German expert on anti-Russian sanctions: Now it is obvious that Moscow won and we lost

The European Union has approved anti-Russian sanctions due to the incident with the Russian opposition politician Alexei Navalny, which occurred in August 2020. But they don't make any sense, writes journalist Eduard Steiner in an article published by the national German newspaper Die Welt.

Brussels has already accepted restrictions on Moscow due to events in southeastern Ukraine and Crimea in 2014. Europe and Washington believe that economy Russia has suffered greatly from this. However, Moscow believes that the sanctions only gave impetus to the development of the Russian economy.

Don't give a damn about them, about these sanctions. They (West - ed.) Are losing jobs

- told the agency TASS Russian President Vladimir Putin in March 2020.

The owner of the Kremlin clarified then that Russia compensated for all losses associated with the sanctions policies Of the West.

According to Bloomberg, Russia's GDP growth in 2012 was 3,4%. In the period 2014-2018, the sanctions cost Russia about $ 200 billion, or about 6% of GDP. In 2014, the Russian economy grew by 0,7%, then a recession began, followed by slight growth. In 2018, the Russian economy grew by 2,5%, but it has not yet returned to the indicators that were before 2014.

It should be noted that this state of affairs was largely influenced not by sanctions, but by oil prices. In any case, most international experts, including the IMF, agree with this point of view, and not with the findings of Bloomberg. During this period, the price of oil fell from $ 115 per barrel (159 liters) to $ 30 per barrel. Then the price of "black gold" rose to $ 70 per barrel and began to fall again.

Trade between the EU and Russia has suffered the most from the anti-Russian sanctions. In 2012, bilateral trade amounted to a record 322 billion euros. In 2016, it fell by 43% (to 193 billion euros) and only in 2019 “climbed” to 232 billion euros.

In 2019, exports from the EU to Russia were 25% lower than in 2012, while in the agricultural sector the decline was 38%. Now supplies to Russia account for only 4,1% of all EU exports (in 2012 - 6,7%). At the same time, Russia sends 42% of its goods to the EU (in 2012 it was 50%). It is clear that the EU has suffered the most.

Thus, Brussels punished not Moscow, but itself. It is already obvious that Russia, although it suffered certain losses, still won, and we lost in this absolutely senseless confrontation, which was beneficial to the United States and those countries that did not join the sanctions.
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  1. Dmitry S. Offline Dmitry S.
    Dmitry S. (Dmitry Sanin) 22 October 2020 19: 10
    Excuse me, but is it difficult to coordinate words in sentences?

    countries that have not joined

    But in reality, an article without a news feed: to write on every note on the web - so there is not enough time to read.
  2. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 22 October 2020 21: 36
    But the overcoming ...
  3. Cudgel Offline Cudgel
    Cudgel (Dubina) 22 October 2020 22: 57
    ... Don't give a damn about them, about these sanctions. They (West - ed.) Are losing jobs
    - Russian President Vladimir Putin told TASS agency in March 2020 ....

    - a bad mine with a very bad game. You can swagger in front of the TV journalists as much as you want, but it's time to admit that the sanctions have blown us great. Of course, the West is not going to destroy us, no one needs 30 princelings with nuclear weapons, and China will become the beneficiary. But they clicked on Putin's nose notably, now sits like a frightened mouse under a mat.
    Sberbank Crimea did not recognize, Gazprom and Aeroflot did not recognize Crimea, they are afraid, pigeons of life-giving sanctions. For himself and his friends (not everyone), of course, the sanctions are terrible, but for the population, whose standard of living has dropped noticeably and will still fall and will fall heavily, the sanctions are not on the drum.
    Actually, there are questions to this megaopus "20 questions to Putin", it is difficult to imagine greater swagger and ignorance in the first person. Absolutely empty, like all Putin's interviews, nonsense.
    1. Aleksey Glotov Offline Aleksey Glotov
      Aleksey Glotov (alexey glotov) 23 October 2020 04: 00
      All your comments are empty and delusional ... and swagger and ignorance rush from every word. And Russia will still overcome all the difficulties associated with sanctions, because it will have to rely only on its own forces ... it has always been that way.
      1. Cudgel Offline Cudgel
        Cudgel (Dubina) 23 October 2020 12: 51
        Russia will not live to see the age of 24. On what forces to rely, on the forces of Putin's suckers and the bravura statements of himself?
        This is especially strong:

        No time to swing!

        sanctions are good for us!

        Cast in granite!
        1. Boa kaa Offline Boa kaa
          Boa kaa (Alexander) 23 October 2020 15: 45
          A man with a speaking surname! Of the stubborn Svidomo or what, yali of the last wave of liberals? Where does so much hatred and anger towards Russia come from?
          On the EEC and the States, the light did not converge like a wedge. Our turn to the East will come back to haunt libirasts of all stripes and unfinished cowboys.
          And at the expense of Russia - do not hesitate: everything will be normal. Not immediately, gradually, but it will be.
          And Ukraine will be ill with Bandera and will return to the RUSSIAN world, no matter how zealous the Soros are! Insight will come to the people sooner or later.
          Here's just one question: like you, then where will you need to go?
          What, again to Canada skedaddle, in the footsteps of their traitorous ancestors !?
          1. Cudgel Offline Cudgel
            Cudgel (Dubina) 23 October 2020 17: 07
            And when did it turn to the East? Does China know that the sinking Putin galley wants to land on its shore? I think China will take over all the Trans-Urals.
            China does not need Putin's garbage dump for nothing, she herself gives everything for 50 years of lease for a penny. So, blow in the ears of the same suckers about the East U-turn and China is with us!
            Yes, but we will stick to Ukraine, not right away, of course. first Ukraine to Europe, and we are already behind it !.
    2. boriz Offline boriz
      boriz (boriz) 23 October 2020 08: 17
      Sberbank did not recognize Crimea, Gazprom and Aeroflot did not recognize Crimea, ...

      And what, in Crimea there are no banks, gas, planes do not fly? There's always something for the trickiest ass with a screw.
      1. Cudgel Offline Cudgel
        Cudgel (Dubina) 23 October 2020 12: 23
        I'm not talking about what one-day companies did to get around the sanctions. And about the fact that Putin was so snapped on the nose that large companies are fleeing from Crimea like an unclean censer.
        They intimidated Putin with sanctions, sits under a mat shaking with fear for new sanctions.
        1. The comment was deleted.
    3. Oyo Sarkazmi Offline Oyo Sarkazmi
      Oyo Sarkazmi (Oyo Sarkazmi) 23 October 2020 18: 35
      Quote: Cudgel
      that the sanctions were great for us.

      I didn't notice. Specify where and who was fucked?
      GDP, measured in dollars, has fallen. In rubles - increased. For prices within Russia are in rubles, and payments between enterprises are in rubles.
      Now, if the EU calculated its GDP in rubles, it would have jumped by 40%. Per day.
      1. Cudgel Offline Cudgel
        Cudgel (Dubina) 23 October 2020 18: 56
        Familiar song.

        The larger the rate, the more rubles, the large rate is beneficial to us!

        Maybe then we will immediately make a dollar at 500, too, GDP in rubles will immediately increase significantly and in a day! At the same time, we will recognize Putin as the best friend of economists and give him the Nobel Prize in Economics! Although he and now deserves the Nobel Prize. it must be 5 trillion. dollars from the export of raw materials and energy resources to drain on the Olympics, summits and yachts of friends!
        We have in the Voykovskaya metro area, there used to be 5 factories, now not a single one, but there is the Metropolis shopping and entertainment center. 5 trillion. built all sorts of rubbish, such as shopping malls and a ridiculous number of factories.
        From the Site RBC.RU

        Gas prices at the Dutch hub TTF have almost halved compared to the end of March (from $ 80 to $ 46-47 per 1 cubic meters now); at the hub closest to Russia in Baumgerten, it is more expensive - about $ 62.
        “The prime cost of gas, if the prime cost is understood as the level of the selling price at which EBITDA becomes zero, is about $ 100 per 1 cubic meters. m.

        At a loss, Gazprom trades with Europe, and after all, once gas prices for Europe were $ 500 (2008).
        1. Oyo Sarkazmi Offline Oyo Sarkazmi
          Oyo Sarkazmi (Oyo Sarkazmi) 23 October 2020 21: 47
          Quote: Cudgel
          At a loss, Gazprom trades with Europe,

          Long-term contracts - they are. Sometimes it is thick, sometimes it is empty.
          And my life - you can sing. The village, warm, light, in the cellar of jam and pickles, the Internet, optical, 1 Gbps, for some 10 dollars. 300 free channels from all over the world. No coupons!
          If a dollar were 30 cents each, I would pay 9 cents for electricity, and only 70 cents for 3 cents. After all, electricity for 3 cents is more pleasant than for 50? Which is "green" in Europs ...
  4. Kuramori Reika Offline Kuramori Reika
    Kuramori Reika (Kuramori Reika) 23 October 2020 15: 15
    I also believe that Russia emerged victorious in the sanctions war. First, unlike the first Cold War, the population of Russia now experiences various forms of neglect or open contempt instead of worshiping the West. Secondly, agriculture revived and began to knock Europeans and Americans out of large and small markets with hands and feet. Thirdly, Europe and the United States, with their own hands, stuffed the faces of the oligarchs and billionaires, who previously gazed at the West with aspiration. I think these same moneybags should have already thought about such a forgotten thing as self-respect. And if they dip your face in a kaku, then you either clump together with the same and create a national economic elite, or you get used to living with the smell of kaku on your face.