The political scientist explained why Lukashenka will abandon the Union State even now


President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko will abandon the Union State with Russia even at a difficult moment for himself. This was stated by Belarusian political scientist Dmitry Bolkunets during the broadcast on the Pravda.ru YouTube channel.


According to the Belarusian, the head of state will not change his decision even in the face of a serious internal political crisis. He recalled that the project of the Union State was born in the mid-90s. It was very difficult in Russia then. политическая и economic situation. At the same time, Lukashenka exploited people's nostalgia for the USSR and dreamed sooner or later “to enter the Kremlin”.

20 years have passed, the contract has not been implemented

- he stated.

The expert stressed that the strengthening of the Union State and deep integration of Belarus with Russia does not meet the interests of Lukashenka. The President is well aware that he has little chance of retaining his power in the country or getting a leading post in the association.

Bolkunets added that the agreement provides for the de facto emergence of a new state - the confederation of Russia and Belarus. If Lukashenka had signed it, he would hardly have started holding presidential elections in his country at all. Perhaps, it would have already been about the formation of common union bodies of power while preserving the partial sovereignty of states.

But he (Lukashenka - ed.) Did not take this step and will not go

- the political scientist considers.


We remind you that in 2019 Lukashenko refused to sign a roadmap for the integration of the two countries. The agreements provided for the introduction of supranational bodies, a unified tax system and monetary unit.
Photos used: Okras / wikimedia.org
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  1. King3214 Offline
    King3214 (Sergius) 25 August 2020 22: 05
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    I am not worried about the politicians of Belarus and their decisions.
    I am concerned about Russian politicians and their pathological cretinism towards Belarus.
    Why was it necessary to flood Belarus with money, while keeping quiet about it, as about the most terrible military secret?
    Now the Belarusians are firmly convinced that they did everything themselves, that it is they who pay for "Belarusian socialism," and not Russia at all. Anyway, Russia only interfered with them.
    Vladimir Vladimirovich - dismiss these cretins who were engaged in the creation of the Union State - they are enemies!
    1. Nikolay Malyugin (Nikolai Malyugin) 26 August 2020 06: 39
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      Nothing remained of Belarusian socialism.
    2. igor.igorev Offline
      igor.igorev (Igor) 26 August 2020 11: 44
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      We have already stopped giving the collective farmers money, so they, in fact, began to scream.
  2. _AMUHb_ Offline
    _AMUHb_ (_AMUHb_) 25 August 2020 22: 18
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    The Union State: slippery and vague, and should be indigestible ..
    The republic is yes ... but it should obviously be so "pinned" as the Serbs once asked for in the Russian Federation.
  3. Herman 4223 Offline
    Herman 4223 (Alexander) 25 August 2020 22: 32
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    We must give Lukashenka power if he wants it. On a moderate scale, of course. For the sake of such a matter as the unification of peoples, this must be done. Otherwise, it will be bad for everyone, Lukashenka will lose power, maybe not now, so in a year or two or three, the Belarusians will lose their quiet life, nothing good will happen for Russia either.
    1. igor.igorev Offline
      igor.igorev (Igor) 26 August 2020 11: 45
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      Lukashenka’s intellect is enough to steer only a collective farm.
    2. Andrey Gubin Offline
      Andrey Gubin (Andrey Gubin) 27 August 2020 05: 13
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      It is important that he passed it on at the elections !! And it is important that there was someone! Then it won't even be possible to ride to the cries of the reactionaries .... The Belarusians, apparently, have begun to understand this !!!
  4. Yes, let it come out - we will chop off the Vitebsk, Mogilev and Gomel regions, and - goodbye Papa Lou, let the psheki take you alive!
  5. Wanderer039 Offline
    Wanderer039 25 August 2020 23: 03
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    Russia has already shown him what will happen if the Evil One continues to feed the Kremlin with empty promises, starting to curtail financing of the Lucanomics. Nobody needs a liar-consumer, neither the West nor the Russian Federation, and without the support of the Russian Federation, I will not give even a penny for Luka's life. And the union state with the Republic of Belarus, for me personally, is not interesting. I don't need a new Austria-Hungary in Russia. There is nothing good about that. Swan, cancer and pike. If the Republic of Belarus becomes a part of the Russian Federation, as a republic, I am not against, but no, so it is better not to fool your head and stop spending the money of the Russian Federation on the former republics of the USSR, not in horse feed.
  6. Sergey Latyshev Offline
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 25 August 2020 23: 36
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    What bullshit. It is immediately evident that everyone is just chattering. Like a video. - Putin answers Lukashenko, he also answers.
    So the strange "pollitrolog" - what for them "elite" to let themselves in "Gazprom" ??? The same will buy everything and ochubayit in their favor.
  7. anten Offline
    anten (Victor) 26 August 2020 00: 28
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    Are there thieves-privatizers in Belarus? Not. Is there an oligarchy stuffing their pockets with people's goods? Not. Are there people deceived by all sorts of Chubais, hunchbacks, Yeltsins? Not. Do Belarusians eat healthy, natural food, unlike Russians? Yes. Well, what else do you dislike about Lukashenka? That he is forced to put up with these eastern "friends", since he does not have his own energy resources, and the eastern "friend" constantly sets unacceptable conditions? That you have to turn to the enemy - the West for help because of this “brotherhood? Industry, agriculture, rural areas were not covered in Belarus? No. And in Russia everything went to pieces? Yes. Well, who is right and who is wrong? And those who are addicted to theft, lies and deceit, are glued to the class of exploiters, who live in this shit and are happy, are rolling a balloon at Lukashenka.
    1. Kuzmich Sibiryakov (Kuzmich Sibiryakov) 26 August 2020 01: 13
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      Quote: anten
      Are there thieves-privatizers in Belarus? Not. Is there an oligarchy stuffing their pockets with people's goods? Not. There are people deceived by all sorts of Chubais, hunchbacks, Yeltsins? Not. Do Belarusians eat healthy, natural food, unlike Russians? Yes. Well, what else do you dislike about Lukashenka? That he is forced to put up with these eastern "friends", since he does not have his own energy resources, and the eastern "friend" constantly sets unacceptable conditions? That you have to turn to the enemy - the West for help because of this “brotherhood? Industry, agriculture, rural areas were not covered in Belarus? No. And in Russia everything went to pieces? Yes. Well, who is right and who is wrong? And those who are addicted to theft, lies and deceit, are glued to the class of exploiters, who live in this shit and are happy, are rolling a balloon at Lukashenka.

      On the third part of the budget hangs the weight on Russia. This is the price of the grandeur of this collective farm heifer. A rat cornered by his brothers from Poland, Lithuania, and gently patting the dandruff back of an American godfather. This is the HONEST Luka running around the squares with a Kalashnikov. He beeps in such a way that he is ready to shoot to the last Belarusian.
    2. igor.igorev Offline
      igor.igorev (Igor) 26 August 2020 11: 47
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      In Belarus, there is nothing at all except swamps. Should Russia close its market, and you will be left without pants.
    3. The comment was deleted.
    4. Tatyana Offline
      Tatyana 26 August 2020 15: 28
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      Quote: anten
      Well, who is right and who is wrong? That's it. And those who are attached to theft, lies and deceit, have stuck to the class of exploiters, who live in this shit and are happy, are rolling a balloon at Lukashenka. Therefore, honest people are in the camp of Lukashenka, and dishonest people are in the camp of our eastern neighbor.

      The Maidan in politics is not a popular demonstration, as such, but under the guise of a popular demonstration of dissatisfied people in the country, the GOSPEREVOROT is carried out "from above" by representatives of the head of state's inner circle. Those. from the inner circle of Lukashenka himself. And Russia has absolutely nothing to do with it!
      You don't need to blame absolutely everything bad only on Russia! This is your absolutely Russophobic pro-Western provocation against Russia! At the same time, there is no need to so blacken Russia and be a reckless lawyer for the West!

      Elections - 2020: #Poland is preparing a coup in Belarus? Political analyst Oleg Khavich told how Poland interferes in the presidential elections in Belarus. 05 2020 of August



      Political scientist Oleg Khavich told how Poland interferes in the presidential elections in Belarus. In addition, the expert answered a number of pressing questions:
      - Will Poland sponsor the Belarusian opposition?
      - How important is Belarus for Poland?
      - Why was Belarus invited to the Lublin Triangle? July 28 in Lublin Ukraine, Poland and Lithuania announced the creation of the "Lublin Triangle", within the framework of which it is planned to resolve issues of political, economic and social cooperation.
      It is in Lublin in 1569 year a union was concluded between Poland and the Grand Duchy of Lithuania, which created new state - Rzeczpospolita. Note that the composition of the "triangle" participants practically repeats the borders of the Commonwealth excluding Belarus.
      - Who will win the presidential elections in Belarus?
      - Is Maidan possible in Belarus?
    5. boriz Offline
      boriz (boriz) 27 August 2020 16: 39
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      Industry, agriculture, rural areas were not covered in Belarus? Not. And in Russia everything went to pieces? Yes.

      And what is the expression of the ruin of agriculture in the Russian Federation? What are you smoking? And the industry in the Republic of Belarus was not shut down just because Russia buys what Belarusians produce. As a favor. In an amicable way, they must do it themselves, give their people work.
      Swine ingratitude is peculiar to man. Ukraine was also nursed around. As a result, after 2014. did in a hurry what they should have done back in the 90s. Then they preferred that the Ukrainians work, and the Russians were put out of the gates of the factories.
      With Belarus - the same picture. They boast that the industry is alive. And she is alive exactly as long as tractors for rocket technology were not made in Bryansk and Kamaz. The rest is in the same spirit.
      What is produced in the Republic of Belarus of Russia is much easier to master than what was produced in Ukraine.
      The Ukrainians got excited, so what? Many now understand that relations need to be restored, but few understand that production will not return back to Ukraine, because this is the country's security. Once set up - that's it, stay easy. So Ruin will remain an "agrarian superpower". Cherry cage of the hut ... And that's all. Lard is already being bought in Germany and Poland. Soon they will ban their own pigs for food. As pets, please. And it's not a joke.
      So it would be nice for Belarusians to think about this topic.
  8. Kuzmich Sibiryakov (Kuzmich Sibiryakov) 26 August 2020 01: 10
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    If this ferret does not hide behind the back of Russia, then his friends will devour him.
  9. gorenina91 Offline
    gorenina91 (Irina) 26 August 2020 05: 37
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    - Personally, I don't understand ... - what is the dispute about ... in general ??? What is the dispute about ??? - Everything is clear ... as day ..., i.e. absolutely everything is clear ...
    - What will happen in Belarus in the near future ... - Or rather ... - what should happen in Belarus ...
    - The Russian oligarchy needs (to which it is now striving) to crush, trample, destroy all state enterprises in Belarus that have at least some "commercial attractiveness" ...
    - Well, what is there in Belarus falls into this category ... - mechanical engineering, power engineering and metalworking, extraction of potash salt ... - Well, there is also the production of textiles; chemical industry, tailoring; manufacture of footwear; Agriculture; transport sector, etc. etc...
    - Here ... - these industries and enterprises need to be ruined, bankrupt;
    - so that private owners-oligarchs could then buy them literally for a penny (well, the same ... - as it was in Russia) ...
    - After that, a tenth of the workers remains to work there from the number that worked at these enterprises while they were state ... - And the new owners will not need more ... - All factory committees, local committees, trade unions exists) pass into the category of a variety of atavism, which by itself will wither away ...
    - Well, all government institutions ... - health care, education (universities, schools, other educational institutions), social sphere (kindergartens, nurseries, etc.); which existed at the expense of state-owned enterprises ... - simply cease to be financed and will try to exist on a "private fee basis" ...
    I will not continue and list all sorts of nuances of being ... - and so everything is clear ...
    That's why today all this fuss in Belarus ...
    - Belarus has only two ways ... - either it falls under the "influence of the West" ... or it becomes part of the Russian oligarchic state system ...
    -There's just nothing to break your head over ... and break spears ...
    1. A.Lex Offline
      A.Lex (Secret information) 26 August 2020 06: 32
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      As usual - a stream of consciousness flavored with conceit.
      1. _AMUHb_ Offline
        _AMUHb_ (_AMUHb_) 26 August 2020 21: 13
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        Why is there logic, especially if one is not afraid to admit it to oneself, but it is impartial to memorize everything, of course, but this is part of the truth ... as it presents, well, "everyone can offend an artist"))), here is the permission the situation is much more than 2 options.
        1. A.Lex Offline
          A.Lex (Secret information) 29 August 2020 22: 12
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          You flatter her too much ... Read her early comments - it's generally fun!
  10. Ivan Semenov Offline
    Ivan Semenov (Ivan Semenov) 26 August 2020 08: 50
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    Old Man needs to take an example from Yeltsin. When he realized what he had done with his country, he nominated Putin. Apparently, he decided that this would atone for his sins.
  11. Valentine Offline
    Valentine (Valentin) 26 August 2020 09: 30
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    Lukashenko has always been and will be the chairman of the collective farm, with his small-town credo, yours, mine, and don't touch mine, and he will hold on to his place as chairman of the Belarusian collective farm to the last, and then, you see, the family succession of power from dad to son Kolya , it's not for nothing that he drags it with him to all interstate visits. An ineradicable thirst for power is already in his blood, and now, more than ever, he will feed the security forces, so that if something happens, he will drown people's discontent in a lot of blood, and this will become of him, but ... the bell has already rang, we will wait for the bell will ring, and for whom it will ring, because Father again throws out feints against the reunification of our countries, and our rulers also continue to chew snot, supplying him with money and energy at a bargain price.
  12. igor.igorev Offline
    igor.igorev (Igor) 26 August 2020 11: 42
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    Russia does not need this treaty, from the word at all.
    1. Ivan Semenov Offline
      Ivan Semenov (Ivan Semenov) 26 August 2020 13: 16
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      Quote: igor.igorev
      Russia does not need this treaty, from the word at all.

      I don't want to sound rude, but you are the conscience of the nation, the ultimate truth, the personification of Russia, or all together?
      1. igor.igorev Offline
        igor.igorev (Igor) 1 September 2020 20: 35
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        I am a taxpayer and I do not want any Belarusian shit to be bought with my money.
  13. Andrey Gubin Offline
    Andrey Gubin (Andrey Gubin) 27 August 2020 04: 01
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    And not why ?! Lukashenka will not unite, because a collective farmer ... And a very bad collective farmer. His barn is more important to him than the general economy !!! The ideology of 70-80 begs from the center, but first paint your fence, and only then, at random, near the board .... And you won’t find fault with such a fall !!!