Belarus 2020: Minsk hosts a "rehearsal" of 2024 in Russia

The situation in Belarus has attracted the closest attention from all its neighbors, from Russia to the countries of the European Union, as well as the distant United States. Given some similarities between the style of government of presidents Lukashenko and Putin, it is even suggested that Belarus 2020 is a rehearsal for Russia 2024, when it will be decided whether Vladimir Vladimirovich will use his “wonderful zeroing”.

Alexander Lukashenko has been in power for more than a quarter of a century, and Vladimir Putin has been in power for two decades, with a conditional pause for a four-year "swap". The turnout in the presidential elections in Belarus was 84%, with just over 80% voting for "candidate number one". In the previous elections in Russia in 2018, the turnout was almost 67%; almost 77% of those who came to the polls voted for Putin. Brilliant victories.

Unfortunately, not everyone in the fraternal republic was in agreement with the final count. The main rival of Alexander Grigorievich Svetlana Tihanovskaya declared herself the winner, but prudently chose to leave for neighboring Lithuania. Tens of thousands of outraged citizens took to the streets, accusing the authorities of falsifications. There is an opinion that the Belarusian "wizards" could "conjure" in favor of the current head of state during the early voting period. It is this fact that allows us to draw certain parallels with Belarus. In our country, after a “fantastic” vote on amendments to the Constitution of the Russian Federation, it was decided to extend the process of expressing will in the next elections for three days. Ahead is the struggle for seats in the State Duma, and in 2024 - for the post of head of state. In four years, Vladimir Putin will decide whether he and his team will stay with us for another 12 years, until 2036.

This decision will clearly not be easy for him, since it will be taken in conditions of complex socialeconomic setting. The export of hydrocarbons, which is the cornerstone of the modern Russian economy, is under increasing pressure. The fact that not everything is all right in the regions is clearly evidenced by the situation in Khabarovsk, where mass protests have not ceased for a month now. Undoubtedly, the Kremlin is watching with great interest how Minsk is getting out of the situation.

We must pay tribute to President Lukashenko: he drew conclusions from the sad example of his colleague Yanukovych, and now the Belarusian security forces are harshly chasing “children”. Apparently, the Maidan will not work in Belarus. But only is what is happening "Maidan" in the Ukrainian sense of the word? There are opposite points of view on this matter.

On the one hand, Minsk accuses of interfering with political process external forces: Poland, and the Czech Republic, and Russia, and even Ukraine. Indeed, there are many foreign NGOs operating in Belarus. From neighboring countries, all kinds of opposition bloggers and activists of the Ukrainian Maidan give their advice to protesters via the Internet. There are calls to start a general strike, security officials are asked to side with the people.

Unlike Kiev, no tent camps were allowed to be created in Minsk, so protests are held in many Belarusian cities, where they are rather harshly suppressed. This technology the coup d'état has already been dubbed the "Buling Maidan" for its networked, distributed nature. Can you see the "hand of the West" behind what is happening? Yes, if you wish, you can, especially since there are motives, about which we are in detail told earlier.

On the other hand, there is an opinion that the events are primarily due to the internal political and economic problems of Belarus itself. The standard of living of the population, in general, is falling due to low wages and a shortage of jobs in regions far from the capital. Anna Krasulina, press secretary of Svetlana Tikhanovskaya who fled to Lithuania, explains:

The vast majority of the Belarusian people are behind these protests. We hope that within our power there will be a couple of people who are able to realize this. Realize that the current government has exhausted itself.

The Belarusians, who have grown tired of Alexander Lukashenko for a quarter of a century, associate hope for changes with his departure. Whether these hopes will be justified is another question. It is not a fact that the new political and economic course of Tikhanovskaya will ultimately please them, in Ukraine, too, are gradually beginning to understand that they have missed their "Euro-association". Nevertheless, the call for change is clearly overdue, as evidenced by the massive protests. But the problem lies in the fact that the regime of sole power requires the “cleansing” of the political field from any adequate opponent, therefore only “inadequate” ones remain, when many people are ready to protest vote for anyone, but not for “candidate number one”.

Yes, protesters can be dispersed by force; But if a really significant part of the country's population no longer digests its "national leader", then his rule gradually begins to turn into sitting on a powder keg, which can burst at any moment if someone's hand brings a fuse to the wick. It is still necessary to be able to leave beautifully and on time, leaving behind not an overheated "steam boiler", but a developed, balanced political system, which makes it possible to transfer power without blood and guarantee the consistent development of the country.

It remains to be hoped that the correct conclusions will be drawn from the situation in post-election Belarus.
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  1. Digital error Offline Digital error
    Digital error (Eugene) 12 August 2020 17: 32
    Vladimir Putin - two decades, with a conditional pause for a four-year "swap"

    Do not take away bread from Dmitry Anatolyevich, he still has to "pull" United Russia into the elections ...

    MOSCOW, August 8, 2020 - RIA Novosti. Moscow recognized the independence of South Ossetia and Abkhazia, because otherwise Transcaucasia could turn into a powder keg, said Deputy Chairman of the Security Council Dmitry Medvedev

    will decide whether he and his team will stay with us for another 12 years, until 2036

    Provoking "the only source of power", however lol

    Minsk accuses external forces of interference in the political process: Poland, the Czech Republic, Russia, and even Ukraine

    Yeah, they were the ones who turned off social networks and the Internet in Belarus for three days. laughing yes
    1. Oyo Sarkazmi Offline Oyo Sarkazmi
      Oyo Sarkazmi (Oyo Sarkazmi) 12 August 2020 19: 02
      Quote: DigitalError
      yeah, they were the ones who turned off social networks and the Internet in Belarus for three days

      Then who? One nod from the third assistant to the sixth secretary of the head of the department for Eastern Europe - and the Belarusian IPs were no longer recognized as root servers. Shops in Belarus at a loss, taxis without clients.
      But the main thing is to show the Old Man. Few people are smart enough to check the trace of their request. Which is torn in Washington.
      1. Digital error Offline Digital error
        Digital error (Eugene) 12 August 2020 22: 42
        Quote: Oo sarcasm
        Then who?

        Readers didn’t like my comment, nor your comment, so I will make the third assumption - the Martians. lol
        By the way, Dmitry Anatolyevich agrees with you (and is already working on this - no doubt, for our own good):

        “A number of countries, first of all the United States of America, are striving to use the Internet as their fiefdom, as a tool to ensure exclusively their goals. <...> To put it bluntly and simply: it shouldn't be this way, ”Medvedev said

        I recalled the reports in the media a year ago about the interruptions in the work of social networks and 4G during the days of "rallies-concerts" (as propaganda called them) during the elections to the Moscow City Duma. Maybe the US ambassador was personally involved in this, watching from the window and blinking at the third assistant to the sixth secretary? Well, in order to annoy people with the lack of communication, so that angry people suddenly began to cluster in strictly defined places. request
        By the way, in Minsk several metro stations were closed - also, probably, the Americans hacked the control server - so that angry people would get even more angry while walking from the outskirts of the city to its center. request
        1. Oyo Sarkazmi Offline Oyo Sarkazmi
          Oyo Sarkazmi (Oyo Sarkazmi) 13 August 2020 13: 56
          Quote: DigitalError
          Well, to annoy people with lack of communication

          It depends on the indication. If "No network" - a monitor with a cross - then it's Old Man. If "Connection dropped" or "Timed out" - it's Uncle Sam.
          Many US sites are inaccessible from the Russian IP. You put WiPeN - they calmly open, no secrets. The lock in the lock is usually Washington. There is one of the root servers serving Europe.
          1. Digital error Offline Digital error
            Digital error (Eugene) 13 August 2020 17: 55
            Quote: Oo sarcasm
            You put WiPeN - they open quietly, no secrets

            Here I agree - I use it myself. yes Thanks for the technical details. hi
      2. Jozhik_2 Offline Jozhik_2
        Jozhik_2 (Jozhik) 13 August 2020 23: 29
  2. Everything will be a bunch - now Papa Lou will fly to Moscow and hand over Russo-Belia to Putin on the vine!
    1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 13 August 2020 07: 58
      Quote: BoBot Robot - Free Thinking Machine
      Everything will be a bunch - now Papa Lou will fly to Moscow and hand over Russo-Belia to Putin on the vine!

      And then what will Pope Poo do with millions of disloyal Belarusians? Khabarovsk is not enough for him?
    2. alexandre II Offline alexandre II
      alexandre II (Alexander) 13 August 2020 20: 18
      Does Russia need this?
  3. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 12 August 2020 18: 36
    The presidential elections are an excellent reason for the "democratic West" to target the destabilization of countries, especially if there is at least a part of those who are dissatisfied with the existing government, there are many examples ... Today's attempts by the enemies of the Belarusian president and the government are losing, because Lukashenko confidently keeps the security forces, cleaned out important leaders opposition, and the rest do not pull on the leaders ... The planned post-election riot and riots are extinguished, skillfully calculating the emissaries-conductors of the riots, more often "tourists" from other countries ... What riots mostly young people, the main negative indicator means the future of the president G. Lukashenko is not present ...
  4. Oyo Sarkazmi Offline Oyo Sarkazmi
    Oyo Sarkazmi (Oyo Sarkazmi) 12 August 2020 19: 12
    The main difference between Russia and Belarus is that recipients of foreign grants are FORBIDDEN to engage in political activities in Russia. Received a grant, went out to the square, shouted: "Navalny for president!" - prison. Unfolded a poster - a fine, because under the appeal should be "Foreign agent".
    And only criminals can afford to squander their money. As in Khabarovsk. For if you do not invest in a booze, they will wring out the helm.
    1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 12 August 2020 20: 59
      Ordinary citizens will rise up in the Russian Federation, and today's various grantors, only a screen, and in fact are working to support today's United Russia vertical, there are a lot of accusations and only an empty whistle comes out ... Navalny and other foreign agents have no popular support, but the patriots of Russia , socialists, neo-Bolsheviks are a force that those in power are afraid of, and they have a term of 5-8 years of imprisonment for the same activity, when the bulk of the bulk is 15 days !!! ... Today, the most terrible enemy for the rulers of the Russian Federation is Russian patriots ...
      1. shinobi Offline shinobi
        shinobi (Yuri) 14 August 2020 06: 22
        In 1917, the patriots had already done trouble. So it still buzzes around. Who released the infection of terrorism into the world? Revolutionary patriots. Who said that "a good end justifies the means of achievement"? Patriots of all stripes and colors. Who cares so much about the people, calling them stupid cattle, and at the same time constantly saying - "The people will rise and sweep away"? Patriots. And what's funny is that "the cook cannot rule the country." The ruling class must be nurtured and educated. A good manager, a manager for the fashionable Western, is more expensive than diamonds by its weight. And with them, and especially with us.
        1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 14 August 2020 12: 44
          In 1917, a revolution in Russia is needed. The usurpers, the Bolsheviks, were not patriots, but anti-patriotic internationalists ... As for the cook, this is the usual demagogy of the Bolsheviks. Yes, they put the cook on the presidium, she’s an extra there, and the Bronsteins, Apfelbaums and other rabble from all over the world were doing business ... don’t confuse the concept ...
        2. Oyo Sarkazmi Offline Oyo Sarkazmi
          Oyo Sarkazmi (Oyo Sarkazmi) 14 August 2020 13: 13
          Quote: shinobi
          Who released the infection of terrorism into the world? Revolutionary patriots.

          Comrade, your horizons are too narrow. Like, don't be October, everything was the same, but better.
          Alas, it would be completely different, and without us. The land would belong to 600 family clans, Kolchaks, Wrangels, Tolstoy. And you would be allowed on this land for a large fee - you would feed yourself, feed the Master, for his kindness. And the Boss is still a sadist - you can't provide his trip to Chukotka - a kick from the ground, roll into the city, to Putilov, for a 16-hour working day and a bed in a flop. You will inevitably go mad.
          Your displeasure is from satiety and idleness. When you are full and there is nothing to do, you so want to give someone in the face. Putin, for example. And you don't reach. He didn’t come out tall, and it infuriates.
          1. shinobi Offline shinobi
            shinobi (Yuri) 17 August 2020 09: 16
            Has something changed? And the land belongs to the people?
            1. Oyo Sarkazmi Offline Oyo Sarkazmi
              Oyo Sarkazmi (Oyo Sarkazmi) 17 August 2020 14: 07
              Quote: shinobi
              And the land belongs to the people?

              I bought it - and please. In 1997, he could buy 4 hectares for a couple of thousand. But enough free half a hectare at the house. Just don't say that I am not a people ...
              1. The comment was deleted.
    2. alexandre II Offline alexandre II
      alexandre II (Alexander) 13 August 2020 20: 45
      Do you think that in the EU they will pat the head for such actions, in our country they will immediately caulk it, just try to write "Putin for President" on a poster, or when people came out with a protest (by the way, without a truncheon and fittings) defending the monument and the burial of Soviet soldiers, extinguished with a club, one was killed (a young boy) and this was called suppression of riots and the Russian riot, but in Belarus (with fittings in hand) this is not riot ... this is violence ...
  5. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 12 August 2020 21: 32
    in Minsk there is a "rehearsal" of 2024 in Russia

    If Putin behaves fairly, then there will be no rehearsals. And secondly, how is it necessary to be supervised that next to the president there is not a single decent politician who can be put up for election? He surrounded himself with all sorts of mediocrity and shines against their background!
    1. Rashid116 Offline Rashid116
      Rashid116 (Rashid) 14 August 2020 08: 36
      (Steelmaker) Doesn't remind anyone?
  6. Alex Kind Offline Alex Kind
    Alex Kind (Aleks Kind) 13 August 2020 10: 18
    Tired - not tired? Boltology. Who benefits from chatting about anything? Old Man needs to take decisive steps, and he is pushed to make a mistake. It is not known whether it will resist. The country's independence is a heavy burden.
  7. Jozhik_2 Offline Jozhik_2
    Jozhik_2 (Jozhik) 13 August 2020 23: 34
    Hence, as Carroll's heroine used to say, "morality" for Russia: to neutralize both "battek" and internal "zmagars". The inexorable logic of geopolitical confrontation demands it. In the order of self-preservation of Russia.
  8. Citizen Mѣshkov (Sergѣi) 14 August 2020 02: 28
    What a disgusting thing this is - democracy. Especially the election of a pig in a poke in the form of a president. And there was nothing to overthrow the Tsar-father!
  9. Netyn Offline Netyn
    Netyn (Netyn) 16 August 2020 17: 46
    Quote: shinobi
    And what's funny is that "the cook cannot rule the country."

    You're lying, in the best traditions of Seryozha "Rascafsë".

    We are not utopians. We know that any laborer and any cook are not capable of immediately taking control of the state. In this we agree with the Cadets, and with Breshkovskaya, and with Tsereteli. But we differ from these citizens in that we demand an immediate break with the prejudice that it is to run the state, to carry out the everyday, daily work of the administration, only rich or from wealthy families officials can take. We demand that training in public administration be given by conscious workers and soldiers, and that it be started immediately, that is, all workers, the whole poor, immediately begin to be involved in this training.

    The magazine "Education" No. 1-2 October 1917

    Lenin saw the most important task of the dictatorship in the democratization of government: every cook must learn the state.