Turkey makes possible conflict with Russia inevitable


Despite a number of internal economic problems, Turkey is increasingly asserting itself as a powerful regional leader capable of influencing the foreign policy situation in the Mediterranean, the Middle East and the South Caucasus. Ankara forces many world powers, including Russia, to reckon with their interests. Is a conflict between Turkey and the Russian Federation possible in the future?


Recep Erdogan conducts a very cunning and calculating policies - he has built clear rules of the game with the United States within the framework of NATO and understands the need to respect certain boundaries. The Turks are not entirely sincere in relations with Baku either, not wanting an unconditional victory of Azerbaijan over Armenia in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict - it is important for Turkey to declare itself as an accomplice in these events.

As for a possible clash between Turkey and Russia, a gradual slide towards conflict cannot be avoided - Turkey is behind Azerbaijan's back, and Russia is supporting Armenia.

The creation of an axis of unification of the Turkic-speaking peoples, which will be accompanied by the deployment of Turkish military bases in the allied countries, although today looks rather illusory, is not something of a kind of fantasy. Yesterday Turkey lived a calm, measured life, dealing with internal issues, and today it is already participating in hostilities on three fronts of the war, actively putting a spoke in the wheels of Russia.

According to experts from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), relations between Moscow and Ankara have aggravated against the background of the confrontation of the interests of the two countries in Syria, Libya and the Caucasus. So, at the end of October, the Russian Aerospace Forces dealt a powerful blow to the pro-Turkish combat formations in Syria - this can serve as a direct message to Turkey.

The foreign policy interests of both countries collide in Libya as well - Erdogan is supporting the NTC forces there, creating his sphere of influence in the resource-rich eastern Mediterranean. Russia, helping the LNA, is also seeking to gain a foothold in northern Africa by building a military base here and gaining access to oil reserves.

By supporting Baku in the military confrontation in the NKR, the Turks are trying to drive a wedge into the growing bilateral relations between Russia and Azerbaijan and expand their sphere of influence in the Caucasus, while profiting from the sale of arms to Azerbaijanis. Russia, on the other hand, seeks to act as a mediator in the reconciliation of the warring parties, trying to keep Yerevan and Baku in the orbit of its interests. Turkey's growing power makes a likely conflict with Russia almost inevitable.

Russia will seek to resolve the conflict by force in response to the growing military role of Turkey and the growing diplomatic role of the United States

- ISW analysts believe.
12 comments
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  1. Hayer31 Offline Hayer31
    Hayer31 (Kashchei) 4 November 2020 09: 59
    -3
    By selling the C400, building a nuclear power plant for its own money, Russia is pushing Turkey to create an atomic bomb.
    1. Ivan Ivanov_20 Offline Ivan Ivanov_20
      Ivan Ivanov_20 (Ivan Ivanov) 4 November 2020 17: 57
      +1
      Other reactors are needed to produce materials for atomic bombs. In addition, the spent fuel is returned to Russia for reprocessing under contracts.
    2. polev66 Offline polev66
      polev66 (Alexander) 5 November 2020 17: 46
      +1
      hmm ... only dirty at most. atomic they definitely do not shine
  2. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 4 November 2020 10: 19
    -2
    The growing power of Turkey makes the latter's likely conflict with Russia almost inevitable.

    I will correct the author a little. Not the power of Turkey, but impunity! And the more Russia wipes it off and does not give a fair kick, the more the likelihood of war in the future.
    1. rotkiv04 Offline rotkiv04
      rotkiv04 (Victor) 4 November 2020 11: 18
      +1
      So the guarantor said that we will answer when they are driven into a corner, it means they have not yet driven, you can endure
    2. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 4 November 2020 21: 10
      0
      Fundamentally wrong judgment with the conclusion on the injection of some sort of ISV, very willing to knock their heads against Turkey and Russia. On the contrary, the further, the more situationally Turkey and Russia are drawing closer together and standing on the same side of the barricades ... So the enemies are trying to destroy such a rapprochement, and it makes the Middle East more predictable and peaceful ...
    3. polev66 Offline polev66
      polev66 (Alexander) 5 November 2020 17: 47
      +1
      I see someone once again wants to fight. other people's lives, riveting comments from the home kitchen
  3. Peter rybak Offline Peter rybak
    Peter rybak (Patrol) 4 November 2020 20: 51
    +2
    I think this is one of dozens of far-fetched versions. I don't believe that Putin and Erdogan have entered an era of confrontation. For all my negative attitude towards our president, I think he is a very strong player in the foreign political arena. Having shifted the country's internal affairs to grabbers and confidants (the same grabbers), he is seriously engaged in foreign policy. Lavrov is a tinsel, he does not take a step without an agreement from above. And when he starts to mow (unilateral support for Armenia in the conflict), they announce that he is sick with coronavirus. By the way, the coronavirus is a powerful weapon of power.
    I am sure they are on the same wavelength with Erdogan. But time will tell.
    1. Bitter Offline Bitter
      Bitter (Gleb) 5 November 2020 23: 42
      -1
      I am sure they are on the same wavelength with Erdogan.

      And Erdogan, in turn, is on the same wavelength with Ukraine. In general, everything is according to plan.
  4. Anatoly Melnikov (Anatoly Melnikov) 5 November 2020 17: 49
    +1
    What kind of war? Erdogan Aliyev only needs to return his districts. Yes, yes - just for that. Azerbaijan does not want to be a Turkish vassal and will not spoil relations with Russia. Everyone solves their problems in their own way. Is not it?
  5. yurijyadrin Offline yurijyadrin
    yurijyadrin (Yuri Alekseev) 5 November 2020 19: 25
    +2
    The Turks got involved in this adventure with only one purpose.
    Under the pretext of military assistance, troops are sent to Azerbaijan and take control of the pipeline and fields.
    And the Armenians are on their side. For now..
    Their task is to seize oil and power. For everywhere they got a bummer with a freebie.
    1. Peter rybak Offline Peter rybak
      Peter rybak (Patrol) 6 November 2020 22: 13
      -1
      Quote: yurijyadrin
      The Turks got involved in this adventure with only one purpose.
      Under the pretext of military assistance, troops are sent to Azerbaijan and take control of the pipeline and fields.
      And the Armenians are on their side. For now..
      Their task is to seize oil and power. For everywhere they got a bummer with a freebie.

      Why do they need control over the pipeline if it still leaves the sea on Turkish territory? Where is the logic?