The global oil industry is on the verge of a large section


On the eve of the "Reporter" came out publicationdedicated to the possible outcome of the "oil war" between Russia, on the one hand, and the United States and Saudi Arabia, on the other. It caused a stormy and negative reaction from some readers, since its conclusion was that our country risks becoming the main loser due to, to put it mildly, ill-considered actions of the Rosneft leadership.


Psychologists distinguish five stages of making an unpleasant diagnosis: denial, anger, bargaining, depression and acceptance. Yesterday there was denial and anger, for the more visionary - bargaining. The faster acceptance comes, the less nerve cells will be spent in vain and offensive comments will be written. Let's try to speed up this process.

Currently, it is seen how many popular media have dramatically changed their agenda. Instead of the slogan “crush them!” with respect to the Saudis and American shale, now they talk about the need for a compromise, in which the global oil market will be divided into three major players: the United States, Russia and Saudi Arabia.

But there is one problem: Washington does not intend to participate in agreements restricting its oil production. President Donald Trump bluntly stated that he expects from Moscow, Riyadh and other members of the cartel to reduce volumes from 10 to 15 million barrels per day. Informally, the formula looks like this: a third falls on the Saudis, a third - on us, a third - on everyone else.

Why are the US not going to participate in this new deal? And who will make them and how? Domestic "experts" expect that American shale oil producers are about to go bankrupt and come to confession to Putin. As the first sign, they cite the announcement of the start of the bankruptcy proceedings for Whiting Petroleum, whose debt is $ 2,2 billion. In this case, there is a clear substitution of concepts: the process of “financial restructuring” and bankruptcy are two different things. The official Whiting Petroleum press release stated:

The company has more than $ 585 million in its balance sheet, and it will continue to operate normally without interference to suppliers, partners or employees.


The risks of shale oil producers in the United States are insured for a year in advance. The fact that this industry is almost impossible to destroy, we detail told earlier. The process of redistributing this sector has now begun economics, which will lead to the departure of many small companies, which are absorbed by larger ones. In other words, by the fall of bankrupt American shale, as desired by the head of Rosneft Igor Sechin, it is simply impossible.

But our country of problems from the "oil jihad" unleashed by Saudi Arabia, ogrebla as it should. It got to the point that at some point, prices for “black gold” exported from Russia became negative. The barrel fell so much that shipping costs, taxes, and other expenses exceeded revenues. For the federal budget, which is based on the cost of $ 42 per barrel, today's $ 14,43 is a disaster.

And this is far from all our problems. Due to shortsighted policy Gazprom, which pumped record blue gas reserves into European underground gas storage facilities ahead of the never-held gas war with Ukraine, amid an abnormally warm winter and quarantine measures, the cost of a thousand cubic meters in the EU fell to $ 80, that is, by thirty%. Gas production in Russia over the past first quarter decreased by 30% compared with the same period in 6. At the same time, the United States increased its LNG export to the European market, moving from third to first.

Now we add to the overall picture the universal quarantine introduced in Russia, which actually paralyzed the country, breaking it into “self-isolated” regions and cities. In theory, due to the coronavirus pandemic, an emergency mode (ES) should be introduced in our country, but it has been replaced by “self-isolation” that is completely unregulated by law, which will make it possible to interpret the state’s obligations to the population and business very vaguely. This also says a lot about the real possibilities of the federal budget to act effectively in the current situation.

The aforesaid in aggregate means one thing: one will have to go to an agreement until it gets worse and the situation has completely gone out of control. President Putin has already stated his principled readiness to reduce production, bargaining essentially only on conditions. About Sechin’s “Wishlist” about the ruin of the American shale industry will have to forget. Now this is not about victory, but about how much it will be possible to minimize damage to the country's economy, arranged by the Rosneft leadership. If a month ago our country was required to reduce production by 0,5 million barrels per day, now this figure will increase significantly.

President Trump expects all market players to drop 10-15 million barrels. Saudi Arabia has been ramping up production by almost 3 million barrels per day for a special month. If you look at the lower border of 10 million, then it will simply cut off the excess 2,5-3 million barrels that it artificially wound up, maybe a little more, to keep within its 33%. Our country will suffer much more, since it did not have the opportunity to increase production as significantly as Riyadh did. For us, the loss of 3,3 million barrels even when oil prices rise to a “comfortable level” is a huge loss to the budget.

You can try to “bull”, but then everything will end with sectoral sanctions against the entire oil and gas sector, which the country simply cannot tolerate in the current situation. Igor Sechin chose an extremely unfortunate time to “roll the barrel” in the United States. You can bargain, having beaten out some concessions, but there will be no question of the previous level of 0,5 million barrels, which was mentioned a month ago.

The situation is extremely unpleasant and harmful to the country's economy, but it happens when whole sectors are led by people who are not able to calculate the consequences of their decisions.
Photos used: https://www.flickr.com/
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  1. Lieutenant Rzhevsky I April 5 2020 12: 35
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    You can not read.
    1. Sergey Tokarev Offline
      Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) April 5 2020 12: 54
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      Reminds leaflets of the Third Reich about the futility of the resistance of the Soviet Union to the Reich.
      1. Lieutenant Rzhevsky I April 5 2020 13: 00
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        Maybe the granddaughters themselves know who.
        1. Sergey Tokarev Offline
          Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) April 5 2020 13: 02
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          The one whose name is not mentioned in a decent society? Everything is possible.
        2. Arkharov Offline
          Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) April 5 2020 16: 32
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          Who? Really Molotov-Ribbentrop?
        3. Rum rum Offline
          Rum rum (Rum rum) April 5 2020 23: 15
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          Quote: Lieutenant Rzhevsky I
          Maybe the granddaughters themselves know who.

          Shuttlecock de Mort? what
    2. albor.ru Offline
      albor.ru (Alexander) April 5 2020 19: 46
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      Yes, ah ... The expert is the same ... Gathers loud and green, gives 3 blue rings and thinks they are stupid here ... Now he’ll instruct the opponents of the minuses, and he’ll give his singers along. Zhanger ...
      You look! - there is one criticism and some red cons ALL-ALL are stupid !!! So in no article does it happen that everyone is stupid - an obvious fraud !!!
      Even the results to fake the mind are not enough ...
    3. Nick Offline
      Nick (Nikolai) April 6 2020 05: 48
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      Quote: Lieutenant Rzhevsky I
      You can not read.

      Yes, just see who the author is. A pathological amateur in all the topics to which he writes.
      He writes about American shale workers that their risks are insured for the year ahead. This is about selling futures for the year ahead. Only at the declared price, as a rule, they are not bought during the period of market volatility. At a discount, yes, perhaps they will give money, but the price at a discount is unlikely to suit shale oil producers. So their insurance is a bluff.
  2. Sergey Tokarev Offline
    Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) April 5 2020 12: 48
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    Putin said that he would only move after the United States and the Arabs ... Some would like to see here only Russia to bend in favor of the Arabs and the Americans.
    1. The comment was deleted.
    2. Bakht Offline
      Bakht (Bakhtiyar) April 5 2020 13: 07
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      In fact, this oil war has already been compared to the game of peepers - who is the first to blink. But it seems to me that playing such a game with Putin is fraught sideways. It's much more productive to play with python. More likely to win.
      1. Sergey Tokarev Offline
        Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) April 5 2020 13: 17
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        The United States and KSA - these are gentlemen who are commonly believed by word))) the former have eternal cliffs, while the latter have unchanged oil reserves from year to year))
      2. Rum rum Offline
        Rum rum (Rum rum) April 5 2020 23: 11
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        Yeah, how to play Russian roulette with a Makarov pistol.
        1. Nick Offline
          Nick (Nikolai) April 6 2020 05: 51
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          Quote: Rum Rum
          Yeah, how to play Russian roulette with a Makarov pistol.

          Easy. You only need to have seven pistols, one of which is charged. hi
          1. Rum rum Offline
            Rum rum (Rum rum) April 6 2020 14: 19
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            Mukhuleete - Gracious sovereign. Aw. Aw. Aw. hi
      3. Andrey Shestakov (Andrey Shestakov) April 6 2020 18: 28
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        And where is your Putin now peeking from?
        1. isofat Offline
          isofat (Sergei) April 6 2020 20: 48
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          Andrey Shestakovlook around you ... smile
    3. Marzhecki Offline
      Marzhecki (Sergei) April 6 2020 09: 01
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      He also said that while the president, the retirement age will not increase. hi
      1. Sergey Tokarev Offline
        Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) April 6 2020 09: 40
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        He said that when what was the president? At that time he fulfilled the promise. So that’s all right. He did not say that while he was alive. And in general, the comment is off-topic, which means flood!
        1. Nick Offline
          Nick (Nikolai) April 6 2020 14: 24
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          Quote: Sergey Tokarev
          ... then he said when what was the president? At that time he fulfilled the promise. So, that's right.

          I wanted to answer the same until I read your post.
  3. Alexander Semenov (Alexander Semenov) April 5 2020 13: 42
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    Respect to the author, somewhere around this will be, the Arabs have even more aces in their sleeves than the United States, in a week or two it will be a little clearer.
    1. Rum rum Offline
      Rum rum (Rum rum) April 5 2020 23: 06
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      What are the aces of the Arabs? What are you talking about? They are simple as scrap! You are confusing these wretched children of the desert with someone.
      Here sophisticated policies, multi-way and does not smell.
      1. Marzhecki Offline
        Marzhecki (Sergei) April 6 2020 08: 28
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        Yes, but we smell like another sophisticated multi-way ... The smell is strong and persistent ...
        1. Rum rum Offline
          Rum rum (Rum rum) April 6 2020 14: 21
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          Pan Marzhecki, I hope you agree with me that there is an economic war?
          1. The comment was deleted.
          2. Rum rum Offline
            Rum rum (Rum rum) April 6 2020 20: 00
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            I wrote what it is for. In a war in any country in the world, alarmists and provocateurs - are shot on the spot .......
  4. steelmaker Offline
    steelmaker April 5 2020 13: 49
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    And I agree with the author! Believe Putin - DO NOT RESPECT YOURSELF!
    1. Rum rum Offline
      Rum rum (Rum rum) April 5 2020 18: 05
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      Arguments!
    2. Nick Offline
      Nick (Nikolai) April 6 2020 05: 53
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      Quote: steel maker
      And I agree with the author! Believe Putin - DO NOT RESPECT YOURSELF!

      To believe the author is even worse - to sign his own stupidity.
      1. Marzhecki Offline
        Marzhecki (Sergei) April 6 2020 08: 27
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        To believe or not to believe is your business. It will soon become clear who is the fool here and who is not. wink
        1. Sergey Tokarev Offline
          Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) April 6 2020 09: 47
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          The main thing is that those who make a mistake put a loop around their neck, and do not beg to understand and forgive)))
        2. Nick Offline
          Nick (Nikolai) April 6 2020 13: 39
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          Quote: Marzhetsky
          It will soon become clear who is the fool here and who is not.

          The only clever thought.
  5. bratchanin3 Offline
    bratchanin3 (Gennady) April 5 2020 14: 00
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    This says that the bigwigs of the Russian oil industry cannot count and cannot predict the future!
    1. Rum rum Offline
      Rum rum (Rum rum) April 5 2020 18: 06
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      Again. Arguments!
      1. Marzhecki Offline
        Marzhecki (Sergei) April 6 2020 08: 26
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        Look at the results. That is all the arguments.
        1. Rum rum Offline
          Rum rum (Rum rum) April 6 2020 14: 26
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          Pan Marzhetsky, what if the results are not your way? ....
          Eat a hat? Write an article "I, Pan Marzhecki, screwed up" and in it 150 times crowing?
          Well - you have to answer for the bazaar.
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  6. Sergey Latyshev Offline
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) April 5 2020 15: 13
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    In fact, of course, agree. The billionaire’s hand washes.

    We jerked, talked, understood what to expect from the situation and have already begun to negotiate. And not with the readers of the Reporter, of course.)))

    As, for example, Russia and Ukraine agreed. Do you remember what slogans of GDP were voiced by Gazprom? Not a cent they say, not a cubic meter ... As a result, gas and billions by vessels ... And not to the readers of the Reporter, of course.))))

    IMHO, oil reserves, pipes, plants will not go anywhere and will not arise, the first panic has passed, the buck and oil have quietly begun to move to the previous numbers.

    So, Everything will return to its own, + -, with a new price level and a new order in Forbes.
    The media will be preparing new articles (not related to reality in any way): the dollar is about to fall, the fat will end, the GDP has given everyone wishes, we have bent the Saudis and the others, Trump said something again in the USA ...
    1. Nick Offline
      Nick (Nikolai) April 6 2020 06: 01
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      Quote: Sergey Latyshev
      As, for example, Russia and Ukraine agreed. Do you remember what slogans of GDP were voiced by Gazprom? Not a cent they say, not a cubic meter ..

      And in the end, Putin won. He outplayed both Svidomo and Trump. What are US sanctions on SP-2 now? NOTHING! Just a delay in construction. Meanwhile, gas is quietly flowing to Europe through the Ukrainian pipe. To Trump's zugzwang, Putin responded with an elaborate gambit. Grandmaster of the highest level. Well, or pathological luck. Whoever you like.
  7. Xuli (o) Tebenado April 5 2020 15: 19
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    The modern world is interdependent. It is not at all a fact that sanctions, a sharp drop in oil prices, and depreciation of the national currency will lead to negative results or catastrophic consequences exclusively for us. This will not happen!

    https://www.putin-today.ru/archives/7067
    1. Nick Offline
      Nick (Nikolai) April 6 2020 06: 08
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      Quote: Xuli (o) Tebenado
      https://www.putin-today.ru/archives/7067

      The opinion you are referring to was expressed a year ago. It was already very far-fetched then, and now it is obvious that the forecasts of this Timur Isak did not come true.
      1. Xuli (o) Tebenado April 6 2020 07: 18
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        I know the voting on the constitution; I know self-isolation with the virus; I know Paul and Tamara Globa; I do not know Timur Isak.
        1. Nick Offline
          Nick (Nikolai) April 6 2020 13: 37
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          Quote: Xuli (o) Tebenado
          I do not know Timur Isak.

          So follow your link and get acquainted.
      2. Xuli (o) Tebenado April 6 2020 14: 55
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        Opinion ... was expressed a year ago. It was already very far-fetched then ...

        It’s interesting in your opinion: the first person in the state can chat anyhow that, like grandmothers on a bench, a week passes (a year, a five-year period, a decade), and his words become “far-fetched”, and even more so, he (the person) is not responsible. And then it does not differ from Khrushchev with communism by 1980 or Gorbachev with a separate apartment for each Soviet family by 2000.
        1. Nick Offline
          Nick (Nikolai) April 7 2020 21: 12
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          Quote: Xuli (o) Tebenado
          It’s interesting in your opinion: the first person in the state can chat anyhow, like grandmothers on a bench

          A lot of letters about nothing.
          1. Xuli (o) Tebenado April 7 2020 21: 14
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            If something smart said, I would be surprised.
    2. isofat Offline
      isofat (Sergei) April 7 2020 00: 00
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      ... exclusively for us. This will not happen!

      This will not happen! It will affect everyone.
    3. The comment was deleted.
      1. Xuli (o) Tebenado April 7 2020 05: 58
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        There, these words are bracketed, therefore, they are a quote from the words of another person, in this case, V.V. Putin (link given).
        All questions - to the author of the words.
        1. isofat Offline
          isofat (Sergei) April 7 2020 10: 41
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          You were caught in uncleanliness. You used the quote in such a way that the meaning of the statement was distorted. This was revealed during reconciliation with the source.
          1. isofat Offline
            isofat (Sergei) April 7 2020 15: 58
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            A quote that does not distort the meaning:

            The modern world is interdependent. It is not at all a fact that sanctions, a sharp drop in oil prices, and depreciation of the national currency will lead to negative results or catastrophic consequences exclusively for us. This will not happen! Problems arise, they exist and will increase, worsening the situation, but not only for Russia, but also for our partners, including oil and gas producing countries.
            1. Xuli (o) Tebenado April 7 2020 18: 34
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              http://obeschania.ru/documents/?person=1&status_not_fulfilled=on
              1. isofat Offline
                isofat (Sergei) April 7 2020 19: 11
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                Xuli (o) Tebenado, go and execute, do not bother people to work! smile

                1. Xuli (o) Tebenado April 7 2020 19: 15
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                  http://www.consultant.ru/cons/cgi/online.cgi

                  Go and do it. And do not interfere with the work of Moses-2 :)
  8. camo ridges Offline
    camo ridges (Michael) April 5 2020 16: 07
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    The author, perhaps, will not be far from complete mental degradation if he continues to assert that the steps that Russia took were not calculated in the worst case scenario for it. No Rosneft with Sechin at the head would have been influenced by decisions of the country's top leadership if the issue had not been thoroughly studied. Everyone knows Putin’s dislike of actions based on emotions, and he would never have allowed himself to be persuaded to take such actions, even if they were doomed to some uncertainty about the final outcome, with fifty-fifty chances. Our president does not play such games, and since he decided to confront, he is sure of achieving his goal under any circumstances ...
    1. Kristallovich Offline
      Kristallovich (Ruslan) April 5 2020 16: 16
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      Of course, Moscow was ready to lower oil prices, but not to such a catastrophic collapse. Do not think that everything in the world can be predicted. Such prices are absolutely uncomfortable for us. And under quarantine and increased load on the economy - even more so. At $ 14 per barrel, the Russian budget will not be reduced.
      1. albor.ru Offline
        albor.ru (Alexander) April 5 2020 22: 01
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        Such prices are absolutely uncomfortable for us.

        And for whom is it "for us" !? For Israel? For Germany and Nortenhof? Or for Russia?
        It is necessary to write SPECIFICALLY! For us ... For YOU, it may be uncomfortable, but for Ufa and Udmurtia with Chuvashia - just right ...
        1. Kristallovich Offline
          Kristallovich (Ruslan) April 5 2020 22: 03
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          Pass by, don't hold back
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          2. The comment was deleted.
            1. albor.ru Offline
              albor.ru (Alexander) April 6 2020 06: 37
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              In addition. I am honest, because I willingly use profanity, which, according to psychologists, is a manifestation of honesty in relationships.

              So I want to admit - I'm not better ... When I opened the Department of Breast Surgery from scratch, I had to recruit 7 surgeons of the highest qualification. I was so preoccupied with this that shaving and looking in my own face, automatically concluded: No ... this one will not work ...
          3. Rum rum Offline
            Rum rum (Rum rum) April 6 2020 17: 11
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            Ruslan, the comrade is right. Write more specifically and clearly articulate your idea, this will avoid misunderstanding (no offense).
            And this price is uncomfortable for everyone, so it will not last long.
            She will be raised by a fierce sneeze, more or less significant person. Everyone will look for at least some positive in order to raise the price. hi
            1. Kristallovich Offline
              Kristallovich (Ruslan) April 6 2020 17: 21
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              Rum, you just don’t know the background of his messages to me ... And I know =)
              1. Rum rum Offline
                Rum rum (Rum rum) April 6 2020 17: 57
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                Tady oh! Matyuk back.
                I don’t really like Mr. Marzhecki. When he writes articles about the economy. But he has good articles about something else ...., about something else ....., but about the Tu-160 he has a good article, I don’t quite agree with him in this article, he’s “subjective”, and article is complete.
                I think the "economy" is not his.
                You know, he is so prolific ..... he has more than 1900 publications on the site. So in the profile it is written.
                About how!
                1. Kristallovich Offline
                  Kristallovich (Ruslan) April 6 2020 18: 00
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                  He has versatile views. He supports something of what is happening in the Russian state, criticizes something. However, as for me this is normal.
                  1. Rum rum Offline
                    Rum rum (Rum rum) April 6 2020 18: 13
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                    I agree with you. But the economy is still not his.
    2. Arkharov Offline
      Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) April 5 2020 16: 36
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      And what, "set a goal" achieved? Was she like that?
      1. Rum rum Offline
        Rum rum (Rum rum) April 5 2020 23: 33
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        Quote: Arkharov
        And what, "set a goal" achieved? Was she like that?

        As I understand it: the goal of Russia was to force all market participants to follow uniform rules.
        Or severely punish the "smartest."

        Achieving the goal is in the process.
        1. Arkharov Offline
          Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) April 6 2020 09: 06
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          And the process is going in which direction? Are you sure that the "right"?
          1. Rum rum Offline
            Rum rum (Rum rum) April 6 2020 15: 11
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            It seems to me that the right one.
    3. Rum rum Offline
      Rum rum (Rum rum) April 5 2020 23: 23
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      This is not the first article.
      Is your colleague diagnosed?
      1. Arkharov Offline
        Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) April 6 2020 09: 05
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        Do you need a diagnosis? Unequivocal.
        1. Rum rum Offline
          Rum rum (Rum rum) April 6 2020 14: 28
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          Sound ...
    4. Rum rum Offline
      Rum rum (Rum rum) April 5 2020 23: 26
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      Quote: Camo Gryadshi
      The author, perhaps, will not be far from complete mental degradation if he continues to assert that the steps that Russia took were not calculated in the worst case scenario for it.

      This is not the first article.
      Is your colleague diagnosed?
      1. Arkharov Offline
        Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) April 6 2020 14: 48
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        Something we are completely confused about in these comments. On other sites, it’s clear who, who, why, why and about whom and for whom is responsible. The only thing I can say is the above statement Kamo Simeashi, regarding the author’s mental abilities, it looks more like a dialogue between a 2nd grade student of a correctional school (I do not want to offend anyone in any way, this is just a purely evaluative judgment) with my neighbor on the desk about the knowledge and mental abilities of a 5th year student at the Higher School of Economics.
  9. Rum rum Offline
    Rum rum (Rum rum) April 5 2020 17: 52
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    Auto RU:
    Risks are insured - it is good when you do not have a financial crisis (hedging, insurance, etc.). But when you have stock exchanges, it doesn’t work. Do you know the conservation law? Losses do not disappear, they are transferred and distributed to others (banks, insurers, assets of other companies), but when they are all in #opera, big problems can not be avoided. Do you think that large companies have everything in chocolate to buy up distressed assets?

    You are stupid for several articles.
    Yesterday they wrote to you - you need to lie more subtly, carefully select the arguments, juggle them more elegantly. Read books on rhetoric. Hire a tutor, or something.
    Boring, my friend, very boring.
  10. To everyone an equal share in each natural resource

    - First, this is done within the framework of individual states, then within the framework of the entire world community.

    https://maxpark.com/community/7668/content/5123807
    1. albor.ru Offline
      albor.ru (Alexander) April 5 2020 20: 00
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      To everyone an equal share in each natural resource

      Do you offer to share natural resources with China and India ??? Are you not afraid to stay without pants? Like Sharikov - take everything and share!
  11. albor.ru Offline
    albor.ru (Alexander) April 5 2020 19: 37
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    Expert! You need to play cars, not philosophize here!

    Why are the US not going to participate in this new deal? And who will make them and how?

    Are you friends with your head? Trump has already announced a decrease in US production. And this is why it happened:

    US oil companies are going to reduce oil production
    20 March 2020, 01: 34
    The leaders of a number of oil companies are proposing to the authorities of the US state of Texas for the first time in recent decades to curtail hydrocarbon production due to a collapse in prices, The Wall Street Journal reported.
    According to the sources of the publication, the leaders of several companies immediately turned to the Texas regulator with a proposal to reduce hydrocarbon production. These companies asked for permission to cut production, as they were in a difficult position due to a sharp drop in oil prices. At the same time, according to the publication, Texas has not reduced oil production since the 1970s, TASS reports.

    So, your Trampushka will not go anywhere ... If Putin said that the decline is only parity, then it will be so!
    To broaden your horizons, here is the second quote:

    One of the largest oil carriers in the United States has asked to reduce production.
    US pipeline operators have begun asking oil producers to cut production, Bloomberg reports. The agency sees this as a clear sign that a growing amount of oil is beginning to exceed storage volumes.

    Such a request was made by Plains All American Pipeline LР - one of the largest companies in the United States providing oil and gas transportation services. This week, she turned to her suppliers. “We are sending this advance request to our suppliers asking them to take steps to reduce oil production in response to the pandemic,” the letter said.

    According to the agency, such messages signal that the oil market is approaching the moment that traders warned: when oil reserves will overflow storage and pipelines, since the coronavirus COVID-19 reduces demand for it.

    And here is the result- After Trump's statement, the price of Brent crude oil rose to $ 36,29 per barrel at 17.38 Moscow time, but in a few minutes dropped to $ 30,7. And the ruble strengthened by 1,5 rubles.
    And what kind of nonsense about

    At the same time, the United States increased its LNG export to the European market, moving from third to first.

    And what !? You are not aware of the structure of gas consumption in Europe ???
    So I’ll tell you ... Russia -31%, Norway-20%, Algeria - 8%, Qatar - 4% and others somewhere around 4%.
    Moreover, the share of Russia is over 200 billion cubic meters.
    You write about LNG !!! And this is Algeria, Qatar, RUSSIA! and the USA - and this is only 16% of the supply !!! And that in these 16% of the United States took first place and WHAT!?!?! Even if they took half! - This is 8% of total consumption.
  12. boriz Offline
    boriz (boriz) April 5 2020 21: 00
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    Lord, how tired of that!
    Am I again to give an example of how the Democrats last year dropped US coal exports by 20% just for the sake of pleasure to spoil the Trump electorate? This is clearly from enormous sumptuousness! And from caring about the fate of the country.
    And the bankrupt bankrupt shale account has already been opened.

    https://www.rbc.ru/economics/05/04/2020/5e895cb09a7947c58bf20b26

    If a month ago our country was required to reduce production by 0,5 million barrels per day, now this figure will increase significantly.

    Then demanded a unilateral reduction in production in favor of the United States. With a trilateral reduction, the situation will be completely different. In depressive markets, smart people are not chasing after profit, but are trying their best to maintain their market share.
  13. Bakht Offline
    Bakht (Bakhtiyar) April 6 2020 00: 11
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    I am often criticized for my passion for arithmetic. But what to do. That is life. I have to turn the knob of the arithmometer and then think. I propose to think it all together.

    It is assumed that with an overabundance of oil, the storage facilities will be filled in a couple of weeks. Well, let it be a month. An excess of 20 million barrels is multiplied by 30 days and we get 600 million barrels, which have nowhere to fill. Remember this modest tsifirka.

    Now let’s recall a whole galaxy of articles on oil pricing. It seems that oil production exceeds consumption by a couple million barrels per day, and therefore, according to market laws (supply-demand), the price fell from $ 85 in 2014 to 45 in 2020. We take the arithmometer again and turn the knob. Five years is roughly speaking, we multiply 1500 days by 2 million barrels and get 3 billion barrels.

    Question: where did these 3 billion barrels be pumped over the course of five years?

    I know the answer for a long time and for a long time trying to explain it. But they always told me that I was fond of arithmetic and did not understand anything in economics. So, this is a question for all connoisseurs of higher mathematics.
  14. Marzhecki Offline
    Marzhecki (Sergei) April 6 2020 08: 20
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    Quote: albor.ru
    Expert! You need to play cars, not philosophize here!

    Why are the US not going to participate in this new deal? And who will make them and how?

    Are you friends with your head? Trump has already announced a decrease in US production. And this is why it happened:

    Grandpa, don't poke me. Soon you will see everything for yourself, then back to this conversation.
  15. Marzhecki Offline
    Marzhecki (Sergei) April 6 2020 08: 22
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    Quote: Rum Rum
    You are stupid for several articles.
    Yesterday they wrote to you - you need to lie more subtly, carefully select the arguments, juggle them more elegantly. Read books on rhetoric. Hire a tutor, or something.
    Boring, my friend, very boring.

    I am not your friend. Do not like it, do not read. And who is blunting here, it will soon become clear, and we will return to this conversation. Recall all your comments. smile
    1. Rum rum Offline
      Rum rum (Rum rum) April 6 2020 14: 47
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      My friend is a polite turn. Do not flatter yourself.
  16. Marzhecki Offline
    Marzhecki (Sergei) April 6 2020 08: 25
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    Quote: Camo Gryadshi
    The author, perhaps, will not be far from complete mental degradation if he continues to assert that the steps that Russia took were not calculated in the worst case scenario for it. No Rosneft with Sechin at the head would have been influenced by decisions of the country's top leadership if the issue had not been thoroughly studied. Everyone knows Putin’s dislike for emotion-based actions,

    It seems that the GDP and the IIS wanted to bluntly take the Arabs to Pontus and were not ready for a tough answer. Do not invent superfluous entities.
    1. Arkharov Offline
      Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) April 6 2020 15: 35
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      Is very similar.
  17. Marzhecki Offline
    Marzhecki (Sergei) April 6 2020 08: 57
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    Quote: Nick
    Yes, just see who the author is. A pathological amateur in all the topics to which he writes.

    Let me remind you that I wrote that Gazprom would sign an agreement with Ukraine for the transit of 40 billion cubic meters for years, while all the local "experts" said that Putin would close the valve. So, who is the pathological dilettant, this will still be seen. wink I will recall these comments to you, do not hesitate.
    1. Rum rum Offline
      Rum rum (Rum rum) April 6 2020 14: 57
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      Pan Marzhecki, you are simply "captain of evidence." Write before the new year that they will sign a temporary transit agreement when it is clear that the SP-2 is late. You are a great fellow.
      Just Pythia and Wang in one bottle.
      I will tell you more, even when the SP-2 is completed, the contract with the Outskirts will be and it will even be extended.
      But the volumes will not be the same. The question is not to deprive the Little Russians of transit, but to not depend on them.
  18. Marzhecki Offline
    Marzhecki (Sergei) April 6 2020 08: 59
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    Quote: Nick
    And in the end, Putin won. He outplayed both Svidomo and Trump. What are US sanctions on SP-2 now? NOTHING! Just a delay in construction.

    From this comment it becomes clear that further discussions with you are pointless. request
  19. Marzhecki Offline
    Marzhecki (Sergei) April 6 2020 09: 03
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    Quote: Sergey Tokarev
    Reminds leaflets of the Third Reich about the futility of the resistance of the Soviet Union to the Reich.

    And you resist, who forbids you?
    Can you send mental impulses to space, can you write nasty things to the author, what if he helps? laughing
    1. Rum rum Offline
      Rum rum (Rum rum) April 6 2020 15: 00
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      Frankly weak comment.
      Pan Marzhecki, you are a writer — you can say a journalist.
      Aw. Aw. Aw.
      1. Rum rum Offline
        Rum rum (Rum rum) April 6 2020 16: 58
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        True, we must admit that Comrade Tokarev greatly went too far.
        Mina both.
  20. Sbsakh Offline
    Sbsakh (Svetlana A) April 7 2020 04: 07
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    On the Reporter, they turned everything upside down and at the same time claim that they keep their hands on the pulse and know what will happen next. Libera shines through in every word, and with such homely blacks, even external enemies seem insignificant.