Political scientist: Tihanovskaya made a mistake by fleeing to Lithuania


An analysis carried out by the International Institute for the Study of the Middle East and the Balkans, located in Ljubljana (Slovenia), offers its own view of the crisis in Belarus and the role of foreign actors in it.


On the eve, excerpts from their new report “2020 Belarus: Belarus between EU imperialism and Russian occupation” were published on the center’s website (“Belarus 2020: between EU imperialism and Russian occupation”). It is possible to highlight the main points that the authors focused on.

It is noted that President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko seeks to balance between the West (EU) and the Russian Federation. The Kremlin views the events in the neighboring country as troubles in its own backyard, believing that in this way the West and NATO are trying to bring their strategic positions closer to it.

Analysts believe that the statement of European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen is controversial in some aspects, especially in relation to the EU's offer of services to support a peaceful transition to democracy. [...] With such statements the EU contributes to the overthrow of the constitutional order of a sovereign and independent country

- noted in extracts.

It also says that Europe needs to be very careful and not allow such interpretations that could push Belarus into the sphere of Russia's interests, "which would mean the emergence of another failed state."

The EU does not dare to take more decisive measures also because it does not want to contribute to the realization of the more than obvious interests of Lithuania and Poland in relation to Belarus. In the context of this, the report says, it is important to warn all neighboring countries not to interfere in the internal affairs of this state.

On the other hand, even in the war against Georgia in 2008 and the subsequent recognition of the independence of South Ossetia and Abkhazia, Russia convincingly demonstrated its newfound power and determination to defend its interests. That clash was a warning to NATO, as well as a signal to the United States and other countries that the time when they could almost freely take action to the detriment of Russia's national interests is over. The position of Russia became even more obvious after the annexation of Crimea to Russia and the beginning of the conflict in Donbass.

According to analysts at the institute, presidential candidate Svetlana Tikhanovskaya made a major mistake when she decided to seek refuge in neighboring Lithuania. Belarus has a number of disagreements and disputes with this country, especially now that Vilnius has officially imposed sanctions. To explain the essence of her mistake, the authors resorted to analogies.

How Serbian citizens would react to a situation in which a presidential candidate of this country would find refuge in neighboring Croatia by asking this neighboring country to help him come to power

- a rhetorical question is asked in the text.
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  1. margo Offline
    margo (margo) 26 August 2020 16: 03
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    "Smart" political scientist! I would like to ask him, would he like to go to a Belarusian prison as an oppositionist?
    1. Sergey Tokarev Offline
      Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) 26 August 2020 16: 20
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      There is nothing clever to do there ... Nikolai Drozdov is not present - to comment on the showdown among the leaders of the flock of unafraid Bulbash. Let them jump, hit themselves in the chest with their fists and throw shit and sticks.
    2. Oyo Sarkazmi Offline
      Oyo Sarkazmi (Oyo Sarkazmi) 26 August 2020 17: 41
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      Quote: margo
      and he would like to go to a Belarusian prison as

      But would you like to go to an American prison on suspicion of a possible crime?
      Well, Agent Scully and Agent Mulder suspected that you might be moving the diamonds from Kinshasa to Kathmandu. The agents themselves have never been to Texas or Africa, they only know about you from the Internet, but there is a suspicion! For 20 years in prison.
  2. Sergey Latyshev Offline
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 26 August 2020 16: 23
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    Yes, it would be right to immediately run to the prison of Belarus.
  3. Sergey Tokarev Offline
    Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) 26 August 2020 16: 25
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    Tikhanovskaya has it written on her face that she is Pinchuk ...
  4. Cheburashk Offline
    Cheburashk (Vladimir) 26 August 2020 16: 39
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    Tikhanovskaya, in my opinion, did not really plan to become who she is now. Well, the fact that, in fact, everyone who was not lazy began to kick her, then, as they say, it was necessary to at least remotely understand where she got or is going! And, accordingly, the consequences of everything!
    And now, in my opinion, it remains for her to go where she is being led.
    Do I feel sorry for her? It is a purely human pity, because getting into such a tough batch and with an unpredictable result for her is, of course, something. And the fact that she ended up in Lithuania, well, the choice was, as I understand it, not very great - either to prison or to Lithuania.
    I think that there are no fools to go to jail on a voluntary basis !!!!!!
    I don't want to wish death to anyone, so I wish Tikhanovskaya health!
    1. Sergey Tokarev Offline
      Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) 26 August 2020 16: 51
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      She has more health than yours)))
      1. Cheburashk Offline
        Cheburashk (Vladimir) 26 August 2020 18: 02
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        I understand that you did not understand, perhaps what I wanted to say by this!
        1. Sergey Tokarev Offline
          Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) 26 August 2020 18: 55
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          I would definitely not wish Pinchuk anything positive, let alone health.
  5. 123 Offline
    123 (123) 26 August 2020 18: 26
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    According to analysts at the institute, presidential candidate Svetlana Tikhanovskaya made a major mistake when she decided to seek refuge in neighboring Lithuania.

    That's for sure. I had to go to Kyrgyzstan, it's warmer there.
  6. boriz Offline
    boriz (boriz) 26 August 2020 18: 59
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    Svetlana Tikhanovskaya made a major mistake when she decided to seek refuge in neighboring Lithuania.

    And if she hadn't washed away there, they would have made a sacred sacrifice out of her.
    And the opposition would use the "blessed memory of the national leader" as a banner ...
    1. Dear sofa expert. 26 August 2020 21: 36
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      And if she hadn't washed away there, they would have made a sacred sacrifice out of her.

      So they made a sacred sacrifice out of her) Or who is she now?
      1. boriz Offline
        boriz (boriz) 26 August 2020 22: 43
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        If she were a sacred victim, they would have already arranged a luxurious funeral, a mass mourning meeting, oaths of loyalty to the work begun, etc. It would be impossible to stop this.
        In Ukraine, only at the beginning of this year did the people finally understand what the "Heavenly Hundred" is. I realized that they were specifically bred. But it worked! And they understood only after 6 years and the country could not be returned.
        And Tikhanovskaya will portray a moderate movement, say that they wrote to her. And she was required to die beautifully. It was not for nothing that Lukashenka sent it to Lithuania with care, “on the waybill, passed / accepted”. She was dangerous to him in Belarus. Now she is a small mongrel, which, of course, can grab the pants, but will not do anything critical.
        1. Dear sofa expert. 26 August 2020 23: 11
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          If she were a sacred victim, they would already have arranged a gorgeous funeral

          Well, all this will be, since you do not consider "political death" to be death.
          And the "heavenly hundred" will be made of it. The West will need to cling to something.
          And Navalny will be rolled under the Skripal in Charité with the same purpose.
          Who cares about them, except as "sacred sacrifices"?
          They are more useful as "victims" than as worthless politicians.
          1. boriz Offline
            boriz (boriz) 27 August 2020 01: 01
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            What political death are you talking about? Was she a politician? Just her husband's wife.
            Circumstances and interested people pushed it into politics. There was simply no one else at hand.
            It is possible that a sacred sacrifice can be made of it, but then, now there is no one to replace it.
            And we started the argument with the fact that I don't consider her a sacred victim now. And now she has just risen as a politician. But not the fact that she herself is happy about it. The dog got into the wheel - squeals, but run.
            1. Dear sofa expert. 27 August 2020 10: 00
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              What political death are you talking about? Was she a politician? Just her husband's wife.

              It feels like we're talking about the Clintons now))

              I never said that I consider her a good politician:

              They are more useful as "victims" than as worthless politicians.

              But in fact, every presidential candidate automatically becomes a participant in political activity - a politician.
              Why do we need demagoguery a la "husband's wife". Climbed into the back, call yourself a load.

              It is always tempting to make a sacred sacrifice from an “oppositionist” who has “served” his destiny.
              Under this you can pour out streams of indignation (see sanctions) on the unwanted government.

              And then, Boris, it seems to me that you give the concept of sacredness a too straightforward meaning, linking it precisely and only with death. Actually, the word sacred has synonyms: holy, sacred, not dead.
  7. Citizen Mѣshkov (Sergѣi) 26 August 2020 19: 41
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    Having escaped in Spain (Catalonia), Puigdemont also hoped that he would return, but ...
    Is this Belarusian puppetmonsha imagining something else?