US sanctions against Russian industry will have serious consequences


The United States has dealt another sanctions blow against Russia. He fell for not only a sore spot, our dependence on imported components, but also for the access of domestic defense enterprises to foreign sales markets, and this is already very serious. Will the Russian industry manage to find an adequate response to these new challenges?


Several days ago, Washington published an updated sanctions list, which included not only leading domestic corporations and concerns, such as Rostec, Rosatom, Roskosmos, UEC, UAC, Tupolev, Irkut, Sukhoi Civil Aircraft, Rosoboronexport and others, but also the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, the Foreign Intelligence Service and the special flight unit "Russia". Now for the sale of American goods to these structures and of technologies requires a license from the Bureau of Industry and Security at the US Department of Commerce (BIS). Given the upcoming unpleasant consequences, this can be considered a declaration of war. At least trading.

Accessories


It is no secret that our country is seriously dependent on the supply of imported components. After the collapse of the USSR, up to a third of the enterprises of the Soviet military-industrial complex remained, in particular, in Ukraine. Until 2014, while this country remained in Moscow's sphere of influence, this did not seem to be a problem, but after that everything changed. Kiev imposed sanctions on the supply of aircraft and ship engines to Russia, as well as a number of other equipment. This created great difficulties, but the domestic industry was able to import substitution of key Ukrainian components.

But now a new blow is being delivered from the West. The "atomic bomb" under the Russian military-industrial complex was planted at one time by market reformers who uncompromisingly promoted the idea that everything you need can be bought abroad for petrodollars at any time. Therefore, within the framework of this flawed concept, the task of making "the world's largest" domestic microcircuits in smaller sizes was not even posed. Therefore, the Russian defense industry, unexpectedly for itself, has become dependent on the supply of components from the EU countries that are members of NATO, that is, on our potential military enemy. Now all this will have to pay dearly.

So, in 2014, after the sad events in Ukraine, then Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin admitted that Western components and assemblies were used in 640 samples of Russian military equipment. Mostly these were electronics and optics. An impressive figure. A year later, at a report to President Putin, the figure was even greater: by 2025, it was planned to replace imported components from NATO countries in 826 samples of domestic weapons.

American sanctions hit precisely this pain point. Some work has been done over the past few years. In 2019, Vladimir Putin reported that technological independence had been achieved for 350 weapons. But, as we can see, there is still a lot of work left, and now all these problems will manifest themselves in bulk. The domestic industry will have to somehow get out, solving problems in the face of budget deficits and sequestration of expenditures. Can we handle it? In the end, of course, yes. But it will be expensive, and the launch dates for many projects will be forced to shift to the right.

Markets


The threat of depriving the Russian defense industry of access to its traditional sales markets seems to be much more serious. Our country is the second largest arms producer in the world, second only to the United States. True, according to some sources, China seems to have already moved Russia from this position. Domestic weapons are mainly sold to countries of the second and third worlds, where they are popular in terms of price-quality ratio. But now a lot can change for the worse.

For some reason, we were very happy when Turkey bought the S-400 air defense systems, considering it a great geopolitical victory. Perhaps this is so, but for the Triumphs, Ankara also received a package of American sanctions from Washington. This is a signal not only for the newly-minted "sultan" not to get too deeply buried, but also for all other potential purchasers of Russian weapons. If the PRC or India can still afford the sovereign right to choose from whom to buy weapons, then the smaller countries will already think about whether Washington should be angry.

And this is a very big problem. If the domestic military-industrial complex can eventually replace imported components, then it is completely incomprehensible how it can maintain its position in foreign markets. The Russian Federation and the United States are in disparate weight categories in order to measure their geopolitical influence on the countries of the second and third world.
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  • Photos used: Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation
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  1. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 23 December 2020 11: 50
    +8
    The sooner Russia moves from the dollar to other currencies, the faster it will weaken the US's position on world markets. Now is the time to start domestic production of goods for the country. And for this you need to have a paying population. The money from the income should be directed to the development of one's own country, and not given to the States, which are imposing sanctions on Russia.
    1. Igor Berg Offline Igor Berg
      Igor Berg (Igor Berg) 23 December 2020 12: 56
      +1
      Quote: Bulanov
      Money from income should be directed to the development of your own country, and not given to the States,

      and who, if not our thieves in power, give them away and keep them in Western banks?
      1. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
        Bulanov (Vladimir) 23 December 2020 13: 15
        +3
        In any government, in all countries there are thieves and corrupt officials (starting from ancient Egypt). The task of the authorities is to cleanse their ranks of thieves and corrupt officials. The task of the people is to help the authorities do this.
        1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 23 December 2020 14: 25
          +4
          It's funny when the basis of the vertical of power of the Russian Federation is theft, to fight against theft, as if "bees against honey" (from the state budgets and others), it turns out that way, and they keep stolen in offshore and other places, because the stolen must be hidden ...
        2. updidi Offline updidi
          updidi (Alexander Kazakov) 24 December 2020 09: 09
          +2
          There is no doubt in all countries there is corruption and thieves. Only here in Russia it has acquired a simple cyclopean scope
      2. polev66 Offline polev66
        polev66 (Alexander) 23 December 2020 15: 17
        +2
        I'll tell you a terrible secret - the thieves from the Communist Party of the Soviet Union also kept money over the hill
      3. Fourth Horseman Offline Fourth Horseman
        Fourth Horseman (Fourth Horseman) 23 December 2020 19: 27
        -1
        The thief is always the loudest shouting "Stop thief"

        (Confucius.)
    2. qazwsx1209 Offline qazwsx1209
      qazwsx1209 (Boris Tsikinovsky) 24 December 2020 15: 40
      +3
      We have resisted the development of our country for a very long time. Buy there for a penny, sell your favorite topic here for a ruble. Well, what do the Americans have to say thank you, they will force our fucking leaders to make decisions on the development of the country and saturation of the market with their own and I hope high-quality goods.
    3. Igorzxc Offline Igorzxc
      Igorzxc (igorzxc) 24 December 2020 22: 50
      0
      Kindergarten!
      As long as thieves and criminals are in power in Russia, the sanctions will not be lifted.
      Domestic production of consumer goods has been destroyed and will not be restored without a change of government!
      1. Elena Ushkova Offline Elena Ushkova
        Elena Ushkova (Elena Ushkova) 26 December 2020 12: 31
        +1
        External control of Ukraine shows that theft there has only grown significantly.
  2. Dimy4 Offline Dimy4
    Dimy4 (Dmitriy) 23 December 2020 12: 25
    +8
    We need our own industry, otherwise they will crush us. It was said long ago by an intelligent person.
  3. 123 Offline 123
    123 (123) 23 December 2020 14: 10
    +7
    For some reason, we were very happy when Turkey bought the S-400 air defense systems, considering it a great geopolitical victory. Perhaps this is so, but Ankara received a package of American sanctions from Washington for the Triumphs.

    Did we have to be sad and worried about Erdogan?

    This is a signal not only to the newly-minted "sultan" not to get too deeply buried, but also to all other potential purchasers of Russian weapons.

    They "semaphore" for a long time probably earned corns. What's new in this? In my opinion, sanctions are usually introduced not when it comes to mind, but at a certain moment. For example, they sell their products, they know that they are preparing a replacement for it and it will appear soon. If introduced early, their producers will suffer and this will be an incentive to accelerate "import substitution". If they are introduced later, they will be meaningless and will not cause any damage. Or if some direction of activity has developed so much that it presents a serious problem for them. So, paradoxically, each new "sanctions package" is a good sign.

    If the PRC or India can still afford the sovereign right to choose from whom to buy weapons, then the smaller countries will already think about whether Washington should be angry.

    These countries simply need weapons, this is the guarantee of their survival. It is often simply not possible to switch to another manufacturer. It’s up to them whether to think about themselves or the mood of the Americans. The choice is theirs. Their sovereign right to choose whether to live or die. Maybe they should think about how to be less dependent on the Americans?

    And this is a very big problem. If the domestic military-industrial complex can eventually replace imported components, then it is completely incomprehensible how it can maintain its position in foreign markets. The Russian Federation and the United States are in disparate weight categories in order to measure their geopolitical influence on the countries of the second and third world.

    So we will see who is ready to stand up for themselves, and who prefers to lick American shoes. So, although not large at first, but its own sphere of influence is formed. You have to start somewhere.
    1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 24 December 2020 07: 04
      0
      Quote: 123
      And this is a very big problem. If the domestic military-industrial complex can eventually replace imported components, then it is completely incomprehensible how it can maintain its position in foreign markets. The Russian Federation and the United States are in disparate weight categories in order to measure their geopolitical influence on the countries of the second and third world.

      So we will see who is ready to stand up for themselves, and who prefers to lick American shoes. So, although not large at first, but its own sphere of influence is formed. You have to start somewhere.

      The only one who is not ready to lick American boots is Turkey. But to us, to put it mildly, she is not a friend, but an enemy as much as the United States. Old and close by location, from which we can not get away. Our entire real sphere of influence is Belarus for now. And then ...
      1. 123 Offline 123
        123 (123) 24 December 2020 08: 38
        +2
        The only one who is not ready to lick American boots is Turkey.

        Are you also not included in this number? smile Express such thoughts out loud, for example, Cubans, a tank helmet may not help repeat Comrade Kim, I believe, too, would be somewhat surprised by such an assessment laughing It's also hard to imagine Comrade Xi licking cowboy boots. In general, there are a lot of examples. In my opinion you insult all these people and entire countries. sad

        But to us, to put it mildly, she is not a friend, but an enemy as much as the United States.

        And who considers her a friend? belay Are you going to be friends or sell weapons?

        Old and close by location, from which we can not get away.

        Neighbors don't choose Geography however.

        Our entire real sphere of influence is Belarus for now. And then ...

        A very dubious statement. The sphere of influence is at least the place where you can influence something, and not where they say that they are your allies. Somewhere this influence is greater, somewhere less. For example, South Ossetia where the influence is very strong, Syria where less and Algeria where we do not really influence anything (at least as far as I know). Moreover, the volume of arms contracts is not directly proportional to the degree of influence. I doubt very much that they will abandon our weapons, and at the same time we do not need them to declare allied relations from the high tribunes. By the way, I suppose Egypt will not give up our weapons either. The influence of the United States is not unlimited, you should not think so. What do you want from the "sphere of influence"? Beautiful statements?
        1. Petr Vladimirovich (Peter) 24 December 2020 14: 48
          0
          Let it be already, our friend Sergei is also sometimes mistaken drinks
          1. 123 Offline 123
            123 (123) 24 December 2020 15: 34
            +3
            Let it be already, our friend Sergei is also sometimes mistaken

            It is human nature to be delusional. We are all not without this disadvantage.
            We argue and "exchange barbs" quite often, but in my opinion this is not the case. request
            In this case, it is more like an exchange of views and no more drinks
      2. Andro Offline Andro
        Andro (Andrey Tsarazon) 29 December 2020 16: 00
        +1
        Exactly, and then ... Unfortunately, in Russia on all sorts of TV shows, statements of both simple teclowns and prominent politicians that Russia feeds Belarus, calling it a "subsidized region" sound offensive to Belarusians. And some prominent politicians have generally supported this upstart directly or indirectly. Do they all have no idea that with the loss of Belarus, as with the loss of Ukraine, the losses of Russia will increase many times over than they spend on this truly fraternal republic? Moreover, the people of Belarus are not at all parasites, everyone works, both in production and in agriculture, and produces high-quality products that are exported not only to Russia. And this is in the face of total sanctions.
  4. lahudra Offline lahudra
    lahudra (Nikolay Kondrashkin) 23 December 2020 19: 44
    -7
    There is not a single country that would carry out modernization in conflict with Western civilization.
    1. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
      steelmaker 23 December 2020 20: 10
      +1
      USSR 20-30 years !!
      1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
        Marzhecki (Sergei) 24 December 2020 07: 02
        -2
        That's it. There is no other alternative given the obvious collapse of the current model.
      2. Mish Offline Mish
        Mish (Misha) 24 December 2020 12: 57
        +1
        The USSR did not conflict with the USA. It was from the USA that machines, engineers and turbines came
        1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
          Marzhecki (Sergei) 28 December 2020 08: 43
          +3
          We still have our own engineers. There is still something to do and machines and turbines, if desired. What we cannot do ourselves, we can buy from the PRC for the transition period.
      3. lahudra Offline lahudra
        lahudra (Nikolay Kondrashkin) 24 December 2020 22: 17
        -4
        All industrial giants of the Soviet Union were built by American engineers according to American designs.
        1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
          Marzhecki (Sergei) 28 December 2020 08: 41
          +2
          Now what? Today, Russian engineers are unable to make their projects or what?
    2. Heroes Heroes Offline Heroes Heroes
      Heroes Heroes (Sergei) 24 December 2020 20: 13
      0
      In vain you were transferred to remote control again. You look, sitting at the desk would learn a lot of new things.
  5. Yurets Offline Yurets
    Yurets (Yuri) 23 December 2020 19: 50
    -1
    We always, for some reason, winter starts unexpectedly ...
  6. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 23 December 2020 20: 09
    +5
    Well, and what to call the rulers and authorities, if this is really so? I have read a lot of snowstorms here in the comments, but no one has given a real assessment of the information. Questions will be resolved when they are put edge-on! So what to call the rulers and authorities who built the economy so that 826 samples of military products depend on foreign suppliers? Under Stalin they were called "a pest or enemy of the people." The information in the article is firing squad. So who is our enemy of the people? Power or journalist?
    1. Petr Vladimirovich (Peter) 24 December 2020 14: 49
      -2
      Both are worse (c)
      1. The comment was deleted.
  7. bear040 Offline bear040
    bear040 23 December 2020 20: 58
    +8
    As long as Putin walks along the banks of the Yeltsin swamp, the United States will become impudent. It is time for the Russian Federation to impose retaliatory sanctions against the United States and not on tomatoes, but on Hummers, for example, on McDonald's, on HarleyDevidson, on Jeep, on American hunting weapons, on everything without which the Russian Federation can easily live, and the United States, having lost the market for these goods, will begin to count losses.
    1. Cyril Offline Cyril
      Cyril (Kirill) 23 December 2020 22: 00
      -6
      and for Hummers, for example, for McDonald's, for HarleyDevidson, for Jeep, for American hunting weapons, for everything without which the Russian Federation can easily live, and the United States, having lost the market for these goods, will begin to consider losses.

      Of all of the above, only McDuckies are massively represented in Russia. Everything else is a single piece of goods in Russia.
      1. Wanderer039 Offline Wanderer039
        Wanderer039 23 December 2020 22: 20
        +6
        Come on. Even in our poor province, there are a lot of American cars, there are American weapons in Hunter stores, and in addition to McDonald's there are American HolidayIn hotels, American Pepsi and CocaCola, American planes and helicopters, and American motorcycles are not uncommon. And without all this, the Russian Federation can easily live. and the United States, the refusal of the Russian Federation from these goods will hurt the pocket
        1. lahudra Offline lahudra
          lahudra (Nikolay Kondrashkin) 24 December 2020 22: 13
          -2
          Refuse your relatives with cancer diagnosis in American medicines.
      2. Heroes Heroes Offline Heroes Heroes
        Heroes Heroes (Sergei) 24 December 2020 20: 15
        0
        Spit. We have to start somewhere. You can start with this!
  8. RFR Offline RFR
    RFR (RFR) 23 December 2020 23: 33
    +4
    As long as we have a fifth column in power, we will continue to depend on the dollar and on sanctions, and there will be no import substitution ...
  9. Nick Offline Nick
    Nick (Nikolai) 23 December 2020 23: 40
    -2
    The author would have better be concerned with the situation on the Ruin. He does not see from there that the Russian defense industry has already overcome the crisis with the help of import substitution. And the political weight of Russia is growing by leaps and bounds, as well as technological, in contrast to the American. Five or six more years and little of the former greatness of the United States will remain.
    1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 24 December 2020 06: 57
      +5
      I have nothing to do with Ukraine. I am a citizen of the Russian Federation, I was born and live all my life in the Urals. So stop writing nonsense and simplify, reducing the matter to "Ukrainian propaganda".
      As for the growth of political weight, it was only growing. television is growing unfortunately.
      1. Petr Vladimirovich (Peter) 24 December 2020 15: 02
        -6
        So stop writing nonsense

        Dear Sergey, is it possible without rudeness?
        1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
          Marzhecki (Sergei) 28 December 2020 08: 37
          +3
          And what is rudeness? This commentator, knowing that I am a citizen of the Russian Federation, writes that I am Ukrainian. And the fact that I am supposedly Ukrainian, allegedly explains the incorrectness of what I have written. Is it stupid or not?
          Let him start with himself first, okay?
      2. Petr Vladimirovich (Peter) 28 December 2020 16: 44
        0
        So stop writing nonsense and oversimplify

        He said how he cut it off ...))) Plus he made a fuss to the editor.
        Gee-gee! I'm waiting for the ban, it's much easier than opposing ...)))
  10. Mantrid Machina Offline Mantrid Machina
    Mantrid Machina (Mantrid Machina) 23 December 2020 23: 54
    +2
    Rogozin reported

    ... and continue to sell the striped RD-181. of course, your pocket is closer to your body
    1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 24 December 2020 06: 59
      +5
      Oh, if you only read on what enslaving terms an agreement on the RD-180 was signed for Russia ... We make and sell them for a penny, while we are deprived of the right to sell engines to anyone other than the United States, without the consent of the United States. Can you imagine this?
      The one who signed it and then renewed it really needs to be sent to MLS.
  11. Sergey Novitsky Offline Sergey Novitsky
    Sergey Novitsky (Sergey Novitsky) 24 December 2020 10: 51
    +1
    "Poor we are unhappy" The United States threatened us, how are we going to live under sanctions, everything "disappeared" Russia, did I understand the author correctly?
    1. The comment was deleted.
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    2. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 28 December 2020 08: 34
      0
      I do not exclude that you personally will live well smile
  12. Igor Berg Offline Igor Berg
    Igor Berg (Igor Berg) 24 December 2020 11: 23
    +1
    you need to do this

  13. shonsu Offline shonsu
    shonsu (Shonsu) 24 December 2020 12: 12
    -1
    Interestingly, there are still countries in the world that have not fallen under US sanctions to one degree or another?
    1. Petr Vladimirovich (Peter) 24 December 2020 15: 07
      0
      Of course, those who bombed or killed the president ...
  14. Heroes Heroes Offline Heroes Heroes
    Heroes Heroes (Sergei) 24 December 2020 20: 07
    0
    If it's garlic, then the situation is very shitty!
  15. Vladimir Arkhipychev (Vladimir Arkhipychev) 26 December 2020 09: 19
    +1
    In principle, the poor servants will pay off for the sanctions, and the oligarchs, protected by law, will receive what they have lost. There will be less pension, salary, well, there will be more poor, in place of 20 million 30. Nothing will change. United Russia rules.
  16. Egor 7b7 Offline Egor 7b7
    Egor 7b7 26 December 2020 19: 50
    +1
    Everything that was created by the Soviet people thanks to simply titanic efforts was plundered and destroyed by Yeltsin's young reformers. And what is the situation at the moment? Which of them was prosecuted? No, all these scum are treated kindly by the authorities and calmly continue to work for the State Department with the full consent of Putin and his gang. A pantheon was erected for himself, an eternally drunk "reformer" at the expense of the people. To paraphrase the famous saying: A thief cannot take out his eyes.
    1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 28 December 2020 08: 33
      0
      Did privatization stop after Yeltsin at all?
  17. Alexander Nazarov (Alexander Nazarov) 27 December 2020 18: 14
    0
    How many times Russia has been predicted grave consequences from sanctions, and Geyropa and her six are suffering.
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  20. DeGreen Offline DeGreen
    DeGreen 28 December 2020 09: 22
    0
    The author scribbled another opus. But he did not give any advice.
  21. Ren_2 Offline Ren_2
    Ren_2 (rinat isyanguzhin) 28 December 2020 09: 22
    0
    The noose thrown around the neck of Russia is slowly choking more and more. China in this matter is also not an ally to their advantage, that Russia falls out of the competition for the export of weapons.
  22. Paramon Pictures (Paramon Pictures) 29 December 2020 09: 49
    0
    How much can you "chew". The crows themselves - we ourselves get. Who are these homosexual liberals who interfere with the life of Russia, who are these brave ones who are not afraid of Putin.

    So when they tell me about devastation, I laugh ... devastation in my heads
  23. Georgian Offline Georgian
    Georgian (VALERY BYKOV) 29 December 2020 14: 13
    0
    Stalin was not literate, but with brains ... He made the country independent and advanced. Russia now depends on the countries around it, from food to goods of almost all kinds ... Conclusion, education is not a mind ...
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  26. nikolai.shupenin 29 December 2020 20: 37
    0
    It's time to put the godfather in his place