Germany explained why the “Putin regime” has no alternative


Vladimir Putin has ruled Russia for more than 20 years, and almost all this time he has been very popular among Russians. The German publication Deutsche Welle discusses why the current president of the country has no alternative.


High trust in Putin (over 80%) after the annexation of Crimea in 2014 led to a reassessment of Russian stability political system. However, today it may happen that the symptoms of an economic crisis, on the contrary, lead to an underestimation of the regime. Since the long-standing popularity of the head of Russia remains the main source of legitimacy for his rule, at present the low level of trust in him in the polls can become a serious problem. However, confidence in Putin is unlikely to decline, because his rating has never dropped below 59%.

After 20 years in power, the decisive factor is not how much the president is truly loved. More importantly, he continues to maintain the impression among the population and elite that he has no alternative. He and his entourage gave appropriate prerequisites for this - for example, the political scene has been largely cleared of other players, and the Kremlin has the means to maintain this situation. If necessary - and through repression.

According to experts of the German publication, for the Russian elite, the absence of an alternative for Putin has a slightly different function than that of the people - he is the guarantor of a system that provides access to influence and wealth. Currently, no one except him will be able to maintain equilibrium in the complex relationships of competing lobby groups in and around the Kremlin. No one is also able to resolve the disputes of these groups and ensure their legitimacy in the eyes of the population.

However, coronavirus may interfere with the current state of affairs. And the way the governors to whom Putin has committed the fight against the epidemic will cope with the disease on the ground can affect the attitude of the people to the government and personally to the president. If local authorities fail, the authority of the “leader of the nation” may be undermined.
Used photos: http://kremlin.ru
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  1. Sapsan136 Offline
    Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 29 May 2020 09: 40
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    Oh, don’t tell me ... Recent polls are just talking about a serious drop in Vova’s rating, because of his stupid decisions about increasing the retirement age in the Russian Federation and refusing to introduce an emergency regime in the Russian Federation due to coronavirus, which is why many people were left without a penny ... Opinion polls about the upcoming vote for amendments to the Constitution of the Russian Federation suggest that 63 - 67% of voters will vote against and, first of all, against Vova’s new presidential term !!! Even the late Misha Zadornov said that in the Russian Federation it was time to produce chocolate called “Tales of Putin '' ... So, fairy tales and storyteller are tired of the majority !!!
    1. Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 10: 07
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      ... because of his stupid decisions about increasing the retirement age in the Russian Federation and the refusal to introduce an emergency regime in the Russian Federation due to coronavirus, which is why many people were left without a penny ...

      I, too, like everyone, have questions for the president, but let’s do it in fact.
      Such "decisions" are not very popular all over the world, therefore they do not have a special connection with Russia.
      But what would you do in the place of the country's leader? Please provide your constructive solution to these two problems?
      1. Sapsan136 Offline
        Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 29 May 2020 10: 31
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        It is obvious.
        1) Raising the retirement age in the Russian Federation is stupid, life expectancy is not so high in the Russian Federation to do this. Of course, Levada can concoct any statistics, those who are there are solicitors, but in fact, in Russia men die at the age of 50, in any case, buried many of their friends at this age, or even younger ... The cause of death is cancer , accidents, death in the service, failure of the kidneys, liver, heart, blood clots ... Heart attack and stroke in the Russian Federation are very young ...
        2) Only a very stupid person can enter quarantine at an incidence rate of 1500 people per day and cancel now, with 8500 people getting sick per day ...
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        2. Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 11: 10
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          Only a very non-intelligent person can enter quarantine at an incidence rate of 1500 people per day and cancel now, with 8500 people who get sick per day ...

          The figures reflect a growing increase in the quantity and quality of tests conducted rather than the actual "incidence / per day", and especially its severity. It is possible to detect a virus in 99% of the population, but only 5 will actually hurt, because it depends on a bunch of factors: from the personal properties of an individual organism to produce antibodies, to the strain of the virus itself: if this virus, for example, passed through a chain of several people, the output it is so weakened that it is already more good than harm - it’s already difficult to get sick from it, and the process of producing immunoglobulins starts, and a person acquires natural immunity against the virus. And many other factors. Therefore, the reasons given to you are not a decisive factor for quarantine removal.
          But you did not answer the question: what would you do as a president (although the issue of imposing quarantine is, rather, the prerogative of the Ministry of Health and not the president).
          1. Sapsan136 Offline
            Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 29 May 2020 11: 15
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            This is from the category - one grandmother said ... The fact is that the official statistics are different, and the incidence rate is still very high ... You look at the statistics for today - the Voronezh region - the incidence is doubled, from 40-60 people in day to 104, and all because of your quarantine cancellation ... Over the past day, 174 people officially died in Russia ... At this rate, your party will simply be damned in Russia !!! I would introduce the state of emergency in the Russian Federation and, of course, I would listen to the governors and limit the movement of citizens of the Russian Federation from one region of the Russian Federation to another to a minimum, I would leave only freight traffic !!!
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            2. Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 11: 28
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              ... and all because of your quarantine cancellation ...

              This is not my cancellation)) as for me - I would have spent at least a year at home in the light. And the party is not mine - I am non-partisan. And I also had enough questions, but not about the virus.
              1. Tatyana Offline
                Tatyana 30 May 2020 13: 22
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                If local authorities fail, the authority of the “leader of the nation” may be undermined.

                The authority of the “leader of the nation” even without coronavirus is steadily undermined by the increase in the retirement age and the ever-doubling aggravation of the existing pension system in the country!
                1. Dear sofa expert. 30 May 2020 14: 14
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                  Quote: Tatiana
                  If local authorities fail, the authority of the “leader of the nation” may be undermined.

                  The authority of the “leader of the nation” even without coronavirus is steadily undermined by the increase in the retirement age and the ever-doubling aggravation of the existing pension system in the country!

                  And if some other “leader of the nation” carried out this reform, would his authority not suffer?)
            3. Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 11: 33
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              Over the past day, 174 people officially died in the Russian Federation ...

              This is not much in comparison with other countries.
              Here are the statistics for Russia today:
              Identified: 387623. Recovered 159257. Dead: 4374 people.
              The statistics are very good, in comparison with other developed states.
              1. Sapsan136 Offline
                Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 29 May 2020 11: 49
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                This is more than at the moment when quarantine was introduced, much more ... The statistics are bad and if someone in the USA gets his pants soiled, this is not a reason to nod and equal him ...
                1. Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 12: 13
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                  ... limited to a minimum the movement of citizens of the Russian Federation from one region of the Russian Federation to another, would leave only freight !!!

                  And who will work? Who exactly do you want to quarantine?
                  1. Sapsan136 Offline
                    Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 29 May 2020 15: 00
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                    Yes, everyone who is not involved in vital industries ... Less needs to be spent on Kyrgyzstan and other former Soviet republics ...

                    How many wolves do not feed, anyway, he looks into the forest ...
                    1. Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 15: 54
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                      Yes, all who are not involved in vital industries.

                      Leave them all in quarantine? And at the same time all the doctors, policemen, shopkeepers, even radio and television workers. All quarantined. And how to live?
                      1. Sapsan136 Offline
                        Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 29 May 2020 16: 32
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                        Why doctors ?! But beer merchants can be quarantined too, without them and the like we’ll quite live in quarantine ... close the pubs, discos ... Limit the movement of people, remove loungers from the streets ...... By the way, I think you will like the vidos . Go to the Military Review website, the article "Trump threatens to send troops into the rebellious Minneapolis" ... there the video is just a balm for the soul ... the USA are burning, their cities resemble Grozny during the assault ... Now let the Yankees fight on their land. .
                      2. Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 16: 43
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                        By the way, I think you will like the video.

                        - I already saw him. I read a Swiss blogger, he always keeps abreast of world events.

                        http://alles-schallundrauch.blogspot.com/2020/05/usa-gewaltsame-proteste-wegen-totung.html?m=1
                      3. Sapsan136 Offline
                        Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 29 May 2020 16: 45
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                        This is a topic, but not that. Where I pointed you, a video for 2, 5 hours ... a sea of ​​fire ...
                      4. Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 16: 58
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                        This is a topic, but not that. Where I pointed you, a video for 2, 5 hours ... a sea of ​​fire ...

                        I do not mind the Americans. Let them burn, they apparently do not deserve more.
                  2. Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 16: 47
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                    Why doctors ?!

                    Doctors are people too, they want to live. Everyone should have equal chances. Otherwise, why then quarantine?
                  3. Sapsan136 Offline
                    Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 29 May 2020 16: 50
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                    Doctors have such a job ... Do you think I, working in the Ministry of Emergencies, will remain in quarantine ?! No one canceled the fires and quarantine ... People need to be saved ... Both the gunmen, the operators at the Emergencies Ministry’s CPU, and the technical specialists ... all will remain in their places ... All these people are military-liable ... they have work such, to die, as a last resort, but to do everything possible to save others ... I was already burning .... this is a terrible thing, fire ... A charred man smells of shish kebab ... still the smell of shish kebab is not at ease. ..
                  4. Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 17: 05
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                    Doctors have such a job ...

                    Yes, everyone has their own work. I personally have not sat in quarantine for a day. Worked. And the wife and daughter, too (they are doctors). My brother is also a doctor, at the drilling site by a doctor. It works too.
                  5. Sapsan136 Offline
                    Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 29 May 2020 17: 07
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                    Well, you see, there is no way without us ... but without discos, people will live, this is not a vital necessity ...
                  6. Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 17: 13
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                    ... but without discos, people will live, this is not a vital necessity.

                    That is, it is to them you want to maintain health)
                  7. Sapsan136 Offline
                    Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 29 May 2020 17: 25
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                    I want to keep people healthy by removing crowding crowds from the streets.
                  8. Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 17: 33
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                    ... removing the idle crowds from the streets ..

                    - Yes, on the street, the risk of infection is minimal. And so, they’ll go underground, at home (in quarantine) they will communicate in quiet places - is it better?
                  9. Sapsan136 Offline
                    Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 29 May 2020 19: 52
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                    Hundreds of apartments, like in nightclubs, will not be assembled, this is the lesser of evils, and you need to be fined for leaving the house without reason ... A vaccine is a very controversial issue, it has not yet been tested and is very damp, so you need to treat it with looking back ... Unfortunately, both young and children get sick and die, so this is not an argument ...
                  10. Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 20: 28
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                    ... for leaving the house without reason you need to be fined

                    Yes, but if everyone lives in the same entrance?)

                    Unfortunately, both young and children get sick and die, so this is not an argument ...

                    Yes, but not on such a scale as the elderly. Of course, if a child has some serious chronic illnesses, he is very vulnerable. Here is quarantine for children and the elderly - it is appropriate in any case. It is difficult to implement with working parents - I agree.
                  11. Sapsan136 Offline
                    Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 29 May 2020 21: 37
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                    Who's everyone?! Children died without serious illnesses, young, by the way, too ...
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            6. Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 17: 44
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              ... lounging crowds.

              - these are, as a rule, young, strong people .. they, like filters, pass all strains through themselves, weaken them with their immunity. The output is a ready-made natural vaccine.
              If I could choose from whom to get infected, I would choose the young carriers. Of course, better at the end of the chain.
              The most dangerous are the “zero” carriers. There is a separate conversation on them. If this virus is more or less of a natural origin, then there are no more “nulls”. They either died or were able to overcome the disease and have already recovered.
              But .. If the virus is still a weapon, then the “fresh zero stuffing” can continue. Then no quarantines will help anymore. Only an antidote (vaccine).
              In this case, it is difficult - it is impossible to continue quarantine indefinitely. The economic crisis will reach its “point of no return", and then it will end. If this was the goal of “stuffing”, then it will be achieved with this.
              So, having drawn the line, quarantine itself (in the first case) has exhausted itself, in the second - it is useless. Something like this.
  • Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 13: 27
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    This is more than when quarantine was introduced, much more ...

    Of course more. The virus needs time. Only the latent period of the disease can last up to 3 weeks, plus the disease itself up to 20 days. So everything is correct.
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  • Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 11: 12
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    Raising the retirement age in the Russian Federation is stupid; life expectancy is not so high in the Russian Federation to do this.

    - I will answer on this topic later, a lot of work))
  • Ser sash Offline
    Ser sash (Ser Sash) 29 May 2020 11: 24
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    Well, for example, as in the West, the retirement age was changed gradually, who worked most of the term under the old laws, he retired according to the old terms.
    1. Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 12: 06
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      ... age gradually changed ..

      What is the difference - gradually or not gradually? From a certain year of birth, it just touched all those born after this year. They were also confronted with a fact, but simply with a 10-year warning. If Russia announced the approaching reform 10 years ago, would it be easier for you?
      1. Ky Ky Offline
        Ky Ky 29 May 2020 12: 57
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        Here is an example - Poland - they lowered their retirement age. The argument is that the youth should have a place to work. And old people with children to sit. But we have no one to sit with our children and there is no work for youth. And another excess in the labor market - reduces salaries. And as a result, it reduces contributions to the pension fund, as well as the possibility of upholding the rights of workers.

        And yes, about going out in Europe. Please familiarize yourself with the funded pension system. There, mostly after 50, many begin to use it. And only social after reaching age. What we have is accumulative, that social, only upon reaching age.
        As they say, these are two completely different systems. And do not confuse flies with cutlets.
        1. Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 13: 22
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          Here is an example - Poland - they lowered their retirement age.

          In Russia they raised from 55/60 to 60/65. In Poland they reduced (only for women) from 63/65 to 60/65.
          Would it be easier for you if in Russia you were first raised and then lowered? Is that the whole problem?

          The argument is that the youth should have a place to work. And old people with children to sit.

          What nonsense)) Young people have places to work: they are "scattered" throughout Western Europe (and England).

          Excess in the labor market - reduces salaries.

          ... lately has been observed by qualified specialists in sales and trade, industry (engineers and highly skilled workers), medicine and pharmaceuticals, and specialists with high financial and economic competencies. She also notes an increase in demand for rare personnel from livestock breeders. “The developing agricultural sector requires technologists, production specialists, veterinarians, etc. The professions of these specialists are currently valued by employers and paid adequately.

          Currently, the market is experiencing an acute shortage of workers. Drivers, food sellers, cooks and builders will be able to find work without difficulty.

          ... programmers, database and server administration specialists, web designers ... are in great demand.

          https://m.dp.ru/a/2018/05/06/Perebor_i_nedobor
          1. Ky Ky Offline
            Ky Ky 17 June 2020 19: 45
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            Yes, farmers, brewers, cheese makers, who is standing at the machine - Yes, but NEEDED EXPERIENCE (if we talk about Russia). And where to get it. And about Poland you are cheating. )))

            On October 1, 2017, a law came into effect in Poland, which reduced the retirement age for men to 65 years, for women to 60 years, Radio Poland reports. Earlier, in 2012, authorities adopted a program to gradually raise the retirement age for men and women to 67 years.

            And you left the answer that this is only a social pension - which in itself is a supplement. But basically - there is an accumulative pension from the people. And they can receive it much earlier.
            Magician, damn it.
            1. Dear sofa expert. 17 June 2020 20: 23
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              a law came into force in Poland that reduced the retirement age for men to 65 years, for women to 60 years

              - Well, I wrote it. Just mistaken at what age. Yes, with 67, right. But this does not change the essence. After all, at first they raised to 67 and no one moaned there.

              And you left the answer that this is only a social pension - which in itself is a supplement. But basically - there is an accumulative pension from the people. And they can receive it much earlier.

              - I do not quite understand what you mean. Private insurance?
            2. Dear sofa expert. 17 June 2020 21: 40
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              And yes, about going out in Europe. Please familiarize yourself with the funded pension system. There, mostly after 50, many begin to use it. And only social after age

              Well, now I re-read it again. Explain to me in which particular country such a system?

              And preferably in more detail. Because, if we are talking about private insurance, there a person can start to make payments in advance.
              The question is the profitability of such insurance. Interest rates in Europe are very low. It makes sense to invest in other "products."
      2. Ser sash Offline
        Ser sash (Ser Sash) 29 May 2020 18: 05
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        It would be easier for those who worked for 20 years and retired according to the old law, and who for 10 years already according to the new, as far as I know, it was like that in Italy.
    2. Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 13: 07
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      Well, for example, as in the West, the retirement age was changed gradually ..

      They want to raise the retirement age for women from 55 to 60 years, and for men - from 60 to 65 years. Naturally, growth will not be instantaneous. The retirement age will increase gradually, on average by six months every year.
  • Rashid116 Offline
    Rashid116 (Rashid) 3 June 2020 00: 40
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    There are in the internet how rich the friends of "nullified" during the quarantine period (sorry, self-isolation))). They even said it on TV with some kind of servile joy. But you need to give them money, right?
    1. Rashid116 Offline
      Rashid116 (Rashid) 3 June 2020 00: 51
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      The sofa is going to be chewing, how good it is for us. And I am firing such a game that stars, but does not work. But I am a private trader. For twenty years, in these situations, quite modest results. Well, I did, softly appreciated.
  • Observer2014 Offline
    Observer2014 29 May 2020 17: 50
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    From the article:

    According to experts of the German publication, for the Russian elite, the absence of an alternative for Putin has a slightly different function than that of the people - he is the guarantor of a system that provides access to influence and wealth. Currently, no one except him will be able to maintain equilibrium in the complex relationships of competing lobby groups in and around the Kremlin. No one is also able to resolve the disputes of these groups and ensure their legitimacy in the eyes of the population.

    Yes? YES! I think personally.
  • Oleg Rambover Offline
    Oleg Rambover (Oleg Rambover) 29 May 2020 11: 16
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    Something is some kind of discrepancy between the title and the text of the article. It is not clear why there is no alternative to Putin? Because

    he continues to maintain the impression among the population and elite that he has no alternative

    Impressions and reality often in life have nothing in common.
    And yes. Vladimir Vladimirovich already tired.
    1. Kristallovich Offline
      Kristallovich (Ruslan) 29 May 2020 12: 19
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      no one except him will be able to maintain balance in the complex relationships of competing lobby groups in and around the Kremlin.

      Which, however, is not far from the truth ...
  • Ser sash Offline
    Ser sash (Ser Sash) 29 May 2020 11: 22
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    Power is greedy, but smart.
    They bought the strong, scared the weak and fooled.
    It seems to be bad, but not enough to go under bullets or in prisons.
    1. Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 12: 41
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      They bought the strong, scared the weak and fooled.

      What category do you personally attribute yourself to?
      1. Ser sash Offline
        Ser sash (Ser Sash) 29 May 2020 13: 26
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        An article about me?
        In any case, I have no desire to discuss my personality.
        1. Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 16: 00
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          ... I have no desire to discuss my personality.

          But you are discussing everyone else, and others are discussing you. How else? Moreover, you divided all the others (and therefore yourself) into only 3 groups:
          1) People in power (smart and greedy)
          2) Strong but corrupt.
          3) Weak and duped.
          So I asked which of them you belong to.
          1. Ser sash Offline
            Ser sash (Ser Sash) 29 May 2020 17: 14
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            I don’t have a habit of discussing someone behind my back. I reasoned, based on personal observations and a superficial knowledge of psychology.
            And about three types of people - an old bike.
            79% are fools, 20% are smart - live off fools, 1% of the wise - control both.
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            2. Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 17: 25
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              20% are smart, 1% of the wise - they control both.

              That is, logically, since you do not consider yourself stupid, and 1% of the wise ones deny, then you belong to 20% of the smart ones.
              Since you are smart, then whose logic should you understand - wise or stupid?
            3. Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 17: 29
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              In order not to torment, I’m just about: why do you smart, spend your precious energy to help stupid? You will not help them, and if, then they will not appreciate you. What are these, as the great A. Raikin said, “sweeping oohlings of epoch-making significance”? )))
              1. Ser sash Offline
                Ser sash (Ser Sash) 29 May 2020 17: 40
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                Once again - I don’t want to talk about myself. In essence, can you say something? Or reasonably refute my thoughts? Is there a forum here? And on the forums, switching to personalities is a violation.
                1. Dear sofa expert. 29 May 2020 17: 53
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                  Vladimir Vladimirovich already tired.

                  The article is already about personality. And note, you are not so much an article as the personality of Putin began to discuss. He tired you.
                  And you tired me, your whining, so I took the right to tell you this. Whether you want it or not, Putin is today the legitimate president of Russia. He was chosen by the people as their democratic majority. In the next election, you can re-elect him as your "minority" (objectively), if possible. Go ahead.
                  1. Ser sash Offline
                    Ser sash (Ser Sash) 29 May 2020 18: 02
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                    Have I written a word about Putin?
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