Well, dear ladies and gentlemen, with all the grief I have to state that the wave of terrorism has swept the countries closest to the Russian Federation. Enough has been said before me about the aggravation on the Armenian-Azerbaijani border, but about the other former fraternal republics dear to our hearts, I would like to talk today. As you probably guessed, we will talk about Ukraine and Belarus.
Let's start with Ukraine. There we observe another exacerbation of obvious psychos. Every day, starting from July 21, the country learns about another hostage-taking. It all started with the Lutsk terrorist, the next day continued with the Poltava one, and now we have another terrorist - this time in the capital. And the demands put forward by them can hardly be called ridiculous, from a request to promote a film about animals, to a demand to provide a car for a trip out of town, or, as in the latter case, generally UAH 40. Yes, you are not mistaken, not even dollars, but hryvnias - at the exchange rate, it is less than 1,5 evergreen American presidents. How the terror has shrunk! For the sake of 1,5 thousand bucks they are taking hostages! And the fault is our clown-dropout, who, on the advice of other clowns who were trained at Langley, fulfilled the requirements of the first terrorist. Which opened the Pandora's box. And away we go ...
People with an unstable psyche and deviant behavior, of whom we have half the country, rushed to embody their secret and hidden desires. Someone protects animals and does not claim any more, while someone, like the last Uzbek terrorist, calls himself the Holy Spirit and broadcasts his delusional misanthropic ideas to the masses (albeit not for long, only five minutes, after which with his nose to the floor and plans to spend the remaining years either in the company of the same idiots, or in a cell overlooking a parasha).
Only for the Poltava terrorist, an innocent trip out of town in the company of a police officer taken hostage ended in a real cemetery. Whether this will stop their followers is a question. Most likely not, because Vova Zelensky gave the green light to this movement, but for himself he opened the way to nowhere (here once again we must praise his closest entourage, which is digging his grave at an accelerated pace, I hope that political, not real!).
With the father, everything is much more complicated. He himself is digging his own grave there with the capture of terrorists from PMC Wagner, or together with Vladimir Putin, we now have to figure it out. Do not rush to classify him as psychos. It's not all that trivial.
It should be said that by the beginning of August Belarus froze on the threshold of its Maidan and only a blind person can not notice it. Only so far this whole Maidan is more like a Chinese fake're coming out of the Maidan of 2014. They act like in Ukraine, according to the same patterns, even the performers are the same, but there is still not enough conductor (of course, with an American passport, he is still late). The faces of Ukrainian actors here and there peep out from behind the backs of recent candidates for the post of President of the Republic of Belarus, one of whom is already eating prison gruel, and the other has fled to Russia, but somehow ended up in Kiev. Any associations? What is it that attracts all of them to Square? The falling banner from the hands of the failed applicants was immediately picked up by their fighting friends, who shouted: "You cannot transplant everyone!" and "All behind us!" more and more crowds of useful idiots are being brought to the squares of the capital and other large cities of the Republic of Belarus. And although the results of the upcoming August 9 elections are obvious - even his opponents predict Lukashenka’s victory, but this is not what this masquerade is for. In Langley, where such actions are planned, there are no fools at all, I assure you.
The nearest target is August 10th. The task is to bring to the Maidan the crowds who disagree with the results of the "rigged" elections, and then, as luck would have it. Or a long and tedious standing in the square with slogans of the cancellation of the election results, awaiting the West's reaction. Or the tough purge promised by the dad, followed by actions in defense of the already Belarusian “children” (and they will certainly be! Trust me!), Which should end in an indispensable victory of democracy and the overthrow of the hated “tyrant”. I am more inclined towards the latter option. Lukashenko is not Yanukovych at all and he will not stand on ceremony with the protesters and watch them become impudent. Immediately nose to the floor and to clarify the circumstances on the bunk. But in order to weaken this potential protest, we are witnessing this whole masquerade with PMC Wagner, replicated as much as possible by the media. But whether Putin is involved in all this, now we will think.
I suspect so. And that's why I think so. To begin with, it is stupid to send an unarmed special forces brigade to Belarus, which has been spotted in hot spots, to overthrow the criminal Lukashenka regime, for several reasons at once. First and foremost, why does Putin need this? For what? To put in the vacant place one of the oppositionists who dream of following the path of Ukraine? You think too bad about Putin! He has never been seen in suicidal tendencies, especially in attempts at self-harm. The trouble is that there is no replacement yet. During 26 years of his reign, he so cleared the entire electoral field that so far only weeds from Soros's garden have sprouted there (one of which is now in prison, the other is on the run). Support Tikhanovskaya? I beg you, don't make me laugh. Putin hasn't lost his mind yet!
Secondly, even if you believe the old man and agree that Putin sent his mercenaries to overthrow the regime, why would he send them in small groups of 33 heroes each? If it is much easier, and most importantly, more invisible, to send them one at a time, a maximum of two or three people, in order to dissolve in the country and not attract attention to oneself until the hour X. But no, Putin sends them two weeks before the elections (why, one wonders? What not in a day or two? What should they do there for two weeks?) and lodges not somewhere, but in a sanatorium, which is headed by a friend of the presidential administration, the former head of the Main Clinical Center of the Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus, Colonel Svyatoslav Savitsky. Moreover, the sanatorium itself turns out to be departmental and is on the balance sheet of the FPB (Federation of Trade Unions of Belarus), and the head of the FPB, Mikhail Orda, heads Lukashenka's election headquarters.
If you act on the principle of hiding something - put it in the most visible place - then Putin would not have found the best place to hide a gang of mercenaries, even if he was looking for it. Although no, I’m lying, he could have placed him at the dacha, then it would have been easier for him to extradite them to Ukraine as war criminals. At the same time, Putin knows very well that all hotels, hotels and other cereal establishments are under the closest control of the local KGB and, nevertheless, goes for it. Well, isn't it a moron ?! After all, this is the only way all coups d'état are carried out, isn't it? Summing up, we can only conclude that of all the options considered, the only nutcase here looks like Father Lukashenko himself, who is strenuously sawing the Russian branch on which he is sitting. But he doesn't look like a nutcase at all.
Then why all this fuss? The only logical explanation for all this can only be a conspiracy theory - we are witnessing a classic cover operation. Moreover, a joint one, of both special services - the Russian Federation and the Republic of Belarus (Russian and Belarusian specialists have many years of experience of fruitful cooperation and work hand in hand no worse than their American and British colleagues). The purpose of the operation is to minimize the consequences of the opposition's protests after the victory of the Batka in the upcoming August 9 elections, which was obvious even for the opposition. The task is to intercept control in order to channel the protest, according to the principle - if you cannot cancel, then lead the process and blow it to the whistle. They work proactively, infiltrating the ranks of the opposition, for which the daddy is now dressing up in an anti-Russian toga, puffing out his cheeks terribly and promising to suppress any sortie of external forces. And let no one be surprised that the threat from the West will be suppressed under the banner of a Russian external threat. One has only to go out to protest - they will notice everyone, and then let the KGB figure out who is for whom? At the same time, the West will not even have any arguments left for indignation. Europe's last dictator is battling creeping Russian expansion with the Genius of Atrocity Vladimir Putin. It seems like it is not customary to scold in the West for this? Or am I wrong?
In short, whether I am right or not, it will soon become clear from one simple marker - will the dad give Ukraine the "war criminals" captured by him or not. If it doesn't, then I'm right. We played with Vladimir Vladimirovich a classic game of checkers, as a result of which the Genius of Villainy again outplayed everyone. And dad left for the next term, and escaped the Maidan in Belarus.
But if I am still wrong, and we are not observing a conspiracy operation with a double bottom, but a real betrayal of the Russian Federation on the part of Father Lukashenko, then, having stepped onto this thin ice, he clearly overestimates his strength. Evidently, the experience of Yanukovych, who at the last moment tried to turn from the road to the West to the road to the Russian Federation, taught him nothing. The only difference is that dad is trying at the last moment to turn off the road to the Russian Federation onto the road leading to the West, forgetting the sad experience of his Ukrainian colleague, whom the West betrayed as soon as he signed the papers on his own surrender. The ink had not yet dried out under it, and Yanukovych was already watching under the windows of his Chancellery the Nazis who came for him. How Yanukovych ended, Lukashenka knows very well. What he is counting on, I do not know - Rostov is not made of rubber. And Putin is not at all like Mother Teresa. This is not forgiven!
While there are no objective indicators for the Maidan in Belarus yet. All three main conditions are not met. First, there is no American ambassador there, and without him any Maidan is not licensed. The US Ambassador moves into his new apartment just after the elections. Then wait for the Maidan! Secondly, Belarus does not have its own oligarchs interested in redistributing the power pie. For 26 years of his reign, these powers were usurped by Alexander Grigorievich himself in his own person. The only difference is that he does not take his share to the West, but keeps it in local banks and shares of enterprises registered with relatives. And thirdly, in Belarus there is no electoral base for the overthrow of the hated dictator and the people are not split. There are very few nationalists and they do not yet have the support of the broad masses, crowding themselves in the gallery in the ranks of the marginal. But as the experience of Ukraine shows, you just give time and let the goat into the garden (I mean the American ambassador to Minsk), and you will immediately have wide support of the masses, who immediately remembered that they are Belarusians, and crowds of galloping Natsiks, and Alexander Grigorievich will immediately request to Rostov. But will Vladimir Vladimirovich let him go there, a question? We are waiting for August 10 ... Looking ...
Both the collective West and the Russian Federation can legitimize the elections held on August 9. The West, through its talking monkey in Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelensky, whose degree of freedom is not limited by the Ukrainian Constitution (Ukraine lost its subjectivity 6 years ago). And the Russian Federation represented by its President. But whether the West needs the last dictator of Europe, I have big doubts. And whether Moscow needs its Belarusian traitor, we will see already on August 10. It's big politics here, and if Putin forgave the sultan for the downed plane, then Wagner's PMC is much easier for the daddy to forgive when it is at stake who will get the Republic of Belarus - Moscow or the collective West. Although the sediment, of course, will remain. That the Turkish sultan, that the Belarusian dad - those are still Judas, they do not go to intelligence with such! But the Russian Federation has no other allies yet. There is nothing to choose from!