The expert called the "ideal scenario" in Belarus for Moscow

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At the recently held at the Strategic Management Center of the Ministry of Defense of Belarus Meeting, where the tactics of countering the "Ukrainian scenario" were discussed, President Alexander Lukashenko became concerned about the increased activity of NATO near the country's borders. In this regard, he ordered the transfer of an airborne brigade near Grodno and turned to the Russian leader Vladimir Putin for help.

It should be noted that the expert community has already reacted to Lukashenko's words and the possible transfer of Russian troops to Belarus, expressing their thoughts on social networks and the media.




For example, trade union leader Alexander Yaroshuk, head of the Belarusian Congress of Democratic Trade Unions (BKDP), believes that there will be no entry of Russian troops into the territory of Belarus. In his opinion, Russia understands perfectly well that what is happening in Belarus is an internal political crisis, which should not be intervened by force, as this can lead to bad consequences.

I was assured (in Moscow - ed.) That all talks about the possible introduction of Russian troops into Belarus are exclusively provocative and have nothing to do with reality.

- said Yaroshuk.

Moreover, the Russian political consultant Oleg Matveychev called the "ideal option" for the development of the situation in Belarus for Moscow.

The ideal option for Russia is if some general strangles Lukashenko to the general joy of the rebels, and the next day announces reunification with Russia to the general joy of 80% of the country's population. I can imagine what the screeching will be in the opposition camp: “Bring back Lukashenka!” Moreover, Europe and the United States will have to express extreme concern about the unconstitutional coup and the removal of the “legally elected president

- said Matveychev.

In turn, the author of the term "Russian Spring", political scientist Yegor Kholmogorov is sure that Moscow needs to intervene in what is happening on the territory of Belarus.

Russia must clearly show that Belarus is our protectorate, and its fate is decided in Moscow. At the same time, it is absolutely not necessary and even undesirable to support Lukashenka

- he is convinced.

Kholmogorov drew attention to the fact that if Moscow refuses to intervene, it will be regarded by those around him as cowardice and inability to defend its interests. After that, the West will increase sanctions pressure on Russia, the countries of Eastern Europe will become more insolent, and the opposition may turn to violent methods of struggle. As a result, Lukashenka will understand that there is no support for Moscow and will bend under the European integrators. At the same time, no one in the West will thank Moscow for this. But the most important thing is that Russia will show that Belarus is a stranger to it and that Moscow has no rights to it.
11 comments
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  1. Bulanov
    Bulanov
    +6
    16 August 2020 12: 46
    The ideal scenario for Belarus is to follow the example of the GDR and become part of Russia, as they became part of the FRG. And let all the American colonies in Europe first free themselves from the presence of the colonial American troops. And then you never know what they say when an American sergeant with a colt at the temple of a European man is ... Their words are of little value when the occupying US army is on their territory.
    1. Bitter
      Bitter
      -2
      16 August 2020 22: 46
      ... to follow the example of the GDR and become part of Russia, as they became part of the FRG.

      Who occupied them, separating them from the "mainland"? They were simply "pushed" abroad in the euphoria of complete independence from common sense, so what kind of unification can be? It will remain a union state, even nominally, but still.

      ... free themselves from the presence of American colonial troops.

      This is also a kind of prototype of the polite green men, it is worth noting that they also appeared there without a single shot. laughing
      1. semen
        semen
        0
        13 September 2020 22: 06
        Towns were also taken with money ...
  2. beeper
    beeper
    -1
    16 August 2020 13: 05
    Dear Egor Kholmogorov true truth and deed speaks good hi (after all, everyone knows that a wimp on a stick is so rolled and hauled away, mom don't worry! request )!
  3. Igor Pavlovich
    Igor Pavlovich
    0
    16 August 2020 14: 59
    Lukashenko is following the wrong path of Panikovsky - i.e. Yanukovych ... The result will be the same.
  4. _AMUHb_
    _AMUHb_
    0
    16 August 2020 15: 13
    A suitcase without a handle ...
  5. Cyril
    Cyril
    -6
    16 August 2020 18: 04
    Russia must clearly show that Belarus is our protectorate

    Ostland Protectorate?

    The ideal option for Russia is if some general strangles Lukashenko to the general joy of the rebels, and the next day announces reunification with Russia to the general joy of 80% of the country's population.

    Russia still cannot normalize life in Crimea, which has returned to its native harbor, until the end, where else is Belarus?
    1. 123
      123
      +3
      16 August 2020 21: 20
      Russia still cannot normalize life in Crimea, which has returned to its native harbor, until the end, where else is Belarus?

      They forgot to ask you, go better Lick the mask.
      1. The comment was deleted.
    2. Satellite
      Satellite
      +3
      17 August 2020 10: 16
      Russia still cannot normalize life in Crimea, which has returned to its native harbor, until the end, where else is Belarus?

      "Normalization" is a lengthy process.
      The “abandonment” of Crimea is calculated for 30 years of Ukrainian “doing nothing”, therefore, for 6 years after its return, Russia has done a lot to restore it there.
      Since here someone has already compared Germany to a comparison, I will note: the Germans have not yet had enough 30 years to "normalize life" of the eastern lands to the level of the western ones.
      1. Cyril
        Cyril
        -1
        17 August 2020 15: 53
        Everything is correct. But the fact remains - if Russia can still "swallow" Crimea and not choke, then Belarus, whose population, although it treats Russians (so far) is normal, somehow does not really want to become regular Russians, will not fit into its mouth. You need to eat in small portions, this is the basis of proper nutrition.
        1. Satellite
          Satellite
          +1
          17 August 2020 17: 19
          if Russia can still "swallow" Crimea and not choke, then Belarus, whose population, although it treats Russians (so far) is normal, does not really want to become regular Russians.

          Does anyone talk about the formation of Belarusians as Russians?
          If Crimea, as a result of the referendum, became a full-fledged part of the state of Russia, then the deeper integration of Russia and Belarus implies the creation of a common union (confederative) state, in which each republic reserves the right of national identity.
          We are talking about the adoption of a unified Tax and Civil Codes, general state regulation of the economy, a common customs policy, the creation of a unified energy regulator, and so on.
          You lived in the Soviet Union, why include such an underlined “misunderstanding”?)
    3. The comment was deleted.
      1. The comment was deleted.