Why is Russia increasingly talking about a coup d'etat


Recently, one can meet with arguments about the prospects of a coup in Russia. Six months ago, the power of President Putin seemed unshakable and endless. But now much has changed. It is not known whether the head of state himself understands this, but by his actions, instead of strengthening the regime of personal power, he himself puts a time bomb under it.


What kind of actions are we talking about?

"Zeroing"


In previous years, there was a lot of discussion about the so-called “problem 2024”, the date when President Putin expires and another person should stand at the head of the state under the Constitution. In fact, there is no problem, it is made by the personal ambitions of Vladimir Vladimirovich and his entourage, which everyone is happy with. And then serious questions arise.

On January 15, 2020, a significant event took place - the Message from President Putin to the Federal Assembly, during which he proposed a number of amendments to the Constitution. Now we are constantly being told on TV what a wonderful initiative this is and how healthy we will live after the vote. But among the legislative novels, we will be interested in two that relate to the “problem 2024”.

According to the first, the Council of State will be legalized in the Constitution, which was previously considered by many political scientists as the supreme authority, which Vladimir Vladimirovich could stand at the head of after the end of his presidential term in 2024. In fact, we are talking about some new collegial authority, the specific powers of which will be further determined by laws and by-laws without our will. The State Council will open up enormous hardware opportunities for all those involved, since the appointment to this “political bureau” will obviously not go through direct elections.

The second amendment of the “name of Tereshkova” that interests us excludes the first in the sense. In accordance with it, the so-called “nullification” of the term of office of President Putin is allowed, which will give him the opportunity to go back two terms after 2024, which effectively turns him into a life-long ruler of Russia. If the first “castling” with Medvedev raised questions, then this initiative is simply amazing. I would like to clarify to all ignorant of jurisprudence that there are such concepts as “letter and spirit of the law”. The “spirit of the law" is a much more comprehensive category, meaning the true purpose and meaning of its adoption. That is, if it is stated in the Constitution that one and the same person cannot hold a presidential term more than twice, then this is precisely what is meant, and nothing else, and no appeal to the word “in a row” in the text is inappropriate. Apparently, “two lawyers from St. Petersburg” were sleeping at lectures.

Now, before July 1, we are offered in a certain “simplified” order to go and vote on all this. Whether to participate in such legalization of these amendments is a private matter for everyone. But in the context of the topic under discussion, it is important that two mutually exclusive constructions are crammed at the same time, which may affect subsequently.

"Self-determination"


President Putin’s behavior during the coronavirus pandemic raised even more questions. The leaders of different countries met the threat in different ways. For example, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, whose ancestors, by the way, came from the Russian Empire, said that the population of the Kingdom should be ill with COVID-19 in order to gain “herd immunity”. This topic is controversial, but Johnson should be given his due: he didn’t run away from his people, grabbed the coronavirus and got sick like everyone else, after which he returned to his duties. This does not mean that this model of combating a pandemic is optimal, but he was consistent in his statements and behavior.

President Putin has chosen a different strategy. Instead of the emergency mode, he introduced the so-called "self-isolation", and he himself "isolated" from the management process, turning into a "video home-blogger." He transferred the entire responsibility to the governors, despite the fact that for decades he had built a regime of personal power, the so-called "vertical". It is not surprising that the regional authorities began to create, who is what much. The mayor of Moscow, Sergei Sobyanin, was the most distinguished, from the methods of combating the coronavirus of which some Muscovites are ready to climb the wall. In fact, the governors received unprecedented power and completely untied hands, which allows them to introduce anti-constitutional regimes of “preventive measures”. It got to the point that the capital's mayor became the second person in the state, de facto, at a certain stage, one could even talk about dual power in Russia.

If you add to the above huge problems in the economy, unemployment, the growth of protest moods, as well as dissatisfaction of part of the elite with Western sanctions imposed in recent years, the overall picture is extremely alarming. The regime of personalistic power of Vladimir Putin worked while everything was good and blissful, and the price of a barrel and a cubic meter was high. Extreme situations, such as the negative consequences of the “oil war”, the coronavirus pandemic or the drought in Crimea, demonstrate a low ability to adequately respond to them.

The country has changed rapidly in just a few months and continues to change for the worse, which can be used by ill-wishers, both from the outside and inside. Under the pretext of quarantine, the population can be kept at home, preventing them from interfering in the dismantling of “elites”. In the event of a successful attempt at an apical coup, the Council of State can no longer be used by Putin himself, but by the group of people who will succeed him.
37 comments
Information
Dear reader, to leave comments on the publication, you must to register.
I have an account? Sign in
  1. King3214 Offline King3214
    King3214 (Sergius) 2 June 2020 15: 35
    +4
    Someone probes public opinion. There will be no coup. Those who wish are minuscule and they are not so influential and rich as to pay for the "banquet" of the coup.
    (After all, only in Ukraine they believed that they had a "people's Maidan", and all the material "buns" fell from the sky or "grandmothers brought" in a single impulse with other residents of Ukraine).
    1. Marzhecki Online Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 3 June 2020 06: 54
      0
      Quote: King3214
      Someone is probing public opinion. There will be no coup.

      If this happens, then the opinion of the people in general will not be interesting to anyone, we will simply be presented with a fact and justified. Everything will pass (if it does) without attracting the broad masses according to the type of Maidan technology, in our country this is, in principle, unrealizable. Therefore, no one needs any "probing". If someone does not even agree with the changes and tries to take to the streets, another quarantine will be introduced (oh, how the pandemic ripened in time).
      1. King3214 Offline King3214
        King3214 (Sergius) 3 June 2020 11: 06
        0
        Elites of Russia, officials of Russia, security forces of Russia you refer to reptilians or aliens, but not to the people?
    2. A.Lex Online A.Lex
      A.Lex (Secret information) 3 June 2020 08: 34
      0
      Serge, I totally agree! There is a probing of the opinion of the people on the subject not of the "Ukrainian Maidan", but of a quiet coup in power (such was the case when the EBN was displaced). And what is interesting: the author contradicts himself - he speaks of the "usurpation" of the power's GDP and immediately writes that he "retired"! What a "two-faced Janus" our author !!!
  2. Dear sofa expert. 2 June 2020 15: 51
    0
    ... but we must pay tribute to Johnson: he did not run away from his people, grabbed the coronavirus and fell ill with them like everyone else, after which he returned to his duties. This does not mean that this model of combating a pandemic is optimal, but he was consistent in his statements and behavior.

    These are all emotions. And under the line what ?:
    1) The UK at the moment is the country with the largest number of sick and dead from Sars CoV-2.
    2) Although the relief of the quarantine regime has begun, criticism of B. Johnson in the country is growing at a tremendous speed.
    3) Schottland, Nordirland and Wales refuse to follow government policies.
    4) In London, waves of popular protests and the use of force by the police to suppress them. And arrests in protesters as well.

    The fact that B. Johnson infected himself and suffered from the “Crown” does not speak of his consistency, but rather of his flagrant political stupidity and irresponsibility, and he did not receive an apology from the people.
    (For my conclusions, I used the material:

    https://www.google.de/amp/s/www.merkur.de/welt/coronavirus-grossbritannien-tote-infizierte-boris-johnson-london-lockerungen-covid-19-zr-13766550.amp.html )
    1. Marzhecki Online Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 3 June 2020 06: 37
      -1
      Quote: Dear sofa expert.
      1) The UK at the moment is the country with the largest number of sick and dead from Sars CoV-2.
      2) Although the relief of the quarantine regime has begun, criticism of B. Johnson in the country is growing at a tremendous speed.
      3) Schottland, Nordirland and Wales refuse to follow government policies.
      4) In London, waves of popular protests and the use of force by the police to suppress them. And arrests in protesters as well.

      The fact that B. Johnson infected himself and suffered from the “Crown” does not speak of his consistency, but rather of his flagrant political stupidity and irresponsibility, and he did not receive an apology from the people.
      (For my conclusions, I used the material:

      You do not replace a key topic. I directly wrote in the article that his method is not optimal.
      Now we are talking about our commander in chief, who, I recall, promised in the event of a nuclear war that ALL of us will become martyrs. But, as it becomes clear from the pandemic crisis, he prefers to sit in his bunker away from the people.
      1. Dear sofa expert. 3 June 2020 07: 53
        -2
        You do not replace a key topic. I directly wrote in the article that his method is not optimal.
        Now we are talking about our commander in chief

        So stay in the "key" of your topic. Why are these “tar spoons"?
    2. A.Lex Online A.Lex
      A.Lex (Secret information) 3 June 2020 08: 37
      0
      UDE, you read the article more carefully - it is full of contradictions as never before. I wrote to Sergius in reply, what contradictions the author has (so as not to repeat here). And the main thing in the article is a hint of an overt coup. But as before, "for" trampled, mmmmmm !!!
      PS ... + follow me ...
  3. antibi0tikk Offline antibi0tikk
    antibi0tikk (Sergei) 2 June 2020 15: 56
    +6
    With all due respect to Putin personally and all that he has done (not everyone deserves praise, for example, the same pension reform, but he has done quite a lot), I personally will not vote for him in the next election. If only the alternative candidate was normal. Neither the incomprehensible Grudinin, nor Zhirinovsky (he is handsome, but in his place, for the president he is not very), especially since all sorts of dogs, Yavlinsky, and who else was there, could not compete with Putin in 2018. So wait and see. Time will tell.
    1. A.Lex Online A.Lex
      A.Lex (Secret information) 3 June 2020 08: 30
      0
      Sergey, then the question is for you - WHO A CANDIDATE FOR CHANGE ???
      1. Citizen Mѣshkov (Sergѣi) 3 June 2020 22: 30
        -1
        Monarchist rule must be returned. What is not a candidate for you?
  4. cmonman Offline cmonman
    cmonman (Garik Mokin) 2 June 2020 16: 39
    -2
    Recently, one can meet with arguments about the prospects of a coup in Russia.

    The fact that in Russia there is no competition in the elections (and the authorities did everything to prevent it), and leads to tension in society. Manual courts, including the Supreme, manual of the State Duma, leads the population to apathy. The people would like changes, but they see that nothing can be changed legally. An interesting figure flashed in our press - if the people vote for the amendments, then Putin will be able to rule until 2036!
    Another 16 years !!! And only 20 + 16 = 36 years !!! What democratic country can stand such a term of its ruler? I would call such a system “a dictatorship with a human face” - freedom of exit for you, freedom of government for us. It's a pity people - since 1917, some experiments are worse than another ...
    And normal life when? So many generations down the drain ...!
    1. Dear sofa expert. 3 June 2020 01: 15
      -1
      What democratic country can stand such a term of its ruler?

      Yes, any. Even America. One of the most prominent American presidents, Franklin Roosevelt, was president of 3 terms. And he would have been longer if he had not died. And since all this “leapfrog” with shifts in America, you have been living worse every year.
      But the Germans have the chancellors in the light for 4 terms rule, and live well.
      So, if you like it, then I wish you to change a new clown for yourself every term. It's only the beginning.
      1. A.Lex Online A.Lex
        A.Lex (Secret information) 3 June 2020 08: 42
        0
        UDE, yes they Roosevelt just killed quietly!
        1. Dear sofa expert. 3 June 2020 08: 51
          -1
          Quote: A.Lex
          UDE, yes they Roosevelt just killed quietly!

          May be. That is not the point. Roosevelt and without this special health was not different. Just wanted to give an example.
    2. Marzhecki Online Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 3 June 2020 06: 39
      +1
      Quote: cmonman
      It's a pity people - since 1917, some experiments are worse than another ...

      As a result of the "experiment" in 1917, the class division of society was abolished in our country, universal free education and medicine were given, social elevators appeared, industrialization was made, and the country became a superpower. So you don't feel sorry for us from the USA.
      As a result of the 1991 experiment, all this is systematically taken away from us, driving back to the stall.
      1. A.Lex Online A.Lex
        A.Lex (Secret information) 3 June 2020 08: 43
        -1
        ...... the only time today + ............
    3. A.Lex Online A.Lex
      A.Lex (Secret information) 3 June 2020 08: 41
      +2
      American, have YOU experiment on the population lasts from the moment BASES "STATES"... You with your charter do not climb into someone else’s monastery - watch yourself, otherwise you have made a mess at home, and you will teach others ... shameful ones.
  5. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 2 June 2020 16: 48
    -3
    Oh, all this bullshit.
    There are two reasons, IMHO:
    Plums from the Kremlin - they say, get scared and climb into the trenches voluntarily. And sit there so that there is no maidan.
    And the scarecrows of the liberal power unit - they say, let me steer more. Chubais, Kudrin, Gref and K appear in the media quite often.

    But in reality, Who and whom will turn over? There are no leaders, the Party is in content, the opposition has fallen dramatically in quality and in the pen.
    1. Marzhecki Online Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 3 June 2020 06: 48
      0
      Quote: Sergey Latyshev
      But in reality, Who and whom will turn over? There are no leaders, the Party is in content, the opposition has fallen dramatically in quality and in the pen.

      You confuse the apical revolution with revolution. A leader and a party are needed for the latter.
      For a coup, a sufficiently influential group of people in power that has external support and some guarantees, and one conditional "snuffbox". And then the population will simply be presented with a fact.
      1. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
        Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 3 June 2020 08: 22
        0
        And who?
        We reject parties and opposition.
        Who?
        And nobody. The same people, all feed in power. Trump calls Putin Friend, Merkel almost hugs ... Everywhere agreement.

        Rather, after a time or 2, Putin will stick a finger at someone - you will be president, and everyone will vote in favor.
  6. Valentine Offline Valentine
    Valentine (Valentin) 2 June 2020 16: 54
    +2
    For 20 years, we have not emerged such a leader who can replace the irreplaceable Putin and whom the people can trust. Medvedev came to power with temporary powers, by agreement with Putin, for the further prolongation of his powers, but also cannot last forever, but ... if Putin, 4 years before the elections, does not create a decent life for the people, as he promised, then the people will no longer vote for him, he will have enough "Pension Reform" to the eyeballs, and at worst, they will vote for the Communist Party. Putin has no one to rely on, the older generation no longer believes him, his EDRO sank below the plinth because of their work in the State Duma and in the field, they grew fat, and the people became impoverished, and if the "Guarantor" does not do something to he was again respected by the people, then Russia will again follow the Yeltsin path, i.e. into the abyss, right up to a coup d'état, and this will already be a Russian revolt, senseless and merciless, of which there were already many in Russia.
    1. Kristallovich Online Kristallovich
      Kristallovich (Ruslan) 2 June 2020 17: 32
      +2
      Over the past 20 years, we have not shown such a leader who can replace the irreplaceable Putin, and whom the people can trust.

      So the government itself did everything so that he did not appear, did not think?
      1. Valentine Offline Valentine
        Valentine (Valentin) 2 June 2020 18: 26
        +1
        Can you tell me at least one governor who would not be a thief and a swindler, and who could replace Putin? There are so many good ones - to plant, not to transplant. We have only one who said that "There is such a party", and this is Nikolai Platoshkin, and his theses are close to the people, but what will come of it is not known ... We have drunk Yeltsin, with a rating of 6%, won the presidential elections in 1996, and spread rot on Russia and its people for another 4 years, and in fact then the Communist Party was in the lead, but they chickened out and sold out.
        1. Kristallovich Online Kristallovich
          Kristallovich (Ruslan) 2 June 2020 18: 45
          -1
          And you will not tell me at least one governor who would not be a thief and a swindler, and who could replace Putin?

          So I am about the same. There are none.
        2. Fourth Horseman Offline Fourth Horseman
          Fourth Horseman (Fourth Horseman) 2 June 2020 23: 17
          +2
          Platoshkin freak and demagogue.
        3. Dear sofa expert. 3 June 2020 01: 25
          +1
          this is Nikolai Platoshkin, and his theses are close to the people

          Yes, he is charming, speaks beautifully and competently. You can even listen .... only now he somehow does not go further than criticism. Its political limit is the opposition. It's not bad. But this is all that he is apparently capable of. Not that format. In any case, I see it that way.
          1. A.Lex Online A.Lex
            A.Lex (Secret information) 3 June 2020 08: 48
            0
            A man who does NOTHING is just a talker. This is Platoshkin.
        4. A.Lex Online A.Lex
          A.Lex (Secret information) 3 June 2020 08: 47
          0
          Your Platoshkin is a populist, in other words, a talker. But the same Shoigu would have come up ...
          1. Valentine Offline Valentine
            Valentine (Valentin) 3 June 2020 09: 20
            +1
            So that's just it, that he is in his place, and they will put some Serdyukov at the head of the army again, and .... there will be a repetition of what has been passed.
    2. Accidentally Offline Accidentally
      Accidentally 3 June 2020 11: 16
      0
      None of the authorities will give the Leader, whom the people will follow, even move, not a word to say. There are a lot of lackeys in power. And there are plenty of methods of random deaths from special services ... only a military coup.
  7. Citizen Mѣshkov (Sergѣi) 2 June 2020 20: 11
    +2
    What can I say? - All these games in the so-called democracy have come to a complete standstill. The electoral system was perverted to insanity. Tired of it!
  8. Observer2014 Offline Observer2014
    Observer2014 2 June 2020 20: 12
    0
    Why is Russia increasingly talking about a coup d'etat

    Well, why? wink
    1. A.Lex Online A.Lex
      A.Lex (Secret information) 3 June 2020 08: 49
      +1
      .......... we won’t hear the answer ....... lol
  9. stef13ch Offline stef13ch
    stef13ch (Yadykin) 2 June 2020 21: 40
    0
    Bullshit..!
    1. A.Lex Online A.Lex
      A.Lex (Secret information) 3 June 2020 08: 51
      +1
      Well, why nonsense? ... It is quite a clear position of the author - the displacement of power by a quiet coup "at the top"!
  10. The comment was deleted.
  11. The comment was deleted.
  12. The comment was deleted.
  13. Oleg Rambover Online Oleg Rambover
    Oleg Rambover (Oleg Rambover) 10 June 2020 01: 55
    -2
    News in topic:

    https://m.gazeta.ru/politics/news/2020/06/09/n_14527921.shtml

    Burundi President Pierre Nkurunziza Dies. 15 years in power, he was 55 years old.
    On May 20, 2020, elections were held in Burundi, but Nkurunziza did not run for office. The winner of the election was the candidate from the ruling CNDD-FDD party, Evarist Ndayishiyem. Suspiciously left this world of Nkurunziz in time, now the new president Ndayishiyem will not have to share power with the leader of the nation.