Why neither Ukraine nor the West needs the return of Crimea

In Ukraine, they again started talking about the "de-occupation of Crimea", while Russia itself is urged to participate in this process. Instead of a forceful scenario, which Kiev is unable to implement in practice, it is proposed to do it through negotiations. Is it possible in general to return the peninsula to the "Ukrainian harbor" by peaceful means, and does anyone really need it?

Initially, President Poroshenko tried to return Crimea without a war. At the very beginning of his only term, he promised to make it so that his former compatriots themselves would come to their senses and eventually return:

We'll make sure they want to come back. For this we need to live in a new way, live better, live in such a way that they envy us in a good way. Because we have European integration, a visa-free regime, wages are not worse, and prices are much lower, that we have freedom and democracy.

If no fools, then the recipe is really good. Who refuses to live in the country described by Pyotr Alekseevich, fortunately, they themselves beckon back there? Unfortunately, Ukrainian realities are far from these beautiful words: the country has been in a state of civil war for the sixth year already, it totally depends on Western financial tranches, the population has become impoverished and is fleeing in all directions. policy and public life, the tone is set by ardent nationalists. Today's Square, let's be honest, is not the most pleasant place. If President Poroshenko fulfilled his promises, ordinary Ukrainians could only be glad for. (To be fair, let us mention that referendums on this topic are prohibited in Russia, as well as the alienation of territories itself).

Now the banner of "de-occupation of Crimea" that fell from his hands was picked up by President Zelensky. Vladimir Aleksandrovich does not give out more such unrealizable promises, he speaks only of "returning territories and recovering damage from the aggressor." An inter-factional association “Crimean Platform” was created in the Verkhovna Rada, and the head of state appealed to the international community to support it. Kiev asks for the creation of the position of the EU special representative on the Crimea issue. In Ukraine, they believe that the main thing is to start the process itself.

The key question is whether Ukraine and the West really need the return of Crimea? What will Kiev get then? Two million disloyal Russians guaranteed to vote in protest? How much money will be needed to further develop the resort peninsula? Over the past six years, Crimeans have gotten used to the fact that hundreds of billions of rubles are allocated from the federal center, construction is underway, new jobs are being created, and local contractors are receiving orders. Kiev has no money for all this, but people quickly get used to good things, if you take it away, there will be a lot of dissatisfied.

Is the return of Crimea necessary to Ukraine and the West? Come to think of it, no. As long as the peninsula belongs to Russia, there is reason for sanctions. Cutting the supply of water and electricity to Crimeans is forcing the Kremlin to spend funds from the federal budget to solve these problems. The forced strengthening of the defense of the peninsula in NATO is interpreted as militarization and is used as an excuse to strengthen its presence in the Black Sea and in Ukraine. Kiev can sell outdated weapons, while Turkey is clearly counting on the Ukrainian market to sell its UAVs. US strategic bombers, with Kiev's permission, are already flying calmly along the Russian borders.

It turns out that the collective West, led by the United States, is not interested in the real return of Crimea to Independence. And even if it is theoretically imagined that it will someday be voluntarily returned, our opponents will immediately consider this a manifestation of weakness and will only increase their further pressure and militarization. Then they will have to be stopped somewhere near Moscow.
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  1. Fourth Horseman Offline Fourth Horseman
    Fourth Horseman (Fourth Horseman) 9 December 2020 07: 24
    Ukraine, without Crimea and part of the Donbass, is not able to feed itself. Therefore, they only have to make such statements.
    In the hope of receiving further leftovers from the owners.
    And Western sanctions, for Russia, were before Crimea and will be after ..
    They will come up with a reason.
    And for sure, the West would not refuse Crimea.
    1. Marzhecki Online Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 9 December 2020 08: 29
      Quote: The Fourth Horseman
      And for sure, the West would not refuse Crimea.

      At this historical stage, the presence of Crimea in the Russian Federation is objectively more profitable for the United States.
      1. Just a cat Online Just a cat
        Just a cat (Bayun) 9 December 2020 09: 13
        The West and the United States are playing on the mentality of the Ukrainians, driving them into debt. And then they will gladly hang it around the neck of Russia. With such ballast in Russia, the Americans will not need military bases. Now no loans and investments will get them out of the hole.
  2. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 9 December 2020 08: 56
    I came up with a question myself, I answered it myself.
    What for only to attach to it Ukraine, the West and the Aliens.
  3. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 9 December 2020 09: 00
    In the United States, they still regret that they did not manage to get a military base in Sevastopol. Nuland woke Russia up too early. Hurry to get rid of Yanukovych. A year later, it could be safely removed in a democratic way and having put the second Yushchenko to squeeze the naval base in the Crimea from Russia for the United States. In this case, the Ukronazis helped Russia by setting fire to and shooting 8 buses with Crimeans in the Cherkasy region. After that, the Crimea swung sharply towards Russia.
  4. Alexzn Offline Alexzn
    Alexzn (Alexander) 9 December 2020 09: 04
    Ukraine did everything for Russia to take Crimea - a fact. Russia needs Donbass today for trade in Crimea. I think Russia would transfer it on certain conditions with the international recognition of Crimea. At one time, Merkel tried to exchange Crimea for non-interference of Russia in Donbass and Putin agreed with such an exchange, but the initiative from below violated these plans.
    Parodox - Ukraine does not really need Crimea, Russia does not really need Donbass. Ukraine has created the stupidest collision.
    1. Bitter Offline Bitter
      Bitter 9 December 2020 11: 27
      Crimea is not very necessary for Ukraine, Donbass is not very necessary for Russia. Ukraine has created the stupidest collision.

      Ukraine definitely needs Crimea, it's hard to dispute. If you look further, then Ukraine simply needs a protectorate over Moscow. They themselves have mentioned this more than once.
      The conflict was created not only by Ukraine; at least two "attended" there. The fact that Russia does not need Donbass is not surprising. Of course, they do not give up their "friends," but who and how defines these "friends" is a difficult question. In general, Russia only needs an army, a navy, something else, the Crimea and the Kuriles.
    2. ODRAP Offline ODRAP
      ODRAP (Alexey) 10 December 2020 00: 06
      The collision was not created by Ukraine.
      And so, I agree.
  5. Semyon Semyonov_2 (Semyon Semyonov) 9 December 2020 11: 04
    No returns!
  6. Sapsan136 Offline Sapsan136
    Sapsan136 (Alexander) 17 December 2020 12: 17
    The return of Crimea to NATO is necessary, but the hands are short for this and it does not even matter for them whether the Crimea will be part of Ukraine, or Turkey, which feeds all this supposedly Tatar, and in fact Turkish Mejlis, the main thing is that Crimea is not part of the Russian Federation ... And they will find sanctions even without Crimea for what to impose against the Russian Federation ...