Kiev withdraws from the Minsk agreements: Russia still has to make a choice

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Last week has become a landmark in a long, arduous and, it is worth recognizing the obvious, absolutely hopeless process of a "peaceful settlement in the Donbass", carried out in the framework of the "Minsk Agreements". Official Kiev, in fact, decided to completely denounce these agreements - and this was done not in the form of regular provocative statements by diplomatic representatives of the "nezalezhnoy" or other high-ranking officials there, but at the legislative level.

This, however, was perfectly combined with a number of new Russophobic demarches performed by Ukrainian politicians, right up to the head of state ... What does the non-ambiguous decisions made in Kiev really mean for the residents of Donbass and for Russia?



No elections, no peace, no Minsk ...


First of all, in this case, we are talking about the adoption by the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine on July 15, Resolution No. 3809, concerning the holding of local elections in the “non-railway”. This "holiday of democracy" will take place on October 25 this year - but not in the Republics of Donbass, called in Kiev by the disgusting abbreviation "ORDLO". It would seem that if the Ukrainian side had even the slightest intention to follow its own promises, which were signed in due time in the capital of Belarus and were repeatedly confirmed at the meetings of the leaders of the "Normandy format" - this is a wonderful opportunity to take at least a step towards their implementation. In the corresponding agreements it is written in black and white: first, the introduction of a special status for the Donbass into the Constitution, then the holding of local elections of new authorities there. Only after that it will be possible to talk about the "transfer of the border" and similar things to which Kiev is striving so much.

Nevertheless, the Ukrainian parliamentarians seem to have quite deliberately decided to break these agreements by introducing in their own resolution a clause stating that there will be no elections on the land of Donbass until "Russia fulfills five obligatory conditions." In fact - an ultimatum, extremely arrogant and, moreover, compiled clearly in a hurry and completely illiterate. So, the clause on the withdrawal from the territory not controlled by Kiev of “mercenaries, representatives of illegal armed groups” that he had seen there, and, most importantly, “the Russian occupation forces from all over technique”, For some reason is repeated twice in the text. Obviously, slow-witted people measure everyone by themselves ... We are also talking about "restoring law and order and the constitutional order." Both "order" and "system", of course, mean exclusively Ukrainian.

At the same time, the least delusional (but at the same time, again, completely impracticable) item is “full control over the state border”, which should be transferred to the Ukrainian side. Against this background, even the words about "the temporary impossibility of holding elections in the occupied Crimea" and the demand "to ensure the safety of Ukrainian citizens inhabiting it" do not look so wild. Everything is simple and clear here - this is the diagnosis and its clarification we will leave to the doctors. But any lawyer (especially in the field of international law) will unequivocally say: such quirks, performed by the country's highest legislative body, have a clear and unambiguous definition. This is actually a complete denunciation of the "Minsk Agreements", which are losing their essence, meaning and purpose in the system of coordinates that the parliament is trying to set as "non-existent".

As a matter of fact, nothing unexpected happens. Recently, Kiev has been shouting almost like a cry about the impossibility of fulfilling the Minsk that saved it from the final military defeat in due time, since it does not correspond to the current realities. Such a statement was made ten days ago by the Vice Prime Minister of Ukraine, who is also the second person in the Ukrainian delegation at the Minsk talks, Aleksey Reznikov. At the same time, he carried some kind of, forgive me, nonsense about the allegedly “seized by Russia” from the “uncovered” “thousands of square miles of land” and called on the West to fully contribute to “revising and adapting the Minsk process to new realities”. Well, we will talk about the real reaction of the West to such "attractive" proposals, but for now we will return to Ukraine. The processes taking place there today more than eloquently testify to the intentions of its current leaders and their true masters.

Tribunals for miners


The very next day after the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine was marked by the above-mentioned "historical" normative act, a solemn meeting was held there, dedicated to some anniversary of another "epoch-making" event - the adoption of the Declaration of State Sovereignty. Speaking at this meeting, President Vladimir Zelensky said from the rostrum literally the following: "For the sixth year in a row, we are defending our sovereignty from Russian aggression and paying a high price for this - the lives of our citizens ..." In fact, the comedian who climbed into the presidency for the first time in his "Board" openly and publicly called our country "aggressor". Thus, he finally crossed the "red line", or rather, put a fat cross on the seemingly naive aspirations of someone to see him as the "president of the world" who would end the fratricidal war in the east of the country and begin to at least make attempts to normalize relations with Russia. Such hopes were not initially worth a damn, but were fueled in the eyes of especially stubborn optimists by a certain amount of a decrease in the degree of Russophobia in the statements and deeds of the new leader. Well, the period of illusions is over.

In particular, this is evidenced by a sharp revival of the activities of the hounds from the Security Service of Ukraine, after the elections, somewhat calmed down their ardor (what if there really is a "change of course" coming?), But literally recently, with tripled energy, they began to "catch" in massive quantities " separatists ”,“ DPR spies ”and“ pro-Russian Internet agitators ”. The cunning guys clearly understood: the course remains the same - to confrontation with Russia and the power capture of Donbass. Apparently, they were not mistaken in this ...

It was clear for a long time that the inglorious end to the "Minsk agreements" was not prepared for Poroshenko, who was forced to sign and hated them with all his heart, but for the "peaceful" Zelensky. The mere appointment of Reznikov as “Deputy Prime Minister for Donbass”, who, just a month ago in London, broadcast that his main task was “to create a special model of justice” in the “deoccupied territories”, which is necessary in order to bring to justice. as he put it, “miners on tanks,” is more eloquent than a thousand words. Looking at this gentleman, even outwardly looking devilishly like Heinrich Himmler, at his words about the "special model" immediately recalls the courts-martial and "special troikas".

By the way, Reznikov has also repeatedly spoken about the complete unacceptability for Kiev of the idea of ​​a "special status" of Donbass in any form (and not what is enshrined in the constitution). The rhetoric of the head of the Foreign Ministry of the "non-existent" Volodymyr Kuleba sounds approximately in the same way, declaring that Kiev is absolutely not obliged to fulfill any "Minsk agreements" there. The real masters of their word: they wanted - they gave, they wanted - they took back. It is quite obvious that Ukraine will no longer adhere to these agreements, even in words. And not at all because, as some have argued, "their implementation will become the political collapse of today's Ukraine." What are you, gentlemen? That which is dead cannot die ... The final collapse of the “nezalezhnoy” is just a matter of time, with or without Donbass. There can be no place for any "Minsk" in its policy, first of all, because even these extremely contradictory, half-hearted and, frankly, initially impracticable points for several years kept the situation on the very brink of a large-scale armed confrontation, did not give a smoldering local conflict flare up to a big war.

It is necessary to decide until they decided for us


Today, those who have decided to play the “Ukrainian party” to the end do not like this sluggish development of events. It is clear that we are talking about the true rulers of Ukraine, located on the other side of the ocean and exercising their will through the US Embassy in Kiev. Immediately after the adoption of the Verkhovna Rada's resolution that outlawed the main provisions of the Minsk Agreements, a very revealing telephone conversation took place between Russian President Vladimir Putin and German Chancellor Angela Merkel. In its course, the leaders of both states called the position taken recently by Kiev "counterproductive" and "leading to a dead end in the negotiation process." At the same time, ritual statements were made again about “there is no alternative to the Minsk agreements,” in which, I am sure, neither the president nor the chancellor believe a dime. Can Berlin force Ukraine to “slow down” and at least outwardly demonstrate “commitment to the peace process”? In theory, there is a chance.

For this, the "non-leveraged" must take concrete measures: all channels of financial and other aid that feed it must be strictly and immediately blocked, any cooperation with it is suspended, and the EU border must be tightly closed both for official representatives of Ukraine and for all its citizens. The question is that neither Germany nor the EU as a whole is likely to dare to do this. Not only will they look extremely stupid at the same time - after their own long-term support of the “Euromaidan” and the power generated by it. Such a turn will be perceived as an extremely unfriendly demarche by Washington, with which Berlin today and so-called “on knives”.

Will there be a serious new round of exacerbation there? Very unlikely. Rather, they would prefer to continue playing meaningless "Norman" games, thereby strengthening Kiev’s confidence in its own impunity. But Moscow is unlikely to be able to adhere to such a policy. Let us consider in the most primitive approximation the possible options for further actions of the Kremlin. The real ones are three scenarios. Agree to "revise" the already not very winning "Minsk Agreements"? This will mean the complete surrender of Donbass and its inhabitants and, accordingly, the final collapse of all Russia's foreign policy ambitions in the "post-Soviet space", where right now we have an aggravation in the Belarusian and Armenian directions. Then continue to make “formidable” statements and issue “last warnings”, while looking more and more ridiculous and ridiculous?

Well, Sergei Lavrov said that the militant chatter of the Ukrainian authorities was "from the evil one" and repeated the mantra about "the need for strict implementation of agreements" ... Well, Dmitry Kozak demanded from Kiev to "refute" Reznik's statements about the "non-obligation of Minsk" ... Ukraine to someone from this? Is it cold? Yes, these words, which look more and more empty, are nothing to them. Nobody even thought to refute or disavow anything. And he won’t think. The only line worthy of our country is to prepare for the recognition of the Donetsk and Lugansk republics at least at the level of South Ossetia. Yes, with all the ensuing consequences. Otherwise, most likely, in the Kremlin in a matter of hours or even minutes, it will be necessary to make a decision on the introduction of regular troops to this territory to save hundreds of thousands of Donbass residents from destruction during the punitive operation launched by Kiev and engaging in direct armed clashes with Ukrainian troops. And it’s good if only with them, and not with the “suddenly” NATO “peacekeepers” who appeared there. The logic of the development of the situation suggests that everything can come exactly to this.
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  1. -14
    20 July 2020 12: 51
    The final collapse of the “uncovered” is only a matter of time, with or without Donbass.

    Monday morning The author has a seizure again)
    1. +4
      20 July 2020 13: 48
      Projecting your own onto others? wink
      1. -2
        20 July 2020 14: 05
        Yours? I don’t repeat yet again (I don’t know which one) time that "everything is over for Ukraine." So I'm fine.
        1. +2
          21 July 2020 09: 27
          So Ukraine is the end. The end does not mean that the country disappeared in an instant. Zimbabwe also exists and there is such a country on the map, only as a civilized and developing state - it has long been gone.
  2. 0
    20 July 2020 14: 18
    The other day, our employee, who had not served a young specialist, was politely summoned to the draft board, under some completely harmless pretext.
    And there, at the turnout, "swept" into the "ATO zone" (or whatever it is now called) ... request
    He was a good Russian guy, ingenuous, kind and through and through peaceful, a young father, hard-working and technically competent, not at all "Svidomo" and not one of the Nazis ...
    I was told that such a forcible mobilization of youth-graduates of "embroidery (universities)" is now taking place not only in our city, but has become ubiquitous literally in recent weeks ...
    1. -2
      20 July 2020 14: 50
      Tell the employee’s relatives that they’re already starting to look at the cost of funeral services, places in the cemetery, etc., mournful ...
      1. -2
        20 July 2020 15: 06
        Quote: King3214
        Tell the employee’s relatives that they’re already starting to look at the cost of funeral services, places in the cemetery, etc., mournful ...

        hi We in Ukraine already know and understand this, without any of your mocking "explanations" (to be honest, I did not expect such "black mockery" from you, I considered it a more adequate person!)! negative

        For 6 years already, in such a "simple way" - in the "ATO zone", the Banderonazi regime, like a bandit, has been tying blood to "its" Svidomo "supporters (and faint-hearted fellow travelers -" perekatipole ") and at the same time is carrying out murderous" selection "- gets rid of "nonsvidomnyh hulks" on both sides of the line of armed confrontation - openly resisting Donetsk residents are killed without hiding it, and those mobilized in the Armed Forces of Ukraine who do not want to become punishers and murderers of Donetsk residents are represented either as "suicides" and "unknown deserters", or "victims of the terrorist Naimantsiv" ...
        1. +2
          20 July 2020 16: 37
          I just advise all residents of Ukraine, starting in 2004 (the first Maidan, the first Nazis who officially declared themselves and other delights of "Ukrainization"), "to get rid of this wild bandustan."
          If people do not want to see the obvious, over the past 16 years, things - then who is their doctor?
          1. +4
            21 July 2020 08: 41
            How to blame it? They created it all themselves. They themselves rode in the squares for the sake of a satisfying life, or quietly sat in their huts and watched who would take it. They agree with everything. The main thing that unites them all is hatred of Russia and Russians. Everything else is secondary.
        2. +1
          20 July 2020 16: 40
          The guy (King3214) with his statement definitely "got excited", there is nothing funny here, but reading you, he almost shed a tear. But what exactly do you propose yourself? How, and most importantly, who should correctly solve your Ukrainian problem?
          1. +1
            21 July 2020 08: 33
            Like who??? Russia, Europe! And also give them money, factories and all kinds of goods that they can steal. Then they will panic. They have never solved their problems by themselves.
    2. +5
      20 July 2020 23: 21
      You can try to get drunk and, swearing in Russian obscenities, crack open a larger window in the center of Kiev. Ask a friend to remove it on a mobile and put it on the network. Everything is better than going to the slaughter, for which, if you survive, then you yourself will be ashamed.
      Those who are smarter have been applying for Russian citizenship for a long time. I personally know.
      But your comrade, couldn’t he calculate what they would call for? It seems that higher mathematics is not needed for this.
      1. +1
        21 July 2020 08: 35
        Who is smarter - they received the citizenship of the LDNR and the Ukrainians are being shot. The rest have their homeland where they feed.
    3. -1
      21 July 2020 08: 36
      There are no Russian guys in Ukraine. There are people who had Russian roots and know Russian. But they are not Russian at all. Let me explain why. A military conflict between Ukraine and Russia is possible. Let it be purely hypothetical. But consider it. Whose side is this good Russian guy going to fight on? That's right, on the side of Ukraine. And what kind of Russian is he?
      It is high time to stop talking nonsense about some Russians in Ukraine. They have not been there since 1991. All Russians left home for Russia from there, and only those who love Ukraine like a mother remained.
  3. -10
    20 July 2020 16: 38
    Absolutely legal requirements of Ukraine. I do not understand the irony of the author of the article on this matter. For example, project the "Donbass" situation in the Caucasus. Have you already forgotten Chechnya? But even there the so-called "opolchentsy" wanted independence - why didn't they? Turkey wanted to take them to its protectorate, just like with the Donbass. Well, if Yuzovka really wants to return to Russia, why did they stop and let everything go on the brakes, calling them "Minsk agreements" or "Swiss suitcases" put those who needed to be "in place"? And now they are at an impasse - maybe they would like to sort things out, but new sanctions, which "so useful" do not want, or even complete isolation shines for this. But it seems to be zeroed, and those who have already decided the fate of the DPR and LPR behind it have given out passports to those who want to go to Russia, and the rest, together with the territories - nafig are not needed - an extra gimor for the Kremlin. Vaughn, who was recently reset to zero, finally spoke out on this score - "Russia does not see the LPR and DPR in any other status than as part of Ukraine." Amen, to the notorious "Russian world". He rested in the Bose.
    1. +9
      20 July 2020 18: 06
      For example, project the "Donbass" situation into the Caucasus

      And let's, and many Donetsk people carried out terrorist attacks in Independence? Many Ukrainians were slaughtered, sold? It was Kiev that began the destruction of the population of Donbass and your comparison does not work, from the word NO.
      1. -13
        20 July 2020 20: 57
        "Terrorist attacks"? That's really, as if from a sore head to a healthy one. It seems that the so-called "teachings" in the "basement" have already been forgotten. wink Um ... you check your basement for the notorious "bags of sugar" .... - just in case, but you never know what .... there is Khabarovsk, NGO, "fifth column" and all that. .. Over there in Khabarovsk, just recently, a "terrorist" was caught with "evidence", so be on the lookout - enemies are all around ...Yes
        1. +7
          20 July 2020 21: 30
          Quote: Monster_Fat
          "Terrorist attacks"? That's really, as if from a sore head to a healthy one. It seems that the so-called "teachings" in the "basement" have already been forgotten. wink Um ... you check your basement for the notorious "bags of sugar" .... - just in case, but you never know what .... there is Khabarovsk, NGO, "fifth column" and all that. .. Over there in Khabarovsk, just recently, a "terrorist" was caught with "evidence", so be on the lookout, enemies are all around ...Yes

          Keep an eye on your basement, but about the "terrorist attacks" - you WOULD check your head first, who is sick there, who is healthy - Budennovsk, Volgodonsk and further down the list - this is not even remembering the fact that it seems like Chechnya is becoming independent " swimming "was almost released - but who and whom has vouchsafed to go to Dagestan to hike - ask the authors of this" idea "yourself ... hi
        2. +1
          21 July 2020 12: 11
          One can only regret that you were not in Chechnya during the years of "independence" .. Maybe they would have been sold as a slave, or maybe simply killed.
    2. +4
      20 July 2020 21: 58
      Quote: Monster_Fat
      Absolutely legal requirements of Ukraine. ...

      It's clear with you - you think it's normal when someone with whom you agreed turns out to be "master of his word" - he wanted - he gave, wanted - he took back, well then, just wish you more often to personally face this ...

      Quote: Monster_Fat
      ... Well, if Yuzovka really wants to return to Russia, why did you stop and let everything go on the brakes, calling it "Minsk agreements" or "Swiss suitcases" put those who needed "in place"? And now we’re at a dead end, we would like to sort it out, but new sanctions, which are “so useful” you don’t want, or even complete isolation shines for this ...

      Again, they are scaring you with sanctions, are you and not only you, not tired yet?
      It's not time for you to get used to the fact that now they will be for anything - well, the sun has risen - Russia is to blame ...

      Quote: Monster_Fat
      ... But it seems to be zeroed, and those who follow it have already decided the fate of the DPR and LPR - they handed out passports to those who want to go to Russia, and the rest, together with the territories - nafig are not needed - an extra gimor for the Kremlin. Vaughn, who was recently zeroed out, finally spoke out on this score - "Russia does not see the LPR and DPR in any other status than as part of Ukraine." Amen, to the notorious "Russian world". He rested in the Bose.

      This is all nothing more than your personal, not particularly objective opinion - the future will show. hi
    3. +2
      21 July 2020 08: 47
      The reasons for the wars in the Caucasus and Donbass are completely different. They tried to take the Caucasus away from Russia. And in Donbass, the people spoke out for the preservation of the Russian language. Do not confuse soft with warm.
    4. +4
      22 July 2020 20: 01
      Have you forgotten that Ukraine fought against the Russian Federation in Chechnya, and now you don’t like Donbass. Well, the answer, she is, she always arrives. And this despite the fact that your Bandera members took part in the preparation and conduct of terrorist attacks in the cities of the Russian Federation, and so far no one is blowing up residential buildings in Lviv ...
  4. -6
    21 July 2020 09: 47
    Why should Russia interfere in the internal affairs of independent sovereign states?
    1. +5
      21 July 2020 10: 17
      Russia follows an example from the most democratic state in the United States.
      1. -4
        21 July 2020 10: 23
        Why does she need this example? Home-grown "Napoleons" and "Hitlers" have bred in Russia?
        1. +2
          21 July 2020 10: 25
          Well, in more detail, who, in your opinion, is the "home-grown" Napoleons and "Hitlers" in the US today?
          1. -6
            21 July 2020 10: 28
            You cite the USA as an example. You know better.
            1. +2
              21 July 2020 10: 32
              This is not what I am citing, this is the entire "progressive" world, such as the Anglo-Saxons, the EU, the Baltic states and other "independent sovereign states", in whose affairs, as you say, Russia is interfering, they think so.
              1. -6
                21 July 2020 10: 41
                Nobody will talk just like that. This means that Russia has given a reason. Let's go back to Ukraine. So what has Russia forgotten there?
                1. +1
                  21 July 2020 12: 57
                  Let's go back to Ukraine. So what has Russia forgotten there?

                  You're right. I haven't forgotten anything, that's why she's not there. But what has Ukraine forgotten in Russia? Why are there several million Zrobitchans hanging around there? They have nothing to do at home, or what?
                  1. -6
                    21 July 2020 16: 25
                    Are they on vacation? In the same way as the GRU officers Yevgeny Erofeev and Alexander Alexandrov, detained in Ukraine.
                2. The comment was deleted.
    2. +4
      22 July 2020 20: 05
      And why should Ukraine, having violated the treaty of friendship with the Russian Federation, fought against the Russian Federation on the side of Dudayev, Maskhadov and Saakashvili ?! Why should Ukraine, which pledged to be a neutral state even under Yushchenko, gathered in NATO ?! Don't blame the mirror if your face is crooked!
      1. -3
        22 July 2020 23: 15
        And why, then, did the RF Armed Forces not take Kiev? Yes, in principle, the whole of Ukraine.
        1. +4
          25 July 2020 09: 34
          What for?! Once Russia has already made a mistake by accepting the Galician Selyuk. Enough, we don't need it anymore. Let Poland deal with her former slaves herself. Yes, she understands, sending them to their fields, in fact, as slaves. As for Kiev and other things, now they do not fight with the infantry. If it comes to war, first they will iron everything with cruise missiles, then with aviation, and after using volumetric bombs, such as ODAB-500P and more powerful, the infantry will only have to collect and bury the corpses of the enemy. And do not write to me about the allegedly peaceful population, they voted for the Bandera presidents and the government and bears full responsibility for them and their murderers from the SBU-AFU and the National Battalions. NATO in Yugoslavia did not take into account the population when it bombed Belgrade and other objects, so cut boards into coffins, it seems that this is the name of one of the American Westerns.
          1. -1
            1 September 2021 13: 57
            Enough, we don't need it anymore.

            Right! Why do we need Donetsk fools who believed Russia? They will go for meat. Putin, however, needs an ongoing conflict in Ukraine so that it does not try to join NATO.

            If it comes to war ...

            Do you want to leave our oligarchs without foreign exchange earnings? How will they live after that? lol
  5. -4
    21 July 2020 10: 35
    A complete collapse of the Kremlin's intentions to surrender (more precisely, to betray) the republics of Donbass, without especially losing face. Full zugzwang .....
  6. +4
    21 July 2020 12: 06
    Well, finally ... They waited a long time for Kiev to cancel the Minsk agreements, which spell out the territorial integrity of Ukraine ... Now Russia has no obligation to preserve this integrity.
  7. +2
    21 July 2020 12: 47
    "A woman with a cart, it's easier for a mare!" What Ukraine, what agreements. These agreements, "neither yours nor ours," were originally stillborn and were not needed by either side. Much more serious is the fact that people, especially in the front line, paid for them with blood and suffering. Sincerely.
  8. +4
    22 July 2020 19: 53
    That's not necessary about NATO. It is enough to watch the film "Occupation", shot in the West, to understand that NATO will not fight with the Russian Federation for all these Ukraine. they will suck it out of the finger, or come up with it, they have no problems here, there would be a desire to continue to shit on the Russian Federation, but it is. It is still necessary to fight the Bandera people and it is better now, until the mad Bandera dog received some kind of nuclear the warhead that ghouls like Timoshenko's crooks dream of so much After the completion of the SP-2, the Russian Federation will be completely untied.
    1. -1
      6 January 2021 01: 09
      SP2 will not be.