Russia's entry into the Karabakh conflict will have economic consequences


While the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh was smoldering, Moscow, according to the Stockholm Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), earned about $ 100 million annually from arms sales to Yerevan and Baku, and as a bonus it occupied the position of an arbiter. Aggravations in the region have happened before, but it is difficult to say how it will be this time, since Ankara has actively intervened in the situation in the region.


Russia has good relations with both Armenia and Azerbaijan. As for Turkey, everything is much more complicated here. Economic ties between Moscow and Ankara are developing normally. However, in political terms, there are certain misunderstandings between the two countries in the Middle East and North Africa, and now the Transcaucasia, which is an important market for Russian goods, has been added to this list.

The Turks are openly pushing Azerbaijanis to war with the Armenians, and a new round of confrontation in Nagorno-Karabakh shows that this outbreak will not fade away quickly and can flare up a real fire of war. Baku, incited by Ankara, rejects any negotiations and declares war to a victorious end, until the whole of Nagorno-Karabakh returns under its control.

But Russia does not need a large-scale war between Armenia and Azerbaijan, since Moscow will have to find additional funds for defense in times of crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, which will result in an extra burden on the budget. Exchanges have already reacted to what is happening, the Russian currency fell from 78 to 79 rubles. for the dollar.

The ambitious and in recent years very aggressive Ankara has also suffered. The Turkish currency has depreciated significantly. The value of the bonds of Azerbaijan and Armenia, denominated in dollars, literally collapsed after investors realized that this would not be "trampling on the border" in Nagorno-Karabakh.

Russia is not obliged to fight for Nagorno-Karabakh, even considering that Yerevan is a member of the CSTO. This region is not part of Armenia. At the same time, it will be possible to calculate the funds allocated for strengthening the defense capabilities of Russia and Armenia, but it is much more difficult to determine how much the violation of trade and economic ties and other costs will cost. If a war breaks out between countries, it will inevitably affect supply chains and prices.
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  1. Afinogen Offline Afinogen
    Afinogen (Afinogen) 29 September 2020 19: 03
    +1
    according to the Stockholm Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), she earned about $ 100 million annually from arms sales to Yerevan and Baku, and as a bonus she held the position of an arbiter.

    So everything will remain, we will be arbiters. There is no reason for us to get involved in this conflict. But we will earn many times more. Now they shoot a bunch of cartridges, shells, rockets. They will lose a bunch of equipment. You need to replenish and again to us.
    1. Bakht Offline Bakht
      Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 29 September 2020 19: 13
      +2
      Just for information. The Ministry of Defense Industry was established in Azerbaijan 10 years ago. The production of ammunition has been established in Azerbaijan.
      Repair and maintenance of armored vehicles is available. Drone production too. Under Israeli and Turkish licenses. Remains missiles for MLRS. I think they took care of that too.
      So rather not to you, but to Turkey. Turks have already announced that the Turkish defense industry is ready to help Azerbaijan

      https://haqqin.az/news/190558
      1. rotkiv04 Offline rotkiv04
        rotkiv04 (Victor) 30 September 2020 08: 32
        0
        So what is the question, good value for money, only so that later there would be no paraphrase of the classic - well guys, your Turks helped you
    2. Bakht Offline Bakht
      Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 29 September 2020 19: 32
      +1
      https://haqqin.az/news/190570
  2. Bakht Offline Bakht
    Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 29 September 2020 19: 09
    +1
    Iran and Georgia have imposed a ban on the transportation of military supplies through their territory. How will Russia now supply its base in Gyumri? Perhaps through the territory of Azerbaijan wassat
    1. Atilla10933 Offline Atilla10933
      Atilla10933 (Atilla_az) 29 September 2020 19: 31
      -1
      Iran? Although the Persians are no better for me than the Armenians, I willingly believe. Scoundrels are scoundrels. Show a friend tell you who you are ..... They are capable of it.
      1. Bakht Offline Bakht
        Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 29 September 2020 19: 34
        +1
        Iran bans transportation of military cargo to Armenia

        https://ru.oxu.az/politics/425856
        1. Atilla10933 Offline Atilla10933
          Atilla10933 (Atilla_az) 29 September 2020 19: 49
          0
          Quote: Bakht
          https://ru.oxu.az/politics/425856

          Judas betrayed Judas :)
    2. 123 Offline 123
      123 (123) 29 September 2020 20: 02
      +1
      Turks have already announced that the Turkish defense industry is ready to help Azerbaijan

      Iran and Georgia have introduced a ban on the transportation of military supplies through their territory.

      But as? Through the territory of Russia? smile
      1. Bakht Offline Bakht
        Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 29 September 2020 20: 17
        +3
        Straight to Nakhichevan. From there to Yerevan, 80 kilometers or even less

        But seriously, they will most likely be replenished after the war. Apparently, things are heading towards a lull. At this time, battles are taking place in the area of ​​FIZULI. This means that in the southern direction, the Azerbaijani army advanced 25-30 km.
        1. 123 Offline 123
          123 (123) 29 September 2020 20: 36
          0
          But seriously, they will most likely be replenished after the war. Apparently, things are heading towards a lull. At this time, battles are taking place in the area of ​​FIZULI. This means that in the southern direction, the Azerbaijani army advanced 25-30 km.

          Aha yes I also think it will soon subside. About replenishment ... in my opinion there are some agreements on the number and weapons. For several years, they wanted to change Migi for newer ones, the Turks splashed saliva that it was not comradely laughing
    3. Hayer31 Offline Hayer31
      Hayer31 (Kashchei) 29 September 2020 20: 14
      0
      Well, they wrote a lie, what has changed ?? And the cargo travels across Georgia and Iran.
    4. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
      Bulanov (Vladimir) 30 September 2020 10: 38
      0
      And how, let me ask you, does Turkey transfer its equipment, people and weapons to Azerbaijan? Do they seem to have a border with Azerbaijan?
      1. Bakht Offline Bakht
        Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 30 September 2020 12: 43
        +1
        No way. And who said he was ferrying?
  3. Atilla10933 Offline Atilla10933
    Atilla10933 (Atilla_az) 29 September 2020 19: 30
    -1
    Lies.

    Russia has good relations with both Armenia and Azerbaijan.

    The closure of Russian channels in Armenia, a pro-Western oath in the presidential elections, offensive slogans and a monument to the fascist Njje in Yerevan. The author where is there a good relationship?
  4. kriten Offline kriten
    kriten (Vladimir) 29 September 2020 20: 16
    0
    When they write about the collapse of the Turkish lira, it becomes funny. Who else noticed this except journalists? They understand for lies - it's a collapse.
  5. beeper Offline beeper
    beeper 29 September 2020 20: 31
    +1
    It's all sadbecause, due to the impossibility, prompted by the behind-the-scenes, local politicians to come to an agreement, ordinary people are dying from all sides and there is no peaceful life in Nagorno-Karabakh.
    And looking at the geographical position of NK, I am completely inclined to think that this territory, one way or another, soon or not, but in the historical perspective will be under the control of Azerbaijan (not Armenia!), Whatever one may say!
    IMHO