Ethiopian dam of contention: the armies of Egypt and Sudan are fully operational

23 May 2020 15

Ethiopia continues to build the An-Nahda (Renaissance) hydroelectric power station on the Blue Nile River, which causes great concern, outrage, and sometimes irritation in Sudan and Egypt, which are directly dependent on the flow of this water artery. According to Arab and African sources, the armies of these three states have already been put on full alert, as negotiations have ended to no avail.

It should be noted that Ethiopia’s 110 million people are in dire need of electricity and the hydraulic construction under construction should partially correct the current situation. However, this dam could provoke a real war between Egypt and Sudan against Ethiopia. She has already become a dam of contention. Cairo and Khartoum argue that the construction of the dam will lead to a reduction in the amount of water (shallowing) in the lower reaches of the Nile.

Ethiopian Foreign Minister Guido Andargacheu said his country “does not see obstacles to the start of the dam.” And the head of the Ethiopian government, Abiy Ahmed, proposed starting “filling the first stage,” which will allow collecting up to 18,4 billion cubic meters. m of water in the dam reservoir for two years.

The total volume of the reservoir will be 74 billion cubic meters. m, therefore, in arid and desert Egypt and Sudan, they reasonably worry that their water supply will deteriorate sharply. Lack of water can also lead to droughts, crop failures, ruin and starvation. 100 million people live in Egypt, and more than 40 million people in Sudan (not to be confused with the Republic of South Sudan).

Cairo and Khartoum have already reported that Addis Ababa is "playing with fire." And if the army of Sudan, after years of wars with Chad and the division of the country into two parts, does not pose a great threat to Ethiopia, the army of Egypt, without a doubt, is one of the most powerful on the African continent and represents a formidable force.

In addition, other Arab countries, where they well understand the price of fresh water, can come out on the side of Egypt and Sudan. We must not forget that a significant number of Ethiopians work in Saudi Arabia and the UAE and may lose their jobs. It is difficult to predict how this crisis will end, but we will be watching with interest the development of events.

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Observer2014

-2

23 May 2020 11: 38

Ethiopian dam of contention: the armies of Egypt and Sudan are fully operational

It's time to go to the kitchen for a snack! It’s fun to watch the battle of the titans. Does our military-industrial complex guess to raise money on this battle?

the army of Egypt, without a doubt, is one of the most powerful on the African continent and is a formidable force.

Of course it does. Who are you worried about? Any thoughts on this? Well, it’s clear that Egypt is dear to the heart of the Russian layman as a resort. But still? Personally, I am for the Egyptians. Ethiopians are black any more. Etc.
1. Arkharov
  
  -1
  
  23 May 2020 14: 43
  
  Ethiopians should be closer to us: Pushkin, etc. But the Egyptians are some kind of bespontovye, the country is big, but not a single war in the foreseeable past really won. It seems to me that the Ethiopians are more beaten.
  1. Observer2014
    
    -1
    
    23 May 2020 14: 51
    
    Quote: Arkharov
    Ethiopians should be closer to us: Pushkin, etc. But the Egyptians are some kind of bespontovye, the country is big, and not a single war in the foreseeable past really won. It seems to me that the Ethiopians are more beaten.
    
    A.S. Pushkin really outweighs not just Africa ... But the Ethiopians are some very very black all the same. The Egyptians are somehow more Nashi, or something. Although who knows. There is a speaker. There are resorts.
    1. Arkharov
      
      -1
      
      23 May 2020 14: 58
      
      We have no time for resorts now. And Pushkin is "our everything", as you know. But they had an emperor quite recently, until 1975, and the Egyptians had forgotten about the pharaohs for 2500 years. Well, and "the taste and color, no friend", as you know (old Russian proverb).
      1. Observer2014
        
        -2
        
        23 May 2020 15: 06
        
        Quote: Arkharov
        Not to the resorts to us now. And Pushkin is "our everything", as you know. But they had an emperor quite recently, until 1975, and the Egyptians had forgotten about the pharaohs for 2500 years. Well, and "the taste and color, no friend", as you know (old Russian proverb).
        
        Well, this is unlikely. It seems that the Russians are ready to rest, no matter what. And for the resorts in the extreme places of humanity namba van. Now, if the Ethiopians drown somehow not really.
  2. Natan bruk
    
    -2
    
    23 May 2020 19: 44
    
    And here the fact is that Ethiopians are not Arabs. Although I am not racist and against the Arabs as a people, I have nothing, but they are different peoples and different mentalities. Here, on the Promised, every day I am in contact with both of them. In the event of a conflict, I would rather bet on Ethiopians. The amount of weapons is not the most important thing.
    1. Arkharov
      
      -1
      
      24 May 2020 09: 32
      
      Absolutely right. And in general, among Ethiopians there are many Christians, there are Jews. There is religious freedom prescribed in the Constitution of Ethiopia. Ethiopia does not have a state religion and religious parties are prohibited from forming political parties.
123

+3

23 May 2020 11: 46

The dam problem is quite serious. If you block the Nile, Egypt simply will not.
You must be able to negotiate. The Mongols, for example, were also going to build a dam, but the problem is that the Selenga flows into Lake Baikal. This is a disaster for the lake. Naturally, the "West" immediately found money for a "good purpose" and started talking about energy independence from the "gas station".
They found a way out, there will be a new gas pipeline passing through the territory of Mongolia, a thermal power station will appear instead of a hydroelectric station.
For Africa, there is also a simple way out. Arabs citizens take off and Rosatom builds for this money the Ethiopians of nuclear power plants. As a result, everyone is happy. Ethiopians stop burning torches, Nile crocodiles do not need to retrain as monitor lizards, the Egyptians can still grow dates, not a camel thorn.
It’s not at all difficult to come up with this, but it is not known how interested the neighbors are in maintaining peace in the region.
1. Observer2014
  
  -2
  
  23 May 2020 11: 57
  
  The dam problem is quite serious. If you block the Nile, Egypt simply will not.
  
  Yes. True, Neil will need to be redirected somewhere. And these Ethiopians don’t have enough funds for this event.
  
  You must be able to negotiate. The Mongols, for example, were also going to build a dam, but the problem is that the Selenga flows into Lake Baikal. This is a disaster for the lake. Naturally, the "West" immediately found money for a "good purpose" and started talking about energy independence from the "gas station".
  
  Well of course you need. Thank God that Baikal is far from the Nile. And then already at the mention of the "gas station" goosebumps.
2. Natan bruk
  
  -1
  
  23 May 2020 20: 10
  
  Why would the Arabs take off for the Ethiopians? So that they do not build a dam? That's right to disperse. In the East, another philosophy of life.
  1. 123
    
    +3
    
    24 May 2020 15: 04
    
    Why would the Arabs take off for the Ethiopians? So that they do not build a dam?
    
    Well, if their war in the neighborhood is more comfortable, they may not go off.
    
    That's right to disperse. In the East, another philosophy of life.
    
    This is the philosophy of death. Greed does not lead to beaver. Maybe that's why you constantly fight with your philosophy?
    1. Natan bruk
      
      -2
      
      24 May 2020 21: 53
      
      Our philosophy is completely different. We fight from time to time, because we have no other choice, we have to cool some hotheads, but at the same time always offer peace. And it came to many. Of the 4 neighbors with Egypt and Jordan, the world - diplomatic relations, trade, tourism, Gulf monarchies are increasing contacts and are approaching full-fledged diplomatic relations. Outright enemies - Syria, punished for its aggression (and it was offered territorial concessions in exchange for peace, although the defeated must ask for peace, but they refused) and Lebanon, which is completely in the hands of Hezbollah terrorists, which has a parallel army and terrorizes everyone who does not agree with the order she enters. Christians, for example, are almost gone. But once there was half the population. And the fact that in the East they prefer the war to the same “folding” for their neighbor, especially not the Arab, there is no doubt. Well, there are other concepts.
      1. 123
        
        +2
        
        24 May 2020 22: 28
        
        Our philosophy is completely different. We fight from time to time because we have no other choice
        
        There is always a choice.
        
        some hotheads have to be cooled, but peace has always been offered. And it came to many.
        
        Firstly, under youI meant the Middle East. Secondly, if you offer conditions, and they are rejected all the time, apparently, they are not acceptable. Maybe you should analyze the situation, find the root cause and try to come to a compromise?
        
        Outright enemies - Syria, punished for its aggression (and it was offered territorial concessions in exchange for peace, although the vanquished should ask for peace, but they refused)
        
        A lot of time has passed since then, have you tried to make peace anymore?
        
        Lebanon, completely in the hands of Hezbollah terrorists, having a parallel army and terrorizing everyone who does not agree with the order it imposes. Christians, for example, are almost gone. But once there was half the population.
        
        Civil war is always blood, as a rule, those who are not afraid to pour it come to power, and often they also confront an external threat. Maybe you shouldn’t climb there from abroad? As for the demographic population, to be honest, I don’t remember the proportions. From a book read back in the Soviet period, for some reason, a proportion of about 25% of Christians was put aside. Apparently I'm wrong.
        
        And the fact that in the East they prefer the war to the same “folding” for their neighbor, especially not the Arab, there is no doubt. Well, there are other concepts.
        
        For some reason, I have no doubt about it.
Barmaley_2

-1

24 May 2020 01: 19

The Egyptians are such warriors .... Therefore, the Ethiopians nevermind.
The comment was deleted.
Dear sofa expert.

+3

24 May 2020 16: 51

.. And the head of the Ethiopian government, Abiy Ahmed, proposed starting "filling the first stage", which will allow collecting up to 18,4 billion cubic meters. m of water in the dam reservoir for two years.

The total volume of the reservoir will be 74 billion cubic meters. m

It's not about who is stronger than anyone. There is more - who is right.
In March 2015, Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan concluded an agreement on this dam, the main condition of which was the reservoir filling speed for 10 years. Judging by the above figures, the period may turn out to be much shorter, which will affect the creation of a water shortage for lower lying Egypt and Ethiopia, and most importantly - violates the agreement. This is the essence of the conflict. Apparently - the right is on the side of Egypt and Sudan. The rest is emotions.