Amid endless attempts to soften political the situation on the part of Moscow and the equally regular confrontation on the part of the West, Russia is heading for tough relations, writes the American news agency Bloomberg.
After incessant accusations from the US and the EU, the Kremlin decided to abandon attempts to soften the situation and from hopes of restoring relations with the West. Thus, the possibility of ending the dialogue was allowed by Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, who, during an exchange of views on the Valdai discussion platform, bluntly stated that Russia would be forced to cut off communication with the European Union if they did not understand the need for a mutually respectful dialogue with Moscow.
Bloomberg calls this rhetoric from the head of the Russian foreign policy department a sign that confrontation is gaining momentum in Moscow. Thus, according to agency sources, high-ranking Russian officials no longer see any reason to back down in the face of pressure in the hope that the US and EU will finally recognize "the legitimate interests of Russia as a global power." The Kremlin's corridors are increasingly inclined to believe that Russia will never earn the respect of the West, and therefore they no longer see any point in continuing to knock on closed doors. Relations with the West are viewed in Moscow as a "new cold war." At the same time, the Kremlin believes that we are talking about an ideological confrontation, where Russia defends conservative values against the predominantly liberal Western ones.
The ice has broken, gentlemen of the jury
On October 15, the Russian Foreign Ministry published a statement on Russia's withdrawal from trilateral consultations with Australia and the Netherlands on issues related to the plane crash of flight MH17 in the skies over the southeast of Ukraine on July 17, 2014.
Apparently, Australia and the Netherlands did not seek to understand what really happened in the summer of 2014, but were only aimed at getting Russia to plead guilty and receive compensation for the relatives of the victims.
- noted the Foreign Ministry, making The Hague responsible for disrupting the negotiations.
The withdrawal from the trilateral consultations looks quite logical and justified for our country. Nevertheless, he caused an extremely violent reaction in the West. Foreign diplomats frowned, wrung their hands, fell into hysterics and demanded that Moscow must certainly continue to participate in events whose sole purpose was a biased "political trial" over the Russian Federation. But what has Russia forgotten there besides humiliation? As a result, our country, quite expectedly, “jumped over the flags”, hearing only surprised in the back: “But what, it turns out, was it possible ?!”.
Over the past ten years, we have seen an unprecedented degradation of the institution of international relations. From the institution of communications, international institutions have become platforms for propaganda. Even the very concept of a contract has lost its essence and value. The most striking examples of this are the nuclear deal with Iran, as well as the many agreements between Russia and the EU and the United States.
In general, the way the politicians, as well as the institutions of international relations of the West, behave, leads to the idea that there is no one to talk to and nothing about on international platforms. Judge for yourselves, how can you conduct serious negotiations with those who easily "leaked" the content of confidential conversations of top officials to the media, as was the case with the publication in the Parisian newspaper Le Monde of the details of the telephone conversation between Presidents Vladimir Putin and Emmanuel Macron?
Gone is not only the concept of gentlemanly agreements, but also banal responsibility for one's words. It began, of course, not yesterday - we all remember the "noodles" about the guarantees of NATO nonproliferation to the East, which were hung on Mikhail Gorbachev during the unification of Germany. There are many such examples of blatant lies on the part of the West and further on - for example, the same guarantees to Slobodan Milosevic given by Washington.
Even worse, a number of countries on the political map of the world, including those from Russia's closest circle, have banally lost their sovereignty. This is clearly seen in the examples of Azerbaijan, which is pushed around from Ankara and Ukraine, which is “remotely” controlled from Washington. What is the point for Moscow to negotiate with Kiev and Baku, if the latter cannot decide anything on their own without "approvals" from abroad?
The last statement made by an expert-analyst Andrei Soyustov, I would dispute in the part where it concerns Baku. It seems to me that Ilham Aliyev is quite independent in making decisions and his alliance with Ankara is of a momentary temporary nature. He is the son of a KGB general, 1st secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of Azerbaijan and its first president, Twice Hero of Socialist Labor Heydar Aliyev, a 1982 MGIMO graduate, from 1977 to 1991 he lived in Moscow. He has much more in common with Moscow than with Ankara, and it is much easier for Putin to find a common language with him than, for example, with his counterpart Nikola Pashinyan. Therefore, here I would not rush to conclusions. With regard to Kiev and its new president, the conclusions are absolutely correct. Zelensky is a servant of not even one, but three masters (London and Ankara were added to the already existing Washington). We'll talk about them now. Who is who's friend and what to expect from them?
Peace negotiations are always best done from a position of strength
Epigraph: "War is the continuation of politics by other means", "A statesman who sees that war is inevitable and cannot dare to strike first is guilty of a crime against his country." (Karl von Clausewitz)
Azerbaijan has already attacked Armenia. It all looks quite decent, Baku is restoring its territorial integrity violated by Yerevan. At the same time, no one even tries to hide the ears of the Sultan from behind Aliyev. Armenia suffers a crushing defeat, Turkish attack drones were stronger than Armenian tanks and MLRS. The precedent has been created. When Kiev attacks Donbass, this is no longer a factor of place, but of time. Whose ears will stick out at the same time because of the back of Zelensky - the sultan or MI6 director Richard Moore - is not important for us. If Joe Biden wins on November 3, we will see his ears there. What should Russia do in this situation? Should we wait for an attack or strike Kiev first?
I can already hear the words of objections from numerous Russian guardians of refrigerators: “Russia is never the first to attack. We will wait for an attack from the Ukrainian side, and then we will "fry", and then the living will envy the dead. " I answer: first, you run the risk of oversleeping the attack, like the Armenians in Karabakh on September 27 this year, or like the Serbs twice in Serbian Krajina in 1995 (Operation Lightning on May 1-3 and Operation Tempest on August 4-9 of the Croatian army ). The element of surprise always plays into the hands of the aggressor, especially since Ukraine does not consider itself an aggressor, like Azerbaijan at the moment, it is going to liberate its territories (Donbass and Crimea). And secondly, and this is the most important thing. It is not the event itself that is important, but how it will be played up in the media. Non-brothers in general, with a blue eye, can declare that it was you who attacked them. After all, nothing prevented them from telling their stupid population that did not know history that Stalin, together with Hitler, attacked Ukraine in June 1941, Kiev is the mother of Ukrainian cities, and Ukrainians are older than the Romans.
For those who have forgotten, I will remind you how the Croatian operations Lightning and Tempest ended.
Operation "Lightning" (Serb. Besak, Croatian Bljesak) - military operation of Croatian troops to restore control over western Slavonia in 1995. The region was part of the unrecognized Republic of Srpska Krajina and was under the supervision of UN forces. During May 1-3, 1995, the Croatian army occupied the region, overcoming the Serb defenses and eliminating the exclave. The operation led to the exodus from Western Slavonia of the majority of the Serb population and mass casualties among civilians.
Operation Tempest (Croatian Operacija Oluja, Serb. Operation Oluja) - a joint military operation of the Croatian army and the 5th corps of the army of Bosnia and Herzegovina, conducted on August 4-9, 1995 against Serbian Krajina. The result of this operation was the victory of Croatia and the elimination of the republics of Serbian Krajina and Western Bosnia.
Are we waiting for the Ukrainian "Storm in Donbass"? Let's wait ...
And remember the most important thing: "If a country chooses shame between shame and war, it will receive shame and war!" These are the words of Winston Churchill, and they have the most direct relation to us. Ukraine has always been, is and will be a zone of strategically important interests for the Russian Federation, without any reference to Brzezinski. The zone of its influence and its final loss will become a permanent bleeding wound on the body of the Russian Federation (and this is already a fait accompli!). Americans in 2014, I must give them their due, knew perfectly well where they were beating and what they were doing. And all naive idiots can continue to comfort themselves with hopes that it will somehow resolve itself. She will die by herself. Will disappear. It breaks down into atoms.
Will not disappear or disintegrate! Only together with the RF! This is a shahid mobile aimed at us. This embalmed corpse has not yet fulfilled its purpose. The hands of the United States, Britain and Turkey artificially keep him afloat, they pour gasoline on it - recently Vova returned from London and Istanbul, carrying in his beak an agreement on the joint production of shock drones from the Sultan and a contract for the supply of 8 new missile boats by Britain for the needs of the Navy, equipped with cruise missiles. Moreover, the British give money for this - a loan of 1,25 billion pounds for 10 years. Why are these gentlemen doing this? Well, definitely not for the future prosperity of the people of Ukraine. The deceased is equipped for the last journey. They are stuffed with hexogen (before that Washington did the same; in the summer, Congress approved the delivery to Ukraine of 14 newest American patrol boats and other military and technical equipment worth $ 250 million). To all naive individuals, I say - you still can't get away from the war! Are you waiting for Ukraine to strike first? You will wait! The command for this is not given by Kiev, I hope, at least you understand that? Stalin had a chance to strike first. Did not have time. As a result, he lost half of the country. He returned 4 years, paying 27 million lives for it. And you cannot return Ukraine to the stall 7 years ago.
If in the 1st act there is a gun on the wall, then in the 4th act it will definitely shoot. Now the third act of this tragedy has just begun. See you in the next world, tell me later how it all ended. And then don't tell me that I didn't warn you! I hope that at least this time the lessons of history will be taken into account.