American political scientist about Russia: A waning power, not worthy of an alliance with the United States

47

The United States should not form an alliance with Russia against China; instead, it is worthwhile to strengthen existing alliances to confront Moscow and Beijing at the same time. This opinion is shared by the well-known political scientist Matthew Kroenig on the pages of the American journal Foreign Policy.

The expert emphasizes that although the PRC now acts as the main geopolitical rival of the United States, Russia also "seeks to carry out subversive activities" against American interests. The two Eurasian powers are closer to each other today than ever since the start of the Cold War.



The author claims that many US national security experts believe that the United States should strive to share this link by working with Russia to counter the even greater threat from China.

But this recommendation is erroneous, believes Mr. Kroenig, noting that "authoritarian states" such as China and Russia will not be able to form a deep and sustainable strategic partnership.

I examined the strengths and weaknesses of democracies and autocracies in the area of ​​competition between great powers and found that dictatorships are bad builders of alliances

- the author concludes.

Lightness, he notes, with which autocrats change policies countries, refuse to commit and cheat, does not contribute to the establishment of international partnerships.

Moreover, the expert points out that there are many conflicts of interest between Russia and China, which will embroil them without any help from the United States. The article also argues that Russian leader Vladimir Putin "will not want to support the United States, a country that he considers his main enemy."

The author adheres to a derogatory opinion about Russia. According to him, it is "a waning power with GDP, which is less than Italian." When energy prices are high, Russia can afford an impressive armed force, but as soon as the cost of raw materials decreases, all the power crumbles with it.

Fortunately, as noted in the publication, America has other partners to choose from. The United States already has formal alliances with 29 NATO members, as well as Japan, South Korea, and Australia. These countries account for 59% of global GDP.

Mr. Kroenig writes that the power of this global “alliance of free nations,” led by the United States, could be better used to confront authoritarian and revisionist powers, rather than “enter into deals with changeable dictators.”
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  1. +2
    15 May 2020 07: 24
    Until Russia becomes as powerful as the USSR was, everyone will humiliate it. There is an expression - they are afraid - that means respect.
    1. GRF
      +5
      15 May 2020 08: 23
      They humiliate them not because of power, but because of connivance. Due to the fact that we ourselves love to humiliate ourselves.
      In North Korea, relics are much less than ours, they offended Kim Jong-un, in response they received no less than verbal ... and ... silence ...
      Because North Korea doesn’t ask for “partners”, it doesn’t need “beads” at “bargain” prices, it doesn’t get hung up on comparisons - what they have and how we have. They live their lives without embarrassment of their complexes and enjoying the sun ...
      1. 123
        +3
        16 May 2020 11: 10
        They humiliate them not because of power, but because of connivance. Due to the fact that we ourselves love to humiliate ourselves.
        In North Korea, relics are much less than ours, they offended Kim Jong-un, in response they received no less than verbal ... and ... silence ...

        Do you consider humiliation an information war? When you say that we love to humiliate ourselves, please do not generalize, speak on your own behalf.

        Because North Korea doesn’t ask for “partners”, it doesn’t need “beads” at “bargain” prices, it doesn’t get hung up on comparisons - what they have and how we have. They live their lives without embarrassment of their complexes and enjoying the sun ...

        The comparison is so-so. No. They really rejoice at the sun, they have nothing more to rejoice at. The definition of "beads at bargain prices" needs clarification.
    2. 123
      +4
      16 May 2020 11: 14
      Until Russia becomes as powerful as the USSR was, everyone will humiliate it. There is an expression - they are afraid - that means respect.

      And why do you think that everyone humiliates her? If you mean sanctions, then they were under the USSR, and even under the tsar's priest. All kinds of intrigues are being built constantly, yes, and at the same time they are trying to make it look more offensive. This is an element of the information war, judging by your opinion, efforts are not in vain. Yes
    3. -2
      16 May 2020 19: 14
      There is an expression - they are afraid - that means respect.

      This expression is precisely created by autocracy. Switzerland is respected, but not afraid. Norway too. And dozens more countries respect, but are not afraid. They are afraid of Russia, this is so. And respect for what? Give the actions of Russia, the Russian economy, the standard of living of your people worthy of world respect! That

      USA is a thorn in the eye of all mankind

      “We know, no need to repeat.”
      I repeat the question - why respect Russia?
  2. +7
    15 May 2020 09: 33
    Democracy cannot be strong by definition, but a police state and autocracy can! Is that why the US is imposing democracy on everyone?
    1. GRF
      +4
      15 May 2020 09: 50
      The Americans do not impose democracy, but submission, and what kind of order is there - they are a breeze. Japan - ruled by the emperor, Britain - the queen, Saudi Arabia - with a growing budget deficit, will soon manifest itself dictatorially, and even with what. With communist China, until he was equal, there was almost an idyll ...
      We seem to have the same democracy and capitalism, but we are capricious - that means "re-education" is required ...
      As I.V. formulated in due time Stalin -

      Democracy is the power of the American people.

      Nothing has changed. But of course, if the people are not united by a common goal, idea, and the more heaps will be in it, the easier it is for Americans to democratize ...
  3. +4
    15 May 2020 09: 53
    they change the country's policy, refuse to commit and cheat, it does not contribute to the establishment of international partnerships.

    - all the above clearly corresponds to the behavior of the SGA and their chief.

    America has other partners

    - not partners, but vassals, and as soon as they feel weakness, they will scatter along holes.
  4. GRF
    +7
    15 May 2020 10: 39
    From Afrikaans, Kroenig is translated into Russian as curved.

    Free nations led by the USA ...

    - Cool freedom in those headed by something). Dictatorships - poor builders of alliances - did this expert hear about the fascist axis of evil?
    But you are the Balts, the Poles and the Czechs are happy, well, those that are with those, and those, and those ... The flag is in your hands)
    What is his exact and capacious surname. )
  5. +3
    15 May 2020 11: 24
    Let your 59% put it in one place! Let him ask Napoleon, Hitler and other evil spirits whether it is possible to defeat RUSSIA, the answer will be one - no. What is the USA - it does not smell like democracy there.
  6. 0
    15 May 2020 17: 08
    Americans are stupid self-confidence, profanity and a dense lack of knowledge.
    1. -4
      16 May 2020 06: 35
      If in your comment the word Americans replaced by Russiansthen everything will be true. hi
  7. From recent history, the Anglo-Saxons have only 2 victories - in Dunkirk and the Ardennes, where the Germans smashed them to smithereens, despite the numerical superiority. But NATO has only the bombing of Serbia in the year 99!
    1. -7
      16 May 2020 06: 54
      We taught history a little at the school where you studied! lol If we recall the Second World War, then there was the victory at El Alamein, Operation Overlord, the Battle of Midway and many other battles. By the way, at El Alamein, the British took 250 thousand prisoners, in Stalingrad, Soviet troops captured a much smaller number of enemies - 90 thousand. This is information for you to think about ...
      Let me remind you also that in 1941. The Red Army had a significant numerical superiority over the Wehrmacht in manpower and equipment, and what came of it is well known.
      Well, the cherry on the cake - the greatest victory of Russia in the present century - over Georgia. The mighty adversary. Yes
      1. 123
        +3
        16 May 2020 12: 03
        Weakly taught history in the school where you studied! If we recall the Second World War, then there was the victory at El Alamein, Operation Overlord, the Battle of Midway and many other battles.

        Which battle of El Alamein do you mean, the first or the second? Something from the first time the allies did not grow together. "Desert Fox" with a handful of soldiers, who for years drove kicks from allies in the Middle East, somehow weakly combined with talk about the military art of the Anglo-Saxons. laughing

        By the way, under El Alamein, the British took 250 thousand prisoners, in Stalingrad, Soviet troops captured a much smaller number of enemies - 90 thousand. This is information for you to think about ...

        The irretrievable and sanitary losses of the Germans with the allies - 1,5 million, and 90 thousand prisoners is only at the final stage of the operation. El Alamein compared to Stalingrad - a small disassembly of the yard punks. This is for you, information for consideration.
        Overlord? This is when they did not dare to land for several years, and then, with a sixfold advantage only in aviation, they dispersed the disabled and militias who were not suitable for war on the eastern front? laughing
        The Battle of Midway? Why they fussed so much is incomprehensible. request The Kwantung Army took less than two weeks.

        Let me remind you the same as in 1941. The Red Army had a significant numerical superiority over the Wehrmacht in manpower and equipment, and what came of it is well known.

        Of course it’s known. Yes


        Well, the cherry on the cake - the greatest victory of Russia in the present century - over Georgia. The mighty adversary.

        Not only mighty, but also merciful, as well as peaceful. Yes
        So read the full version of the history textbook, that. where half of the sheets during the break were not lit. hi
        1. -4
          16 May 2020 12: 22
          Quote: 123
          read the full storybook

          That whole textbook can go to waste paper. lol
          1. 123
            +2
            16 May 2020 12: 46
            That whole textbook can go to waste paper.

            Once you have invented yours, read under the covers and don’t tell anyone. Not only does laughter cause, so also orderlies can cause. Yes
            1. -5
              16 May 2020 16: 20
              Well, you don't need any textbooks at all - you can even shout "krymnash" and "russiaavstayotskolen" without knowing how to read. bully
              1. 123
                0
                16 May 2020 17: 24
                Why shout? These are obvious things. Weird people have to scream and tell their own interpretation of the story. feel
                1. -3
                  16 May 2020 17: 35
                  It is only obvious that your country is rapidly degrading, and history is an objective science, and no matter how you like to remake it in accordance with your political preferences, it does not change. You can lie, distort and suppress historical facts, and do not hide the truth.
                  1. 123
                    +2
                    16 May 2020 17: 37
                    And what is degradation expressed in? You are right, science is always an objective thing, unlike your assessments.
                    1. -2
                      16 May 2020 17: 45
                      And you do not know? Is criminal power, corruption and lawlessness, a decline in the standard of living of the majority of citizens of the Russian Federation, a terrifying economic situation in the country, depopulation - is this not enough?
                      1. 123
                        +3
                        16 May 2020 18: 25
                        Criminal power? belay Whoever the other would teach us life. laughing

                        Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on January 1 that he would ask the Knesset to grant him immunity from prosecution for the three episodes of the corruption case that are blamed on the head of government. About this newspaper Times of Israel.

                        Corruption? And where is she not? Can you name at least one country where there was no corruption? By the way, how will we evaluate it? On the "objective" comics of Transparency International? By the way, what is Netanyahu accused of? This is true, by the way. winked Decreased living standards yes, there is. Yes, there are difficulties, envious competitors are pressing on all sides, nothing, let's go through this stage. Again, numbers can be twisted as you like, you read a different rating, they write Costa Rica and Cuba live better there. laughing Any subsidies to Latvia are presented as paradise, and if I am not mistaken, “help” from overseas does not stop even to you. Yes We live on our own, not like some on credit, but what to do when we have to give back our debts? By the way, we’ll wait and see who will survive as a crisis. feel

                        appalling economic situation in the country

                        Why is it terrifying? Again, Deutsche Welle with the Voice of America revised?

                        depopulation

                        If you look at what is happening in the world, then at least all of Europe is degrading, and it is not very different for you. Too lazy to look for numbers, but +/- everything turns around zero, something like this:

                        https://knoema.ru/atlas/%d0%9b%d0%b8%

                        You can compare it yourself.
                        So, this is all a subjective assessment, moreover, far from reality.
                      2. -4
                        16 May 2020 20: 11
                        In this case, you should not recall our Bibi - his episodes of corruption consisted of a gift box of cigars, and a few bottles of expensive champagne for Sarah from a private person, it’s not your godfathers who are grabbing billions from the state budget. laughing

                        Quote: 123
                        Decreased living standards yes, there is. Yes, there are difficulties, envious rivals press on all sides ..

                        You made me laugh - who envy you? Unless some thread Uzbeks with Tajiks.

                        Quote: 123
                        and to you, if I am not mistaken, the "help" from overseas does not stop.

                        All overseas aid is arms supplies and makes up less than 1% of Israel’s budget.

                        Quote: 123
                        Why is it terrifying?

                        From the very fact that you will eat when your hydrocarbons cease to be in demand abroad?
                        For population growth, see the data on the Web - you will see for yourself.
                      3. 123
                        +3
                        16 May 2020 21: 44
                        In this case, do not recall our Bibi - his episodes of corruption consisted of a gift box of cigars and a few bottles of expensive champagne for Sarah from a private person, it’s not your godfathers who are grabbing billions from the state budget.

                        So, Bibi, a small show? winked Anyway. As for the passion for cigars, apparently, it has a long tradition. Yes

                        The panel of judges will include Rivka Fridman-Feldman, Moshe Bar-Am and Oded Shaham. It was Judge Friedman-Feldman in 2014 who convicted Ehud Olmert, who led the government from 2006 to 2008.

                        Or did Olmert collect lighters? feel

                        You made me laugh - who envy you? Unless some thread Uzbeks with Tajiks.

                        The world is so changeable, who knows, maybe in a few years many Tajiks and Uzbeks will envy. smile

                        All overseas aid is arms supplies and makes up less than 1% of Israel’s budget.

                        Well done. True, money doesn’t always solve, there are times when capitalization can not help anything, there is no money.

                        From the very fact that you will eat when your hydrocarbons cease to be in demand abroad?

                        I believe there will be products of our own production. Mantra about the country gas station fed up, come up with a joke fresher. winked
                        As for the demand for hydrocarbons, I'm afraid you are not quite right in assessing the situation, Russia is working to take control of the global oil market.

                        For population growth, see the data on the Web - you will see for yourself.

                        And what am I to see there so supernatural?
                      4. -3
                        16 May 2020 22: 10
                        Quote: 123
                        Or did Olmert collect lighters?

                        Olmert was tried for the case, and indeed he Bibi in all respects is not suitable for soles.

                        Quote: 123
                        The world is so changeable, who knows, maybe in a few years many Tajiks and Uzbeks will envy

                        No chance, alas ...

                        Quote: 123
                        True, money does not always solve

                        This is true, but we are in no way dependent on other people's finances - thank God, we are able to earn money ourselves, and investors are lining up in the queue - everyone wants to invest in the Israeli economy, it brings profit.

                        Quote: 123
                        Russia is working to take control of the global oil market.

                        These are vain hopes.

                        Quote: 123
                        what am I going to see so supernatural there?

                        You will see that in Russia there is a negative dynamics of population growth.
                      5. 123
                        +4
                        16 May 2020 22: 41
                        Olmert was tried for the case, and indeed he Bibi in all respects is not suitable for soles.

                        You there deal with their criminal hierarchy yourself, only do not teach us life. And then you have the second consecutive prime minister goes under the article, and the criminal power is with us. belay

                        No chance, alas ...

                        The world is changeable .... In Singapore, they used to catch fish, the Saudis grazed camels, and the Libyans lived, it seems, not bad. Yes And time has passed a little on historical scales.

                        This is true, but we are in no way dependent on other people's finances - thank God, we are able to earn money ourselves, and investors are lining up in the queue - everyone wants to invest in the Israeli economy, it brings profit.

                        I’m only happy for you, it’s just interesting if everyone is so self-sufficient and independent, why do you need this 1%? The closest neighbors are all talking about self-sufficiency and independent to the point of horror, but to dig a little deeper .... Poland, the Baltic states, Belarus are all exemplary, they are all talking about investments.

                        These are vain hopes.

                        Life will show. Yes While there is movement. Someone is cutting production, while someone has opened a fishing in Taimyr, Sakhalin is already doing the third, and the fourth project is next in line.

                        You will see that in Russia there is a negative dynamics of population growth.

                        What's new in this? Demographic pit. The reasons are in the past. The dynamics are aligned, and against the background of Europe, to say that we look very pale, the language does not turn.
                      6. -2
                        17 May 2020 05: 10
                        Quote: 123
                        You are the second consecutive prime minister to go under the article, and criminal power is with us.

                        In Israel, democracy, in the Russian Federation a totalitarian regime, so we can condemn the head of state, and you, starting with the chairman of the village council - untouchable individuals to whom the law is not written.

                        Quote: 123
                        Poland, Baltic States, Belarus are all exemplary

                        Poles and Baltic states get out, Belarusians would throw Old Man, and also gradually become Europe.

                        Quote: 123
                        Demographic pit. The reasons are in the past. The dynamics are leveled,

                        Alignment is not yet visible even on the horizon ...
                      7. 123
                        +3
                        17 May 2020 08: 53
                        In Israel, democracy, in the Russian Federation a totalitarian regime, so we can condemn the head of state, and you, starting with the chairman of the village council - untouchable individuals to whom the law is not written.

                        Did you happen to be a Komsomol member in your youth? Surely you read out slogans confidently. winked
                        With what fright did the Democrats sign up? A junta of clean water, you keep the country in a martial law all the time, women and those without exception have been put under arms, before that even in the DPRK they didn’t think of it.
                        They have all the leadership of the criminals, but with us, it turns out, totalitarianism. laughing

                        By the way, there is such a surname - Ulyukaev, I just don’t remember which collective farm he was an agronomist, here are some more examples.

                        https://iz.ru/tag/korruptciia
                      8. -2
                        17 May 2020 14: 19
                        Quote: 123
                        Did you happen to be a Komsomol member in your youth?

                        I was not qualified to be a Komsomol, I was an excellent student in the military and political in the SA.

                        Quote: 123
                        The junta of clean water, the country is constantly in martial law, women and those without exception have been put under arms.

                        I dare. good

                        Quote: 123
                        By the way, there is such a name - Ulyukaev.

                        And this Tatar to us what side?
                      9. 123
                        +3
                        17 May 2020 14: 27
                        Dared

                        Well, it’s not for me to grin alone.

                        And this Tatar to us what side?

                        Probably left, this is a vivid representative of those

                        and you, starting with the chairman of the village council, have untouchable personalities to whom the law has not been written.

                      10. -2
                        17 May 2020 15: 08
                        Quote: 123
                        Probably left, this is a vivid representative of those

                        I didn’t want to share, I didn’t allow the toad to give to the common fund - so I paid ...
                      11. 123
                        +1
                        17 May 2020 21: 01
                        He didn’t want to share, he didn’t allow the toad to give to the common fund - so he paid.

                        Well, I don’t know, he himself said that he tried to collect wine, he and Bibi would sit together, that cigar, this wine.
                      12. -1
                        17 May 2020 21: 54
                        Quote: 123
                        they would sit with Bibi together ...

                        Dream. wink
                      13. 123
                        +1
                        17 May 2020 22: 38
                        Dream.


                        Think worth it? After all, as they say .....


                        (I hope they won’t count for advertising) laughing
                      14. -1
                        18 May 2020 04: 32
                        I wonder whose dreams came true with the participation of Gazprom? what
                      15. 123
                        +1
                        18 May 2020 11: 08
                        I wonder whose dreams came true with the participation of Gazprom?

                        Actually, I talked about the fact that dreams sometimes come true, as for Gazprom, apparently not yours. No.
                  2. +3
                    16 May 2020 18: 36
                    Binder, about the objectivity of science, to you a secret - disputes are being conducted. But even if it is suddenly objective, how is it connected with science that you have said here? And why should this be considered true?
                    In my opinion, it is you who are degrading, not Russia.
                    1. -3
                      16 May 2020 20: 12
                      Quote: isofat
                      In my opinion, it is you who are degrading, not Russia.

                      What objective signs of our degradation can you name?
                      1. +2
                        16 May 2020 20: 25
                        Binder, I spoke about you, not about Israel, when I spoke about degradation. Do you still want to hear me?
                      2. -3
                        16 May 2020 20: 29
                        Well, it's not for you to judge me personally, I recall from Griboyedov - "Who are the judges?" request
                      3. +1
                        16 May 2020 20: 37
                        Quote: Bindyuzhnik
                        Well, it's not for you to judge me personally, I recall from Griboyedov - "Who are the judges?"

                        BinderDo not tell readers. Do you think the appointment of judges is your responsibility?
                      4. -3
                        16 May 2020 21: 24
                        In my competence - to put with the appliance on all of these judges. wassat
      2. +1
        18 May 2020 08: 09
        The "glorious" victories of the British took place in Africa, when Rommel no longer received assistance and everything was thrown to the eastern front. Your beloved Overlord took place at the end of the war, when the Anglo-Saxons and their allies had a multiple advantage, again due to the fact that the main forces of Germany were thrown against the USSR, but the Ardennes showed what their troops are worth. By the way, according to their historians, the Canadians fought the most staunchly. And it's a shame to talk about Stalingrad in this way, because the Germans resisted desperately and most of them died. And in Africa everything was clear - there were not even attempts to help the Germans.
  8. +1
    16 May 2020 08: 57
    While the lackeys of the State Department and the IMF are in power, nothing will change. Sanctions, arrests, trampling on graves, theft of property. Insults from the United States for demshiza as a medal - that means they remember us ...
  9. The comment was deleted.
  10. +2
    17 May 2020 02: 03
    As long as there are such "experts" in the United States, one can be calm about their quick death. All empires were ruined by arrogance and faith in their exclusivity and unsurpassed insight, but in reality all this turned out to be illusions.
  11. +1
    18 May 2020 08: 08
    Some unrealistic horror stories. There are no prerequisites for a major war in the world. The whole world is safe. Well, perhaps an epidemic. Well, aliens will arrive. Nobody is going to fight. All the more so full Americans. So, all passions can begin only within countries. Hunger riots when the poor lose fear of hopelessness. But in the main countries of the world there is no such situation now. So, everyone relax and drink whiskey, or whatever anyone has for this occasion. :) Well, minor conflicts can be. But this is not critical. Enjoy a calm life. :)