Why are the Akademik Chersky Russian ships so closely watched

29

The Odyssey of Academician Chersky is gradually coming to an end. The pipe-laying vessel passed the English Channel, accompanied by a whole convoy of military vessels of the Baltic Fleet. By May 2, they are waiting for him in Kaliningrad, where it is to be retrofitted and begin to complete the construction of Nord Stream-2.

However, the ultimate goal indicated by the “Academician” raises questions: the port of Nakhodka, where he left. What is it, subtle trolling from the side of the route organizers, or is it a premonition of a "terrible end"?



Recall, due to the sanctions imposed by Donald Trump, foreign contractors immediately abandoned Nord Stream-2, leaving about 6-7% of its length in the offshore part, which mainly falls on Danish waters, incomplete. Gazprom’s specialized barges Fortuna and Defender available on the Baltic Sea are not entitled to proceed with the completion of the gas pipeline, since they do not meet Copenhagen’s requirements. The only vessel Akademik Chersky formally suitable for this was located in the Far East and required preliminary conversion.

The pipelayer left Nakhodka some time ago and immediately attracted the attention of the media and the public with his maneuvers. The ship is constantly changing its destination; at a certain stage, warships began to accompany it. It is believed that this way Gazprom is insured against new US sanctions, sabotage, the possible arrest of a ship, etc. This caused a patriotic upsurge among some of our readers:

Behind any ship with the Russian flag is Russia. The presence of the military on this campaign simply underlines our determination. No aggression. But the flight time of “Caliber” to where it should be is calculated in minutes. This is for dessert.


However, the above is not the main problems of the Academician and the Nord Stream-2 project as a whole. Talk about the unpleasant.

Some time ago on the "Reporter" came out publication, in which we examined several scenarios for the development of further events. Among them was one version, which we designated as the least probable: having completed the retrofitting in Russian ports in the Baltic, Chersky will indeed return to Nakhodka, as indicated in his last message.

Wildness? Yes. But, in order not to injure the psyche afterwards, let's take into account this scenario, even if the least probable of all of them. What are the reasons to at least allow such a development of events?

At first, it is necessary to take into account the pandemic factor, which brought down the volume of production and consumption of hydrocarbons in the most developed countries. According to various estimates, coronavirus killed 10 to 15% of the world economics, the exact numbers have yet to be calculated in the future, and they can grow. The recognized locomotives suffered the most: China, the EU and the USA. The first two are traditional markets for Russian hydrocarbons, the latter are our direct competitor. That is, oil and gas are now needed substantially less, and their price is low due to an oversupply, which inevitably leads to a tightening of the confrontation in the market.

SecondlyTherefore, taking into account the risk of sanctions by the United States is no longer against Nord Stream-2 and its contractors, but with respect to its consumers. Let us recall the sanctions against Iran: the Europeans were indignant, but in the end they backpedaled. The EU gas market is a lot of money, and Donald Trump has repeatedly proved that he is ready to firmly lobby the interests of US manufacturers. Especially now, when things are not going well for everyone.

ThirdlyWashington has a wide arsenal of tools of sanctions pressure on Russia and its energy projects. For example, Danish US allies may prevent Academician Chersky from breaking into the Baltic to work without insurance. If the ship is insured by domestic companies, and Copenhagen turns a blind eye to this, then Warsaw will come into play. Today came newsthat Poland threatens to seize the assets of Nord Stream-2 if Gazprom does not pay the $ 1,43 billion lost to the state-owned company PGNiG in the Stockholm arbitration. Then Ukraine can join in with its next claims. Unfortunately, there is no way to fix things with any “Caliber”.

In other words, it cannot be ruled out that Nord Stream 2 will indeed be put on hold for the next few years. The option that Academician will return to the Far East is not a priority, but different from zero.
29 comments
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  1. steelmaker
    steelmaker
    -2
    April 28 2020 13: 42
    Fans, like their idol, are not friends with education. I argued with one fan, just a bubble of Kazakhstan, that by the end of the year the Nord Stream-2 will not be built (only 6%). The point is not the gain and the vodka - the point is, in principle, the level of education!
    The United States will allow the completion of the SP-2, only for half the kingdom or something like that!
    1. Oyo Sarkazmi
      Oyo Sarkazmi
      +1
      April 29 2020 10: 49
      Quote: steel maker
      The United States will allow the completion of the SP-2, only for half the kingdom or something like that!

      You will make a good Indian. Though evicted in the desert, even shot on the spot - only puppy delight, the acts of the white sahib are holy!
      We, too, can only ban transit of goods and products of American oil companies, and companies with American participation, across Russian territory. And this is Central Asia and Azerbaijan cut off from the Americans. US companies and related entities will lose a couple of tens of billions per year. They will not carry their goods through Iran and Afghanistan.
      Let me remind you what anger the ex-Obama administration officials have caused by the ban on entry to Russia - and your career collapses, and your scientific activities are stopped, and the loss of business travelers to meetings with the "systemic" opposition - lured dogs ...
  2. Alexander Morgunov
    Alexander Morgunov
    +3
    April 28 2020 14: 13
    Behave as if you were wearing your pants. Set the price yourself. To Danes and Poles - for sabotage of a pipe. Hebrews - for the harm caused during the resettlement to where they are better fed, for example, in the USA. Americans for wrecking. Write down sanctions. Declare trade wars. Block counter complaints. Link your claims with their claims and sanctions. Speed ​​up the Russian Foreign Ministry. They can’t do anything, they can’t and do not want to. Get these lice! Stop standing on all fours. Greyhound. Pour in. Behave always defiantly. You can destroy them all. What are you wagging about?
    1. GRF
      GRF
      +1
      April 29 2020 07: 14
      Quote: Alexander Morgunov
      ... What are you wagging about?

      We are against such their actions, we do not like these rules. Why do we need them to assent and start playing according to their rules (greyhound, impudent, impose sanctions, squeeze money, interfere, destroy)? Wagging is changing your behavior, then, now and then. When were we insolent, borzoi? We are like that! What do you care about our lice? Why climb into our monastery with your charter, all the more insulting? So, if anyone did it, it’s Europe, which is ready to bite itself.
      On all fours are those who live by the rules that he does not like.
      You are not us, "who are you? I didn't call you" ...
  3. Igor Pavlovich
    Igor Pavlovich
    -2
    April 28 2020 14: 16
    ... no "Caliber" can fix the matter ...

    good
    1. Arkharov
      Arkharov
      -2
      April 28 2020 18: 58
      The level of thinking does not allow further. Destroy everyone, and that's it !!! It seems they don’t see another way ...
  4. hig
    hig
    0
    April 28 2020 19: 56
    Quote: steel maker
    The United States will allow the completion of the SP-2, only for half the kingdom or something like that!

    You will be offended, but NO ONE asked them, and NOT GOING TO ASK! SP-2 will be completed. Moreover, it does not matter - this year, or next! So, that, really, is not a bubble matter!
  5. alexandrmakedo
    alexandrmakedo
    +2
    April 28 2020 23: 46
    Behind any ship with the Russian flag is Russia.

    I thank the author for using my expression of patriotism.
    It was not difficult for me. My ancestors - the Ural Cossacks, served the homeland of the century.
    1. Marzhecki
      Marzhecki
      -1
      April 29 2020 08: 57
      You had a good comment, I used it in no way for some kind of ridicule or irony. The task was to show that the problem of SP-2 is much deeper than just navigating the ship to the Baltic.
      Caliber alone cannot solve such problems. Well, or they have to be very, very much and really be ready to apply, no fools.
  6. Citizen Mѣshkov
    Citizen Mѣshkov
    -2
    April 29 2020 02: 00
    They need to finish the pipe, so they are watching. They are afraid because. Looks like there in Europe, a Russian folk tale, probably read. It’s called Teremok. I will not retell everything. I can only say the main thing: everyone lived well in that tower, until the bear came. He also wanted to, but since he did not fit into the teremok, he settled on the roof, near the PIPE, it is warmer there! As a result, the teremok collapsed under the weight of a huge carcass of a bear ...
  7. monman
    monman
    -3
    April 29 2020 05: 24
    Dear Sergey!
    Your article is called “Why are the Akademik Chersky Russian vessels so closely watched,” but you still don’t understand who is following?
    I typed on Google, and only English-speaking Russian sites know a ship with that name. The whole Western world is silent, they know nothing about the ship. They are his just ignore !! Either I missed something, or Russia (or the journalist) had “megalomania”, or it was “elusive Joe, who is elusive only because nobody cares.”
    Could you give some evidence (they are not in the article) that this vessel is somehow / somehow interesting to the West?
    Please ...
    1. Marzhecki
      Marzhecki
      0
      April 29 2020 06: 57
      Quote: cmonman
      Either I missed something, or Russia (or the journalist) had “megalomania”, or it was “elusive Joe, who is elusive only because nobody cares.”
      Could you give some evidence (they are not in the article) that this vessel is somehow / somehow interesting to the West?
      Please ...

      I recommend the portal The Jamestown Foundation, now blocked in Russia. They track Chersky’s movement and make predictions on sanctions for him. Do you know what this organization is? This is an English-language segment, it will be easier for you to navigate there.
      PS In Russia, the Academician is followed by everyone who is not lazy, in the West, those who are supposed to do this at work are being watched. wink

      The Jamestown Foundation is an American non-governmental research organization founded in 1984. Originally created to work with defectors, especially from among diplomats and intellectuals, their normal socialization in American society and a prosperous life. The founders were a group of Chicago businessmen together with representatives of the intelligence community.
      The organization was founded in 1984 with the support of the CIA, as some defectors from the countries of the Soviet bloc expressed dissatisfaction with the fact that their career opportunities had worsened. The foundation was led by Washington lawyer William Geimer, in which the memoirs of Arkady Shevchenko, the plenipotentiary ambassador of the Soviet Union, who received US citizenship in 1978, were published. In addition, memoirs of Ion Pochepa, the former head of Romanian intelligence, were published.
      After the collapse of the USSR, the activity of the fund decreased, the organization issued a daily newsletter devoted to events in the post-Soviet space. Revitalization of the fund began with the advent of George W. Bush.
      1. monman
        monman
        -2
        April 29 2020 14: 00
        ... in the West, those who are supposed to do this at work are being watched.

        But if this ship should / wants to build up the missing pipe section, and where the “pipe end” is known (longitude / latitude), is it not easier to ambush there, at the end of the pipe? And then, ka-a-ak, jump / float / fall_ from the sky with a cry of A-Here-I-I (or something like that). In short, nothing is clear - why follow if it is impossible to “punish”! Nobody has been punished for simply zigzagging ... laughing
        1. Marzhecki
          Marzhecki
          0
          April 29 2020 15: 26
          Why attack him? Enough sanctions will be.
          1. monman
            monman
            -1
            April 30 2020 00: 28
            Why attack him? Enough sanctions will be.

            You want to say that if the pipelayer zigzags / tacks / backwards / under guard, then there will be no sanctions?
            Or will, but not the ship? Or turning off location signals helps get away from the submarine? I, Sergey, really want to understand, but you don’t explain why the ship is hiding and why it needs escort if it Doing nothing - just moving in the ocean, repeating Brownian motion? They themselves said “there will be sanctions”! So is this a way to get away from them now? In advance?
  8. alexandrmakedo
    alexandrmakedo
    +1
    April 29 2020 10: 01
    Quote: Marzhetsky
    You had a good comment, I used it in no way for some kind of ridicule or irony. The task was to show that the problem of SP-2 is much deeper than just navigating the ship to the Baltic.
    Caliber alone cannot solve such problems. Well, or they have to be very, very much and really be ready to apply, no fools.

    And I realized that there was no irony. Words coming from the soul cannot be interpreted otherwise. You have noticed that the "Gauges", applied in time, and suddenly, have changed the attitude towards the country, the chorus called the gas station. MAY decide. And not in mass quantities. After this incident, Russia took its rightful place.
    "Daggers", even not yet used, put another punctuation mark in the chorus of "partners!"
    1. monman
      monman
      0
      April 30 2020 00: 12
      ... that the "Gauges", applied in time, and suddenly, changed the attitude towards the country, in chorus called the gas station.

      The attitude has not changed - you flatter yourself. The name has changed - “gas station - with - calibers”. Have you read / heard Putin’s speech? About a country's carbon-dependent economy?
  9. alexandrmakedo
    alexandrmakedo
    +1
    April 29 2020 12: 57
    Quote: Citizen Mѣshkov
    They need to finish the pipe, so they are watching. They are afraid because. Looks like there in Europe, a Russian folk tale, probably read. It’s called Teremok. I will not retell everything. I can only say the main thing: everyone lived well in that tower, until the bear came. He also wanted to, but since he did not fit into the teremok, he settled on the roof, near the PIPE, it is warmer there! As a result, the teremok collapsed under the weight of a huge carcass of a bear ...

    Such towers are obtained because they are built by so many different animals. And because there is no core around which they gather and calm OWN ambitions. Any and every participant thinks to cut down for themselves convenience, without thinking about others. And in total, they substitute the other, exposing him under the draft and paws of a bear.

    The writer added an optimistic ending, following the example of a bunny who turned out to be alive. So that the small ones do not cry, especially at night.
  10. steelmaker
    steelmaker
    0
    April 29 2020 12: 59
    Oyo Sarkazmi, give an example when Russia, for the past 20 years, the USA forbade something? Yes, even in its territory! Spinner your education !?
  11. Dzafdet
    Dzafdet
    +1
    April 29 2020 17: 16
    Stop Poland supplying gas, impose sanctions, block access to our market. Bill for the liberation from the Nazis and for the death of the Red Army in the 20s. The bill for the restoration of Poland after the war ... There would be a desire ...
  12. BoBot Robot - Free Thinking Machine
    BoBot Robot - Free Thinking Machine
    -1
    April 29 2020 22: 47
    It is urgent to build the Power of Siberia-2.
    1. Arkharov
      Arkharov
      -1
      6 May 2020 17: 14
      What for? The first is not entirely clear. What to do?
  13. alexandrmakedo
    alexandrmakedo
    0
    April 30 2020 00: 29
    Quote: cmonman
    "... that" Gauges ", applied in time, and suddenly, changed the attitude towards the country, in chorus called the gas station"
    The attitude has not changed - you flatter yourself. The name has changed - “gas station - with - calibers”. Have you read / heard Putin’s speech? About a country's carbon-dependent economy?

    The export of hydrocarbons gives Russia a dough less than the export of grain and weapons.
    To measure wealth by export is to be a fool. Important set of issues that evaluate the economy. Apparently, you do not know how to do this.

    If you consider the standard position in penguin, then in vain. Compare, at least, the data on health care work with us and with them. Can I help you?

    https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html
  14. alexandrmakedo
    alexandrmakedo
    0
    April 30 2020 01: 19
    Quote: Dzafdet
    Stop Poland supplying gas, impose sanctions, block access to our market. Bill for the liberation from the Nazis and for the death of the Red Army in the 20s. The bill for the restoration of Poland after the war ... There would be a desire ...

    Optimist. Desire to eat. There are no opportunities yet. Do not enter the tanks into Warsaw, how did they enter Prague? Looking ridiculous with presenting a bill for the uprising? You do not respect your country, comrade.
    It is necessary to do all that, and only that which increases prestige. To be like lice from the Baltic states presenting us bills? Dismiss
    1. T. Hanks
      T. Hanks
      +2
      April 30 2020 14: 58
      Well, the Tribals have to be billed. Peter bought territory, not living creatures.
  15. alexandrmakedo
    alexandrmakedo
    +3
    April 30 2020 01: 22
    Quote: BoBot Robot - Free Thinking Machine
    It is urgent to build the Power of Siberia-2.

    This is not an option. All this is aimed at exporting energy. This is a cheap item. It is necessary to rebuild the industry, the production of expensive goods - electrical engineering, electronics, engineering, shipbuilding, aircraft manufacturing, computers, microprocessor-based components, and all this is at the most modern level.
    1. Marzhecki
      Marzhecki
      0
      April 30 2020 08: 32
      Quote: aleksandrmakedo
      It is necessary to rebuild the industry, the production of expensive goods - electrical engineering, electronics, engineering, shipbuilding, aircraft manufacturing, computers, microprocessor-based components, and all this is at the most modern level.

      Yes it is. But why the team, which has been in power for 20 years, did not do this, but built pipes?
  16. alexandrmakedo
    alexandrmakedo
    0
    April 30 2020 10: 41
    Quote: Marzhetsky
    Quote: aleksandrmakedo
    It is necessary to rebuild the industry, the production of expensive goods - electrical engineering, electronics, engineering, shipbuilding, aircraft manufacturing, computers, microprocessor-based components, and all this is at the most modern level.

    Yes it is. But why the team, which has been in power for 20 years, did not do this, but built pipes?

    The collapse of the USSR destroyed almost the entire industry of the country. And this was due to the closed economy, low prices for everything, when gasoline was cheaper than soda, not a single designer would puzzle over the efficiency of the engine. Therefore, our Ural 375 ate 80 liters of gas per 100 km. You’ll break your head a hundred times, and the economical effect of working for the year of this new miracle fits in your jacket pocket. If gas cost 4 kopecks per cubic meter, it would never occur to anyone to conduct thousands of km of pipes in the country. To gasify remote not very small cities, such work will never pay off. The planned distribution of everything guaranteed that any product would be purchased.
    Hence, why rush after the advanced countries when the future is secured for centuries. Example: For my work (23 years) in the SKB plant, we have consistently removed from production and replaced 5 generations of the same type of product. The first cost 49 rubles, the last 875 rubles. And this is BEFORE perestroika. The functions performed are the same. Ask - HOW? Just. Institutions need to push their work into industry. Every year we gnawed the products, reducing the metal consumption, labor intensity and introducing "modern" profiles, led to the fact that there was nothing to remove further. And how to carry out all these innovative plans further? For non-fulfillment .... Therefore, the old product was removed, the new one was put into production. Do you think the buyers were against it? Not at all. They put new products into their technical and financial plans and received justifications for increasing funding. Everyone agreed. Therefore, the denomination of money was carried out periodically. Isn't this confusion the same as INFLATION? We spent 5 times more energy per kilogram of products than the damned, and 10 times more raw materials.
    And so, there are no borders. Raw materials, energy, goods without border protection. Cheap materials SHIPPED take abroad. Good ones poured into the country (not the most, of course, we had no money for the wonderful ones to buy Sharpe and Panasonic), goods. Which were better and cheaper than our Tempos and Horizons.
    To do something at the LEVEL, you need a complete replacement of production. Who will make us free? State? And where did he get the money from, there is no production, no salaries, no taxes, nothing to support the army, police, civil servants, doctors, teachers, pensioners. Now the situation has changed a lot? Then why such questions?
  17. steelmaker
    steelmaker
    0
    3 May 2020 12: 57
    If gas cost 4 kopecks per cubic meter, it would never occur to anyone to conduct thousands of km of pipes in the country.

    If you follow your logic - if electricity cost 2 kopecks, why build power plants? And when gasoline costs 8 kopecks, the state can afford to build engines of 80 liters per 100 km!