Russian economy goes back to the "nineties"


Apparently, Russia is once again returning to the "nineties." A barrel of oil costs, as in 1998, the ruble is devaluing, people in the troubled Caucasus are starting to go out with peaceful protests, the authorities are conducting a very dubious legal experiment to control society with “pseudo-quarantine” (“self-isolation”).


Is everything repeated again, and what will happen to the Motherland and to us?

So far, everything is going to ensure that we will live "badly, but not for long." Nursing Oil Demonstrates New Anti-Records. The North American grade WTI the day before on the exchange was minus $ 37,63 per barrel, Brent futures - 19,32, our Urals was selling for 19,32 dollars per barrel. Given that the federal budget of the Russian Federation is imposed based on the cost of oil at $ 42, a financial hole takes on frightening proportions. According to preliminary estimates, the budget deficit could reach 5,6 trillion rubles by the end of the year.

This means only one thing - state spending will be capitally cut. Already now you can find an estimate of the upcoming sequestration of at least 30%. Further devaluation of the ruble is inevitable. Now it is artificially supported by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation afloat by selling foreign currency, but this cannot continue indefinitely. The “stash” of the NWF, which is customary to rely on, is only $ 120 billion, which is not so much. The gold and foreign exchange reserves of the Central Bank itself are estimated at another 450 billion dollars.

It is clear that nobody will merge them to zero. Most likely, the regulator will maintain a psychologically comfortable exchange rate of the Russian national currency until the May holidays, and after the ruble will begin to rapidly fall in price against the “American”. Different numbers are called: 80, 100, 120, and even 150 rubles per dollar. In order to prevent the fall of its currency by a three-digit value, Russia, most likely, will have to go into debt. It is customary for us to flaunt a low size of public debt in relation to GDP, this may soon change.

Key factors that negatively affect domestic the economy, it’s a coronavirus pandemic and its associated low oil prices. When the coronavirus will be defeated everywhere, it is unclear. Because of this, all indicators of industrial production, business activity and consumer demand dipped. The world market is overstocked by oil due to the trade war between Saudi Arabia and Russia. At least the next couple of years will be marked by extremely low quotes of "black gold".

The attempt to get everyone out of this hole together with the new OPEC + agreement frankly failed. Apparently, now everyone will be saved as he can. For example, lobbyists of American shale oil producers stubbornly offer President Trump to impose sanctions against their competitors, Russian exporters. But there is another option that does not imply a direct conflict between Washington and the Kremlin on an extremely sensitive issue. In early April, Donald Trump warned that he could introduce “very substantial duties” on imported oil:

We are now independent, we have our own oil. And if duties were introduced, we would essentially say: We do not want foreign oil, no foreign oil, we will just use our own. And that would help save the [American oil industry] industry.

The script is quite working. So the United States will be able to support its oil industry workers, while at the same time again pushing Riyadh and Moscow against their foreheads. This is obvious, since Saudi Arabia will then begin the second stage of the “oil war” with Russia over the markets of Europe and Asia, increasing dumping. How much patience and reserves will the Kremlin have this time?
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  1. Oleg Rambover Online
    Oleg Rambover (Oleg Rambover) April 24 2020 11: 36
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    Apparently, Russia is once again returning to the "nineties." ...., the authorities are conducting a very questionable experiment from the legal point of view to control society with “pseudo-quarantine” (“self-isolation”).

    What did I miss? When in the "nineties" conducted a similar experiment?
    1. Timka Offline
      Timka (Timka) April 24 2020 12: 17
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      I remember how in 1998 the ruble collapsed and whoever managed to buy bucks did not lose. Therefore, now it is necessary to take deposits from banks and buy currency until it jumps even higher. Well, and whoever has several million in the account, I advise you to buy an apartment, for example, real estate is always in price. But most Russians have nothing to worry about; they have no savings at all.
      1. Digital error Offline
        Digital error (Eugene) April 24 2020 13: 23
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        Quote: Timka
        Now you need to take deposits from banks and buy currency

        Can and "adjust" -

        The Central Bank in order to maintain the ruble may introduce restrictions on the purchase of foreign currency by the population, said the head of the Center for Legal Support of the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Natalia Zalyubovskaya.

        - quote from the Rambler.
    2. Marzhecki Offline
      Marzhecki (Sergei) April 24 2020 12: 27
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      It was a comma separated.
      In the nineties, there was an interesting legal experiment with the shooting of tanks of the White House and the adoption of the Yeltsin Constitution, which everyone now scolds.
      By a curious coincidence, we are now also experimenting with the Constitution: they either rewrite or simply ignore it, introducing an unresolved "self-isolation" instead of the emergency regime.
      1. Vladimir_ Voronov (Vladimir) April 24 2020 12: 56
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        Nothing changes, paradise gardens are everywhere, and only in Russia everything is bad. Change the record, or if it’s so good there, what you Marzhetsky are doing to make it feel good here. Your alarmist articles do not improve the situation. Try to be objective, you sometimes succeed.
        1. Marzhecki Offline
          Marzhecki (Sergei) April 24 2020 12: 58
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          First of all, Voronov, you promised not to write comments under my articles. Your word, presumably, is worth nothing?
          Secondly, I am doing my job in my place. The fact that your consciousness reacts to them inappropriately is your personal difficulties.
          1. Vladimir_ Voronov (Vladimir) April 24 2020 14: 24
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            What are you offended, Marzhetsky? What you were told about the lack of objectivity in the article? So you yourself understand this, and I'm right. Apply comparative analysis - this is the basic principle of knowledge.
            1. No need to water the country in which you live.
            2. If I stop writing to you, who will tell you that you are doing a poor job? So endure, or change jobs.
            1. Marzhecki Offline
              Marzhecki (Sergei) April 24 2020 14: 48
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              I was not offended at anything. I already realized that people of your kind should not be offended ...
              First, I pointed out that your word is worthless. And that is a fact.
              Secondly, if you do not understand, the work of journalists is to collect, analyze and disseminate information. If you do not like the reality in which you live, your claims are not addressed. Not me, if anything, fail project by project, substituting the country for money.
              As a journalist, I faithfully carry out my work. If you like the cheers-patriotic coverage of our realities and inadequate conclusions with forecasts, you are simply not at the right place. Mass propagandists, read them.
              And do not confuse "dousing" with an objective assessment of reality.
              All to you of what you deserve.
              1. Vladimir_ Voronov (Vladimir) April 24 2020 15: 03
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                an experiment to control a society with “pseudo-quarantine” (“self-isolation”)

                This is your objectivity. So convince the readers, sign up for volunteers and the sick, and then tell, if you stay alive, about the essence of the experiment from the inside.
                1. Marzhecki Offline
                  Marzhecki (Sergei) April 24 2020 16: 57
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                  I am a person with two higher educations, journalistic and legal. In this case, I look like a lawyer. I did not quite understand why you poked me in a quote from my article, as an indicator of a kind of bias? We legally do not have quarantine, so the word is in quotation marks.
                  I recommend that you follow your own advice and sign up for volunteers yourself. And do not let climb with your comments that you do not understand at all.
              2. 123 Offline
                123 (123) April 24 2020 17: 44
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                if you do not understand, the work of journalists is to collect, analyze and disseminate information.

                I'm afraid you are not quite right in representing the essence of what has been said, at least in relation to one of the components. With the second problem. yes Analyzes in this context are not what they hand over to the laboratory in a box.
                1. Marzhecki Offline
                  Marzhecki (Sergei) April 25 2020 07: 56
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                  You go to the bath, Mr. Troll, with your base rudeness.
                  With such comments, you and your accomplices very well demonstrate their unsightly essence. negative
                  1. 123 Offline
                    123 (123) April 25 2020 08: 05
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                    you go to the bath, Mr. Troll, with your base rudeness.

                    We do not have gentlemen, in the seventeenth they were transferred.

                    with such comments you and your accomplices very well demonstrate their unsightly essence.

                    You can add this phrase after each article. Say, who did not like and who disagrees with me, those .... and further on. sad
                    Hello not to "recognized geniuses." hi
          2. 123 Offline
            123 (123) April 24 2020 17: 38
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            I am doing my job in my place. The fact that your consciousness reacts to them inappropriately is your personal difficulties.

            Another "unrecognized genius" who was unlucky with the people? winked
            1. Marzhecki Offline
              Marzhecki (Sergei) April 24 2020 17: 41
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              Quote: 123
              I am doing my job in my place. The fact that your consciousness reacts to them inappropriately is your personal difficulties.

              Another "unrecognized genius" who was unlucky with the people? winked

              You don’t speak for the people. smile You are an ordinary troll on a salary.
              1. 123 Offline
                123 (123) April 24 2020 17: 52
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                You don’t speak for the people.

                And I'm not trying, the people voiced their opinion. yes Read the comments, only the lazy in the article did not blow his nose. winked

                You are an ordinary troll on a salary.

                If paid for it, it would be great. good
                1. Marzhecki Offline
                  Marzhecki (Sergei) April 25 2020 07: 44
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                  Those 5-6 of your usual sing along, this is not the people. wink As for blowing, this is a very true assessment of the quality of their comments. good
                  1. 123 Offline
                    123 (123) April 25 2020 08: 00
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                    Are you still trying to joke? belay Is this a claim to a sense of humor? what

                    those 5-6 of your usual sing along, these are not people.

                    I don’t have any singing along, everyone thinks individually. But if 5-6 people have developed approximately the same attitude towards your "masterpieces", I recommend thinking. yes

                    and about blowing out - this is a very true assessment of the quality of their comments

                    Your conclusions do not deserve another. request
      2. Digital error Offline
        Digital error (Eugene) April 24 2020 13: 17
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        Quote: Marzhetsky
        the Yeltsin Constitution, which everyone now scolds

        Who scolds - who stands for her new edition? Well, the people there are famous, one Klishas is worth ...
      3. Oyo Sarkazmi Offline
        Oyo Sarkazmi (Oyo Sarkazmi) April 24 2020 21: 31
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        Quote: Marzhetsky
        In the nineties, there was an interesting legal experiment with the shooting of tanks of the White House and the adoption of the Yeltsin Constitution, which everyone now scolds.

        And note, "the whole world" approved this execution. Since the wrong Russian Indians rebelled against the obedient leader of the Russian-skinned. And then even a special sport appeared: "come to Russia for a month and become a millionaire!"
        And now, one cannot see the crowds of airplanes in Sheremetyevo, on which American consultant officials arrive to receive millions of fees for advice.
        By shooting the Russian peacekeepers in South Ossetia, the Americans ruined the attitude of the Russian Indians to themselves. And Putin is no longer a leader, but a president.
  2. gorenina91 Offline
    gorenina91 (Irina) April 24 2020 12: 14
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    Russian economy goes back to the "nineties"

    - Yes, it’s coming back ... - Obviously, regularly recurring monetary reforms will begin very soon ... - And the money will begin to change every year and a half ...
    - What can you do if today Russia cannot deal with that; that the coronavirus epidemic is the reason for the fall in oil prices; ... or vice versa - a drop in oil prices - this is the cause of the coronavirus epidemic ...
    - And no one in Russia (the leadership, the ruling oligarchs) comes to mind that
    - that on the one hand ..... there is no such state that completely subordinates itself to the neighboring state of China; educated and tuned all of its Russian population (and more than one generation) so that this population takes for granted that all products (from needles, thermometers, children's toys, all kinds of consumer goods and household products, etc. ... - up to all kinds of construction equipment, heavy cranes, mini tractors, office equipment (computers, laptops), cell phones, various operating programs for servicing this office equipment, batteries and micro batteries, etc. etc. .... .... In a word, absolutely everything that is used by but not one generation of Russia is already convinced that this is how it should be; and many have already begun to believe that the Russians simply are not able to do it all themselves ...- Yes, many in Russia began to believe that the Russians it’s simply not enough of their brains for this ..- among Russian youth there are already many of those .. - And young people think that Russians (“Russian” is a conventional term) today simply pretend to be “business people” - “businessmen”, “entrepreneurs” .. . - but in reality - these are inveterate scammers, such as "Chubais", "Vekselbergs", "Usmanovs", "Ale feather "," Rogozin "," Elvira ", etc ....- And it's cool .... - be it so, and all the" throw on the headstock "...
    - And on the other hand - there is no such state that so unconditionally supporting everything in the same neighboring China ...- gives it its results of past achievements in science and technology; gives up its natural resources and at the same time creates all the conditions and reasons for all subsequent Russian generations to have to do the same ... - Yes .... and all subsequent generations will have to continue to play the role of inhabitants of the colonial state .. ..
    - Today, this "moment of truth" has arrived ... - On the threshold ... again the "nineties" ... of the last century ... - Yes, because it could not be otherwise ... - And the epidemic of coronavirus and the drop in oil prices ...- just made it obvious .....
  3. Digital error Offline
    Digital error (Eugene) April 24 2020 13: 08
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    The “nest egg” of the NWF, which is customary to count on, is only 120 billion rubles

    Probably, you didn’t mean rubles, but US dollars?
    According to the NWF itself, as of March 01, 2020, its volume amounted to 8249 billion rubles, even after the purchase of Sberbank it decreased by 2139 billion.

    https://www.minfin.ru/ru/perfomance/nationalwealthfund/statistics/

    https://www.rbc.ru/finances/10/04/2020/5e9034059a79479f4c2ff9a0

    When the coronavirus will be defeated everywhere, it is unclear

    The main question is whether the next new virus will inevitably come - will the Russian economy also depend on oil exports or is it time to move from thinking to creating new high-tech industries in which "25 million new jobs" will finally be created?
    1. Marzhecki Offline
      Marzhecki (Sergei) April 24 2020 13: 50
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      Quote: DigitalError
      Probably, you didn’t mean rubles, but US dollars?

      Yes, a typo. Thanks.
      As for 25 million high-paying jobs, this task was partially completed.
      Some of us really receive a million rubles or more per day, mow down billions of dollars and are not responsible for anything. wink The trouble is that there are very few such jobs created.
  4. Nick Offline
    Nick (Nikolai) April 24 2020 14: 17
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    So far, everything is going to ensure that we will live "badly, but not for long." Nursing Oil Demonstrates New Anti-Records. North American grade WTI the day before on the exchange was minus $ 37,63 per barrel, Brent futures - 19,32, our Urals sold for $ 19,32 per barrel. Given that the federal budget of the Russian Federation is imposed based on the cost of oil at $ 42, a financial hole takes on frightening proportions. According to preliminary estimates, the budget deficit could reach 5,6 trillion rubles by the end of the year.

    Come on, stop bullying everyone.
    The oilwoman fills the state budget by 20%. Well, it will fill at 10% Absolutely not critical. Stop scaring yourself already. Yes, the economy is in crisis, but not Russian, but the entire world economy. Absolutely lose everything! It is important here who will get out of the crisis with less losses. Russia has great chances. The agro-industry will feed everyone - it can now feed not only Russia. The NWF and gold reserves have accumulated a financial airbag of $ 700 billion. Unemployment in Russia on April 15, 745 thousand people, according to unofficial data - 3,7 million people. According to unofficial data, this makes up only 4,8% of the total able-bodied population of Russia. Meanwhile, in the United States since February of this year, 26 million new unemployed appeared, and the total number exceeded 33 million. Unemployment in the United States is already close to the level of the Great Depression of the early 30s in the United States. Then, at the peak, unemployment was 25%, and now in the US it has already reached 21%. Add here 25 trillion US government debt, and the picture will become clear.
    Yes, the global economic crisis will affect everyone, but Russia will suffer much less than other “hegemons”.
    1. Marzhecki Offline
      Marzhecki (Sergei) April 24 2020 14: 50
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      Quote: Nick
      Come on, stop bullying everyone.
      The oilwoman fills the state budget by 20%. Well, it will fill at 10% Absolutely not critical. Stop scaring yourself already. Yes, the economy is in crisis, but not Russian, but the entire world economy. Absolutely lose everything!

      Who scares you? If you think that everything is OK, your right. If you like to appeal to what is bad for others, well, let it be on your conscience.
      PS Gas revenues are directly related to the oil industry, but you, of course, left this out of the blue. wink
    2. Rusa Offline
      Rusa April 24 2020 16: 44
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      Nick, you are mistaken.
      Revenues to the state budget from oil and gas account for 46%, and the share of oil and gas in exports over the past year, including other mineral resources, is 62,3%.
      Agricultural exports are a penny compared to oil and gas. In the structure of the Russian economy, the service sector is 70%. Due to what the Russian government is going to replenish the state. budget and get out of a crisis that will be long, as Reshetnikov said.
      I believe that only through reindustrialization. Moreover, the faster the Russian Federation starts, the better it will be for her. For your information, in 2008 Russia suffered the most from the crisis in the world. For a long time it was necessary to get off the oil and gas needle, but our state is numb.
      1. Marzhecki Offline
        Marzhecki (Sergei) April 24 2020 17: 05
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        Thanks for the adequate comment.
      2. Nick Offline
        Nick (Nikolai) April 24 2020 18: 45
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        Quote: Rusa
        Revenues to the state budget from oil and gas account for 46%,

        Oil and gas revenues in the structure of the federal part of the budget in 2019 amounted to 40,6%, in the structure of regional and municipal budgets about 1%. It is learned that the share of oil and gas revenues in the state consolidated budget is 21-22 percent maximum. You simply confuse the federal part of the budget with the consolidated budget, and it is twice as large as its federal part.
      3. Nick Offline
        Nick (Nikolai) April 24 2020 19: 15
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        Quote: Rusa
        Agricultural exports are a penny compared to oil and gas. In the structure of the Russian economy, the service sector is 70%. Due to what the Russian government is going to replenish the state. budget

        The share of the real sector in the structure of Russia's GDP is about 43%, so the service sector cannot be 70, well, just nothing. This is in the United States services account for 80%, here they kirdyk.
        1. Rusa Offline
          Rusa April 24 2020 21: 34
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          This is not about GDP, but the structure of the economy, where the service sector is 70%. The United States for export, unlike the Russian Federation, sells aircraft, machinery and equipment, automobiles, electronics, medicines, etc.
          Now Trump raises the question to completely abandon the purchase of oil on foreign markets, because his own is enough. So who will be the first “kirdyk” is a big question. The Russian economy didn’t stand close to the United States, the GDP of the Russian Federation was in the 12th position in the world, and the United States in the 1st.
          1. Nick Offline
            Nick (Nikolai) April 24 2020 22: 07
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            Quote: Rusa
            This is not about GDP, but the structure of the economy

            I was not talking about GDP, but about the structure of GDP, but judging by your posts, it makes no difference to you.

            Quote: Rusa
            So who will be the first “kirdyk” is a big question.
            The Russian economy didn’t stand close to the United States, the GDP of the Russian Federation was in the 12th position in the world, and the United States in the 1st.

            According to the calculations of the famous economist M. Khazin, the real volume of the US economy is $ 14 trillion, and the real volume of the Russian economy is about $ 8 trillion. And to draw out inflated numbers - not toss bags.

            Quote: Rusa
            US exports, unlike the Russian Federation, sell aircraft, cars and
            equipment, cars, electronics, medicines, etc.

            All the same is sold by Russia, and also, like the United States, oil and gas.
          2. Oyo Sarkazmi Offline
            Oyo Sarkazmi (Oyo Sarkazmi) April 25 2020 09: 37
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            Quote: Rusa
            The United States for export, unlike the Russian Federation, sells aircraft, machinery and equipment, automobiles, electronics, medicines, etc.

            Gee-gee-gee. The main US exports are food and weapons. Well, airplanes, but they are few. The rest of the above is the United States buying. From electronics - only processors do. Televisions, Phones, Computers - Korea, China, Taiwan. Medicines - India.
            No wonder the United States has the largest trade deficit, and they dream of becoming a European-Chinese gas station. Yes, this dream has come true.
            1. Rusa Offline
              Rusa April 25 2020 22: 46
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              Russian exports in dollars for 2018, total 452,1 billion, including:

              Crude oil - 129,0 billion
              Petroleum products - 78,1 billion
              Natural gas - 49,1 billion
              Diesel - 33,1 billion
              Machinery and equipment - 28,0 billion
              Ferrous metals - 23,3 billion
              Coal - 17,0 billion
              Wheat and Meslin - 8,4 billion
              Forest and materials - 5,9 billion
              Aluminum - 5,3 billion
              Cars - 1,5 billion
              And so on ...

              Consequently, the Russian economy is very dependent on oil and gas.
              1. Nick Offline
                Nick (Nikolai) April 27 2020 21: 58
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                Quote: Rusa
                Russian exports in dollars for 2018, total 452,1 billion, including:

                Crude oil - 129,0 billion
                Petroleum products - 78,1 billion
                Natural gas - 49,1 billion
                Diesel - 33,1 billion
                Machinery and equipment - 28,0 billion
                Ferrous metals - 23,3 billion
                Coal - 17,0 billion
                Wheat and Meslin - 8,4 billion
                Forest and materials - 5,9 billion
                Aluminum - 5,3 billion
                Cars - 1,5 billion
                And so on ...

                Consequently, the Russian economy is very dependent on oil and gas.

                What does the export article and the dependence of the economy on oil and gas. The total share of the oil and gas industry in the production of goods and services in 2019 amounted to only 7,2%, therefore, the Russian economy depends on oil and gas by 7,2%.
                Do not confuse soft with warm. Do not confuse the volume and structure of Russia's exports with the volume and structure of the Russian economy.
      4. Oyo Sarkazmi Offline
        Oyo Sarkazmi (Oyo Sarkazmi) April 25 2020 09: 30
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        Quote: Rusa
        Revenues in state. the budget for oil and gas is 46%

        Oil and gas exports total $ 30 billion. The sales tax on Internet traffic is three times more.
        You stayed in 1998. Go through the firmware update.
        1. Rusa Offline
          Rusa April 25 2020 22: 59
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          Oil and gas export data are given to you, read.
          $ 30 billion is bullshit.
    3. Digital error Offline
      Digital error (Eugene) April 24 2020 18: 26
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      Quote: Nick
      The oilwoman fills the state budget by 20%

      Then explain - why is the budget layout based on the price of a barrel?
      1. Nick Offline
        Nick (Nikolai) April 24 2020 19: 18
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        Quote: DigitalError
        Quote: Nick
        The oilwoman fills the state budget by 20%

        Then explain - why is the budget layout based on the price of a barrel?

        The budget is imposed on the basis of income and necessary expenses. All income and expenses, not only oil and gas revenues, are taken into account.
  5. kriten Offline
    kriten (Vladimir) April 24 2020 15: 39
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    The author can only be advised not to write that he does not understand well, but it is better not to write at all. Do not litter the air with such frank garbage.
    1. Marzhecki Offline
      Marzhecki (Sergei) April 24 2020 16: 58
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      And you there too? And will there be any arguments or just walked by and decided to "kick" for the company?
    2. Marzhecki Offline
      Marzhecki (Sergei) April 24 2020 17: 24
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      If you think that I don’t understand something, but you understand better, no one forbids you to paint it in detail and with reason. And, sorry, who are you to authoritatively determine what is garbage and what is not garbage?
      If you are not ready to do this, then perhaps it is not worth rushing to make such statements regarding personally unfamiliar people?
  6. 123 Offline
    123 (123) April 24 2020 17: 34
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    We are now independent, we have our own oil. And if duties were introduced, we would essentially say: We do not want foreign oil, no foreign oil, we will just use our own. And that would help save the [American oil industry] industry.

    The script is really working. yes This is a great solution. good As soon as Trump introduces duties, the American shale industry begins to work on the domestic market, the price rises to say $ 50-60, while its export is automatically reset. Russia and Saudi Arabia share the rest of the market, the price is about 35-40 dollars. The problem is solved, shale oil was removed from the market, enough for two places. Everyone is happy. drinks
    Donald Fedorovich, burn. yes
    PS I don’t see the point of commenting on the whole article; I don’t feel like repeating the same “proprietary” author's theses. no
    1. Marzhecki Offline
      Marzhecki (Sergei) April 24 2020 17: 42
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      Quote: 123
      PS I don’t see the point of commenting on the whole article; I don’t feel like repeating the same “proprietary” author's theses.

      Thank you from the bottom of my heart. wink
    2. Rusa Offline
      Rusa April 24 2020 22: 02
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      For 123.
      Despite the conclusion of the OPEC + deal, Saudi Arabia continues to dump prices, creating unprecedented preferential benefits for oil buyers. Especially those that were previously clients of Russian companies. In addition, Riyadh is buying up shares of large oil and gas companies in Europe. As a result, Russia is not only forced to reduce production, but also to fight with Riyadh for a place in European markets.
      For example, Poland said it would give up Russian oil and would buy it from the Saudis.
      1. 123 Offline
        123 (123) April 24 2020 23: 06
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        Despite the conclusion of the OPEC + deal, Saudi Arabia continues
        dumping prices creates unprecedented preferential benefits for
        oil buyers.

        And where do they go? It is necessary to attach the cargo of tankers somewhere while they just hang out at sea. And if Trump begins to push the arriving tankers from their shore with a hook, they will also send them to Europe, at least partially.

        Especially those that were previously clients of Russian companies.

        What does “especially for former Russian customers” mean? Is this your assumption or is there specific data? The Saudis are ready to shake off any excess oil.

        In addition, Riyadh is buying up shares of large oil and gas companies in Europe.

        Are there any specific data? Which companies? How much in percentage? It’s not enough to buy stocks, to refocus the company on the processing of another type of oil - the process is expensive and not fast.

        As a result, Russia is not only forced to reduce production, but also to fight with Riyadh for a place in European markets.

        As a result, everyone is forced to reduce production and fight for market share. But this is due to a slowdown in the economy and an oversupply of oil in the market, and not because Saudis are buying up shares in companies.

        For example, Poland said it would give up Russian oil and would buy it from the Saudis.

        Poland can declare anything, including the purchase of oil from the Martians. In reality, 80% of the oil is piped from Russia. As for the new purchases, I would also take the opportunity in their place, try to free all the holds with free oil to fill the eyeballs.
        PS The general message of the comment is not entirely clear. no Some kind of understatement. Listed events. The Saudis dump, buy stocks in Europe, the Poles grab a freebie. What conclusion?
      2. Oyo Sarkazmi Offline
        Oyo Sarkazmi (Oyo Sarkazmi) April 25 2020 09: 49
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        Quote: Rusa
        Russia is not only forced to reduce production, but also to fight with Riyadh for a place in European markets.

        Reduce production all. Begin to close platforms in the Gulf of Mexico. Obviously not Russian platforms.
        And it may turn out that after the crisis Europe will not need oil at all. Neither Russian, nor Saudi, nor Norwegian. But we can turn the flow to China. Because we border it, and the population there is like the United States, Europe and Russia, combined. And the price of 100 yuan per barrel is fine for us, while KSA take out and put down the dollars, and 80 per barrel.
  7. Serge Tixiy Offline
    Serge Tixiy (Serge Tixiy) April 25 2020 07: 28
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    Author, you rave! The reason for the economic mess in the 90s is completely different, it was caused by the collapse of the USSR, a spontaneous unregulated transition from state to private property, with all the consequences. Now we are dealing with worsening economic indicators, caused primarily by the global economic crisis, US trade wars, sanctions and the incomprehensible indistinct so-called "epidemic". This does not affect the structure of the economy ... It’s not enough good, but the 90s is too much, it looks like the panic of an intellectual "everything is gone !!!!!!!!!!!!!"
  8. Marzhecki Offline
    Marzhecki (Sergei) April 25 2020 07: 37
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    Quote: Serge Tixiy
    Author, you rave!

    Maybe you won’t give out diagnoses here? And who is right, you will see soon.
    1. Oyo Sarkazmi Offline
      Oyo Sarkazmi (Oyo Sarkazmi) April 25 2020 09: 53
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      Who is wrong, that lion!
      However, you also generate an information field of world significance based on the ship’s maneuvers in the Bay of Biscay. Apocalyptic besides. wink
  9. Badger Offline
    Badger (Dmitriy) 1 May 2020 10: 13
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    The author is a panicist, "the mustache is gone." After reading, one gets the feeling - you have to give up until you are beaten.
    We’ll not break through the 41st!