Expert: Syria becomes “new Afghanistan” for Russia

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Syria is increasingly similar for Russia to the same “swamp” that Afghanistan has become for the Soviet Union, writes former Indian diplomat MK Bhadrakumar (MK Bhadrakumar) on the Indian Punchline portal.

The author of the article points out the fact that the Syrian leader Bashar Assad is by no means a Russian protege, and the interests of the two countries do not always coincide. The President of the SAR is obsessed with the idea of ​​restoring the sovereignty and territorial integrity of his country. The Kremlin, on the contrary, pursues several goals at the same time, including those not directly related to the situation in this Arab republic.



In particular, a demonstration of power meant the return of post-Soviet Russia to the Eastern Mediterranean, emphasizing Moscow’s intention to play the role of arbiter in Middle Eastern affairs. All this should also serve as a bridge to the restoration of ruined relations with the United States and Europe.

Turning the war into a “swamp”, as it was in Afghanistan, is the last thing Moscow wants. However, overseas have other plans in this regard.

The author notes that in a recent speech, the US Special Envoy for Syria openly boasted that his mission was to ensure that Russian troops ultimately leave the region.

Such provocative remarks and ridicule should be viewed with concern in Moscow, the author believes. On the one hand, Turkey and the United States have already blocked for Russia the chances of a military triumph in Syria, and on the other hand, Assad will definitely not agree to anything less than a complete victory.

Russian society will never agree with the Afghan scenario in Syria, and the whole point of military intervention in 2015 will sooner or later undergo a thorough analysis if the current impasse remains as it is.

However, the Russian economy came under pressure from the events that followed the pandemic of the coronavirus Covid-19, which led to a sharp drop in oil demand. As a result, revenues from oil exports fell significantly.

In fact, Russia continues to wait for constructive participation from the United States, but Washington is not interested in cooperating with Moscow. Russia is a “toxic entity,” the article says.

The US wants the Russian Federation to curtail military bases in Syria, since they consider the Russian presence in the Mediterranean unacceptable

- the Indian expert notes.

The sooner Moscow recognizes this geopolitical reality, the easier it will be for the “Westerners” from among the Russian elite to get rid of their illusions, Mr. Bhadrakumar believes.
  • Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation
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14 comments
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  1. Binder
    Binder
    -3
    16 May 2020 07: 16
    A true vision of the situation is demonstrated by this Indian diplomat with an unpronounceable surname.
    1. A.Lex
      A.Lex
      +1
      16 May 2020 21: 17
      Miroon ... Well, I understand why this Indian writes such nonsense ... But why do you need this?
      This minister of "two masters" has at least two misconceptions about the presence of the Russian Federation in Syria:
      1. Disposal of bandos from the Russian Federation in the service of daish (banned in the Russian Federation) who came to "have fun".
      2. An opportunity to show the force to the same measurements (that was done very on time).
      To this one could add the desire of the leadership of the Russian Federation, just to arrange for the "city-on-a-hill" this very "Afghanistan" (which, in part, was done).
      And regarding "Afghanistan" for the Russian Federation ... we have ONLY two bases there, not more than forty (as in the DRA). That's enough for us to be PRESENT there ... just. I'm not talking about the MTR - they do not have permanent bases there.
      1. Binder
        Binder
        -1
        16 May 2020 21: 40
        You, mister good, have written complete nonsense, forgive the old man for his frankness.
        The main task of the Russian military in the former. Syria was set completely different - to prevent the construction of a thick gas pipe from the Gulf to the Mediterranean Sea so that Putin’s friends from Gazprom would not lose money from the appearance of a strong competitor in the European gas market. The situation today has changed dramatically and Russian godfathers would be happy to get out of the Syrian swamp, but this is a very complicated matter. They already don’t give a damn about Assad, and they don’t need bases, just a hassle, and the economic situation of the Russian Federation is getting worse every day.
        1. A.Lex
          A.Lex
          0
          16 May 2020 22: 13
          ..... ndaaa .... how are you running ..... fool
        2. andrew42
          andrew42
          +1
          22 May 2020 13: 06
          No, I'm sorry, it's you, Bindyuzhnik, who are talking outright nonsense. We have nothing to poke around with the interests of the Russian oligarchy. There is no enthusiasm for them, this is true. But in addition to the new nobility, which has now dominated the power of Russia, there is also Russia itself, if not a state, then a country. I know what you are driving at, as in the 90s on Posner's TV shows - to change your snickering bar for overseas utilizers. Dudki! Nothing will come of it. We have already gone through this. And we'll figure it out ourselves with our bars, and Syria has nothing to do with it, and let the Western "democratizers" keep their distance altogether, otherwise they will rage, and not because of "love for Putin", but for Mother Russia.
  2. Valery Valeriev
    Valery Valeriev
    +3
    16 May 2020 10: 44
    Prophesying something about Russia has become the fun of stupid expert strategists.
    1. monman
      monman
      -2
      16 May 2020 19: 02
      Valery, but you have a “prophecy,” that is, a vision of how-permanently-Russia-there. If for a long time, then “Afghanistan”, and if you leave now, without changing the situation, then “why-climbed”. The author is right ...
      Can you share how to create a “happy-end” for Russia in Syria?
      1. A.Lex
        A.Lex
        +4
        16 May 2020 21: 21
        ... American Garik, this is Syria for you like Afghanistan. We are there ... just present. You are like a virus on the planet - crap everywhere where you do not appear or where you are not present.
  3. 123
    123
    +1
    16 May 2020 12: 55
    Another date merchant.
    1. A.Lex
      A.Lex
      +2
      16 May 2020 21: 23
      123 no. He just works for America - just look at his publications (wherever he works ... including in the Russian Federation).
  4. ric
    ric
    +4
    16 May 2020 17: 39
    This expert is better to study the Kama Sutra. Indians do it well.
  5. Observer2014
    Observer2014
    -1
    16 May 2020 20: 17
    Expert: Syria becomes “new Afghanistan” for Russia

    No. And there is nothing close. No subculture has arisen about this. "Coffins" if they fly home, they are compensated by money. And this is, perhaps, the main thing so that there is no unnecessary reason for conversation. The closest warriors there ... Yes
    1. Bitter
      Bitter
      +1
      17 May 2020 19: 50
      "Coffins" if they fly home, they are compensated by money. And this is perhaps the main thing ...

      Brrr ..., that's all universal values, all in one phrase .. good
      Monument to the dead pilot put in Syria, why? Tomorrow the regime will change and again there will be resentment against some Turkoman or someone else. You have to carry yours with you. If you put your monuments somewhere, then this should be a clear sign for everyone - this is also ours, we are here forever. And do not scatter bros, as it has become fashionable in the last 30 years, blaming them at the same time for infidelity. sad
  6. The comment was deleted.
  7. andrew42
    andrew42
    +2
    22 May 2020 12: 55
    The Indian diplomat does not know a damn thing about the Afghan war waged by the Soviet contingent in the 80s. If I knew, I would not compare with today's Syria. Firstly, in the territories of Syria, protected and liberated from bandits and mercenaries, the population there is extremely friendly towards the Russian military. Nobody shoots in the back, unlike those Afghan villages. Secondly, if Gorbachev had not collapsed the Soviet Union and betrayed Najibullah (I put it simplistically), it is not known how the Soviet "Afghan mission" would have ended - they would have stood there much better than the current Americans in Iraq and Afghanistan, that's for sure. Thirdly, in Syria, the Russian military has an excellent opportunity to test new weapons and test the skills / techniques of modern warfare. Such a landfill is worth a lot. Plus a demonstration to the third world of an illustrative example of how national states can resist completely the rude world Jewocracy. Fourth, and most importantly, the arrival of Russia in Syria is a harsh pruning of one of the tentacles of the American Kaganate, which nullified the 20-year-old efforts of the "Atlantists" to create a single belt of aggressive fanatical pseudo-Islamic states on the American leash from Afghanistan to Tunisia. All the efforts of the American hegemonists, from the occupation of Iraq to the defeat of Libya, were all stopped by one single Russian arrival in Syria. This is a very painful blow. Indirectly, thanks to the stubbornness of Syria and Russia, the independent states of Iran, Egypt stand and will stand, and there Libya will eventually break out of the Western noose. I will not write about the economic interests of the parties - it will take a long time. And these are the consequences, not the primary cause. The main thing is that the American Kaganate has gotten a hand in Syria, Venezuela, Yemen, Libya does not work out, it did not work out in Afghanistan. When the parasite's tentacles are cut off, it begins to devour itself - the formula "money - war - money stroke" stops working. This is the point.