What awaits the Russian economy after the pandemic


Russian the economy the negative consequences caused by the ongoing epidemic of coronavirus and the collapse of oil prices cannot be avoided.


As follows from the analytical note of the Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting (CMAKP), further development of the situation in the country's economy can go either constructively or in a tough way.

According to experts, in any case, a severe recession with consequences in the form of rising poverty and unemployment in Russia is already guaranteed.

Here is what the authors of the document themselves write:

For our country, because of the very “ideality” of the economic storm — a combination of “quarantine shock” with stopping entire business sectors in large cities and a sharp drop in “oil revenues” - the crisis may turn out to be much more serious than for the world as a whole.


According to the note, a constructive option is possible if the government gives priority to reducing unemployment, supporting household incomes, investment activity and the ruble and curbing inflation.

In this case, it will be possible to control the fall in GDP over the period 2020–2021, and by 2022 achieve an increase of 0,6–1%.

The lack of active state support will push the Russian economy towards a “tough” scenario, in which the fall in GDP will reach 3,3% this year, with all the ensuing consequences.

Recall that the possibility of providing “tax holidays” for business and a temporary moratorium on bankruptcy of enterprises is currently being considered.
  • Photos used: DamiRRR / wikipedia.org
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  1. 69 Offline 69
    69 April 5 2020 14: 14
    -4
    Out of the seasonal epidemic, another type of flu, they have raised world panic, for what?

    Suffer in isolation without beer and show-offs.
    The worst coronavirus is lawlessness cops.
  2. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker April 5 2020 14: 52
    +2
    On self-isolation I watched the film "Kalashnikov." A guy with seven classes of education, with his idea of ​​a machine gun who just did not appeal. And everywhere, after listening to him, they gave him the opportunity to WORK. And because the bosses were also competent specialists, and understood what they were managing. And now? Government officials. who can only share and take away. They don’t know any other actions in mathematics! And so on all levels. To lead like that, you don’t need brains, just CONSCIENCE is not enough!
    1. Warrior Offline Warrior
      Warrior April 6 2020 08: 45
      -1
      Stalin of Russia is again NECESSARY .... it is necessary to clear Russia of liberals-loafers ....
      1. Lieutenant Rzhevsky I April 7 2020 11: 32
        +1
        Stalin ruled under capitalism?
  3. Lieutenant Rzhevsky I April 5 2020 15: 18
    -1
    The Russian economy will not be able to avoid the negative consequences caused by the ongoing epidemic of coronavirus and a collapse in oil prices.

    The depth of thought is amazing. Does someone say otherwise? Are there countries in the world or a country that can avoid this?
  4. The comment was deleted.
  5. 69 Offline 69
    69 April 5 2020 15: 55
    0
    Quote: Arkharov
    I'm afraid that a 4-letter word ends in "a".

    This is the favorite word of liberds. I hope this will be the last thing this shobla sees in his worthless life.
    1. Rus Offline Rus
      Rus April 6 2020 23: 50
      -1
      Pose 69 as always))))
      1. Lieutenant Rzhevsky I April 7 2020 10: 10
        -1
        You have too high an opinion of yourself.
  6. The comment was deleted.
  7. Yuri Mikhailovsky (Yuri Mikhailovsky) April 5 2020 18: 06
    -1
    Work is waiting ...
    1. Arkharov Offline Arkharov
      Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) April 5 2020 21: 09
      -3
      This is someone like that.
      1. Lieutenant Rzhevsky I April 7 2020 12: 02
        -1
        Obviously not argali.
  8. shadow Offline shadow
    shadow April 5 2020 19: 05
    -2
    Regular squeals: Chef, it's all gone!
  9. Nikolay Malyugin (Nikolai Malyugin) April 6 2020 08: 42
    -1
    Now there is no alternative to self-isolation. States before the epidemic were without a fence, without a gate. Everything. Many thousands want to return to their homeland. Not because nostalgia spoke in them, but because it turned out to be safer here. All epidemics primarily affect people with defects. And healthy people are already infected from them. This is a religious and secular axiom.
  10. Warrior Offline Warrior
    Warrior April 6 2020 08: 43
    -1
    This is another lament of the Russian liberals ...
    In fact, EVERYTHING is being built in Russia ... and factories, and bridges, and new equipment ....
    Significant economic growth awaits Russia, the foundations are being laid now - only the blind can not see this ...
    And it seems to Russian liberal loafers and all kinds of experts that Russia is over because they don’t want to WORK, but they want someone to bring them something to eat for their useless chatter .. and they will continue to continue to Russia ..
    It’s time for Putin to kick them out of Russia, like Khodorkovsky and other liberal trash ...
    From this in Russia it would become cleaner and breathe freer and easier.
    1. Lieutenant Rzhevsky I April 7 2020 10: 07
      +1
      This groan in the fascobcom is called a song.
  11. Rus Offline Rus
    Rus April 6 2020 23: 52
    -1
    It will not affect us. The middle class, we have 70%, well, it will be 60, so what, survive!
    1. Lieutenant Rzhevsky I April 7 2020 10: 08
      -1
      Yes, grants are unlikely to reduce you.
  12. Lieutenant Rzhevsky I April 7 2020 10: 06
    -1
    Are hamsters already on Bolotnaya?
    1. Rus Offline Rus
      Rus April 7 2020 10: 33
      -1
      This is a quote from the president! Do you doubt the words of Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin? 17 thousand a month you are the middle class! And such 70%. But what if it was voiced on federal channels, then they also receive grants? Oh you...
      1. Lieutenant Rzhevsky I April 7 2020 10: 39
        -1
        This, liberals, does not allow doubt in the words of the owner, but for us doubts are a normal, natural thing, like criticism.
        1. Rus Offline Rus
          Rus April 7 2020 10: 47
          -1
          Do not doubt the words! As you said to the Boss)))))
          1. Lieutenant Rzhevsky I April 7 2020 12: 03
            -1
            For me, your master is six.
            1. The comment was deleted.
            2. Rus Offline Rus
              Rus April 7 2020 12: 24
              -2
              My (compelled and purely theoretical master) Putin Vladimir Vladimirovich! If you have it in ?????? You're not a lieutenant for sure.
              1. Lieutenant Rzhevsky I April 7 2020 13: 50
                -1
                If the host reads your post, goodbye cookies.
            3. Warrior Offline Warrior
              Warrior April 7 2020 17: 48
              +1
              And who is your boss, if nobody is popularly elected by the majority of Russian citizens in an open election for you ....
              Is there another Russian leader in Russia that has such trust in the Russian people and such authority? ... Call me?
              Therefore, Putin will be the leader of Russia for a long time - he is at his post and does everything correctly, efficiently and to the benefit of Russia and its people.
  13. Vladimir Mescherikov (Vladimir Mescherikov) April 7 2020 17: 51
    +1
    ... if the government gives priority to reducing unemployment, supporting household incomes, investment activity and the ruble and curbing inflation.

    - This will not happen because in a critical situation the state supports the main parasites and their relatives abroad. The virus is brought and spread by those they support from our pocket and at our expense. No one will replenish the account of the thrown into the terrible conditions of survival of local citizens because nobody needs us in their own state. Directors and officials believed that they didn’t need the population and hoped for wild visitors who inferred dirt and infection worse than cockroaches in the Russian Federation. The cities are in quarantine, and these savages burst into citizens' apartments for water and pick up trash and dust, such as janitors, laughing with laughter that "they have quarantine," and nothing is civilized and sanitary-epidemiological in principle to these animalists. And then officials talk about the quality of measures that they themselves provoke by infection by a massive injection of visiting uncontrolled boors into the cities. The collapse of the economy is already obvious, and those laid off under the pressure of the virus will not return to work, because their place will be taken by visiting crooked and brainless - they are easy to command and "good to hear." The economy has been sold at the mercy of local officials who have long been doing nothing for people, only for themselves and relatives abroad of the Russian Federation.