From words to deeds: Turkey is ready to radically change the military alignment in Libya

The Libyan campaign entered a new stage, leading to the de facto division of the North African state into Eastern and Western parts. President Erdogan has sharply raised the stakes in the big geopolitical game by signing an agreement with Qatar and the PNC to open a Turkish naval base in the port of Misrata. What did Ankara and Doha manage to achieve by this?

The exact number of the Turkish military contingent in Libya is not known, but the LNA estimates it at 2500-3000. Ankara and Doha will send their instructors to train the PNS militants, as well as provide places for its cadets in their military schools. And the emergence of a new naval base in a strategically important Libyan port will radically change the situation in favor of the official Tripoli and allied Turkey and Qatar.

At first, this will give the allied government of Faiz Saraj a guarantee against military defeat. The Turks have already deployed their air defense systems and drone control center in Libya. The appearance of warships in the port of Misrata, as well as the deployment of the Air Force near the city, will allow them to quickly stop the next "blitzkrieg" from the LNA of Haftar or another group. In essence, this means that the issue of Libya's unity cannot be resolved by force, and the country's future will have to be resolved only through negotiations and mutual concessions.

Secondly, a full-fledged naval base in Tripolitania will provide Turkey with dominance in the Eastern Mediterranean. The entire Libyan coast will in fact be in complete control of Ankara, since Haftar's LNA does not have a combat fleet at all, and the Turkish Navy is one of the strongest in the region. Nothing will prevent President Erdogan from conducting geological exploration and development of the resources of the continental shelf of Libya under the cover of the fleet and army.

Thirdly, Turkey is casting another anchor on the "black continent", in which it is showing great interest. It is no secret that Libya is a former province of the Great Port, but the point is not only in its neo-Ottoman revanchism. Ankara seeks access to the resources of Africa, as well as access to the markets of these countries, and does not hide this. For example, Turkey has opened a large embassy in Somalia, where it prefers to operate through policies "Soft power". A road will open from Libya to Mali, Niger, Chad and other countries, poor, but possessing large reserves of minerals. True, the Turks will collide with the interests of the USA, France and China there, but the "sultan" is not too scared by this yet.

The expansionist activity of President Erdogan is very much disliked by either NATO allies or his neighbors in the Middle East. A broad anti-Turkish coalition has already been formed, about which we are in detail told before.

As for Libya itself, its fate is sad. A logical response to the deployment of a naval base in Misrata will be similar steps from other regional players. Egypt, which is now seen as the main counterweight to Turkey, has already received permission to enter troops, which, most likely, will use it. The once prosperous North African country will be occupied and divided into Western and Eastern parts. However, this will not bring her peace. Neither Field Marshal Haftar nor the Tripolitanian elites, tied to Western business, who are extremely dislike the military and economic expansion of Ankara.
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  1. boom Boom Offline boom Boom
    boom Boom (Bum) 20 August 2020 11: 58
    Fourthly, it drives us out of there.
    1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 20 August 2020 12: 27
      The Turks in the Libyan Debut party made a strong elephant move ... They themselves need to leave Libya before they lose their "face", and then cooperate with Turkey ... Turkey, as the acting forces, we, as the support rear. .. In this case, bonuses for Russia are possible, in others, only empty losses ...
  2. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 20 August 2020 13: 09
    The Hague court must be filed against NATO, which destroyed the country of Libya on behalf of the citizens of Libya. I think you can find those. Interestingly, the claim will be accepted for consideration? If they do not accept, then accuse this court of bias and corruption. If accepted, use it as a platform to denounce NATO aggression.
    1. KYYC Offline KYYC
      KYYC (OXOTHuK) 20 August 2020 13: 24
      To the Hague court, or rather, these reptiles))
      1. 123 Online 123
        123 (123) 20 August 2020 13: 45
        To the Hague court, or rather, these reptiles))

        Why The Hague? If only "across Europe" to dangle on business trips?
        There are other, equally suitable places. In my opinion, the Magadan Tribunal sounds no less attractive.
  3. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 20 August 2020 16: 39
    Haftar now has aviation. We must take an example from Israel - bomb all ports and let them restore them. And so, if you chew the snot, it will be, as the author wrote.
  4. Sapsan136 Offline Sapsan136
    Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 20 August 2020 22: 04
    The question is who will oppose Turkey there. In the event of a clash between Turkey in the coalition opposing it today, which includes France, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Turkey has no chance and will not have a chance.
    1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 21 August 2020 10: 44
      France and other NATO countries will not enter the war against Turkey, otherwise NATO will collapse ... The Saudis and others, who have long been against Turkey, like their patron US, means the watershed will become tighter. For the Russian Federation, as the eternal enemy of NATO and the United States, only support Turkey .. (The enemy of my enemy, my friend) ... It's not worth getting into a fight, so it is necessary to support situational allies - Turkey and Iran ... Turkey and Iran, too, pro-Russian uniting propaganda. For at all times anti-Russian propaganda has been carried out in Turkey by anti-Russian forces ... Today propaganda has become the main weapon, so it's high time to act ...
      1. Sapsan136 Offline Sapsan136
        Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 23 August 2020 11: 45
        NATO Turkey has already fought NATO Greece, so NATO membership is not a defense against war between the members of this office. Russia shouldn't support anyone here, let alone Turkey. Turkey is the eternal enemy of the Russian Federation in the region, and helping the Turks is not a horse feed.
        1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 23 August 2020 12: 12
          So it is high time to fix it, and make Turkey, at least for a start, not an enemy, but then an ally ... Friends need to be created, for the enemy will only take away friends, which is what is happening ...
          1. Sapsan136 Offline Sapsan136
            Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 23 August 2020 12: 30
            It is not destiny to turn Turkey into an ally, since it is a country with great ambitions and these ambitions run counter to Russia's interests.
            1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 23 August 2020 15: 07
              Moreover, in strategic relations and to undercut Turkey's ambitions for a large Turan and with the territories of the Russian Federation ... In case of difficulties in all directions, Turkey will agree to this, for the sake of the necessary support ... Politics, from the impossible, to create possible, - has long been said ...
              1. Sapsan136 Offline Sapsan136
                Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 23 August 2020 16: 03
                Turkey is grabbing your support, as it has already grabbed the support of Lenin and Putin, and will shit more horses on your doorstep, such is Turkey and it will never be another. Don't fantasize. Turkey and Russia have always been bitter competitors, and they will remain.
                1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 23 August 2020 17: 15
                  Never say never (old adage). Under the empires, the Ottomans and Russia were irreconcilable rivals, now the Russian Federation is slipping into second-rate countries, and Turkey has been there for a century ... , here is the need to defend and Bring Turkey and Russia TODAY ...
                  1. Sapsan136 Offline Sapsan136
                    Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 23 August 2020 19: 37
                    The whole history of Russia and all attempts to improve relations with Turkey say that this is not real. It is foolish to say the opposite and deny the obvious. The layouts do not change. Turkey and Russia can be compared to two hungry people fighting for a piece of bread, or two men wanting the same woman. The Turks and I have never been and never will be, because we need the same thing, in the same region, and everyone wants to get it for themselves. Nobody will share here. Bolevar can't stand two.
                    1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 29 August 2020 11: 48
                      According to your statements, you are clearly against the Russian-Turkish union. And who does not benefit from such an alliance, only Israel and the United States, it seems that you represent their interests ...
                      1. Shadow041 Offline Shadow041
                        Shadow041 29 August 2020 14: 16
                        When it seems you need to be baptized. Smart people have already drawn the right conclusions from attempts to establish friendship with Turkey on the part of Lenin and Putin, and for others it is better not to give (smart) advice and to do more useful work, for example, cleaning the territory of their hometown.
  5. nov_tech.vrn Offline nov_tech.vrn
    nov_tech.vrn (Michael) 21 August 2020 09: 28
    So far there is nothing fundamentally new. Turkey has already had an agreement with the TNC, the official accession of a rich Arab dwarf does not change the military balance of power, although the official designation of the military presence is there. The question now is whether the unidentified planes have the ability to strike another blow to defeat in order to leave the agreement on paper.