What are the reasons for the Belarusian protest and what will the opposition's victory lead to

For more than a month, rallies and strikes have not stopped in Belarus. The protesters mostly hear vague phrases about freedom, change and the fight against the tyranny of Lukashenka. In turn, the current government is trying to normalize the situation by force.

In recent years, the Belarusian “idyll”, which Alexander Lukashenko “draws” in his populist speeches for more than two decades, has noticeably shaken. Oil disputes with Russia, falling exports, rising public debt and budget deficits have put the "model" country in a difficult position.

To reduce dependence on Russian capital, small but proud Belarus decided to "turn its gaze" to the West. However, after the violent suppression of the protesters, Lukashenka and company received only an additional package of sanctions.

At the same time, the protests themselves also did not arise out of nowhere. Deterioration in the economy, the difficulties caused by the pandemic, coupled with the unpopular decisions of the country's leadership, significantly reduced the living standards of Belarusians. The gain of 80% of votes by the incumbent president was only a trigger.

The opposition protest movement was led by the wife of blogger and businessman Sergei Tikhanovsky, Svetlana Tikhanovskaya, who took second place following the election results, which her supporters rushed to declare rigged. Two more well-known opposition candidates are also representatives of the bourgeoisie V. Babariko and A. Tsepkalo.

Students and the petty bourgeoisie became the basis for the outbreak of mass protests. Strikes broke out in large enterprises throughout the country. In response, the government pulled in police and riot police, which led to more opposition from protesters.

The complexity of the situation that has developed in Belarus is that there is no strong communist party in this country that could direct the protest movements in the right direction. As a result, we have opportunism, lack of principle and "boastfulness".

Therefore, now we are witnessing another bourgeois coup d'état, which will only lead to a deterioration in the life of the working class. It is useless in this situation to "wedge into the process" and support one side or the other.

The victory of the opposition will lead to the "enslavement" of Belarus by foreign capital, the growth of poverty, devastation and unemployment. In turn, the retention of power by the incumbent president will only mean a strengthening of the police apparatus and an increase in the fascization of the country with a further deterioration in the standard of living of the people.

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  1. Sapsan136 Offline Sapsan136
    Sapsan136 (Alexander) 20 September 2020 10: 25
    The victory of the red and white Natsiks will turn Belarus into the second UKROPIA, this is more than obvious. However, now I do not see a greater desire of the drowning Lukashenko to integrate with the Russian Federation, he still looks at the Russian Federation exclusively from a consumer point of view, and the Russian Federation owes nothing to him and people like him.
  2. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 20 September 2020 10: 46
    Not a day without Belarusians. Until the boots were cut along the ribs ...
  3. BMP-2 Offline BMP-2
    BMP-2 (Vladimir V.) 20 September 2020 11: 06
    What other "victory for the opposition"?
    1. beeper Offline beeper
      beeper 20 September 2020 12: 28
      Quote: BMP-2
      What other "victory for the opposition"?

      hi It may well be, because behind the "Maidan people" stand, "burning up" by the next "general crisis of capitalism," the "hegemons" of the United States and "Common Europe", who regard Belarus only as an annoying obstacle to their access to the sweet "commissary body" of the Russian Federation (which, for the sake of their own salvation from the impending Great Depression, "common people" want to "break" and "cannibalize")!
      So the Washington fascists and their lackeys will "squeeze" Belarus and Lukashenko in every way, especially since it is already clear and understandable that even "pecking a roast cock" did not shake the unjustified arrogance of the Belarusian "father" and, alas, did not move him to the right conclusions and decisions (I think that his zapadoid inner circle does not allow him to do this either, he keeps him on the kukan as a guarantee that the Kremlin will not rise from hopelessness, according to the "Crimean scenario", if they succeed, "under the preservation of the" pro-Russian "Russophobe Lukashenko, "to lull the vigilance of the Kremlin and to surrender Belarus to the Washington colonialists" smoothly "- with amusement ?!)! request
      1. King3214 Offline King3214
        King3214 (Sergius) 20 September 2020 12: 41
        With what "hegemons" of the USA and "Common Europe", is Belarus in the way?
        Empty space cannot interfere.
    2. The comment was deleted.
  4. Guerilla1 Offline Guerilla1
    Guerilla1 (Eremeev) 20 September 2020 14: 38
    Integration is no longer possible. It is no secret that people's discontent with the support of the Russian authorities for Lukashenko is growing. This is a strategic mistake that makes integration impossible. In the eyes of Belarusians, the Kremlin is now, to put it mildly, "not a friend."
    Already shouts of "shame" towards Russian journalists (RT) - I observed this personally, across the street from me.
    Here in the Kremlin they are used to half-measures, to "half a bump" - Georgia (under-suppressed, under-reached), Ukraine, Armenia.
    And here it will not work like that, by half measures. Or, as in Crimea - to gather all the deputies overnight and vote in the morning, "according to the law." Or the slow drift of "public opinion" against integration, alas.
    There are still many active pro-Russian electorate 40 and older - now it is still possible to be together. In a year or two - that's it, finish. 30-year-olds and younger Russia is often called "rashka", which is not surprising since grew up under the "mustache" who "crushed" all the pro-Russian movements and "closed" on himself, partially decrediting.
    In total, what is being done now is the support of A.G. - a mistake leading to growth, and let's face it, nationalism and separatism with a pro-Western bias.
    The report is over.
    PS You just need to understand that young generations (20,25,30,35 years old) will not live in the Middle Ages with a feudal lord, no matter how you support him - everything is simple.
  5. Sergey Tokarev Offline Sergey Tokarev
    Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) 20 September 2020 15: 43
    but they will comfort their pride. could not compete with Russian engineers, now they will be able to compete with Ukrainian prostitutes and Polish plumbers.
  6. Will be sour russo-bellam
    We will say this boldly!
    There will be tears they pour
    Ask for grandmothers from Putin!

    (but he will not give, I give a tooth)
  7. Heroes Heroes Offline Heroes Heroes
    Heroes Heroes (Sergei) 20 September 2020 20: 58
    Yes, they've done it already, these Protestants. You can close the shop, put out the lights and drain the oil!
  8. Cyril Offline Cyril
    Cyril (Kirill) 20 September 2020 21: 22
    21st century, and someone still has communism in their heads
  9. The comment was deleted.
  10. Jacques sekavar Offline Jacques sekavar
    Jacques sekavar (Jacques Sekavar) 18 October 2020 18: 54
    phrases about freedom, change and the fight against the tyranny of Lukashenka

    1. The slaves understand freedom as an opportunity to blaspheme the authorities with impunity.
    2. The tyranny of Lukashenka is that by preventing large oligarchic capital from forming and becoming the head of state, he overlooked the expectations of the crowd, which had been fueled by the “democrats” for a long time, which led to mass protests against the backdrop of the crisis.
    3. When big business seizes power, there will be a “struggle without rules” for the division of state property and the reformation of the ruling class.

    Deterioration in the economy ... reduced the living standards of Belarusians. The set of 80% of votes by the incumbent president was just a trigger

    Slaves must be provided with bread and circuses, a truth proven by millennia.

    The opposition protest movement was headed by ... Tikhanovskaya

    This aunt is a marrionette in the hands of others, from which the supporters of slavery have made the banner of the fight against Lukashenka. They could have lifted Babarika or Tsepkala, but in line with the fashionable trend towards gender equality and the EU orders, they put Tikhanovskaya on a pedestal, especially since it took second place with 10%. Will not meet expectations, will be replaced.

    the preservation of power by the current president will only mean the strengthening of the police apparatus and the growth of the fascization of the country with a further deterioration in the standard of living of the people

    Not a fact, and the Russian Federation is a clear example of this. The main thing is not to go too far and create a system of safety valves to release vapors and relieve tension in society, such as a multi-party system and “democratic” elections, in which the one who has the most sponsors' money wins - the leading group of big business at this time.
    Why is everyone all over the world striving for power - because this is the easiest and most affordable option to get out of "rags to riches", to make capital without producing any material or other values ​​and to ensure the comfortable existence of relatives for decades to come. It's a risky business, there are a lot of people who want to, they can break off their horns, but the game is worth it, but it won't work - a direct road to the cemetery or to the opposition.