What awaits the Russian economy after the pandemic

26

Russian the economy the negative consequences caused by the ongoing epidemic of coronavirus and the collapse of oil prices cannot be avoided.

As follows from the analytical note of the Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting (CMAKP), further development of the situation in the country's economy can go either constructively or in a tough way.



According to experts, in any case, a severe recession with consequences in the form of rising poverty and unemployment in Russia is already guaranteed.

Here is what the authors of the document themselves write:

For our country, because of the very “ideality” of the economic storm — a combination of “quarantine shock” with stopping entire business sectors in large cities and a sharp drop in “oil revenues” - the crisis may turn out to be much more serious than for the world as a whole.


According to the note, a constructive option is possible if the government gives priority to reducing unemployment, supporting household incomes, investment activity and the ruble and curbing inflation.

In this case, it will be possible to control the fall in GDP over the period 2020–2021, and by 2022 achieve an increase of 0,6–1%.

The lack of active state support will push the Russian economy towards a “tough” scenario, in which the fall in GDP will reach 3,3% this year, with all the ensuing consequences.

Recall that the possibility of providing “tax holidays” for business and a temporary moratorium on bankruptcy of enterprises is currently being considered.
  • DamiRRR/wikipedia.org
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26 comments
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  1. 69
    -4
    April 5 2020 14: 14
    Out of the seasonal epidemic, another type of flu, they have raised world panic, for what?

    Suffer in isolation without beer and show-offs.
    The worst coronavirus is lawlessness cops.
  2. +2
    April 5 2020 14: 52
    On self-isolation I watched the film "Kalashnikov." A guy with seven grades of education, with his idea of ​​an automaton, he turned to everyone. And everywhere, after listening to him, they were given the opportunity to WORK. But because the bosses were also competent specialists, and they understood what they were leading. And now? There are officials in the government. who only know how to divide and take away. They don't know any other actions in mathematics! And so at all levels. You don't need brains to lead this way, it is enough not to have CONSCIENCE!
    1. -1
      April 6 2020 08: 45
      Stalin of Russia is again NECESSARY .... it is necessary to clear Russia of liberals-loafers ....
      1. +1
        April 7 2020 11: 32
        Stalin ruled under capitalism?
  3. -1
    April 5 2020 15: 18
    The Russian economy will not be able to avoid the negative consequences caused by the ongoing epidemic of coronavirus and a collapse in oil prices.

    The depth of thought is amazing. Does someone say otherwise? Are there countries in the world or a country that can avoid this?
  4. The comment was deleted.
  5. 69
    0
    April 5 2020 15: 55
    Quote: Arkharov
    I'm afraid the 4-letter word ends in a.

    This is the favorite word of liberds. I hope this will be the last thing this shobla sees in his worthless life.
    1. Rus
      -1
      April 6 2020 23: 50
      Pose 69 as always))))
      1. -1
        April 7 2020 10: 10
        You have too high an opinion of yourself.
  6. The comment was deleted.
  7. -1
    April 5 2020 18: 06
    Work is waiting ...
    1. -3
      April 5 2020 21: 09
      This is someone like that.
      1. -1
        April 7 2020 12: 02
        Obviously not argali.
  8. -2
    April 5 2020 19: 05
    Regular squeals: Chef, it's all gone!
  9. -1
    April 6 2020 08: 42
    Now there is no alternative to self-isolation. States before the epidemic were without a fence, without a gate. Everything. Many thousands want to return to their homeland. Not because nostalgia spoke in them, but because it turned out to be safer here. All epidemics primarily affect people with defects. And healthy people are already infected from them. This is a religious and secular axiom.
  10. -1
    April 6 2020 08: 43
    This is another lament of the Russian liberals ...
    In fact, EVERYTHING is being built in Russia ... and factories, and bridges, and new equipment ....
    Significant economic growth awaits Russia, the foundations are being laid now - only the blind can not see this ...
    And it seems to Russian liberal loafers and all kinds of experts that Russia is over because they don’t want to WORK, but they want someone to bring them something to eat for their useless chatter .. and they will continue to continue to Russia ..
    It’s time for Putin to kick them out of Russia, like Khodorkovsky and other liberal trash ...
    From this in Russia it would become cleaner and breathe freer and easier.
    1. +1
      April 7 2020 10: 07
      This groan in the fascobcom is called a song.
  11. Rus
    -1
    April 6 2020 23: 52
    It will not affect us. The middle class, we have 70%, well, it will be 60, so what, survive!
    1. -1
      April 7 2020 10: 08
      Yes, grants are unlikely to reduce you.
  12. -1
    April 7 2020 10: 06
    Are hamsters already on Bolotnaya?
    1. Rus
      -1
      April 7 2020 10: 33
      This is a quote from the president! Do you doubt the words of Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin? 17 thousand a month you are the middle class! And such 70%. But what if it was voiced on federal channels, then they also receive grants? Oh you...
      1. -1
        April 7 2020 10: 39
        This, liberals, does not allow doubt in the words of the owner, but for us doubts are a normal, natural thing, like criticism.
        1. Rus
          -1
          April 7 2020 10: 47
          Do not doubt the words! As you said to the Boss)))))
          1. -1
            April 7 2020 12: 03
            For me, your master is six.
            1. The comment was deleted.
            2. Rus
              -2
              April 7 2020 12: 24
              My (compelled and purely theoretical master) Putin Vladimir Vladimirovich! If you have it in ?????? You're not a lieutenant for sure.
              1. -1
                April 7 2020 13: 50
                If the host reads your post, goodbye cookies.
            3. +1
              April 7 2020 17: 48
              And who is your boss, if nobody is popularly elected by the majority of Russian citizens in an open election for you ....
              Is there another Russian leader in Russia that has such trust in the Russian people and such authority? ... Call me?
              Therefore, Putin will be the leader of Russia for a long time - he is at his post and does everything correctly, efficiently and to the benefit of Russia and its people.
  13. +1
    April 7 2020 17: 51
    ... if the government gives priority to reducing unemployment, supporting household incomes, investment activity and the ruble and curbing inflation.

    - this will not happen because in a critical situation the state supports the main parasites and their relatives abroad. The virus was brought and spread by those whom they support, from our pockets and at our expense. No one will add to the account of local citizens who have been thrown into terrible conditions of survival, because no one needs us in our own state. The directors and officials believed that they did not need the population and rely on wild visitors who, worse than cockroaches, bring dirt and infection to the Russian Federation. Cities are in quarantine, and these savages burst into the apartments of citizens for water and raise garbage and dust, like, janitors, laughingly arguing that "they are in quarantine," and these zootopia do not know anything civilized and sanitary-epidemiological in principle. And then the officials talk about the quality of the measures that themselves provoke the infection by the massive injection of uncontrolled boors into the cities. The collapse of the economy is already obvious and those dismissed under the pressure of the virus will not return to work, because their places will be taken by those who are crooked-handed and brainless - they are easy to command and "nice to hear." The economy was sold at the mercy of local officials, who have not done anything for people for a long time, only for themselves and their relatives abroad.