Relations deteriorate: Lukashenko may demand the withdrawal of the Russian military from the country


The agreement on the stay in Belarus of military facilities of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation will soon expire. Given Minsk’s stubborn reluctance to integrate into the Union State format and a direct refusal to deploy a Russian air base on its territory, what could be the fate of this infrastructure, which is most important for the security of our country?


We are talking about two military facilities. The first is the 43rd communications center of the Russian Navy Vileyka (military unit 49390). His task is to ensure the communication of the General Staff of the Russian Navy at extra-long waves with nuclear submarines on alert in the Atlantic, Indian and Pacific Oceans, as well as electronic intelligence and electronic warfare. The communication center is equipped with a transmitter with a capacity of 1000 kW. The object was built in Soviet times in conditions of secrecy, but to hide the antenna mast 270 meters high is somewhat problematic. Interestingly, about 350 officers and midshipmen of the Russian Navy are currently serving in the Belarusian forests.

The second object is the Volga radar station, located in the Brest region. It is part of the structure of the Space Forces of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation and is part of the missile attack warning system. Earlier, President Alexander Lukashenko said that the United States was ready to give Belarus $ 10 billion for the elimination of this radar.

"Vileika" and "Volga" were transferred to Russia for a period of 25 years without levying taxes, except those related to their economic needs, in accordance with the agreement of 1996. These military facilities are an important part of the defense system of both our country and Belarus itself. But now, it seems, the wind of change has blowed. Some time ago, President Lukashenko flared up when he learned that the Russian side had refused him missile tests at his training grounds:

No need to kneel before the Russians. This is a signal if our closest ally not only does not agree to make a rocket with us, but the training ground does not provide ...


True, there are no such ranges suitable for testing missiles with a range of over 300 kilometers in our country, we rent them from Kazakhstan. But the government of Belarus began to consider the conditions for the continued stay of Vileyka and Volga on its territory, since the terms of the previous agreement expire. There are two main scenarios.

To the exit


Unfortunately, we have to admit that relations between Moscow and Minsk are gradually deteriorating. The attempt of the “Anschluss” of Belarus in the format of integration into the Union State frankly failed. The Oil War, chosen as an instrument of pressure, turned against the Kremlin itself with a karmic boomerang. Anti-Russian sentiments are gradually growing in the fraternal republic, while the pro-Western opposition against President Lukashenko himself is gaining strength.

The latter traditionally rushes and maneuvers between the West and the East. The decision to put up the Russian military can add points to him in the eyes of local nationalist-minded patriots on the eve of the election, as well as patting him on the shoulder in Brussels and Washington. On the other hand, Alexander Grigoryevich is not a stupid person, and he could not help drawing certain conclusions from the fate of former Ukrainian President Yanukovych.

Money on the barrel


Much more likely is the conclusion of a new agreement for the lease of military infrastructure by Russia for real money, and considerable. Friendship is good, but friendship and many millions of dollars is even better. Before the elections, such a step by Minsk will clearly add political points to President Lukashenko.
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  1. Than to feed dad Lou with money, it would be better to build new radars for Putin, already on Russian territory!
  2. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 7 June 2020 11: 24
    10 th
    As compensation to the Belarusian side, a part of debts for energy carriers were written off, Belarusian soldiers are trained.

    - this is for the Volga station. And for 43, I did not find payment communication center at all. Now, explain why Belarus was banned from testing a rocket at our test sites? Out of the blue, our government itself spoils relations with Belarus. They don't behave like that with Ukraine! And it turns out that the more friendly to Russia, the higher the price tag, and the more nasty things they do, the more discounts! And what is Lukashenka wrong about?
    1. 123 Online 123
      123 (123) 7 June 2020 12: 23
      +4
      Now explain why Belarus was banned from testing the rocket at our training grounds?

      What polygon do you mean?
      There is such an opinion:

      Statements by President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko about Russia’s reluctance to provide a testing ground for their missiles are groundless; for this, landfills are rented in Kazakhstan, which Minsk can take advantage of.

      Here's more:

      There are no restrictions for Belarusians. We just do not have test sites for missiles with a range of 300 km, which were discussed. We use such landfills in Kazakhstan - there is an agreement for that. This information was brought to the attention of the Belarusian side in terms of the level of responsibility.

      It turns out that Lukashenko is either openly lying, or simply does not understand this, then his level is the chairman of the collective farm.

      Out of the blue, our government itself spoils relations with Belarus. They don’t behave like that with Ukraine!

      It turns out that you unreasonably blame our government and justify Lukashenko.

      And it turns out, the friendlier to Russia, the higher the price tag, and the more nasty things they do, the more discounts!

      In my opinion, you insult our country, and without any reason whatsoever. It would be nice to apologize.

      And what is Lukashenko wrong about?

      The question is rather a rhetorical one, the list is long.
      1. commbatant Offline commbatant
        commbatant (Sergei) 7 June 2020 21: 11
        +4
        Quote: 123
        In my opinion, you insult our country, and without any reason whatsoever. It would be nice to apologize.

        Yes, with whom do you correspond, he and VO, for the Old Man for any reason, is busy and has no relation to the Russian Federation. In short, he is a troll ...
    2. King3214 Offline King3214
      King3214 (Sergius) 7 June 2020 23: 32
      +5
      What does it mean "our government itself spoils relations with Belarus" ???
      This is from what hangover the Government of the Russian Federation should provide its landfills to a foreign state upon request ???
      Have you given Russia to slavery to the Litvinians of Belarus?
      You yourself do not understand the depth of that nonsense that you froze.
    3. LeftPers Offline LeftPers
      LeftPers (Anton) 8 June 2020 08: 42
      -1
      Read the text of the article carefully:

      ... True, there are no such ranges suitable for testing missiles with a range of over 300 kilometers in our country, we rent them from Kazakhstan ...
    4. Gadlei Offline Gadlei
      Gadlei 14 June 2020 04: 07
      0
      You know how to read. It is written in Russian that Russia itself leases such landfills from Kazakhstan.
  3. beeper Offline beeper
    beeper 7 June 2020 11: 28
    +1
    The same Russophobic-pro-Western "metamorphoses" of the AGL have been going on for many years (from latent ones they turned into openly anti-Russian ones after its obvious "Crimean shock" of 2014)!
    Could it be that Russian analysts - intelligence officers, politicians and diplomats slept like babies, were blind and did not see these "tendencies" in the Republic of Belarus, like all the years stupidly (like the completely incompetent "plenipotentiaries" of the "Chernomyrdins-Zurabovs"), ignored the "rozbudova" of the Ameroholui Anti-Russia in Ukraine??! winked
    It is high time to start construction of a super-long-wave communications center and early warning radar station similar to Vileykovsky on Russian territory, not being deceived by the "allied assurances" of the mega-mercantile and hypocritical allegedly "pro-Russian" Luka!
    And any money that will now be given by Russia to Belarus, "under the guarantee" of Lukashenka, in payment of the lease of military facilities on the territory of the Republic of Belarus, will be (just as stupidly and humiliatingly mockingly!), Irretrievably lost, as well as $ 3000 frivolously given to Ukraine, "under the guarantees" of Yanukovych (allegedly a "pro-Russian" Russophobe, who, to please the Americans and his own entourage, would soon "categorically ask" the Russian Black Sea Fleet from the "rented" Crimea!), alas ... IMHO.
  4. Valentine Offline Valentine
    Valentine (Valentin) 7 June 2020 11: 49
    +3
    If the Americans have already begun to "spud" Father, they will do it to the end, until Russia closes these communication and tracking stations, and they know how to use whip and cookies perfectly. Belarusian Natsiks will constantly block and provoke the maintenance personnel of these facilities, threaten them and their families, as it was in the Ukrainian Crimea, and will go to any lengths, including sabotage, and we will not be able to oppose them with anything. Belarus is turning into an unfriendly and vicious country, like Ukraine, so you need to drastically change your approach to it, and not lisp with them at every hysteria. And Russia has the means to pacify it, the same sanctions as America does in relation to any disobedient countries. It is high time for us to understand that we are now alone, and none of our former "brothers-sisters" will come to our aid, and all kinds of CSTO, SCOs, EVRAZES, etc. are just a screen and fiction of "fiery friendship", and each of them lives on its own, and pulls the common blanket only on itself, so you should never say "never" - and an example of this is Ukraine.
  5. Cheburashk Offline Cheburashk
    Cheburashk (Vladimir) 7 June 2020 12: 26
    +7
    Quote: steel maker
    As compensation to the Belarusian side, a part of debts for energy carriers were written off, Belarusian soldiers are trained.

    - this is for the Volga station. And for 43, I did not find payment communication center at all. Now, explain why Belarus was banned from testing a rocket at our test sites? Out of the blue, our government itself spoils relations with Belarus. They don't behave like that with Ukraine! And it turns out that the more friendly to Russia, the higher the price tag, and the more nasty things they do, the more discounts! And what is Lukashenka wrong about?

    Have you carefully read the article or not? It is written in black and white: there are no such ranges suitable for testing missiles with a range of over 300 kilometers in our country, we rent them from Kazakhstan.
    Russia is to blame for all the troubles of Belarus ??? Are you seriously ???? And why was Belarus so friendly to Russia? Recognized Crimea or South Ossetia with Abkhazia? And this is only a small part of the questions about the "friendliness" of Minsk.
    I am not saying that Russia was not mistaken, but Belarus was no less mistaken. Minsk itself said that it was ready to go as deep in relations with Russia as soon as Russia itself wanted it. So, don’t have to go healthy!
  6. Bakht Online Bakht
    Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 7 June 2020 12: 28
    +3
    If Lukashenko plans to rely on nationalists, then consult Yanukovych.
    And as for "real money", Moscow cannot beat the machine for a puddle and 10 billion. There is no point in playing against the casino.
  7. Cheburashk Offline Cheburashk
    Cheburashk (Vladimir) 7 June 2020 12: 31
    +2
    Anti-Russian sentiments gradually grow in the fraternal republic

    Well, yes, the author has some polls from some center, yeah.

    The oil war, chosen as an instrument of pressure, turned against the Kremlin itself with a karmic boomerang

    And what is this? Market loss? Come on))) In any case, Belarus will lose more! To whom and where to sell and at what price will they be ?!
    And in any case: if you want to have an enemy - do not be friends with America, if you want to have a mortal enemy - be friends with America!
  8. 123 Online 123
    123 (123) 7 June 2020 12: 47
    +2
    Much more likely is the conclusion of a new agreement on the rental of military infrastructure by Russia for real money, and considerable. Friendship is good, and friendship and many millions of dollars are even better. Before the election, such a move by Minsk will clearly add political points to President Lukashenko.

    I doubt it. No.

    The term of the agreement on these objects ends in June 2021. But, according to the current agreements, if one of the parties does not want to extend the lease, it must notify the other participant about it 12 months before the hour "X" - ie. no later than June 2020.

    The contract ends in a year, he can only indicate his position, that is, refusal to prolong the contract. It will not bring money before the elections, political "dividends" are doubtful. Citizens who like this decision vote for completely different candidates.
  9. We chop off the Mogilev, Vitebsk and Gomel regions from the Russo-bells, close the border according to European standards and - take a walk, Papa Lou, enjoy freedom!
    PS And from his TVs, refrigerators, dump trucks and other things should be abandoned now!
    1. Igor Polyakov Offline Igor Polyakov
      Igor Polyakov (Igor Polyakov) 7 June 2020 20: 01
      +1
      We do not need them, these parasites.
      1. There, Russian people live in slaves at the Russo Bell! Stalin forcibly took them from Russia and surrendered to them!
  10. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 7 June 2020 14: 23
    -3
    Kapustin Yar is a missile test site in the north-eastern part of the Astrakhan region of Russia.

    Official name: 4th State Central Interspecific Testing Ground of the Russian Federation (4 SCMP). Conditional name: military unit 15644. The training ground was created on May 13, 1946 as the State Central Testing Ground of the Ministry of Armed Forces of the USSR for missile testing, the first Soviet ballistic and anti-aircraft missiles. Launches into orbits by inclination are possible, degrees: minimum 48,4 (launch azimuth 90 degrees), maximum 50,7. The landfill area is about 650 km² (covering an area of ​​up to 0,40 million hectares), it is located mostly in Russia, but it also occupies land within the Atyrau and West Kazakhstan regions of Kazakhstan.

    Competent excuses of some! And after all, they believe that in Russia there are no 300 km landfills.
    1. Dear sofa expert. 7 June 2020 19: 45
      +1
      Competent excuses of some! And after all, they believe that in Russia there are no 300 km landfills.

      Z00 km - length, and 650 km² area, this is not the same thing.
    2. commbatant Offline commbatant
      commbatant (Sergei) 7 June 2020 21: 43
      +3
      Quote: steel maker
      Kapustin Yar is a missile test site in the north-eastern part of the Astrakhan region of Russia.

      Competent excuses of some! And after all, they believe that in Russia there are no 300 km landfills.

      Lukashenka needs a rocket range to test his "Polonez" MLRS jointly developed by China (MZKT chassis, PU and Chinese missiles) ...
      Yes, indeed, there is such a training ground, other question, why should the Russian Federation provide it free of charge?
      The author of the article writes anti-Russian letters and lies to good and gullible forum users ...
      First, the radar and the US Navy are not leased to the Russian Federation for free, as Lukashenko is talking about now ...
      These objects were transferred to the Russian Federation, on account of the write-off of the Russian Federation 900 "Baku" RBs, for the supply of unpaid gas, in addition, for the period of validity of two Agreements (i.e. until 000), the Russian Federation provides its landfills for anti-aircraft missiles to the Republic of Belarus free of charge The Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus, where the Belarusian military go every year with their air defense systems ...
      As you know, the ranges of the air defense missile systems and the missile forces of the Russian Federation’s troops are different things, although they are not far from each other ...
      Regarding the value of objects located in Belarus ....
      Of the two described objects, only the US Navy is of some value ...
      The radar station near Baranovichi can be closed even today. Firstly, because instead of it, radar stations of the "Voronezh" type operate in the Kaliningrad region and in the Leningrad region, both block the zone of responsibility of the "Belarusian" radar station. Secondly, initially the radar station in the Republic of Belarus began to be built in 1989, after the collapse of the Soviet Union, the construction was frozen, then resumed, but the station was provided with equipment only by 1/3, tk. all the enterprises that produced it remained in independent Ukraine ... Accordingly, this radar is technically armed only partially and cannot fully perform its functions, laid down in it ...
      The Russian Federation was forced to finish building at least somehow, because the radar station destroyed in Skrunda made a large radar "window" in the defense of the Russian Federation in the North-West ...

      These military facilities are an important part of the defense system of both our country and Belarus itself.

      The inventions of the author, RB, they do not need at all, who does not believe, let him score in Google, what similar radars in Mukachevo and near Sevastopol turned into ...
      The Russian Federation will, of course, be difficult without CSS, but you can do it ...

      Much more likely is the conclusion of a new agreement on the rental of military infrastructure by Russia for real money, and considerable. Friendship is good, and friendship and many millions of dollars are even better.

      No offense to the author of the article, but the Republic of Belarus, I think, will only have to dream about it, only netting, as last time, and only an extension with respect to the US Navy ...
      By the way, the Russian Federation does not pay a penny for renting landfills in Kazakhstan, there is also barter, on account of the lease, the military personnel of Kazakhstan are trained at Russian universities and training centers ... Russian armed forces ...
    3. King3214 Offline King3214
      King3214 (Sergius) 7 June 2020 23: 45
      +5
      Russia does not owe anything to Belarus. And to give something or not, this is GOOD WILL of Russia, and not an obligation. And Belarus has no right to condemn Russia's refusals, even just to open its mouth, they have no right.
      Try to figure it out, and no longer write nonsense.
    4. General Black Offline General Black
      General Black (Gennady) 10 June 2020 13: 05
      0
      Well, and even if there is, so what? With whom "Polonaise" developed, let him be lucky to test those.
  11. g.wise Offline g.wise
    g.wise (Gennady) 7 June 2020 15: 24
    +1
    Theoretically, there is such an opportunity. But practically, hardly! If the Republic of Belarus joined NATO, then YES, the authorities would not have hesitated to close these facilities, but then no military assistance from Russia in the Republic of Belarus could be expected! This option is similar to the fact that if a close friend whom the neighbor had been helping all the time, picked up and put a door to a neighbor and even his brother, even his cousin!
  12. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 7 June 2020 15: 55
    -6
    And it was written, it was written ...
    Either about the Russian world, then about the Union State .... then Lukashenko did not do this or that.

    So it’s clear that these scriptures are worth it.

    But in fact, all the latest news rests on the harsh reality of capitalism -
    "Money for a barrel ......... friendship and many millions of dollars is even better."
  13. Alexander Zima Offline Alexander Zima
    Alexander Zima (Alexander Zima) 7 June 2020 16: 00
    +2
    Something I don’t see the desire of M .... to leave these bases in territory B .... therefore, the bitter experience with U ... showed .. how many wolves do not feed ...
  14. Winnie Offline Winnie
    Winnie (Winnie) 7 June 2020 16: 28
    -5
    Tell who you sell cheap gas to and I’ll tell you who your friend is. Belarus is not on this list.
    1. Igor Polyakov Offline Igor Polyakov
      Igor Polyakov (Igor Polyakov) 7 June 2020 20: 00
      +1
      So Belarusians are friends only for money. No money - no friendship.
    2. commbatant Offline commbatant
      commbatant (Sergei) 7 June 2020 21: 49
      +2
      Quote: Winnie
      Tell who you sell cheap gas to and I’ll tell you who your friend is. Belarus is not on this list.

      As I write, Belarus gets the cheapest gas, but it does not become friendlier, although it yells that it is an "ally" of the Russian Federation ...
      1. Winnie Offline Winnie
        Winnie (Winnie) 8 June 2020 06: 24
        -6
        Compare gas prices for Belarus, Germany and China.
    3. King3214 Offline King3214
      King3214 (Sergius) 7 June 2020 23: 49
      +4
      Why should she be there? Russia sells gas for profit. What profit does Russia receive from Belarus?
  15. Igor Polyakov Offline Igor Polyakov
    Igor Polyakov (Igor Polyakov) 7 June 2020 19: 59
    +4
    What Belarusians are allies, we learned in August 2008. In 2014, when they recognized the Turchinov junta, they proved once again that those who are not independent will never be reliable friends of Russia, because all those who are not independent hate Russia and the Russian world.
    So, the sooner the topic of SG is closed and Russia stops all games with this territory, such a bacchanalia will continue.
  16. Miron_1 Offline Miron_1
    Miron_1 (Miron 1) 7 June 2020 20: 00
    0
    And what, our military can not take it out of Belarus. Together with all the giblets.
    Putin has something at all ... some mysterious adventures remain.
    1. commbatant Offline commbatant
      commbatant (Sergei) 7 June 2020 21: 55
      +4
      Quote: Miron_1
      And what, our military can not take it out of Belarus.

      They can not, the radar property of Belarus ...

      Together with all the giblets.

      Nobody needs the offal for nothing, all the equipment is outdated there, and two enterprises (Ukrainian) either no longer exist or were reprofiled, when the radar was commissioned, Ukraine barely drank to us the products for these radars stored in the warehouses of these enterprises ...
  17. commbatant Offline commbatant
    commbatant (Sergei) 7 June 2020 22: 15
    +3
    The author writes:

    Earlier, President Alexander Lukashenko said that the United States was ready to give Belarus $ 10 billion for the elimination of this radar.

    About 10 billion lies, of course, but what I promised, I believe. True, a smaller amount, however, this could be only in the period between the commissioning of an unfinished radar station near Baranovichi and the commissioning of more modern Russian radar stations in the Kaliningrad and Leningrad regions ...

    The attempt of the “Anschluss” of Belarus in the format of integration into the Union State frankly failed.

    And glory to God ... I would have to write off all the debts of the Republic of Belarus to the Russian Federation, and Belarus, by the way, is the largest debtor of the Russian Federation ... and, in addition, pay all debts of the Republic of Belarus to other countries and international credit organizations ...

    Anti-Russian sentiments gradually grow in the fraternal republic, at the same time, the pro-Western opposition, directed against President Lukashenko himself, is gaining strength.

    Well, why the devil do we have such a "brotherly" people in the Russian Federation, what else should the Russian Federation do to Belarus so that there are no anti-Russian sentiments there? All Belarusian pensioners for security or to give gas / oil for free to the Republic of Belarus? Who is he, the Belarusian people, to be more valuable than the Russian?
    For almost 30 years, the Republic of Belarus has been an independent state and remains so, thanks to the Russian Federation, so let them solve their problems as independent people ....
  18. Citizen Mѣshkov (Sergѣi) 8 June 2020 02: 04
    0
    The main thing is not to escalate the situation.
  19. Potapov Offline Potapov
    Potapov (Valery) 8 June 2020 09: 05
    +1
    This is not information. This is propaganda ...
  20. michael Offline michael
    michael (michael) 8 June 2020 16: 18
    -1
    Old Man diversified the channels of oil supply, now he receives not only from Russia, but also from the USA and Saudi Arabia. Now it will diversify military facilities on its territory. Business, nothing more.
  21. Put_NIK Offline Put_NIK
    Put_NIK (Andrey) 8 June 2020 16: 43
    +1
    It will be smarter to urgently build more advanced ones, and let Lukashenko suck his paw. Belarus can no longer be saved. It already, at the suggestion of Lukashenko, was severely gnawed by the worm of fascism and decay began. All. Next will be the coup. The CIA does not eat its bread for nothing.
  22. Ruslan V Offline Ruslan V
    Ruslan V (Ruslan V) 9 June 2020 10: 34
    +2
    To build these two objects on the territory of Russia, set up customs at the border that did not drive the sanction, and send a parasite nafig ..... And if it starts to stink further: the list of restraining sanctions is long, it’s easier for these Belarusians to bend .. ....