Trump at the end of his term managed to achieve two diplomatic victories


The day before, President Trump reported an extraordinary diplomatic success. If the statement from Washington is to be believed, the United States managed to reconcile Serbia and Kosovo without the slightest participation of Russia. How should one treat such a formulation of the question?


On September 4, in the Oval Office of the White House, an agreement was signed to normalize relations between Belgrade and Pristina, the capital of the Republic of Kosovo, which it did not recognize. In general, given the entire history of their relationship, the event can really be considered a breakthrough. But there are important nuances.

At first, in reality, no bilateral agreements have appeared. Serbia and Kosovo have signed separate agreements with the United States to act as a mediator. For Washington, which is consolidating its position in the Balkans, this is undoubtedly a diplomatic success. But the official directive of Belgrade is still not to sign any papers with the unrecognized republic.

SecondlySerbia managed to obtain from Pristina a moratorium for one year on attempts to join any international organization, considering it "creeping legitimization." For example, Kosovo has already been able to become a member of UEFA, and its football team even takes part in sports tournaments. The ban on the unrecognized republic from joining UNESCO is supported by Russia. Such an annual moratorium can be considered a foreign policy success for Belgrade.

Thirdly, President Alexander Vucic was able to stop the territorial expansion of the Kosovars to the strategically important Gazivode hydroelectric power station and the entire power supply system of the region. Two years ago, the Serbs were forced to raise an army with a gun when Pristina tried to capture it by military force. By agreement with the United States, the Albanians de facto refuse to expand in this direction.

Fourthly, a new highway between Belgrade and Pristina will be built with American money, and the United States is also undertaking to guarantee the safety of Serbian investments in Kosovo. In addition, Belgrade has achieved the lifting of Albanian sanctions against Serbian goods and the supply of Serbian communities on the territory of the unrecognized republic.

Finally, Pristina was able to achieve something. Kosovo will be allowed to join the so-called Balkan "mini-Schengen". Residents of the republic will be able to travel without a visa through the territory of Serbia, North Macedonia and Albania.

In general, so far Belgrade appears to have benefited most from the agreement. But the White House also benefited from it. Many opponents deservedly criticized the American president for not knowing much about international policy... On the eve of the November elections, Donald Trump managed to make two diplomatic "breakthroughs" at once. Just the other day, he was able to reconcile Israel and the UAE. Now he seems to have reconciled the irreconcilable Serbia and Kosovo.

Another question is how long this next "deal of the century" will last. Despite some concessions, there are many dissatisfied with the agreement in Serbia itself. There are many more of them in Kosovo, and this is not surprising. It is quite possible that the Kosovo authorities will bury these agreements in November.
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  1. boriz Online
    boriz (boriz) 6 September 2020 11: 12
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    The participation of the Russian Federation was for sure, it was simply not advertised. The Russian Federation communicated with Serbia, and the USA - with Kosovo.
    RF is very important for Trump to win the election. Therefore, they could well play along with Trump and give all the laurels to him. And he will get a few more votes.
    If the Democrats come to power now, the old woman Hillary will seem like a Sunday school student, compared to the current, completely frostbitten characters.
    And how long this deal will last is completely irrelevant. If only it lasted until November 4.
  2. Oyo Sarkazmi Online
    Oyo Sarkazmi (Oyo Sarkazmi) 6 September 2020 11: 53
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    They summoned the prime minister and president of Serbia to the American embassy, ​​and naturally stuffed their face in the face. Now without video cameras. And an agreement to improve the logistics of the American military base, the largest in Europe, was passed. It is inconvenient to transport tanks by planes (hence the highway).
  3. gorenina91 Offline
    gorenina91 (Irina) 6 September 2020 15: 46
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    For Russia today it is no longer important ... - who will become the next president in the United States ... - Trump again ... or one of the Democrats ...
    -Trump is "American Erdogan" ... -the same rather adventurous; but acting by "American methods" ... - And to expect from Trump that he will continue his "Trump policy", becoming president for a second term ... - this is very wrong ... - in Russia everything is quite predictable (endless policy of concessions and adjustments to the West and China) ... - a whole generation has already been born and raised on this predictability ... - Russia has long been uninteresting to anyone and no one has considered it for a long time ... - it has become just an appendage ... - no one knows what as an appendage ... - Russia has even ceased to be pulled over to their side ... - Nobody has been pulling her anywhere for a long time ... - not the United States; nor China; neither the EU ... nor ... "aliens" ... - And to decide the fate of some small European states ... - Nobody calls Russia and does not authorize ... - It's Russia that is waiting for her here -then they will invite you to decide something ... - But, alas ... - Both Serbs and Montenegrins understand this (who loved Russia so much, but they themselves got into NATO) ...
    - This Serbian "president-basketball player" too ... - why did you fly to the USA ??? - Why did you stick in the USA ??? - He wants to join NATO ??? - But he doesn't know from which side to approach ... - I wanted to "speculate" on the "Belarusian topic" ... - and be "useful" for the Americans ??? - And for this, this president needs to commit some disgusting act in relation to Russia ... - the Americans will teach ... what to do ... - This Vucic himself is already quite ripe for this ... - True, Vucic is somewhat not I flew to the states on time ... - Today the Americans are not quite up to Serbia ... - But since I arrived, the Americans bent him at the same time ... - And now Russia should expect a "surprise" from Serbia soon ...
  4. 123 Offline
    123 (123) 6 September 2020 23: 53
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    There are also nuances left behind the scenes .... Serbia is also moving the embassy in Israel to Jerusalem, which runs counter to the position of other countries, including Russia. The Europeans are unhappy with the negotiations; they themselves wanted to lead the process in the Balkans. As a result, a miracle happened, the Hague Tribunal finally became interested in Hashim Thaci ... So many years later ...
    Surely there are still pitfalls that are not voiced.
    In general, Trump wrote himself a +10 rating before the elections (but what to do? Iran does not agree to bomb itself, comrade Kim does not want to participate in the photo session).
    The benefits for Serbia are rather hazy.

    one year moratorium attempts to join any international organization

    - the success is rather dubious.

    Vucic was able to stop the territorial expansion of the Kosovars to the strategically important Gazivode hydroelectric power station and the entire power supply system of the region

    Yeah .... and next year they will change their minds, and Trump will have no time for them, because new elections are not expected ... And then what?

    US undertakes to guarantee the safety of Serbian investments in Kosovo

    Are Serbs eager to invest in Kosovo's economy?
    What does this give Serbia and Vucic himself? So far a mystery ... He showed independence not agreed with Europe and Russia, but most likely listened to the "convincing" arguments of the American side and decided not to contradict ...

    1. Alexzn Offline
      Alexzn (Alexander) 7 September 2020 10: 44
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      The relocation of the embassy is very beneficial for Trump - these are the voices of the baps, primarily the evangelicals. Serbia and Israel are on very friendly terms, the Jews are very grateful to the Serbs for their actions during WWII.
      Serbia, by definition, will move towards the EU and NATO, they are part of Europe.
      1. 123 Offline
        123 (123) 7 September 2020 11: 49
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        Trump, naturally, did his best for himself. What Serbia will get as a result, apart from improving relations with Israel, is a mystery. In my opinion, Vucic decided to play multi-vector.
        I'm not sure about NATO and the EU. Vucic himself is probably not averse, but the people will not support, they can demolish. NATO is still not held in high esteem there. Yes, and with territorial disputes, as far as I remember, NATO is not accepted.
        The EU, of course, will swallow little Serbia and will not notice, but whether they should rush there is a big question. As a result, they will turn into Bulgaria, destroy all production and put the Serbs on subsidies. The military-industrial complex will be the first to suffer; no one needs Serbian weapons in Europe.
        1. Alexzn Offline
          Alexzn (Alexander) 7 September 2020 13: 10
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          Serbia is doomed to be multi-vector. Another generation and the Serbs themselves will want to join NATO. They are in such an economic situation that it will not be worse and integration with the EU will give more preferences. Serbs are initially more adapted to a common Europe than Bulgarians. Those are so mediocre that about ..... all the benefits. Even the Romanians have moved in the right direction.
          1. 123 Offline
            123 (123) 7 September 2020 14: 41
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            Serbia is doomed to be multi-vector.

            Come on. laughing And if it joins NATO and the EU, what about doom? Multi-vector will disappear instantly. It turns out that joining the above organizations is a contraindication for her?

            Another generation and the Serbs themselves will want to join NATO.

            Sure? For example, you remember the attitude during the Second World War, you think they have problems with memory, who and why bombed them, will they forget? And where will the Kosovo problem go?

            They are in such an economic situation that it will not be worse and integration with the EU will give more preferences.

            I may be wrong, but the "it won't get worse" argument isn't the best argument for joining. Usually campaigning "FOR", they list some positive aspects.
            As for the economy, it will still be. yes I'm not sure about the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary (I haven't delved into it), almost all other countries of Eastern Europe are losing their economies and living on EU subsidies.

            Serbs are initially more adapted to a common Europe than Bulgarians. Those are so mediocre that about ...... all the benefits. Even the Romanians have moved in the right direction.

            Bulgarians are the most "disciplined" EU recruits, they do everything that is required of them, the result is obvious. If the Serbs are controlled by the EU, it will be the same with them. By the way, nothing has been heard about "prosperous" Romania.
  5. Alexzn Offline
    Alexzn (Alexander) 8 September 2020 08: 33
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    Quote: 123
    Serbia is doomed to be multi-vector.

    Come on. laughing And if it joins NATO and the EU, what about doom? Multi-vector will disappear instantly. It turns out that joining the above organizations is contraindicated for her?

    Another generation and the Serbs themselves will want to join NATO.

    Sure? For example, you remember the attitude during the Second World War, you think they have problems with memory, who and why bombed them, will they forget? And where will the Kosovo problem go?

    They are in such an economic situation that it will not be worse and integration with the EU will give more preferences.

    I may be wrong, but the "it won't get worse" argument isn't the best argument for joining. Usually campaigning "FOR", they list some positive aspects.
    As for the economy, it will still be. yes I'm not sure about the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary (I haven't delved into it), almost all other countries of Eastern Europe are losing their economies and living on EU subsidies.

    Serbs are initially more adapted to a common Europe than Bulgarians. Those are so mediocre that about ...... all the benefits. Even the Romanians have moved in the right direction.

    Bulgarians are the most "disciplined" EU recruits, they do everything that is required of them, the result is obvious. If the Serbs are controlled by the EU, it will be the same with them. By the way, nothing has been heard about "prosperous" Romania.

    1. Multi-vector will not disappear, but within the framework of NATO. Better times will come someday and good relations with the Russian Federation will not be prohibited. The Greeks also wanted a multi-vector approach, but Russia chose Turkey (if it is very simplistic). Israel has excellent relations with the Russian Federation, but as the closest ally of the United States. Reality?
    2. Memory. Israel has excellent relations with Germany. Reality?
    3. It won't get any worse. For most EU countries after 2000, this is the main criterion. This is also reality. New countries only get a chance of a better life, no more. Well, the most dynamic 20% of the population of these countries, the actual initiators of the process, really improve their position or change their location, dissolving in more developed countries. This is how it works.
    4. Serbs are indeed more adapted than Bulgarians. Even under Tito, the Serbs had the opportunity to live and work in the West. Europe. In addition, the Serbs were the state-forming people in the SFRY, an imperial people with the resulting habit of adaptation in third countries and large systems. Bulgarians are a small-town rural people without geopolitical ambitions.
    With Romania you are wrong. since 2000 there is a very good growth rate! I think that over 20 years the average will be about 4-5%, taking into account the 2008-9 crisis, a very good result, one of the best in Europe.