The purpose of the war in the Caucasus is to disrupt the most important transport project of Russia


Less than a month is left before the most important presidential elections in the United States in decades, which, with the victory of either side in the person of Donald Trump or Joe Biden, by all accounts, will change the course of world history. However, regarding the future policy White House in relation to Russia, here a certain amount of certainty is already there.


And today it consists in the fact that against all the regional plans of the Kremlin, one way or another, the famous strategy of military-economic strangulation "Anaconda" will continue to be applied, which in various variations worked against the Confederation of States in the 1860s, imperial Japan in the 1940s and the USSR in the 1980s.

Today, this concept operates under the presidency of Donald Trump, whose arrival in the White House was applauded with immoderate enthusiasm four years ago by many prominent people in the Russian Federation, counting on the early lifting of sanctions. These hopes were dashed quickly enough. Moreover, there is no point in expecting relief when Joe Biden comes to the White House, rather the opposite.

The purpose of the new "Anaconda" is currently obvious - to cut off Russia from foreign exchange earnings, cause the collapse of the ruble, a collapse economicsand then a full-scale economic and political crisis.

In 2020, the "oil war" of Saudi Arabia has already taken away part of the oil markets of Europe from the Russian Federation. This was followed by a diplomatic attack on the Nord Stream-2 gas pipeline, along the way, and Turkey is also reducing the consumption of Russian gas supplied to it via the Black Sea "streams" in favor of Azerbaijani gas.

At the same time, there is pressure on another "sacred cow" of the Russian authorities - the Arctic projects, and especially the Northern Sea Route. The autumn exercises of the US, British and Norwegian navies in the Barents Sea are more than indicative. The Russian leadership is being made clear that it will not get a polar alternative to Suez, regardless of the wishes of the Kremlin.

It is noteworthy that three or four years ago, the American expert community just started talking about containing the Russian Federation in the Arctic. And today the United States is laying down new icebreakers and is actively conducting exercises in the region.

At the same time, the same expert community has already found a new goal for itself. This is an international North-South transport corridor, which should connect Europe and India through Russia, Azerbaijan, the Caspian Sea and Iran. Actually, so far this is a strictly Azerbaijani-Iranian-Russian project, but it is impressive even in this capacity.

As part of the current plan, construction of new railways and highways with increased throughput is already underway in each of the countries involved in the economic union, as well as the construction of cargo port complexes (for example, Lagan in Kalmykia). Even a simple listing of projects is impressive in scope. Only the Chinese "belt and road" is more ambitious in Eurasia. And this activity, without any irony, pulling on the construction site of the century, of course, did not go unnoticed by external actors.

Yes, at first the North-South transport corridor did not look attractive at all. However, the economic crisis of Great Lockdown has changed a lot. In particular, the role of the old trade routes from Europe to Asia.

In the past, judgments have often been heard that, when transporting goods through the Suez Canal, the owners of the cargo did not gain anything in value compared to the route around Africa, because the Egyptians asked very dearly for services. The gain existed only in terms of delivery time, which is also quite important.

The collapse in oil prices in 2020 brought down the price tags for marine fuel. As a result, hauling goods around Africa, according to several sources, has become much more profitable than feeding the greedy Egyptians.

However, what about the delivery time? This is where the North-South corridor comes into play with its state-of-the-art infrastructure, which, although more expensive than sea routes, reduces the time to a matter of days.

Who will benefit from this? Russia, Azerbaijan and Iran.

Who will lose? Egypt, which some of us, from old memory, still write as "allies". However, in the real world, since 1989, this Arab republic has had the proud status of the Main American ally outside NATO, along with Israel, Japan, and South Korea. As they say, sapienti sat (lat. “Clever will understand”).

So the sudden start of a new war in Transcaucasia should not surprise anyone. As well as the fact that Russia is in no hurry (for now!) To get into a new hellish battle for Nagorno-Karabakh and has a full formal right to this, because the CSTO treaty concerns only Armenia itself.

It is obvious that the participation of the key country of the transport corridor - Azerbaijan - in an open armed conflict will clearly not have the best effect on the prospects of the entire project. As well as the desire of external investors to participate in it financially and technologically. Therefore, the war in Karabakh has already achieved one goal.

And the Russians have received a new reminder that any frozen conflict or territorial dispute can at any time be taken out of the naphthalene and put into action. And this will be done when one side is ready for this, and the other is not.
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  1. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 16 October 2020 08: 37
    +5
    And here in the articles they wrote that it was we who shod the Arabs in 2020, Endogan is about to ruin NATO with his friend Putin, and a part of our (oligarchs, of course) gas is going through Azerbaijan.
    Doesn't fit.
    1. Aksel2 Offline Aksel2
      Aksel2 (Alexander Z.) 16 October 2020 08: 59
      0
      Each author has his own opinion. This is normal and good for an overview. It's bad when it's the other way around.
      1. Hayer31 Offline Hayer31
        Hayer31 (Kashchei) 16 October 2020 10: 26
        0
        But you can't write what came to mind as an expert opinion!
        1. orange Offline orange
          orange (ororpore) 16 October 2020 10: 51
          0
          I agree! A far-fetched "analysis" sucked out of your fingers!
  2. Jacques sekavar Offline Jacques sekavar
    Jacques sekavar (Jacques Sekavar) 16 October 2020 09: 26
    +3
    the sudden start of a new war in the Caucasus should not surprise anyone

    It is not the start of the war in the Caucasus that is surprising, but the inaction of the Russian Federation in relation to the EU's Eastern Partnership plan to colonize the former Soviet republics - Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Belarus, Ukraine, Moldova, Georgia, Armenia and Azerbaijan, which was adopted a long time ago and neither for whom it was not a secret, all the media wrote.
    The result of this inactivity is NATO at the borders of the Russian Federation, anti-Russian sentiments, terrorism, billions of dollars in losses, postponed conflicts along the entire perimeter of the Russian border.
    1. passing by Offline passing by
      passing by (passing by) 16 October 2020 09: 39
      -3
      Are former parasites from the USSR already in chocolate or does the EU not know what to do with them? slaves will always be unhappy, but the mood in the EU itself is changing. They are very happy in addition to the Arabs to receive the forelock humanoids.
  3. Many_ways_point Offline Many_ways_point
    Many_ways_point 16 October 2020 10: 02
    -5
    A ship is several times cheaper than a vehicle. so this project is nonsense, as the ships carried the bulk of the cargo, they will carry it.
    1. boriz Offline boriz
      boriz (boriz) 16 October 2020 10: 24
      +6
      Well, only the most urgent goods will be transported by road. And there is also a railway.
      1. Many_ways_point Offline Many_ways_point
        Many_ways_point 16 October 2020 17: 32
        -3
        The most urgent ones have been transported by air for a long time. Road transport and railway is nonsense. There is no speed, there is crap with customs, and they can also rob. If I had to carry something across several borders, then I would only choose between a ship and an airplane.
        1. boriz Offline boriz
          boriz (boriz) 16 October 2020 18: 35
          +4
          Nevertheless, China is seriously considering the New Silk Road across many borders, with transshipment across the sea (or even two) by rail.
          1. Many_ways_point Offline Many_ways_point
            Many_ways_point 16 October 2020 19: 19
            -2
            Because there is no US Navy.
            1. boriz Offline boriz
              boriz (boriz) 16 October 2020 20: 32
              +2
              But that means they consider such transportation economically justified. They are able to calculate the economy.
              1. Many_ways_point Offline Many_ways_point
                Many_ways_point 16 October 2020 20: 55
                -2
                Not a fact, there are a lot of politics in this silk way. This is, firstly, an instrument of expansion into Central Asia and, secondly, a backup route in case of war with the United States.
    2. Hayer31 Offline Hayer31
      Hayer31 (Kashchei) 16 October 2020 10: 30
      0
      Even the S-400 and missiles to them from St. Petersburg were delivered by sea to China, and not by rail. So article zero.
  4. boriz Offline boriz
    boriz (boriz) 16 October 2020 10: 23
    +2
    Today, this concept operates under the presidency of Donald Trump, whose arrival in the White House was applauded with immoderate enthusiasm four years ago by many prominent people in the Russian Federation, counting on the early lifting of sanctions. These hopes were dashed quickly enough.

    Trump's hopes are not about lifting the sanctions. The economic model, which has been working since the 16th (and maybe from the 15th) century, has ended its operation. Now it doesn't work and we need to develop another one. Those who promoted the old model will not give up their positions so easily, despite the fact that their attempts to maintain the status quo will exacerbate the general chaos in the world. Trump is going to pull the United States out of this development model. Then the rest of the powers will have a free hand, it will be possible (together with the United States) to build a promising economic and geopolitical model of the world. And the competition (including the Anaconda plan) has not been canceled. The weakening of competitors makes it easier for the United States in the negotiations, because they (these positions) will not be as favorable for the United States as everyone thinks.
  5. Khachatur Offline Khachatur
    Khachatur 16 October 2020 13: 41
    -2
    Thanks to the Bolsheviks, today Russia and the former republics of the USSR have what they have. The lands of the Russian Empire are given to Turkey for the sake of the idea of ​​a world revolution. As for Karabakh, 98% of Armenians are inhabited by Azerbaijan. Now you represent the Armenians, the army and the people of Karabakh who want to live on their land as enemies who can destabilize the situation in Russia. Azerbaijanis in Karabakh are fighting for their land without the local population, i.e. Armenians. In Transcaucasia, only in Armenia there is a Russian military base, and you manage to enroll us in the ranks of enemies. Turks and Azeris are fighting with Armenia, which, with its geographical position, interferes with ground communication and the creation of the great Turan (Turkic-speaking countries). Thanks to Turkey, militants from Syria, Pakistan and Afghanistan are fighting not only against the Armenians in Karabakh, but are already infiltrating into Russia. Now Armenia, then Russia. Don't worry, Turks have good appetites.
  6. nikolaj1703 Offline nikolaj1703
    nikolaj1703 (Nikolai) 16 October 2020 13: 57
    0
    The basic American principle is "Let it burn out." Then we'll see, do not drag them into friends by force, they will live.
  7. Oyo Sarkazmi Offline Oyo Sarkazmi
    Oyo Sarkazmi (Oyo Sarkazmi) 16 October 2020 14: 21
    0
    Less than a month left before the most important US presidential elections in decades.

    These elections do not change anything. An old man with dementia will replace the senile senile. Epic !!!
    1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 16 October 2020 17: 05
      0
      Oyo-S ... Nowadays presidents, only a sign-screen for certain circles. How not to remember Bush Jr. as president, that exalcoholic confused Africa with Indonesia and sat as president, dad and the company then steered for him ... Regarding the North-South route, which our emperors still conceived, but all attempts were cut down by the Anglo-Saxons. So today they will continue to chop off ... But it is necessary to create, and possibly in the future the Indo-Atlantic meridian path will be called ...
  8. greenchelman Offline greenchelman
    greenchelman (Grigory Tarasenko) 16 October 2020 17: 00
    +2
    It turns out that the USA started the war in Nagorno-Karabakh. That is, it was Washington that sold weapons to Yerevan and Baku for 20 years. I'll know.

    PySy: Now a few words about the "North-South corridor". If the author is not in the know, then there are TWO of these corridors. One was built long ago and the railway bypasses the Caspian Sea from the eastern part, through Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and Iran. They have been using it for several years. Therefore, no one bothers to send goods from Russia to the Persian Gulf and the Arabian Sea by piece of iron. But the queues of cars are not to be seen.
    As for the second, from the western part of the Caspian Sea, through Azerbaijan and Iran, its prospects are vague, although our jingoistic media for some reason write and keep silent about this "powerful" project, perhaps out of elementary ignorance that there is a ready route. Moreover, Iran deliberately delays construction.
    1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 16 October 2020 18: 00
      -1
      You do not distinguish between directions, the first acting goes to the east and then a dead end, when the one under construction goes to the west and further through central Russia, up to the Baltic (St. Petersburg), there by sea to the Atlantic (Z. Europe) - a completely different song. ..
      1. greenchelman Offline greenchelman
        greenchelman (Grigory Tarasenko) 16 October 2020 23: 35
        0
        As a singer and geographer, when did you last look at the map of the railways of Central Asia?
        1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 17 October 2020 10: 05
          0
          For the illiterate: "dead end" - means an economically inexpedient route ...
    2. The comment was deleted.
  9. 123 Offline 123
    123 (123) 16 October 2020 18: 45
    +2
    We need to look at the situation more broadly.

  10. gorenina91 Offline gorenina91
    gorenina91 (Irina) 16 October 2020 21: 38
    -3
    - Well, well ... - you can watch the video presented by "123 (123) Today, 18:45" ....
    -But all this is routine ... - solid routine ...
    - Turkey, Armenia, Karabakh, China and so on ...
    - Well, just "Swan, Cancer and Shuka" ... - But this is one thing ...
    -And the other ... is ... is that how much Russia has degraded and how insolent China has become ...
    -Well, it's just not comprehensible to the mind ... -Russia, as if not at all ...
    - Really ... - no Russia ... - China easily and fearlessly stretches its tentacles for thousands and thousands of kilometers and ... - And this China can only worry about ... - whether it will get something with Iran. .. -and suddenly, because of Armenia, its problems may not work ...
    - With Turkey, China has something outlined ... - but the Americans prevented; and then the miserable population of the Uighurs (about 10 million people ... - for China, this is a mosquito squeak) ... - also became the reason for not very close cooperation between Turkey and China ...
    -And that's how they all become the reason and hinder China (even in Africa, the formidable Turkey can squeeze China) ... -And China is forced to put up with this and reckon with it ...
    - And where is Russia ... -Such tiny, very tiny ... -It is barely visible on the map ... -And across the territory of Russia, and next to its borders; and in different places, China takes and easily "plans its plans" .... -Wants ... -and will forward its Silk Roads (both along and across) across all of Russia ... -and no one and nothing bothers him ... - in Russia, China can do whatever it wants ... - something along, that across ... - a submissive and completely subordinate to China Russia ... "agreeing to everything" ... - "agreeing to everything." !!!!!
    - Well, at least Tsar Alexander III (it seems he) set the width-distance between the rails of the railway tracks in Russia ... -And that's just that China doesn't suit ... -The distance between the rails ... -and that's it !!!
    - For China, Russia does not exist ... - For China, there is Turkey, the United States, the EU, Iran, even Armenia with its Karabakh ... - But Russia does not exist for China ... - China simply does not take Russia seriously ...
    - I can congratulate everyone ... we, Russians, survived ... - hello everyone ...

    -Yes, here the author is interested in the world domination of China ... -will it or not ...
    - Personally, I can only say one thing ... - As such, absolute world domination China does not need ... - It needs unlimited operational space ...
    -And today China has already established its domination over Russia ... -and this is quite enough for him ...
    - It is thanks to Russia that China has increased such power today ... - China has always had (and still is) such powerful support from Russia; that he could easily take risks ... -because he always has such a support nearby ... -So China took everything he wanted from Russia and continues to take ... -Russia allows him absolutely everything ... -Russia is gone for a long time. ..for China ...
  11. ear Offline ear
    ear (Sergey G) 20 October 2020 04: 36
    0
    I would like to collect an argument sheet:

    the famous strategy of military-economic strangulation "Anaconda", which in different variations worked against ... and the USSR in the 1980s.

    There was no talk on this topic in the 80s, so I would like to collect a long sheet regarding the USSR.
  12. sikiminbashi Offline sikiminbashi
    sikiminbashi (Georgy Zakharyan) 4 November 2020 10: 21
    0
    Who is talking about what, and "bald about the comb"⁉ Some kind of regular "scarecrow" under a frightening name

    the famous Anaconda strategy of military-economic strangulation, which in various variations worked against the Confederation of States in the 1860s, Imperial Japan in the 1940s, and the USSR in the 1980s.

    There really is blood and corpses, mutually deceived, and blinded by the propaganda of simple poor fellows, and you are talking about some kind of Anaconda. We, the older generation (and not only the older ones) have already heard about "enemies" that threaten national security. Everything is threatening, threatening, and in no way THREATENING! And we in response to them "can remind" about some "Polovtsy and Pechenegs" ...
    Look like jackals sitting in the bushes and shaking with fear, but not losing hope of profit from carrion. How will you answer at the Last Judgment? Are you not afraid?
  13. Khachatur Offline Khachatur
    Khachatur 19 November 2020 13: 44
    0
    Author, I agree with your opinion that wars interfere with the implementation of important projects. Please, remind me, which Russian project was interfered with by the Karabakh conflict
  14. yaelxninsh Offline yaelxninsh
    yaelxninsh (Janis Elksninsh) 19 November 2020 15: 19
    +1
    Exercises of the Russian Navy in the Atlantic Ocean on the US track line can also have an effect.