Preparing the Anschluss? Why Lukashenka hastily closed the border with Europe


The confrontation between Belarus and its Eastern European neighbors and Ukraine, which joined them, has moved to a new level. President Lukashenko, whose legality of re-election was refused to be recognized by the European Union, gave an order to close the state border with everyone except Russia. What can this step indicate?


Alexander Grigorievich actually stated that before the outbreak of a "hot war" with Belarus, the West had "very few tricks" left:

We are forced to withdraw the troops from the streets, put the army under arms and close the state border from the West, first of all, with Lithuania and Poland.


Hot War?


A military threat is a very serious statement, but how reasonable is it? Yes, Poland, Lithuania and Ukraine have sheltered many fugitive Belarusian oppositionists. Vilnius was the first to recognize “President Tikhanovskaya”, and Warsaw presented Svetlana Georgievna with a beautiful house and offered to be nominated for the Nobel Prize. Yes, mass protests against Lukashenka are coordinated to one degree or another from the territory of neighboring countries. But war?

I would like to remind that Moscow is connected with Minsk not only by the treaty on the creation of the Union State, but also within the framework of the CSTO. Anyone's attack on Belarus will force the RF Ministry of Defense into action, and Russia is a nuclear power, which any aggressor will have to reckon with, no matter how many tanks or aircraft he may have.

Anschluss?


It is no secret that the Kremlin is looking at deeper integration of Belarus within the framework of the Union State, which until recently caused serious fears of President Lukashenko himself. Some Belarusians perceived the announcement of the closure of borders with Europe as the lowering of the “iron curtain” from Minsk and the surrender of the country to Moscow. Here is how the social network commented on this news one reader:

Everything is clear, the guarantor of independence has signed the latest roadmaps. Goodbye, independent Belarus, long live the Belarusian Federal District ... Well, Russians, prepare bread and salt, we will move into your communal apartment on the way ...

It sounds pretty categorical, but let's calmly figure it out. The legitimacy of President Lukashenko has been questioned by Western countries, and it would be frivolous to ignore this. All "road maps" signed by him in such a legal status will be challenged by the leading states of the world, therefore, the real unification of Russia and Belarus from the very start will begin with international sanctions. The Kremlin should probably understand this.

“Annexing” Belarus and turning it into a federal district of Russia is, in today's realities, the stupidest idea that will create a lot of new problems. No, it would be even more stupid to refuse integration, but a transitional period is needed. First, everything in Belarus must "settle down": undergo constitutional reform and re-election of the president. Alexander Lukashenko must voluntarily vacate the post of head of state, handing it over to another person, whose powers and terms of office will be seriously limited. By the way, after the new elections, Mrs. Tikhanovskaya will lose the right to call herself “the Belarusian president”, which will remove one more problem. And only after that it will be possible to sign some "road maps".

Stabilization


Taking into account the above, by his decision to close the border with Poland, Lithuania and Ukraine, President Lukashenko, apparently, is solving a number of more mundane tasks.

At first, he sets up a cordon for the entry into the country of trained militants from the territory of, for example, Ukraine, who could make an attempt to shake the situation by transferring the Belarusian protest from a decidedly peaceful to a violent one.

Secondly, we can talk about the introduction of a single state border and the regime of its crossing. Recall that Minsk previously allowed foreigners to enter the country without a visa, which caused great displeasure in Moscow.

Thirdly, the risk of an external military threat from the NATO bloc gives another reason to expand the Russian military presence in Belarus. Regular joint exercises of the RF and RB Ministry of Defense have already been announced. Perhaps, new objects of military infrastructure will appear, which should become a guarantor of security both from an attack from outside and from a peaceful situation inside a friendly country.
16 comments
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  1. boriz Offline boriz
    boriz (boriz) 18 September 2020 13: 20
    +1
    It is not yet clear how the border closure / strengthening is expressed (or expressed).
    On the Ukrainian border, everything is unchanged.

    https://strana.ua/news/290399-usilenija-na-hranitse-belarusi-s-ukrainoj-ne-nabljudaetsja.html

    Nothing is heard about the rest.
  2. 123 Offline 123
    123 (123) 18 September 2020 13: 32
    +3
    Some of Schreibikusa's reporters are so fond of using German words like Anschluss. In relation to Belarus, this is done with enviable persistence and regularity. Interestingly, in relation to the Balkan and other countries absorbed by Europe, this term is used? Apparently not No. (if not right, give an example). After all, it is necessary to create a certain attitude, draw certain parallels ..... I am applying for an award ... you know how. Good Sergey, Good winked
    It was not essential to read the text, and it is so clear, everything is as usual.
    1. boriz Offline boriz
      boriz (boriz) 18 September 2020 13: 43
      +2
      Interestingly, in relation to the Balkan and other countries absorbed by Europe, this term is used?

      For example, the GDR. Not a referendum, not a single legally valid piece of paper ...
      1. 123 Offline 123
        123 (123) 18 September 2020 15: 34
        -1
        For example, the GDR. Not a referendum, not a single legally valid piece of paper ...

        You don't understand, this is different. How can you roll a barrel on the mother of European democracy and swear with bad words? belay The letter will no longer be given.
    2. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 19 September 2020 07: 30
      -1
      Quote: 123
      It was not essential to read the text, and it is so clear, everything is as usual.

      Then be consistent in your "adherence to principles" and spare me your comments laughing
      1. 123 Offline 123
        123 (123) 19 September 2020 12: 02
        +1
        Then be consistent in your "adherence to principles" and spare me your comments

        You can do the same and not read my comments. winked
        Better to change your profession or at least your audience, try broadcasting to the Balts or Ukraine, there is now such "content" in high esteem.
  3. Maxim Bukshtunovich (Maxim Bukshtunovich) 18 September 2020 13: 42
    +2
    The author, the fact that the European Union did not recognize the elections, absolutely on the drum, they called the amendments to the Russian Constitution illegal, and their non-recognition has no political consequences for Minsk and Moscow. Thus, Russia may not at all recognize the collapse of the Soviet Union as illegal, and declare that all agreements concluded by the former republics after the collapse are illegal. Europe, on the contrary, with such statements only accelerates the process of integration of Russia and Belarus
    1. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
      A.Lex (Secret information) 18 September 2020 20: 44
      -1
      Maxim ... Well, write the words Soviet Union with a small letter ... request negative
    2. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 19 September 2020 07: 31
      0
      Quote: Maxim Bukshtunovich
      The author, the fact that the European Union did not recognize the elections, absolutely on the drum, they also called the amendments to the Russian Constitution illegal, and their non-recognition has no political consequences for Minsk and Moscow.

      I suppose you are not a lawyer and are incompetent to talk about such things.
      1. 123 Offline 123
        123 (123) 19 September 2020 12: 03
        +1
        I suppose you are not a lawyer and are incompetent to talk about such things.

        Look who's Talking winked
  4. kriten Offline kriten
    kriten (Vladimir) 18 September 2020 14: 36
    -1
    It could be written in short: the visa-free regime for foreigners has been canceled. If so, of course, but there is no confirmation of this. Everything else blab ball blah ...
  5. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 18 September 2020 14: 56
    +2
    Here is how one reader commented on the news on a social network.

    And another reader commented that Poland wants to annex Belarus and create the Rzeczpospolita ...
  6. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 18 September 2020 15: 54
    0
    Perhaps the dad wants, if anything, to capture the neighbors. No wonder he started maneuvers at the borders!
  7. Siberian southerner (Sergey A) 18 September 2020 18: 48
    +6
    Belarusians are welcome! Move in and live, there will be enough space for everyone, not everything is as bad here as they talk in the EU, you can live. laughing
    1. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
      A.Lex (Secret information) 18 September 2020 20: 45
      +1
      And that's for sure!
  8. Arthur Yazovskikh (Arthur Brestsky) 1 October 2020 08: 00
    0
    As a Belarus, I would not like to be part of Russia. Of course there is an older brother with a large apartment, and we are with a small but still our own apartment.