Media: Putin's presidential plans hit the “perfect storm”


With the provocative headline “Will Covid-19 Crush the Power of Tsar Vladimir?” (“Will Covid-19 ruin the reign of Tsar Vladimir?”) The Indian English-language newspaper The Sunday Guardian was released the day before. The author of the article is John Dobson, a British diplomat who worked in Moscow in the past and is trying to analyze the challenges faced by Russian senior management during these months.


In his opinion, slender plans to extend the presidency of Vladimir Putin suddenly came up against the “perfect storm” from the epidemic of coronavirus and the economic crisis caused by the collapse in oil prices. The quite stable situation has changed dramatically for the worse, the popularity of the head of state is plummeting.

And the Russian leadership is racking its brains over the same mystery as all other governments in the world: how to protect the health of their citizens without causing enormous damage the economy.

The author predicts large-scale unemployment when millions of small business workers and self-employed will lose their income due to self-isolation measures. At the same time, the support of small entrepreneurs and citizens was called insufficient.

The future is also bleak for 70% of the population, which has no savings whatsoever. Their real incomes have already declined over the past six years.

- the expert notes.

Mr. Dobson reports that, according to a number of economists, Russians need to give out 20 rubles each from the National Wealth Fund. However, there are big doubts that the head of state will decide to print out the “little box” intended for national projects.

The first outbreaks of civil discontent have already spilled out onto the street in Vladikavkaz, the capital of North Ossetia. The British expert believes that these protests will not be the last.

A difficult situation has developed in the fight against the pandemic itself. Russia inherited a reliable healthcare system from Soviet times, but it was under Putin that serious underfunding was observed, less than 3% of GDP was spent on this sector compared to the average of 9% in developed countries. Faced with a lack of protective equipment and low salaries during the pandemic, some doctors and nurses chose to quit and not risk their lives.

However, the author believes that the authorities of Vladimir Putin can hardly threaten anything, since he controls the media and special services, and protests are brutally suppressed. However, things can change in the event of a collapse of the health system or a surge in mass unemployment.
Used photos: http://kremlin.ru/
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  1. Bulanov Offline
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 3 May 2020 16: 26
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    Coronavirus is not everything. We will see how the world can withstand the drought and fall in grain sales in the world. Then Russia may turn out to be that very ancient Egypt, which had accumulated bread in the bins and avoided starvation. In this case, the Russian president will have an advantage over the presidents of many other countries. The main thing here is to take care of your people, and if you help others, then only loyal, for example, those who have recognized Crimea, who do not host NATO military bases, who want to join EurAsEC ...
    1. Arkharov Offline
      Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) 3 May 2020 17: 27
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      Who is this?
    2. Observer2014 Offline
      Observer2014 4 May 2020 15: 36
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      Then Russia may turn out to be that very ancient Egypt, which had accumulated bread in the bins and avoided starvation.

      We are far from the word very, not that ancient Egypt. lol Anyway, what is before you crucify. I speak directly. That's when our ordinary people are equal in income with Western, then we’ll talk. Huh? And then you read - one comes to mind. fool Dumka richer. laughing
  2. Umsan Umsanov Offline
    Umsan Umsanov (Umsan Umsanov) 3 May 2020 16: 40
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    And then Russia will begin to chip the whole world in exchange for a handful of grain.
    And the whole world will bow to Russia. Then the most sinister tyrant will appear in Russia, which the world has not yet seen.

    And the persecution of Christians around the world will begin ...
    1. Alexei Ushakov Offline
      Alexei Ushakov (Alexey Ushakov) 3 May 2020 17: 05
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      Nah, well, "chipping" okay. As a psychiatrist, I can understand. But the Christians have something to do with it)))?
    2. Bulanov Offline
      Bulanov (Vladimir) 3 May 2020 17: 08
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      Umsan! Do not scream - Wolves! The idea of ​​chipping belongs to the representatives of the "golden billion", which Russia does not see in its ranks.
      1. Umsan Umsanov Offline
        Umsan Umsanov (Umsan Umsanov) 4 May 2020 09: 12
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        Russian scientists have already created a chip for mass use.
    3. Vlad Petrov Offline
      Vlad Petrov (Vladimir) 3 May 2020 20: 04
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      It is precisely in Russia that the most sinister tyrant will appear, whom the world has not yet seen. Casting his disastrous gaze upon all liberalism. And nowhere to hide from him. The tyrant will bring moral corruption to liberalism. Time will begin to go back, lifeless matter will be filled with murderous life. The dead will rise and waves of uncontrolled mutations will roll. Everything, I will not write, scary.
    4. Observer2014 Offline
      Observer2014 4 May 2020 15: 40
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      Quote: Umsan Umsanov
      And then Russia will begin to chip the whole world in exchange for a handful of grain.
      And the whole world will bow to Russia. Then the most sinister tyrant will appear in Russia, which the world has not yet seen.
      And the persecution of Christians around the world will begin ...

      laughing This was still not enough.
  3. 123 Offline
    123 (123) 3 May 2020 17: 01
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    The touching care of wealthy and prosperous Indians about the fate of the poor Russians is so touching. smile

    Russia inherited a reliable healthcare system from Soviet times, but it was under Putin that serious underfunding was observed, less than 3% of GDP was spent on this sector compared to the average of 9% in developed countries.

    I looked, Russia - 5,3% of GDP, apparently, developed India - 3,7% of GDP.

    https://gtmarket.ru/ratings/expenditure-on-health/info

    If anything in Namibia - 9,1%, it is probably developed, though not the same as Zimbabwe with 9,4%. This is me because the percentage of GDP is not clear what shows. Neighbors on the list, Great Britain - 9,8%, followed by Liberia - 9,6%. And what does this statistic mean? After all, the most developed, apparently, the Marshall Islands - 23,3%, followed by the probably underdeveloped USA with a miserable 17,1%, Sierra Leone closes the top three with 16,5%, followed by Tuvalu, Micronesia, Cuba, Switzerland, Kiribati, Brazil, Palau. Well done Swiss good still hooked in the top ten. You look, soon they will grow up to Tuvalu.
    1. cmonman Offline
      cmonman (Garik Mokin) 3 May 2020 21: 48
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      From the article:

      ... less than 3% of GDP was spent on this sector compared with the average of 9% in developed countries ...

      From Wiki:

      To developing countries (Eng. Developing countries), - a more accurate, but inappropriate definition - less developed countries (Eng. Less developed countries) - theoretically include those countries and countries that have a lower level of GDP per capita compared to other states and countries.

      ... India belongs to countries with a semi-open economy: the share of exports and imports does not exceed 14% of GDP (1960 ... The country acts only in the 35 largest import markets, yielding to states such as Ireland, South Korea, Thailand. This means that the economy mainly operates on the domestic market ...

      India belongs to developing countries, Russia belongs to developed countries. Therefore, spending on medicine is different. But if TV in Russia wins the refrigerator, then Russia will again become developing ...
      1. 123 Offline
        123 (123) 4 May 2020 13: 24
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        India belongs to developing countries, Russia belongs to developed countries. But if TV in Russia wins the refrigerator, then Russia will again become developing ...

        As far as I remember, Russia belongs to the group of countries with developing economies (13th place in the group of 78 countries). They came up with an Inclusive Development Index (IDI).

        Therefore, spending on medicine is different.

        The cost of medicine is different for completely different reasons. To consider that they depend on the "rating", I'm sorry, but this is naive. And to consider that the more money is invested in medicine, the more effective it is, is also not entirely correct. For example, you have huge investments in this area, but the language does not turn out to call it the best in the world. I won’t go deeper about the situation with coronavirus, but this is also an indicator. Do you have the highest life expectancy or the lowest incidence rate? Medicine turned into a "business", you have it for making money. Amounts in circulation are huge, at the output we get far from the best indicators.

        But if TV in Russia wins the refrigerator, then Russia will again become developing ...

        For you, this choice is not worth it, the TV has long been built into the refrigerator door and you are not able to fight this monster.
  4. Sapsan136 Offline
    Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 3 May 2020 18: 07
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    This is not a storm, it is much worse ... They brought again sick tourists from Asia to the Russian Federation, and the growth of infections per day almost doubled !!! But Vova doesn’t want to call to order the drunk and crushed supposedly elite, who is burning life abroad, !!! If all those who arrived had been quarantined, for a thorn, and placed on the perimeter of machine gunners, there would not have been such a mess with an epidemic in the Russian Federation !!! And so Vova turns all of Russia into one large infectious diseases hospital !!!
  5. Nick Offline
    Nick (Nikolai) 3 May 2020 20: 30
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    With the provocative headline “Will Covid-19 Crush the Power of Tsar Vladimir?”

    Judging by the situation and the measures taken by the "king", his position will only be strengthened. According to VTsIOM, which conducted a survey in the second half of April, 64% of Russians support Putin. Mr. Dobson, who wrote the article, would have been better off worrying why, from his country, from his capital London, the Russians massively rushed back to their "totalitarian" homeland? So soon the British monarchy will come Tryndets.
    1. Arkharov Offline
      Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) 4 May 2020 14: 39
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      According to VTsIOM, which conducted a survey in the second half of April, 64% of Russians support Putin.

      Do you really believe that? !!! Of the dozens of my acquaintances I know only one. And so, it seems to me, the majority?
      1. Digital error Offline
        Digital error (Eugene) 4 May 2020 15: 00
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        Quote: Arkharov
        Do you really believe that?

        There is only one way to verify this - to become a public observer:

        https://общественныйнаблюдатель.рф/

        Personally, I submitted an application - I am waiting for consideration when they decide on the date of voting.

        Quote: Arkharov
        Of the dozens of my acquaintances I know only one.

        Do these few dozens go to vote or consider that "they will figure it out without them"?
        1. Arkharov Offline
          Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) 4 May 2020 16: 35
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          I think most are not.
  6. steelmaker Offline
    steelmaker 3 May 2020 20: 32
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    Putin’s presidential plans hit a “perfect storm.”

    Yes, I think that if the situation continues to develop like that, then we can forget about the presidential election altogether. Therefore, I think this is Putin’s plan !?
    1. Citizen Mѣshkov (Sergey G) 3 May 2020 21: 05
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      So Zhirinovsky after the election in 2018 said that these elections are the last.
  7. Marshal Zhukov Offline
    Marshal Zhukov (Marshal Zhukov) 4 May 2020 10: 45
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    Frame lump blossomed. Only the lazy one wonders what will happen. Wait and see. Hedgehogs have already eaten everyone and did not die out.
  8. vladimir mudov Offline
    vladimir mudov (vladimir mudov) 4 May 2020 18: 14
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    The future is also bleak for 70% of the population, which has no savings whatsoever. Their real incomes have already declined over the past six years.

    So what does coronavirus have to do with it? He only intensified what has been happening for six years in a row! And it was very bad! The people of Russia continued to be poor! Poverty 6 YEARS in a row! Who will be responsible for this? Putin! He is responsible for everything that happens in Russia and there is no need to blame everything on the coronavirus!