Battle for Nagorno-Karabakh will end near Shusha


The Azerbaijani military in Nagorno-Karabakh were forced to change the direction of the main attack. Faced with desperate Armenian resistance, they failed to take control of the Lachin corridor, which would cut the unrecognized republic from Armenia. However, they still have the opportunity to force Stepanakert to capitulate, starting to hit him with direct fire from all barrels.


Baku managed to advance quite far across the territory of Nagorno-Karabakh, but did not achieve the main strategic goal of cutting it off from Armenia. Left without supplies, the isolated, unrecognized republic would eventually be forced to surrender at the mercy of the victor. Understanding this perfectly, the Armenian military rested to death. As a result, the attackers stopped with open flanks. If Yerevan had sufficient forces, it could close the grouping into a cauldron and defeat it. However, serious supply problems prevent the Armenian BTG from doing this.

Failure in the main direction forced the Azerbaijani military and their Turkish advisers to switch to "plan B". The troops are gradually withdrawn from the threat of encirclement and are transferred to the neighboring high-mountain gorge, from where the road to the city of Shusha opens. This is the most serious danger for Nagorno-Karabakh. After the embarrassment at Lachin, the capture of Shushi remains the last, but a real chance for Azerbaijan to defeat Armenia. President of the unrecognized republic, Harutyunyan bluntly stated:

As they say: who owns Shusha, he owns Artsakh. I want all of us to realize this moment, and realize it not only in words, but also by direct participation in the defense of Shushi.

And this is not an exaggeration. The small town is located just 10 kilometers from Stepanakert, and the road to the capital of Nagorno-Karabakh passes through it. At one time, only by capturing Shushi, the Armenians were able to secure Stepanakert, which lies in front of him at a glance, from the attacks of Azerbaijani missiles and artillery. By the way, Shamil Basayev, not unknown to Russians, was then among the defenders of the city. Shusha was taken in just a day, this victory is considered an important milestone in the history of the Karabakh conflict.

For Baku, the return of Shushi is not only a key to Stepanakert, but also a matter of national prestige. Before the arrival of the Armenians, 98% of the population of the town were ethnic Azerbaijanis. Conspiracy theories of betrayal were popular, but the most realistic explanation for the defeat is considered to be the extremely low combat effectiveness of the Azerbaijani army at that time. Now times have changed, Baku has properly "pumped" its Armed Forces and with the help of Turkish advisers is ready to take revenge.

At the moment, the Azerbaijani military is only 5 kilometers from Shushi, but for Stepanakert, everything is not as bad as it sounds at first glance. Drag tanks and other heavy machinery extremely problematic, the Armenians, in turn, organized a defense along the edge of the ridge. Baku is forced to act by special forces, which move on foot and carry appropriate weapons. Even if they manage to punch a path for armored vehicles, the group can be cut off from supplies and itself get into the encirclement on the other side. Ultimately, the battle for Karabakh will be resolved in the mountains, where Azerbaijanis no longer have a decisive advantage due to heavy weapons and strike UAVs cannot operate with the same effectiveness.
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  1. Cheburashk Offline Cheburashk
    Cheburashk (Vladimir) 31 October 2020 21: 15
    +1
    Whether Azerbaijan has pumped up its forces or not is a secondary question. The most important thing is the motivation and spirit of those who are fighting. For the people of Artsakh, it is a matter of survival in the literal sense of the word. Artsakh will fight to death and nothing else is left for him. In other words, the Azerbaijani troops (we mean the Turkish ) there they will kill everyone and leave a little to appear that everything is fine.
    And yes, the capture of Shushi is the final of Artsakh, the final of Artsakh is the beginning of the final of Armenia and further along the chain.
    1. Azer Hasanli Offline Azer Hasanli
      Azer Hasanli (Azer Hasanli) 2 November 2020 12: 17
      0
      You have a sick imagination. There are no Turkish troops in Karabakh (fear has big eyes). Physically, there are no people of Artsakh. There are Armenian newcomers whom Russia brought to Karabakh from Iran in the 19th century (40 thousand Armenians were imported from Maragha in Iran. In honor of the 150th anniversary of the resettlement from Iran in 1978, the Armenians erected a monument in Karabakh).
    2. maiman61 Offline maiman61
      maiman61 (Yuri) 2 November 2020 12: 32
      +1
      The motivation and spirit of Azerbaijani soldiers to liberate their native land, which has been under occupation for thirty years! Embrace the walls of his home, from where his parents were kicked out! But if the Chinese seized our lands, would our soldiers have motivation to liberate these lands? In your opinion, there would be no motivation.
  2. Khakim Kuchmezov_2 (Tom Kuchmezova) 31 October 2020 22: 37
    0
    Why climb Shusha and Lachin when there is a great prospect of bypassing these populated areas and cutting off the road Most likely this will happen.Pulling up the reserves, cleaning out the vicinities of the conquered villages, the Azerbaijani Armed Forces will surround these key settlements without straining, surrounding the entire group of Armenian Armed Forces and cutting the road of life
  3. rotkiv04 Offline rotkiv04
    rotkiv04 (Victor) 31 October 2020 23: 06
    0
    the mountain war is not at all what it was before, how many they fought with the Chechens and if the Kadyrov clan had not won over to their side, then it is not known how it would have ended, so with a competent approach from the Armenians, at best, there will be a military draw for Aliyev , and at worst they will get stuck for a long time
  4. Mister who Offline Mister who
    Mister who (Max) 1 November 2020 10: 20
    0
    Biological weapons change the situation imperceptibly and quickly, and not as costly. Cheap and cheerful ..
  5. Cheburashk Offline Cheburashk
    Cheburashk (Vladimir) 2 November 2020 12: 41
    0
    You have a sick imagination. There are no Turkish troops in Karabakh (fear has big eyes). Physically, there are no people of Artsakh. There are Armenian newcomers whom Russia brought to Karabakh from Iran in the 19th century (40 thousand Armenians were imported from Maragha in Iran. In honor of the 150th anniversary of the resettlement from Iran in 1978, the Armenians erected a monument in Karabakh).

    This is sick with you and what does it have to do with it. I did not talk about the Azerbaijani troops near Shusha (learn to read), I wrote about the DRG. The Armenians lived there from centuries ago (learn not your own history, but world history). So, you turned out to be a troll. And in Yerevan ... you'll get tired of swallowing dust.
  6. Seal Offline Seal
    Seal (Sergey Petrovich) 5 November 2020 15: 21
    0
    Quote: Cheburashk
    Armenians lived there from time immemorial

    And when was the word "Armenians" first written on paper?