Launch of Nord Stream 2 will force Ukraine to disable its GTS

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In the event that work on the Nord Stream 2 project is successfully completed and Gazprom refuses to extend gas transit from 2025, Ukraine will be forced to turn off 83 percent of its GTS, which will actually disable it. This is stated in the plan for the development of the Ukrainian gas transportation system from 2021 to 2030.

After the commissioning of the extension of the Turkish Stream pipeline to Bulgaria and the start of gas transportation from Russia to Serbia and Hungary, the consulting firm Tetra Tech ES expects to reduce the current volume of Ukrainian transit by 15 billion cubic meters of fuel per year. And after the launch of JV-2, gas transit will decrease by another 27 billion cubic meters.



In any case, gas transportation will decrease already in 2020. So, if a year ago Europe received 89 billion cubic meters of "blue fuel" through Ukraine, then this year these volumes fell to 65 billion cubic meters.

Representatives of the GTS believe that in the future it will be possible to load the system's capacities by using new energy projects - generating electricity for parts of compressor stations that are not used by transit, attracting a gas transmission system for transporting hydrogen from Russia or Ukraine to EU countries, as well as supplying biomethane within Ukraine.

However, judging by the plans for the development of the Ukrainian GTS, if the new Baltic pipeline is launched, there will be nothing to replace the transit volumes of gas.
7 comments
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  1. +2
    9 October 2020 17: 23
    He considers, assumes, will be forced - and where are not the proposals, but the facts? Damn burnt! When will at least someone start writing articles with an informational occasion, and not for the sake of the number of characters ?!
  2. 0
    9 October 2020 17: 43
    Did you weld the holes in the pipes to transport your gas (biomethane)?
  3. -1
    9 October 2020 19: 26
    Ha. It is more and more difficult to invent the news "ukrov again ran out of fat, and forever"
    They write about the GTS every month, just about, about ...
    1. +3
      9 October 2020 19: 37
      and to hell with them. their utilities are growing, pensions are not being paid, borders are closed, passports are not falling from the sky, and the livestock is falling. soon we will either be good or not.
      1. -2
        9 October 2020 23: 45
        Yes, yes, they will soon freeze and die of hunger. One more time.
  4. 0
    9 October 2020 22: 25
    Oh ... Outdated article.

    In case of successful completion of work on the Nord Stream 2 project

    - this is far from the fact that it will be successfully completed.

    and Gazprom's refusal to extend gas transit from 2025

    - as if this issue is being decided by Gazprom. First, you will need permission from the buyer (Berlin) to ask, and we already know the attitude of Germany to Ukrainian transit - the Germans need both Ukrainian transit and SP-2, and SP-2 can be abandoned at any time.

    After the commissioning of the extension of the Turkish Stream pipeline to Bulgaria and the start of gas transportation from Russia to Serbia and Hungary

    - The Turks have reduced purchases of natural gas in Russia to a technological minimum. As there it will be further with the Turks, Serbs, Hungarians - even Allah does not know.

    In any case, gas transportation will decrease already in 2020. So, if a year ago Europe received 89 billion cubic meters of "blue fuel" through Ukraine, then this year these volumes fell to 65 billion cubic meters

    - for Ukrainians it has absolutely no meaning. According to the agreement, Gazprom must pay for any pumping volume as for the maximum.
    In general, pure propaganda.
  5. 0
    10 October 2020 03: 12
    ... Ukraine will be forced to turn off 83 percent of its GTS, which will actually put it out of action.

    Not everyone understands what is being said here. This is the report of the company that deals with the GTS. Therefore, she writes exclusively about the GTS.
    But in fact, this statement is on a par with the statement that there will be no pensions in 15 years. Who will check now when they are gone?
    But turning off 83% of the GTS means leaving half of the country without gas. Maybe more.
    The GTS was created in the USSR, when the current situation could not be seen by anyone, even in a drunken nightmare.
    In addition to the GTS, there is also a GDS, a gas distribution network. And this GDS is based on the GTS. The GTS serves as the basis for the GDS. After all, no one pulled the distribution networks to the only pipe that the current operator of the GTS will leave to work. GDS pipes were pulled to the nearest GTS pipe.

    http://www.plan.ru/img/2014/06/gas-pipeline-ukraine-russia-europe.png

    Take a look at this map. Who, in their right mind, will pull the GDS pipe from Odessa and Nikolaev to Kiev, if there is a pipe next to it that goes to "fraternal" Romania. But now Romania has ceased to be fraternal and this pipe will be turned off, because Romania will receive gas from the south. And where to get gas? Mariupol receives gas only through the DPR.
    Well, the deadlines for the pipes are long gone. The estimated period is 30 years. It can be stupidly extended (on paper), but the result will be the same as with the An 26 engine. They (pipes) are already exploding. They should be changed ALL. And the variable load with which the gas is pumped now will hit the pipes at an accelerated pace. I don't know if this is Gazprom's intention, but such a gas pumping regime is essentially a sabotage.
    The situation is even worse with compressor stations. And for them the "start - acceleration - stop - start" mode too - increased gas and resource consumption. Compressor engines are not fundamentally different from the An 26 engines. And they, too, have not been changed or repaired when they were not.