President's days are numbered: why Lukashenko is not satisfied with the Kremlin


Now, when waves of unauthorized protests have swept our brotherly Belarus, no one asks the question, and what, in fact, does not suit the old man who took to the streets? And so it is clear - tired of 26 years, go away! The protest is unmotivated, but understandable. They will notice the difference only when they lose it, and it will not be for the better, but this is the fate of all revolutions. But why the Kremlin is not satisfied with it, now let's try to figure it out.


No, don't think, there is no contradiction here. At the moment, Lukashenka is satisfied with the Kremlin, because there is no other choice. An alternative to him is the Maidan and chaos. And in case of the victory of Belomaidan, the steady drift of the Republic of Belarus to the west. Therefore, now Moscow supports the father, and is doing the right thing! But in the near future, we are not on our way with him, and now, just the most favorable moment to change the Belarusian driver, because in recent years he has discredited himself so much that he has become unbearable not only for his own people, but also for Moscow. It is not for nothing that the collective West at the last moment decided not to lower it under sanctions (Italy, France and Germany imposed a veto in the EU), such a cow is needed by itself, and under sanctions it has only one way - to bow to Moscow.

And the West understands this as well as we do. We do not consider stupid Polish-Baltic limitrophes here, because in the EU no one considers them as their own, they have their own road (which ends in a cliff in 2021, together with EU subsidies), and the EU has its own. Therefore, the choir of the Polish-Baltic boys sings out of tune with the European orchestra. We do not pay attention to the Ukrainian dancers either, since it has been dancing to the American tune for 6 years without the right to vote. These Polish-Baltic comrades can only glue the walls of their toilets with their sanctions. Old man doesn't care about them.

But the multi-vector Lukashenko became a problem not only for the newly created Lublin triangle, but also for Moscow, becoming the last impassable obstacle to the creation of the Union State. And even now, when the chair is wobbling under him, he has not brought Moscow an inch closer to solving this problem. And the fact that it will have to be solved in this way has been proven by all recent events, starting with the 2014 ukromaydan. Then the West crossed all the red lines, and only a change in the status quo can stop it on this path. And Putin has already taken the path of a collector of Russian lands. The first is Belarus. The next one, just don't laugh, will Ukraine, whether it wants it or not, it will only enter the Russian Federation in parts. But we will talk about the territory of the zhovto-blakitny benches next time, and now we will return to the old man.

He will not hang out in the status of president for long, he will definitely not sit out until the end of his term, and he understands this. But even the signing of the Union Treaty will not ease his fate, although he is now getting ready to go to Moscow (he had to think before!). There he can only be relieved of the financial burden, which Putin has already promised, by restructuring the debt, but no one in Moscow will conclude an agreement on the creation of the Union State with him. And here are the reasons:

Reason №1. No matter how ridiculous it may be to say, there is still no agreement as such, although work on it has been carried out for the last 20 years. Such important issues as a single currency, a single armed force, the status of the police forces and the status of the republic as such (in the form of an autonomous entity or as regional subjects of the federation) remained uncoordinated. But such issues are not solved in a week. Before the presidents sign anything, the documents must be approved by experts, advisers and technical specialists.

Reason №2. The status of the father himself at the moment. It has no external or internal legitimacy. The lack of external legitimacy will lead to the fact that everything signed by him now can be recognized as invalid, subject to automatic denunciation and therefore not having legal force and international legal consequences. And this is what Moscow wants least of all. And for obvious reasons, no one will question the status of the newly created Union State under such conditions.

Reason number 3 and the most important. The lack of internal legitimization of the dad will inevitably lead to the fact that all the negativity against him in a part of society will automatically be turned against the Union State, which will be perceived by this part as an attempt to encroach on their independence and national identity. Those. With this step, the Kremlin can direct the existing protest (against the daddy) into a nationalist channel (away from Moscow), which it would not want at all, given the fact that at the moment the protest is not anti-Russian in nature. Therefore, attempts to create a Union State will have to be postponed until better times, at least until the situation in the republic is normalized.

And for this, it is necessary to launch the constitutional mechanisms for the transit of power as soon as possible through amending the Constitution and holding a referendum, which will give the go-ahead for new parliamentary and presidential elections, as a result of which a neutral candidate who suits everyone (both the West and Moscow) will have to win. This is the only possible option for a peaceful resolution of the situation and the transit of power without any revolutions. RF is not interested in any revolutions in Belarus. The Russian Federation is interested in normalizing the situation in the republic.

Therefore, Lukashenka's days are numbered. Akela missed, Akela must go! But who will replace him will be decided by Moscow, not Warsaw!
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  1. Valentine Offline
    Valentine (Valentin) 10 September 2020 12: 16
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    One has only to put Washington's dirty paws into managing Belarus, in the form of the same Guaido-Tikhanovskaya, and at the exit we can get such a result that the Galician Natsiks of Ukraine can envy, if, of course, we again observe all this from the outside, waiting, when "the corpse of our enemy floats past us" ...... Russia is already surrounded by Russophobic countries formed with the help and direct participation of the United States, and they will not turn their way out of their way, and will constantly shit and shit on us, and they do not have enough strength for more. But Father realized, albeit late, that he had nothing to expect support from the West, and his only support in his future life was only Russia, and he would do everything to get a residence permit with his son Kolya in the Rostov Region, otherwise, after the next elections, he will be tried, but for what - the State Department will prompt.
    1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 10 September 2020 13: 31
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      If Russians live in Russia unfavorably, why would Belarusians want to join such an unfavorable country for its citizens ... The first to build their own country, Russia, is favorable for citizens, and not a bunch of snickering millionaires, then the rest will have something to take an example from and a desire to join Russia ... The main condition for collecting the lands of Russia is to become an example for the rest ... With the current vertical structure of corrupt officials and embezzlers, - the support of those in power, only the disgust and separation of everyone from such Russia, which we see in fact, can become no example. ..
      1. Valentine Offline
        Valentine (Valentin) 10 September 2020 13: 56
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        Stop now Russia all sorts of subsidies for the supply of all energy resources to Belarus, and refusal to purchase all kinds of equipment (hypothetically) - and its economy will collapse, and they will not live on milk alone.
      2. gore Offline
        gore (Alexander) 11 September 2020 03: 53
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        Vovan! (Tuzakov), finish this endless song about zazhivat millionaires, about the vertical of corrupt officials and embezzlers, and start with yourself.
        Such writings are constantly heard from those who were unlucky enough to break through to the state feeder or, at worst, not having received at least some position in the distribution system of the country's budget at any level.
        First, honestly (HONESTLY !!!) answer the question: "What would you do if you were authorized to distribute the budget, say, of the Krasnoyarsk Territory?"
        Quite right! You would be exactly the same. Whoever disagrees with me, let him spit in my direction. I think there will be few of them ...
        1. 321 Offline
          321 (321) 11 September 2020 12: 31
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          Quote: gore
          Vovan! (Tuzakov), finish this endless song about zazhivat millionaires, about the vertical of corrupt officials and embezzlers, and start with yourself.
          Such writings are constantly heard from those who were unlucky enough to break through to the state feeder or, at worst, did not receive at least some position in the distribution system of the country's budget at any level.
          First, honestly (HONESTLY !!!) answer the question: "What would you do if you were authorized to distribute the budget, say, of the Krasnoyarsk Territory?"
          Quite right! You would be exactly the same. Whoever disagrees with me, let him spit in my direction. I think there will be few such ...

          How difficult it is to understand, and not only to you, that far NOT everyone will act the way you wrote here - although it was a long time ago, I was offered a job in the AP in plain text, I did not go, when asked why - answered politely - that I should never lick licked and I'm not going to continue, we will omit some details ...
          So you DO NOT need to confidently write here that everyone will just rush to fill their pocket ... bully hi
  2. gorenina91 Offline
    gorenina91 (Irina) 10 September 2020 13: 26
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    President's days are numbered: why Lukashenko is not satisfied with the Kremlin

    - Yes ... of course ... - Well, how long can you talk about it ... - personally, I'm already tired of repeating the same thing ...
    - "The Moor has done his job ... - the Moor must leave" ... - Leave yesterday ...
    - It's all over ... - "The carriage began to turn into a pumpkin again; the coachman again - into a rat ..." and so on ...
    - Personally, I have already said that personally I am very deeply sympathetic to everything that is in Belarus today ... - all of its statehood; all of its production; all its social basis ... - all this "Belarusian socialism" ... - all this "bygone days of sadness" ... - all this nostalgia transmitted to me personally from my grandparents ... - nostalgia about the bygone days of socialism ...
    - But the "black days" have come ... - and here ... - even cry; at least don't cry for the one who is leaving ... - But there is no turning back ...
    - And today there is a question about the integrity of Belarus ...; about its further existence ... as a Belarusian society; as an ethnic group; as an identity (something I felt deeply) ...
    - In short ... we are talking about the existence of Belarus ...
    - And Belarus can save itself only by joining Russia ... - with all its territorial integrity (the entire territory that Belarus owns today) ... - entering Russia as a subject of the Russian Federation ...
    - This is later; God willing ... - we will build socialism again ... - and in Russia (and to all those who have become part of Russia), the common good of socialist parity will spread ... - (No ... - I was obviously feeling emotionally) ... - And today the task is ... - is to preserve the integrity and territoriality of statehood ... - and Russia ... and Belarus ... - And then already; most likely ... - other generations will build socialism ... - and the oligarchs will be overthrown ... - all these "Abramovichs", "Vekselbergs", etc. and so on ... - and will bring them to justice ...
    - And today it is necessary to save the very foundation of Belarus ... - Otherwise, all this foundation ... - will leave in parts for different states; will go around the world and dissolve ... and turn into dust ...
    - And under Lo (Lukashenko) this is exactly what can happen ... - After all, Lo today is no longer thinking about Belarus; but about your own ....................
    - And after all, Lo will be removed anyway ... - after all, Lo already does not suit ... - not Moscow; no Western owners ... - And Lo has long been waste material for everyone ...
    - And what's the point for Russia and for the Belarusians themselves; if Lo is removed by the Westerners ... - when Belarus will go under the hammer anyway ... - in parts ...
    1. A.Lex Offline
      A.Lex (Secret information) 11 September 2020 08: 24
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      Well, how long can you talk about it ... - personally, I'm already tired of repeating the same thing ...

      wassat laughing Well, you wouldn't say so! How strange you are! "I don't want to talk, but I do." You have a split consciousness, that is, shiza. Poor fellow, damn it ... fool
  3. Sergey Latyshev Offline
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 10 September 2020 13: 44
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    To whom should, dad forgave long ago ...

    You can already congratulate on another virtual victory, this time over the daddy.
    It remains only to draw a cartoon of how Lukashenko leaves, and a change from Moscow (all as one, effective managers) comes ...
    .... but while there is no money, we hold on without a cartoon ...
  4. rotkiv04 Offline
    rotkiv04 (Victor) 10 September 2020 13: 48
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    One thing is 100% clear, that Belarus will be robbed and privatized, like Russia in the 90s, or Putin's oligarchs, or Western corporations. So while Father is in power, they can still live in peace.
    1. gorenina91 Offline
      gorenina91 (Irina) 10 September 2020 17: 23
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      One thing is 100% clear that Belarus will be robbed and privatized, like Russia in the 90s, either Putin's oligarchs or Western corporations

      - Yes, of course ... - But Belarus in the hypostasis in which it is now ... - still cannot be saved ...
      - Today we are talking only about saving the integrity of the territory of Belarus ...
      - And it is Russia that is interested in preserving this integrity of the Belarusian territory ...
      - And Western corporations ... - on the contrary ... - are interested in dividing Belarus into many "regionalists"; to make it more convenient to put Belarus under the hammer ... - like at an auction ... - Western corporations do not need the entire territory of Belarus at all ... - they only need some parts of it; and everything else ... let it be determined by itself and be a part of anyone ... - even in Poland; even to Lithuania; even to Ukraine, etc ... - When the entire economy and industry of this "dismembered Belarus" collapses; then none of the Western oligarchs and the EU would even think about accepting millions of Belarusian refugees from those territorial pieces; into which the former Belarus will turn ... - Who will need it at all ...

      so while Father is in power, they can still live in peace.

      - Ha ... - Yes, under Butler (under Law) Belarus is already living restlessly ... - And the longer Law remains formally in power; the more probable are provocations of the same proteges of "Western corporations" ... - and American henchmen ...
      And the Americans do not waste time in vain ... - just how the American "sha_v_ki" moved and became more active in Lithuania, and in Ukraine, and in Poland ... - how quickly they took the Belarusian opposition under their wing ... funds; no money; no apartments ... - The centers of the Belarusian opposition began to be organized very quickly ... - so there is no need to rely on Lo ... Lo ... - this is already an ephemerality whose term has ended ...
  5. Igor Pavlovich Offline
    Igor Pavlovich (Igor Pavlovich) 10 September 2020 14: 09
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    The whole article is an example of Great Russian chauvinism ... Vladimir Ilyich was right, oh right ...
    1. rotkiv04 Offline
      rotkiv04 (Victor) 10 September 2020 17: 39
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      Your Ilyich handed out the tsarist lands to the right and to the left, he was the very first Russophobe, he must be thrown out of the Mausoleum ...
  6. Glenni Offline
    Glenni (Andrei) 10 September 2020 15: 55
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    Good intentions, but why, where Russia is, is helping it become even worse than it was?
    1. rotkiv04 Offline
      rotkiv04 (Victor) 10 September 2020 17: 26
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      And where is it worse? Worse is where the West has climbed.
  7. steelmaker Offline
    steelmaker 10 September 2020 20: 28
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    Again, "not thank God." It only calmed down and again the journalists began to rock the boat. Again "a grenade of the wrong system".
  8. Nikolay Malyugin (Nikolai Malyugin) 11 September 2020 06: 47
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    He will stay until the end of the term. They will adopt a new Constitution. The role of the president will be relegated to the background. And the first will be the prime minister.
    1. A.Lex Offline
      A.Lex (Secret information) 11 September 2020 08: 26
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      Not a fact, Nikolai.
  9. Vyacheslav Moscow 12 September 2020 22: 36
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    The collective farmer created the whole orgy that takes place today with a tenacity worthy of another application. For him, the meaning of life is power. The emergence of any political movement, especially a pro-Russian one, is perceived by him as an attempt on his own person. Therefore, the political clearing there has been cleaned to a sterile state. The situation is dead-end: it is impossible without Lukashenka, but there is nothing good with him either. His appearance in public with a gun indicates an inadequate mental state.