held in Moscow last Monday, dedicated to the further settlement of the situation in Nagorno-Karabakh. Its results cause a not entirely unambiguous attitude.


Despite the fact that the meeting was formally trilateral, the spirit of the fourth participant, Turkey, whose interests were clearly represented by President Aliyev, clearly hovered there. What gives reason to believe so?

At first, judging by the announced results, the negotiations were held in the spirit of dictatorship by the winner of his terms to the vanquished on neutral territory. No compromise was reached on the status of Nagorno-Karabakh. Yerevan asked for the autonomy of this territory within Azerbaijan, but Baku does not agree to this. Armenia simply cannot yield, bowing even further, and the opponent does not intend to pity her. In fact, the conflict is only temporarily frozen, or rather, for 5 years, while Russian peacekeepers are present in Karabakh. After this period, Azerbaijan will have the right to ask them to leave, refusing to extend their powers on its territory.

It is not hard to guess what might follow next. Both Baku and Yerevan will pump up their armed forces for the second and final round of the war throughout this five-year period. This situation completely suits Ankara. The presence of an unresolved conflict gives it full reason to deploy its military infrastructure in Azerbaijan to support its ally.

Secondly, as a winner, Baku demonstratively humiliated Yerevan, refusing to meet him halfway on the extremely sensitive issue with the prisoners of war. Those Armenians who continued to fight after the signing of the armistice agreement and fell into the hands of Azerbaijanis, they refuse to consider prisoners of war, calling them terrorists. Now they will be indicatively judged by the corresponding article. Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan promised to continue negotiating with President Aliyev on this painful issue for Armenia.

Thirdly, the information about the opening of two transport corridors through the territory of Armenia and Azerbaijan is not quite unambiguously perceived. The first is the road between the Azerbaijani exclave of Nakhichevan, sandwiched between Turkey and Armenia, and "big" Azerbaijan. Baku and Ankara managed to get Yerevan's consent to open this land corridor following a military victory over the Armenians. The main winner here is undoubtedly Turkey, which has received direct access to the Caspian Sea and intends to use it to turn into a "logistics superpower". Thanks to this conquest, Ankara will be able to take away from Moscow significant volumes of cargo flows going from Asia to Europe along the "New Silk Road".

It is not yet clear how this transit will be carried out legally: Armenia will have to transfer part of its territory to Azerbaijan or surrender it in a long-term concession with the right of extension. Baku will obviously not regret Yerevan in this matter either. As they say, woe to the vanquished. By the way, the Russian border guards will have to guard this transport artery.

So that the Kremlin would not be so offended, at a trilateral meeting last Monday they “threw a bone” in the form of a second transport corridor, which should connect Armenia with Russia. Previously, the railway between these two countries passed through Georgia, but this issue was finally “removed from the agenda” last year due to the unsettled status of Abkhazia and South Ossetia in favor of Tbilisi. The emergence of a new railway will improve economic communication between Moscow and Yerevan, will simplify the supply of the Russian military group, and Armenia itself will gain access to the markets of Turkey and Iran. However, this infrastructure project has its own downside.

Thus, the railway will pass through the territory of Azerbaijan, and "evil tongues" say that the consignors of goods will have to face the ancient tradition of eastern corruption and all kinds of extortions. At any moment, in case of aggravation of relations, the railway supply between Russia and Armenia can be interrupted by Baku. By the way, trains with Azerbaijani soldiers, weapons and ammunition will then go along the same routes towards Armenia.
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  1. 123 Offline 123
    123 (123) 13 January 2021 14: 20
    +4
    So that the Kremlin would not be so offended, at a trilateral meeting last Monday they “threw a bone” in the form of a second transport corridor, which should connect Armenia with Russia.

    Why should the Kremlin suddenly be offended?
    They threw the bone ... Yeah ... Where did you get so much bile? The wrong profession was called the oldest wink

    At any moment, in case of aggravation of relations, the railway supply between Russia and Armenia can be interrupted by Baku.

    Can't the railway supply through the territory of Armenia be naturally interrupted? Are they ashamed? winked

    By the way, trains with Azerbaijani soldiers, weapons and ammunition will then go along the same routes towards Armenia.

    What does it matter to you that Azerbaijan carries on its territory? Why don't you like her soldiers so much? Let Pashinyan ride back and forth along the new road in Armenia, to spite Aliyev smile
    1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 13 January 2021 14: 36
      0
      Why should the Kremlin suddenly be offended?

      Really. Just think, they took away part of the transit ... It's a trifle, sir ...

      Quote: 123
      Can't the railway supply through the territory of Armenia be naturally interrupted? Are they ashamed?

      For what purpose? To spoil someone specifically? It seems that Armenia does not have a land connection with Russia.

      What does it matter to you that Azerbaijan carries on its territory? Why don't you like her soldiers so much? Let Pashinyan ride back and forth along the new road in Armenia, to spite Aliyev smile

      If a new war starts, there will be a difference.
      1. 123 Offline 123
        123 (123) 13 January 2021 14: 58
        +3
        Really. Just think, they took away part of the transit ... It's a trifle, sir ...

        What other transit? Before that, there were no roads past Russia? We got the road to Armenia. Is this not transit to Iran?

        For what purpose? To spoil someone specifically? It seems that Armenia does not have a land connection with Russia.

        For exactly the same purpose as Azerbaijan. In both cases, we have a transport artery passing through another country. What is the difference? After all, Azerbaijan also does not have a land connection with Nakhichevan. The dependence is about the same. Azerbaijan means it can interrupt the message, and even the goal does not interest you and it is probably noble, but Armenia is not, except for the sole purpose of spoiling. Your logic is rather strange.

        If a new war starts, there will be a difference.

        If you haven't forgotten, there was a war recently. And how did the absence of this railway affect something? Let's also dig a road beyond Derbent just in case, suddenly, in case of war, volunteers will go to war along it .. winked
        1. kapitan92 Offline kapitan92
          kapitan92 (Vyacheslav) 13 January 2021 22: 55
          0
          Quote: 123
          After all, Azerbaijan also does not have a land connection with Nakhichevan.

          This road existed. Railway track Horadiz-Ordubat was dismantled during the war


          There was a Baku-Nakhichevan train.
          1. 123 Offline 123
            123 (123) 14 January 2021 07: 29
            0
            This road existed. The Horadiz-Ordubat railway track was dismantled during the war. There was a Baku-Nakhichevan train.

            Am I against it? The road in any case through Armenia, that's what we are talking about. Armenia has no direct access to Russia, Azerbaijan has no direct access to Nakhichevan and further to Turkey. We have to negotiate, there is no other way. hi
  2. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 13 January 2021 17: 07
    +3
    If the Armenians take an example from Israel and build up their army, then the blocking of Nakhichevan in 5 years will be a new cause of the conflict.
  3. Petr Vladimirovich (Peter) 13 January 2021 17: 23
    +2
    Azerbaijani exclave of Nakhichevan, sandwiched between Turkey and Armenia

    Turkey has a 9 km common border with the ARN. The rest of the border is with Iran. There is a highway. There is a bus route Nakhichevan-Istanbul. There is also a Nakhiven-Baku bus route, which goes through the territory of Iran. The one-way railway Nakhichevan-Baku through the territory of Armenia no longer exists. What needs to be restored is quite obvious. Will the Armenians let the Turks into their territory? It's better to ask them. Russian Railways may subscribe, but it's also better to ask them ...
  4. armusala310 Offline armusala310
    armusala310 (armusala310) 14 January 2021 10: 06
    0
    The railway from Azerbaijan to Turkey should enter Armenia 2 times, Kars-Gyumri-Nakhichevan and Nakhichevan-Meghri-Baku, the question is what income Armenia will receive from this transit, but there is a railway via Georgia why this is exactly important, I don’t know, the statement is about the opening of communication, and between Azerbaijan and Nakhichevan and not some kind of Turkish transit (automobile, and railway) there is no talk, communication of citizens of Azerbaijan ..
    1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 15 January 2021 15: 05
      0
      Quote: armusala310
      and between Azerbaijan and Nakhichevan and not some kind of Turkish transit (automobile, and railway) there is no talk,

      NOT YET. But it all goes to this, such a pun smile
      1. Peter rybak Offline Peter rybak
        Peter rybak (Patrol) 18 January 2021 21: 35
        -2
        Quote: Marzhetsky
        Quote: armusala310
        and between Azerbaijan and Nakhichevan and not some kind of Turkish transit (automobile, and railway) there is no talk,

        NOT YET. But it all goes to this, such a pun smile

        Where does the infa come from? From the brain?
  5. Peter rybak Offline Peter rybak
    Peter rybak (Patrol) 18 January 2021 21: 34
    -2
    shippers will have to face the ancient tradition of Eastern corruption and all kinds of extortions.

    And it seems funny, but I don't want to laugh. And the author writes this from the very heart of corruption, from society. built on extortion and corruption.