"Aggressive exports": Russia dropped prices for European grain

44

The farmers of Europe have problems because of the grain harvest in Russia, writes the German edition of Agrarheute.

According to experts' calculations, in August 2020, prices for European grain may continue to decline. The adjustment of the forecast for the harvest in Russia led to the fact that in July the price of wheat fell below 180 euros per ton, having fallen in price by 10 euros.



For example, the Russian consulting company IKAR raised its forecast for the wheat harvest in Russia to 79,5 million tons. At the same time, the USDA estimates the wheat harvest in Russia at 76,5 million tons.

Add to this a record wheat harvest in Canada, as well as good forecasts for Australia and the United States.

- clarifies the publication.

Experts also drew attention to the strengthening of the euro against the ruble, dollar and other currencies. This puts pressure on prices, which leads not only to the displacement of European agricultural products from world markets, but also to a fall in prices in Europe. At the same time, for the Russians, everything is diametrically opposite.

Weak ruble makes Russian wheat cheaper on the foreign market and at the same time increases profits for Russian farmers

- clarifies the publication.

Traders talk about "aggressive export" of wheat from the Black Sea region. Thus, the not yet fully harvested crop in Russia "dropped" prices in Europe and, thanks to the depreciated ruble, made it possible for Russian farmers to earn money.

Probably in October 2020, the Russian government will again introduce export quotas for wheat. Therefore, exporters strive to sell as much of the product as possible before the restrictions come into effect.

- summed up the publication.
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44 comments
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  1. -6
    11 August 2020 10: 16
    As always.
    Their gasoline and grain is getting cheaper, thanks to us (our oligarchs, or rather), we have baked goods, etc. more expensive ....
    1. 123
      +1
      11 August 2020 12: 04
      As always.
      Their gasoline and grain is getting cheaper, thanks to us (our oligarchs, or rather), we have baked goods, etc. more expensive ....

      You need to eat less baking, there will be no obesity, in the end it will be more useful for health. You will feel better and grumble less. hi
      1. -4
        11 August 2020 13: 27
        You are so smart !!!
        1. 123
          +2
          11 August 2020 13: 35
          You are so smart !!!

          What do you mean, I also sometimes abuse baking. If he were smart, he would not act in this way. By the way, I did not notice the rise in price of "baking". Perhaps you are exaggerating the high cost of "flour products"?
          1. -5
            11 August 2020 13: 51
            You are awfully smart !!!

            Prices do not rise overnight. It's just that people have a short memory ... they don't notice ... otherwise they'd have gone to seize bridges and train stations long ago ...

            Last spring I took a long loaf with bran under 21 rubles, then 23, now 25.
            1. 123
              +1
              11 August 2020 14: 25
              Prices do not rise overnight. It's just that people have a short memory ... they don't notice ... otherwise they'd have gone to seize bridges and train stations long ago ...
              Last spring I took a long loaf with bran under 21 rubles, then 23, now 25.

              Baton 25. belay Is the rise in price of a loaf by 4 rubles per year a reason to seize bridges and train stations? Excuse me, did you sit out in the museum in the 90s? Well, go, grab whatever you like, if anything, pasta and bread will be free.
              Perhaps you are not so wrong about being smart. Everything is cognized in comparison, and from your point of view, probably everything looks exactly like that. hi
              1. -3
                11 August 2020 17: 15
                How smart you are !!! You can see right away !!! They immediately grabbed the essence!

                The loaf is not alone. 10-20 percent per year of price increases is bullshit, the terpily will endure, right according to Medvedev ...
                1. 123
                  +1
                  11 August 2020 17: 49
                  The loaf is not alone. 10-20 percent per year of price increases is bullshit, the terpily will endure, right according to Medvedev ...

                  Do you think that the rise in prices and inflation is a unique phenomenon and does not happen beyond the "curb"? Or is Medvedev's shadow hanging over the whole world?
                  Prices are stable when there is a balance between supply and demand. To keep them from growing, an oversupply of goods, the absence of inflation, and a slower growth in the money supply are necessary.
                  The price can even drop if the product is oversupplied.
                  Since there is no deficit and, say, the same loaves are in surplus, it remains to adjust the volume of the money supply. That is, so that you have so much money when you are ready to pay 23 rubles for a loaf and are no longer ready to pay 25 rubles. The kind sorceress Elvira Nabiullina, an unsurpassed tamer of inflation, works tirelessly to ensure that you do not have "extra" money. smile I'm guessing you're not exactly thrilled with her accomplishments? The recipe is not unique and unpleasant, and not only in Russia.
                  Maybe you have another recipe for dealing with rising prices?
                  1. -2
                    11 August 2020 22: 43
                    What a mind, what a deep mind you have!

                    We noticed that the phenomenon is not unique, and it happens over the hill.
                    And that "the good sorceress Elvira Nabiullina" is tirelessly working on this "better than the Stalinist People's Commissars."

                    Everyone thinks of the people that there is no surplus of money supply.

                    And they were even puzzled by the recipe.

                    In general, with such a mind, can we nominate you for president? You kind of support the sorceress. You probably know the braces.

                    We will live !!!
                    1. 123
                      +1
                      11 August 2020 23: 01
                      What eloquence, what sarcasm. Both conclusions and assumptions ... But in fact, not a word request

                      Do you have a recipe? Or can you just play gun?
                      Well, or at least to name that ideal country where prices do not rise, people do not get sick, everyone lives happily ever after. feel What should we strive for? winked
                      1. -2
                        12 August 2020 00: 01
                        Cleverest remark. Complete deduction and induction!
                        Rudeness and foreign language.

                        I have. General enough, like most. And, like most, there are no instruments of violence and coercion for its implementation. Because it is at odds with the policies of prominent Liberals and Democrats at GDP and the Lake Cooperative.

                        And if you think about it carefully, then there were definitely powers where prices did not rise.
                        Or maybe they don't grow in some places now, I haven't checked them. Well, how smart you are !!! Look straight at the root!
                      2. 123
                        0
                        12 August 2020 01: 25
                        And the thought spread along the tree. request
                        Do you have a plan, Mr. Fix? Yes, I have a plan. Yes
                        And what is the plan for you and the majority? Cancel the money and switch to coupons?
                        The ideal, to which we should strive, forgot to mention again ...
                        Look ridiculous with your co-op.
                        Say hello to the three white horses - Navalny, Grudinin, Platoshkin.
                        Good night mister mystery hi
                      3. -2
                        12 August 2020 09: 09
                        How smart you are! What names do you know!
                        You are definitely a President. You will show them all!

                        And how great you remembered about coupons! Eternal cliches for anti-Soviet people: "Cancel money and go to coupons." Straight Germany 30s and USA 50s ...

                        Directly flatter me with the cooperative ... the fry is left to feel like a close oligarch!

                        If you are going to run, let me know ...
                      4. 123
                        +2
                        12 August 2020 12: 07
                        How smart you are! What names do you know!
                        You are definitely a President. You will show them all!

                        And you to the doctor. Yes

                        And how great you remembered about coupons! Eternal cliches for anti-Soviet people: "Cancel money and go to coupons." Straight Germany 30s and USA 50s ...

                        Anti-Soviet? belay There is no need to feed me with fairy tales about the USSR, I caught it and managed to see it with my own eyes. And by the way, he felt the coupons with his hands. Maybe you watched all this on TV, I have to disappoint. Prices also rose periodically, or goods simply disappeared. There was such a magic word - "blat", without it it was impossible to buy something. You go into the store, on the shelves are three-liter jars of pickled cucumbers with an arm thick, jelly in packs and salt. And the seller of sunflower seeds is peeling out of boredom, waiting for the delivery of something edible.

                        Directly flatter me with the cooperative ... the fry is left to feel like a close oligarch!

                        You are all gundite that for a loaf of 25 are ready to climb the barricades. By the way, yesterday I looked at the store, bread for 55 rubles, eat loaves, enjoy. It is a pity that in Soviet times you did not get the opportunity to enter barricades with the next increase in prices. We would thus be anti-Soviet. laughing And I mean now an anti-Soviet, because I don’t believe in your nonsense about "our happy childhood"?

                        By the way, you have not answered, apparently, how to overcome inflation, you do not know. Very comfortable position. Always offended. Only the role is bad for you. I thought, why all of a sudden so much enthusiasm? what But you can say you hinted.

                        If you are going to run, let me know ...

                        Here it is ... elections are on the way ..
                        Only your agitation will have little effect on anything, for it is false through and through.

                        If anything, in extreme cases I will go out to the barricade myself, drive a bar into a gnaw ... I will move forward - I will inform you. Yes
                      5. -3
                        12 August 2020 14: 55
                        Here! What a genius you are !!!

                        Straight everything and everyone was exposed, and then they made me happy: "Anti-Soviet", "You don't need to feed me with fairy tales about the USSR ...", "bread for 55 rubles", "I'll go out to the barricade myself, drive a bar into a gnaw." ... "I will be nominated, I will inform you" "And now I am an anti-Soviet" - this is a brilliant move, he himself wove something, he himself exposed !!!

                        "elections are on the way .." - I missed something ... oh, just nod at the TV)))

                        Waiting for
                      6. 123
                        +1
                        12 August 2020 15: 42
                        Well, everything, everything fell into place, did your speech become? like before? incoherent and sketchy. And I already began to worry about you. Life is getting better? Have you got the liquid bread and felt better?
                      7. -3
                        12 August 2020 21: 18
                        What a genius you are !!!
                        They described themselves so well.
            2. 0
              12 August 2020 22: 16
              Well, you take bridges and stations. And then what? Think baked goods prices will go down? But I suppose that they will fly to the skies. After all, everyone will rush to seize stations and bridges, but there will be no one to work.
  2. 0
    11 August 2020 11: 38
    A weak ruble may have made a farmer richer, but at the same time made it poorer than a simple tractor driver working for this farmer ...
    1. 0
      12 August 2020 22: 23
      A person should have little money. This is the law of economics. But there should be a lot of goods in the store in order to stimulate people to earn more. When people are busy with work, they think less about revolutions.
  3. -2
    11 August 2020 11: 46
    Traders talk about "aggressive export" of wheat

    We cannot even export peacefully, as the unrestrained imperial aggression rushes outward. laughing fool
    Let at least some "damper" they introduce, we will learn:

    From the consumer's point of view, cheap gasoline is an undeniable boon. However, for domestic companies, the appearance of foreign products would be a disaster: they already suffer from the difference in prices in the domestic and foreign markets. As you know, since the middle of 2018, a damper mechanism has been in effect in the country, which keeps the rise in gasoline prices below inflation. If export prices for fuel are higher than domestic prices, oilmen receive compensation from the budget for the profit they have not received from foreign supplies. On the contrary, if domestic prices are higher than foreign ones, companies are obliged to send part of the excess profits to the budget.

    https://ria.ru/20200411/1569866921.html
    1. 123
      +3
      11 August 2020 12: 16
      Let at least some "damper" they introduce, we will learn:

      Oh, this never-ending topic of cheap gasoline. laughing

      Fuel prices are a perennial topic of discussion in every motorized country. At the same time, motorists usually complain about its high cost, the greed of oil companies and the insatiability of the state with its exorbitant, in the opinion of citizens, taxes. Germans in this respect are not much different from Russians

      An interesting quote? This is the "mouthpiece of the Kremlin propaganda" DW, April 2016. (The link is long, it is not difficult to find from the quote) ...
      Are you preparing for voting day? smile hi
  4. +1
    11 August 2020 11: 59
    A cheap ruble?
    In 2014/15, Nabiullina, at the command of the IMF, doubled the ruble.
    And who is now to blame for their troubles?
    1. The comment was deleted.
    2. -2
      11 August 2020 18: 00
      Russia is among the members of the IMF, if that))) Nabiullina, on Nabiullina's command, told Nabiullina to reduce the ruble exchange rate)))
      1. -1
        11 August 2020 18: 22
        Are you out of your mind? Is Nabiullina running the IMF?
        1. -3
          11 August 2020 18: 23
          The IMF's decision is also Russia's decision. When the IMF bets on someone, Russia gets income. So said the head of the IMF)))) Not only are the European baboons sitting on a credit hook, but now their last hope for grain is crumbling ...
          1. 0
            11 August 2020 18: 36
            So they set Russia up ... Where does the income come from? As a side effect, yes, in the future, better conditions for Russian exports. This is exactly what we see in the situation with grain. But a one-time effect - capital outflow from the Russian Federation in 2015. To help the United States. About $ 200 billion was stolen from us, from China - $ 1500 billion. But China has much less per capita than we have achieved. So Nabiullina, in addition, began to swing the dollar / ruble pair and up in 000. The Russian Federation took the honorable first place in currency volatility (if in Russian - the last place in stability). As a result, Nabiullina received a gold medal for the chest from the IMF as the best head of the Central Bank of the year. The only reasonable explanation for the fluctuation in the exchange rate is currency speculation. And someone made very good money on this. Let's not point the finger ... Who determines the ruble exchange rate there?
            And the Central Bank of the Russian Federation (according to the Constitution) has only one duty - to ensure the stability of the ruble exchange rate. Even the Fed has a duty to fight unemployment in the US.
            1. -3
              11 August 2020 18: 38
              ... hmm ... savsem is bad))) grain is sold for foreign currency, and the proceeds are in rubles))) the lower the ruble exchange rate, the higher the income. This is school math ... looks like your hat is on the wrong head. In the United States, the unemployment rate is already approaching the level of the Great Depression ... he found the duties at the Fed))) The Fed is a private shop. What, imported jamon has risen in price? Hungry at all, poor thing?))))
              1. +1
                11 August 2020 18: 46
                I did not find the responsibilities of the FRS. They are imputed to him, he simply cannot fulfill them and it will be worse further. Worse than 1929/32. And life is a little more complicated than school mathematics. Almost everything that we buy in the store is purchased abroad for dollars. Exporters feel better, but the population is somehow not very good. Just remember 2015, how did you get better from the low ruble exchange rate? Exporters - yes, but they forgot to share with the people and brought everything out of where.
                1. -4
                  11 August 2020 18: 49
                  What are you buying imported from the store? Domestic bread, milk, meat, cereals. Do you drink Hennessy instead of water?))) Imported toast bread with parmesan for breakfast, jamon for lunch and oysters for dinner?))) Is it hard for you ... household chemicals, most likely, are also produced in Russia. In 2015, the ruble exchange rate made me neither cold nor hot. And now too. The salary allows. And I don’t ride in Turkey. Not interested.
                  1. +1
                    11 August 2020 18: 58
                    The answer to your question is prices in stores in 2015.
                    You never know what is written, on the fence I saw what was written, and under the fence there was firewood. There are no seeds of our own, no chickens / piglets / calves - etc. Butter - palm, cocoa, coffee - is also not from the Non-Black Earth Region. And it is worth something to rise in price - the rest also drag on, and the fat is taken out to the West. There are simply hidden things that you won't find on labels. Carrageenan, gum, good quality pectins, soy isolate, etc. Fruits / vegetables out of season, but a lot.
                  2. +1
                    11 August 2020 19: 20
                    Open, for example, ssnab.ru. This company is unknown to a wide range of consumers. But everyone eats what this (and others like it) does. Open the directory there and try to understand that you are eating all this. It seems to you that you are eating sausage, sweets, chocolate, cheese, etc., made in the Russian Federation. And in fact ...
                    And far from all this is done from what is grown or produced in the Russian Federation. More precisely, little is being done in the RF. I assure you that the external logistics department (it works with customs) is working with a serious load. And you can think whatever you want about a domestic product. But before the self-sufficiency of the USSR, Russia was still on all fours before the moon.
                    You can assemble a computer or TV set in the Russian Federation. But the microcircuits will be imported. And before they were made in my workshop (chips for them).
                    1. -4
                      11 August 2020 19: 46
                      Do you eat food additives for cows?))) Well, you really feel bad)))) a computer is not a calculator .. you can't do with one chip ... palm oil in chocolates, margarine, processed cheese and cheap ice cream ... these are not essential products ))) preservative for sausages from China was brought ... well, everything ... everything was gone. Domestic pigs in sausage are crying))) your self-sufficient USSR with its spectra and BC instead of computers collapsed. The first normal computers in universities (at least in mine) were like a humanitarian from Germany. Collected on the first pentiums. And your Soviet in the form of cabinets, like a museum piece, stood. You got it already ...
                      1. 0
                        11 August 2020 19: 49
                        You eat exactly what I do. You just don't understand. And I say it again: if prices for goods rise when the ruble falls, then some kind of import is included in the cost price. The economy, however ...
                      2. -3
                        11 August 2020 19: 54
                        ... there are exchange prices for raw materials, there is inflation and so on. If the price of grain has risen on the exchange, then the bread will jump. If pensions have been indexed for grandmothers, do you think producers will not take advantage of the increased purchasing power?
                      3. +1
                        11 August 2020 19: 57
                        I'm talking to you about the rise in prices associated with a change in the exchange rate, and you are shoveling everything together. Do not disturb me anymore.
                      4. -2
                        11 August 2020 20: 01
                        And what are the imported ingredients in the same buckwheat that it periodically becomes golden?))) You will console yourself with your pride)))
                      5. +1
                        11 August 2020 19: 54
                        By the way, for bread made as in our time, under the USSR, the producer would have sat down. Bread is made from grain that cannot be used for bread. The same goes for other products. For this, all GOSTs of the USSR were quickly changed. And in order to make bread from our grain (fodder, in fact) we need all kinds of baking powder, etc.
                      6. -4
                        11 August 2020 19: 55
                        In the USSR, you ate bread from grain bought for gold in Canada and the United States. Now there are hundreds of types of bread from hundreds of producers. Now back off.
                        PS Baking powder is baking soda)))))
                      7. 0
                        11 August 2020 20: 04
                        Small still, you don't know that they began to buy grain under Khrushchev, they used to manage with their own. And now you can't force anyone to plant high-quality grain: everyone needs profit, and what the people will eat is fig ...
                      8. -2
                        11 August 2020 20: 06
                        Under Stalin, it was already big and what kind of bread was with him remember?))) With grain of worthless quality, you will get a worthless harvest. People need profit, not subsidies for pretty eyes. Now fuel is not poured into the ditch, it costs money.
                      9. +1
                        11 August 2020 20: 08
                        High quality grains are hard varieties. Only they should go for bread and pasta, and not the shit that they grow now.
                      10. -3
                        11 August 2020 20: 14
                        https://rg.ru/2016/02/25/v-rossii-nashli-hleb-iz-furazhnogo-zerna.html

                        I don’t buy shit. I have a choice)))
  5. -1
    12 August 2020 01: 27
    With all the pathos of patriotism, everything is reduced to a "common denominator." As soon as the retirement age was raised, “a couple of weeks” Anatolyich had the “right” at the next international “gathering” to chat about “global aging of the population”, retirement and other crap ... socialism ended (Homo sapiens was not ripe for such a system more), well, what about capitalism? It was beautifully described a century ago by Marx and Lenin. What are you actually waiting for? We got used to the human attitude, apparently. Forget it.