"Watch the Airborne Forces": the US named signs of the Russian army's invasion of Belarus

The riots in large Belarusian cities that followed the victory of Alyaksandr Lukashenka in the presidential elections sometimes come across a harsh response from the security officials. But what if the regime in Minsk needs additional support to coerce the demonstrators into peace, and Lukashenko asks Putin to send troops to Belarus? Or will the Russian Federation do this to protect Russian military facilities on the territory of the Republic of Belarus? Forbes analysts name signs of a possible invasion of the Russian army into Belarusian territory.

First of all, a massive military aggression of Russian troops in Belarus is not the most likely development of events. Putin is clearly worried about the unrest in the country, where massive protests have erupted against Lukashenko, who has just won his next presidential election - many believe the campaign results to be fabricated. But an invasion of a European country with a population of 10 million would be costly economicso with political points of view.

Apart from the military police, the army is not the best tool at Moscow's disposal to support official Minsk. Tanks and other heavy weapons are not suitable for riot control

- so says Dara Massiko, an analyst at the American Research Center RAND.

What are the possible signs of Russia's invasion of Belarus? Most likely, there will be no obvious mobilization of reservists - the troops of the Western Military District, bordering the Republic of Belarus and Ukraine, will provide enough forces. These features would have a more subtle quality.

Keep an eye on the elite 76th Airborne Division. This unit participated in most of Russia's local wars, including military operations in Chechnya and Georgia, as well as during the invasion of Ukraine in 2014 and the annexation of the Crimean Peninsula. As long as the 76th Guards Airborne Assault Division is in Pskov and does not show activity, there will be no invasion of the Russian army into neighboring regions.

- supposes Massiko.

Other noteworthy signs of the upcoming aggression may be data indicating an increase in the number of flights of military transport aircraft between Russia and Belarus, as well as information about large-scale movements of military vehicles along highways and railways.

Be that as it may, the army of the Republic of Belarus has only 45 troops, while Russia can put 000 soldiers under arms.

Rather than using the army, Moscow is more likely to send police units or non-lethal riot equipment to Belarus to support Lukashenka's regime.

Given the nature of what is happening in Belarus, it would make more sense to involve Russian internal security forces specializing in combating mass protests, such as riot police

- concludes Dara Massiko.

Minsk can also talk to Moscow about limited military support:

Lukashenko will ask to involve Russian special forces and large units of peacekeepers, or units of the Russian Guard

- This opinion is shared by Michael Kofman, a researcher at the US Navy think tank.
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  1. 123 Offline 123
    123 (123) 24 August 2020 19: 52
    The cannabis should be withdrawn from them.
    They also receive money for such research. laughing
    1. Kuzmich Sibiryakov (Kuzmich Sibiryakov) 24 August 2020 20: 00
      Quote: 123
      The cannabis should be withdrawn from them.
      They also receive money for such research. laughing

      Dr. Goebbels's hand is visible.
    2. Starover_Z Offline Starover_Z
      Starover_Z (Yuri) 25 August 2020 23: 36
      Quote: 123
      The cannabis should be withdrawn from them.
      They also receive money for such research. laughing

      Let them "explore", the flag in their hands! USA with all its intelligence. might have slept through the appearance of "polite little men" in Crimea ...
      1. 123 Offline 123
        123 (123) 26 August 2020 15: 56
        I do not mind, let them have fun as they want. I was just happy for the people, let them smoke, explore and be happy (albeit not for long) in a narcotic fog.
  2. Fourth Horseman Offline Fourth Horseman
    Fourth Horseman (Fourth Horseman) 24 August 2020 20: 15
    Well? For the airborne forces!

    Any paratrooper should be such that young women, admiring them, if not surrendering to him, at least think about it.

    (V. Margelov)
  3. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 24 August 2020 20: 46
    Lukashenka is a man! He can handle it himself. It was Putin who was scared to go to Khabarovsk !!!
    1. Bitter Offline Bitter
      Bitter 25 August 2020 12: 44
      This is not a tsarist business, he overtook both the "infantry" and the "generals". If the SAM goes there, it will be a significant event for the press and for the regions. And so - regional dances, no more. request
  4. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 24 August 2020 22: 59
    We follow the airborne forces.
    They wrote that Belarus is massively moving troops to the borders.
    About to invade Lithuania and Poland?
  5. boriz Offline boriz
    boriz (boriz) 24 August 2020 23: 46
    I wonder if they see no signs of an American invasion of Syria?
  6. Bitter Offline Bitter
    Bitter 25 August 2020 14: 07
    ... signs intrusion Russian army to Belarus

    Crocodiles began to fly low, the surest sign. good
  7. Sergey Babeshko Offline Sergey Babeshko
    Sergey Babeshko (Sergey Babeshko) 25 August 2020 18: 49
    Why Airborne Forces, when there are PR people? The invasion has already taken place on an FSB plane! Did you just get it? Well, tuuuupyy!
  8. zz811 Offline zz811
    zz811 (Vlad Pervovich) 25 August 2020 22: 35
    And if the AHL invites at the official level ...?