Russia's entry into the Karabakh conflict will have economic consequences

17

While the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh was smoldering, Moscow, according to the Stockholm Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), earned about $ 100 million annually from arms sales to Yerevan and Baku, and as a bonus it occupied the position of an arbiter. Aggravations in the region have happened before, but it is difficult to say how it will be this time, since Ankara has actively intervened in the situation in the region.

Russia has good relations with both Armenia and Azerbaijan. As for Turkey, everything is much more complicated here. Economic ties between Moscow and Ankara are developing normally. However, in political terms, there are certain misunderstandings between the two countries in the Middle East and North Africa, and now the Transcaucasia, which is an important market for Russian goods, has been added to this list.



The Turks are openly pushing Azerbaijanis to war with the Armenians, and a new round of confrontation in Nagorno-Karabakh shows that this outbreak will not fade away quickly and can flare up a real fire of war. Baku, incited by Ankara, rejects any negotiations and declares war to a victorious end, until the whole of Nagorno-Karabakh returns under its control.

But Russia does not need a large-scale war between Armenia and Azerbaijan, since Moscow will have to find additional funds for defense in times of crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, which will result in an extra burden on the budget. Exchanges have already reacted to what is happening, the Russian currency fell from 78 to 79 rubles. for the dollar.

The ambitious and in recent years very aggressive Ankara has also suffered. The Turkish currency has depreciated significantly. The value of the bonds of Azerbaijan and Armenia, denominated in dollars, literally collapsed after investors realized that this would not be "trampling on the border" in Nagorno-Karabakh.

Russia is not obliged to fight for Nagorno-Karabakh, even considering that Yerevan is a member of the CSTO. This region is not part of Armenia. At the same time, it will be possible to calculate the funds allocated for strengthening the defense capabilities of Russia and Armenia, but it is much more difficult to determine how much the violation of trade and economic ties and other costs will cost. If a war breaks out between countries, it will inevitably affect supply chains and prices.
    Our news channels

    Subscribe and stay up to date with the latest news and the most important events of the day.

    17 comments
    Information
    Dear reader, to leave comments on the publication, you must sign in.
    1. +1
      29 September 2020 19: 03
      according to the Stockholm Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), she earned about $ 100 million annually from arms sales to Yerevan and Baku, and as a bonus she held the position of an arbiter.

      So everything will remain, we will be arbiters. There is no reason for us to get involved in this conflict. But we will earn many times more. Now they shoot a bunch of cartridges, shells, rockets. They will lose a bunch of equipment. You need to replenish and again to us.
      1. +2
        29 September 2020 19: 13
        Just for information. The Ministry of Defense Industry was established in Azerbaijan 10 years ago. The production of ammunition has been established in Azerbaijan.
        Repair and maintenance of armored vehicles is available. Drone production too. Under Israeli and Turkish licenses. Remains missiles for MLRS. I think they took care of that too.
        So rather not to you, but to Turkey. Turks have already announced that the Turkish defense industry is ready to help Azerbaijan

        https://haqqin.az/news/190558
        1. 0
          30 September 2020 08: 32
          So what is the question, good value for money, only so that later there would be no paraphrase of the classic - well guys, your Turks helped you
      2. +1
        29 September 2020 19: 32
        https://haqqin.az/news/190570
    2. +1
      29 September 2020 19: 09
      Iran and Georgia have imposed a ban on the transportation of military supplies through their territory. How will Russia now supply its base in Gyumri? Perhaps through the territory of Azerbaijan wassat
      1. -1
        29 September 2020 19: 31
        Iran? Although the Persians are no better for me than the Armenians, I willingly believe. Scoundrels are scoundrels. Show a friend tell you who you are ..... They are capable of it.
        1. +1
          29 September 2020 19: 34
          Iran bans transportation of military cargo to Armenia

          https://ru.oxu.az/politics/425856
          1. 0
            29 September 2020 19: 49
            Quote: Bakht
            https://ru.oxu.az/politics/425856

            Judas betrayed Judas :)
      2. 123
        +1
        29 September 2020 20: 02
        Turks have already announced that the Turkish defense industry is ready to help Azerbaijan

        Iran and Georgia have introduced a ban on the transportation of military supplies through their territory.

        But as? Through the territory of Russia? smile
        1. +3
          29 September 2020 20: 17
          Straight to Nakhichevan. From there to Yerevan, 80 kilometers or even less

          But seriously, they will most likely be replenished after the war. Apparently, things are heading towards a lull. At this time, battles are taking place in the area of ​​FIZULI. This means that in the southern direction, the Azerbaijani army advanced 25-30 km.
          1. 123
            0
            29 September 2020 20: 36
            But seriously, they will most likely be replenished after the war. Apparently, things are heading towards a lull. At this time, battles are taking place in the area of ​​FIZULI. This means that in the southern direction, the Azerbaijani army advanced 25-30 km.

            Aha Yes I also think it will soon subside. About replenishment ... in my opinion there are some agreements on the number and weapons. For several years, they wanted to change Migi for newer ones, the Turks splashed saliva that it was not comradely laughing
      3. 0
        29 September 2020 20: 14
        Well, they wrote a lie, what has changed ?? And the cargo travels across Georgia and Iran.
      4. 0
        30 September 2020 10: 38
        And how, let me ask you, does Turkey transfer its equipment, people and weapons to Azerbaijan? Do they seem to have a border with Azerbaijan?
        1. +1
          30 September 2020 12: 43
          No way. And who said he was ferrying?
    3. -1
      29 September 2020 19: 30
      Lies.

      Russia has good relations with both Armenia and Azerbaijan.

      The closure of Russian channels in Armenia, a pro-Western oath in the presidential elections, offensive slogans and a monument to the fascist Njje in Yerevan. The author where is there a good relationship?
    4. 0
      29 September 2020 20: 16
      When they write about the collapse of the Turkish lira, it becomes funny. Who else noticed this except journalists? They understand for lies - it's a collapse.
    5. +1
      29 September 2020 20: 31
      It's all sadbecause, due to the impossibility, prompted by the behind-the-scenes, local politicians to come to an agreement, ordinary people are dying from all sides and there is no peaceful life in Nagorno-Karabakh.
      And looking at the geographical position of NK, I am completely inclined to think that this territory, one way or another, soon or not, but in the historical perspective will be under the control of Azerbaijan (not Armenia!), Whatever one may say!
      IMHO

    "Right Sector" (banned in Russia), "Ukrainian Insurgent Army" (UPA) (banned in Russia), ISIS (banned in Russia), "Jabhat Fatah al-Sham" formerly "Jabhat al-Nusra" (banned in Russia) , Taliban (banned in Russia), Al-Qaeda (banned in Russia), Anti-Corruption Foundation (banned in Russia), Navalny Headquarters (banned in Russia), Facebook (banned in Russia), Instagram (banned in Russia), Meta (banned in Russia), Misanthropic Division (banned in Russia), Azov (banned in Russia), Muslim Brotherhood (banned in Russia), Aum Shinrikyo (banned in Russia), AUE (banned in Russia), UNA-UNSO (banned in Russia), Mejlis of the Crimean Tatar People (banned in Russia), Legion “Freedom of Russia” (armed formation, recognized as terrorist in the Russian Federation and banned)

    “Non-profit organizations, unregistered public associations or individuals performing the functions of a foreign agent,” as well as media outlets performing the functions of a foreign agent: “Medusa”; "Voice of America"; "Realities"; "Present time"; "Radio Freedom"; Ponomarev; Savitskaya; Markelov; Kamalyagin; Apakhonchich; Makarevich; Dud; Gordon; Zhdanov; Medvedev; Fedorov; "Owl"; "Alliance of Doctors"; "RKK" "Levada Center"; "Memorial"; "Voice"; "Person and law"; "Rain"; "Mediazone"; "Deutsche Welle"; QMS "Caucasian Knot"; "Insider"; "New Newspaper"