Putin agrees: is Russia ready to cut oil production to please the United States?


Apparently, the "oil war", which has been raging the last month and brought down world quotes, is nearing completion. After reaching a new agreement between the oil-producing countries, the price of a barrel will again begin to rise gradually.


Unfortunately, Russia can emerge from this trade war as the main loser. What gives reason to believe so?

Let's evaluate the situation in chronological order without unnecessary emotions. It all started with the fact that the leadership of Rosneft in early March insisted on our country's withdrawal from the OPEC + agreement. Then the stumbling block was the reluctance to reduce production by 0,5 million barrels per day. And spun.

Saudi Arabia immediately responded by increasing production from 9 million barrels per day to a record 12 million. Now, after only 1 month, it became clear why this was done. At the same time, Riyadh began violently dumping, knocking down oil quotes. The price of "black gold" fell twice below the level on the basis of which the Russian federal budget is being imposed.

Domestic media and experts were brave, indicating that Russia would be able to hold out for 6 to 10 years on the accumulated reserves of the NWF. The head of Rosneft, Igor Sechin, pointedly promised that oil prices would normalize by fall, when American shale producers would leave the market:

By the end of the year, I assume that the price may rise and return to the level of up to $ 60, if the processes continue, the output will be shale oil from the market.

To these arguments of Igor Ivanovich, President Donald Trump simply replied that the United States would "intervene" at the right time "in the dispute between Russia and Saudi Arabia. In just a month, the situation in our country has deteriorated sharply due to a combination of several factors. The coronavirus pandemic and forced quarantine virtually paralyzed Russia. Oil export prices reached negative levels, pulling gas contracts down as well.

If you call a spade a spade, it is almost a complete disaster, only slightly delayed in time by some reserves of the NWF. Completely finish the domestic the economy US sectoral sanctions against the export of Russian oil and gas are capable of being directly talked about in Washington. Too bad everyone needs to come to an agreement, but someone must be the designated loser. The fact that the parties to the conflict are seeking a compromise was very directly reported on Twitter by Donald Trump:

I just spoke with my friend Mohammed bin Salman (Crown Prince) of Saudi Arabia, who spoke with Russian President Putin, and I expect and hope that they will reduce about 10 million barrels, and maybe significantly more, if that happens will be great for the oil and gas industry. It can be up to 15 million barrels. Excellent news for all!

Yes, excellent, but not for everyone. According to President Trump, from the new agreement from 10 to 15 million barrels of oil can fly out of the market as a result of the new agreement. At the same time, the United States itself, as the American president said, does not intend to reduce its production under any circumstances. That is, the American producers of shale oil, against which Igor Sechin “rolled the barrel”, will remain outside the brackets, and they will benefit from a new increase in the cost of a barrel to a level that is comfortable for them.

Who then will be the main loser? Count yourself: as of March 6, Russia was required to reduce production by 0,5 million barrels. Now, all oil producers will need to remove from the market from 10 to 15 million barrels, which will have to be divided into all but the United States. And here we recall that Saudi Arabia increased production by almost 3 million barrels in a month. Apparently, this was done by the tacit agreement of Riyadh and Washington, and the Saudis will simply remove those surpluses that they collected last March, returning to normal volumes. So, all the remaining 7-12 million barrels will be divided into other players, primarily Russia. President Putin has already taken a step back, agreeing to reduce production by 10 million barrels per day, but asks to do so "in partnership." The question is how indulgent these very “partners” will be towards the losing side. As an argument for those who disagree, a sanctioned club against the export of hydrocarbons can be used. So, all the remaining 7-12 million barrels will be divided into other players, especially Russia. Here is such a preliminary result of one month of the "oil war".

So was it worth it to get into a showdown with the United States and its allies and bring down its own economy without holding strong cards? "Mnogokhodovochka", in all its glory.
74 comments
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  1. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker April 4 2020 11: 09
    +3
    Yes, interesting math. Well, what Putin and Sechin know how to share and take away is what we have been observing for 20 years. And now, the "fans" of Putin will tell us that someone is not friends with math? And I repeat - in order to manage this, you don’t need a mind, it’s enough to have CONSCIENCE!
    1. mor7d Offline mor7d
      mor7d (mor7d) April 4 2020 12: 25
      0
      you don’t need to control the mind

      How right you are.
  2. Sergey Tokarev Offline Sergey Tokarev
    Sergey Tokarev (Sergey Tokarev) April 4 2020 11: 26
    +1
    And where will the US oilmen put their oil at full oil storage facilities? Will they increase volumes?)))) Deflection before the owner is counted)))
    1. Observer2014 Offline Observer2014
      Observer2014 April 4 2020 22: 15
      -5
      Quote: Sergey Tokarev
      And where will the US oilmen put their oil at full oil storage facilities? Will they increase volumes?)))) Deflection before the owner is counted)))

      Congratulations, you have come to higher matters. laughing Well, there is an eternal confrontation between good and evil. Etc. Dante? Do you review it sometimes? Dante was in Budenovka, what do you think? Or White Guard ammunition?
  3. Afinogen Online Afinogen
    Afinogen (Afinogen) April 4 2020 11: 27
    +1
    The Americans have tied the world with their dollar like mold. All governments, oligarchs, all have wealth in dollars. Our government is no exception. All deputies, officials, ministers, oligarchs, all accounts in foreign banks in dollars. Therefore, they will do everything so that the dollar flourishes and lives. They will do everything that the Americans will tell them, for their well-being and their families depend on it. And to us, according to all the media, they will hang noodles on our ears (as always), how they are fighting America and are about to win. laughing It seems like - be patient while in poverty, do not arise, you see - we have a war with the main hegemon, so we will win and live. Therefore, I consider all these oil wars to be a performance, and the conductors are the richest people on the planet.
    1. mor7d Offline mor7d
      mor7d (mor7d) April 4 2020 12: 24
      -3
      The Americans have tied the world with their dollar. Our government is no exception

      And what does the dollar have to do with it? Go to rubles, yuan, shells, gold, whatever you want. When selling oil, demand payment in rubles or pesos. When you purchase the necessary consumer goods, jeans, chewing gum, cola, hamburgers or rolled pipes, you can transfer only the necessary amount into dollars. Why are you so stuck on dollars.
      1. Afinogen Online Afinogen
        Afinogen (Afinogen) April 4 2020 12: 32
        +3
        Go to rubles

        I haven’t laughed like that for a long time. laughing I represent the physiognomy of bankers in American or Swiss banks when they want to open an account in rubles with them. laughing I, in my opinion, intelligibly explained. I repeat: Americans have tied the whole world with a dollar, and a person with a dollar in any country will be with money. And in our country, not everyone needs the ruble; the rich Pinocchio stores everything in dollars, in foreign banks.
        1. mor7d Offline mor7d
          mor7d (mor7d) April 4 2020 12: 33
          -3
          I haven’t laughed like that for a long time

          Glad I hung you. So you don’t even want to try? Or are you afraid to even think about it?
          1. Afinogen Online Afinogen
            Afinogen (Afinogen) April 4 2020 12: 38
            +1
            So you don’t even want to try?

            Try what ??? Try to express your thoughts more clearly.
            1. mor7d Offline mor7d
              mor7d (mor7d) April 4 2020 12: 46
              -3
              I represent the physiognomy of bankers in American or Swiss banks when they want to open an account in rubles with them

              So you don’t even want to try? Or are you afraid to even think about it?
              1. Afinogen Online Afinogen
                Afinogen (Afinogen) April 4 2020 12: 59
                0
                There’s something to try. I’ll surely try, as soon as there is a lot of money in rubles, I will go and try, for the sake of laughter. laughing
                1. mor7d Offline mor7d
                  mor7d (mor7d) April 4 2020 13: 24
                  -4
                  as soon as there will be a lot of money in rubles

                  Why so much? You can do this with any amount. Do you have restrictions to put the amount?
        2. Arkharov Offline Arkharov
          Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) April 4 2020 16: 11
          0
          And why so, did not think?
        3. Bitter Offline Bitter
          Bitter (Gleb) April 4 2020 18: 34
          +3
          I haven’t laughed like that for a long time. laughing ...

          They simply open an account, personal or legal entity, and what will lie there is not so important. Everything can be counted, even in dollars, even in Tugriks.
          In normal countries, normal people use their national currency.
          If you try in Belgium to buy a refrigerator with a TV for cash dollars, then you will not succeed, but you will have to explain. The same thing with loans.
      2. kriwo.alek Offline kriwo.alek
        kriwo.alek (Alex) April 4 2020 14: 41
        +1
        Why not. The ruble is the same currency and has the right to move.
        After all, it is possible (necessary) to raise the question with an edge: either the ruble (yuan, euro or something else), or
        nothing. It is necessary to rot the dollar in all respects.
        1. mor7d Offline mor7d
          mor7d (mor7d) April 4 2020 14: 45
          0
          It is necessary to rot the dollar in all respects

          Maybe, for a start, try to start with something small? Pay here and there in rubles, ask them to pay with rubles, and there you look and things will go.
      3. 123 Offline 123
        123 (123) April 4 2020 17: 23
        +4
        And what does the dollar have to do with it? Go to rubles, yuan, shells, gold, whatever you want. When selling oil, demand payment in rubles or pesos. When you purchase the necessary consumer goods, jeans, chewing gum, cola, hamburgers or rolled pipes, you can transfer only the necessary amount into dollars. Why are you so stuck in dollars

        Do not tell, the Chinese have long been making American jeans, however, like everything else. None of the items listed by you are delivered to Russia from the United States.
        1. mor7d Offline mor7d
          mor7d (mor7d) April 4 2020 19: 40
          -1
          Do not tell, American jeans have long been made by the Chinese

          American jeans are still American. The Chinese only work in an American garment factory. If we remove from the statistics American, European, Israeli goods, then the famous Chinese GDP will be deflated by forty percent.

          None of the above is delivered to Russia from the USA

          It’s not scary if you buy American goods directly from the place of their production, China, or use cheap Chinese fakes, counterfeit goods. The second is more likely, because American goods, despite Chinese cheap labor, will cost you more than Chinese copies.
          1. 123 Offline 123
            123 (123) April 4 2020 19: 50
            +2
            American jeans are still American. The Chinese only work in an American garment factory. If we remove from the statistics American, European, Israeli goods, then the famous Chinese GDP will be deflated by forty percent.

            If the Chinese work in a factory in China, then the jeans are Chinese. If we take into account the exaggerated figures of speculative sales and resale of "air", then US GDP will be deflated by 80%.

            It’s not scary if you buy American goods directly from the place of their production, China, or use cheap Chinese fakes, counterfeit goods. The second is more likely, because American goods, despite Chinese cheap labor, will cost you more than Chinese copies.

            From China we buy Chinese goods, like the United States.

            https://inosmi.ru/usa/20120715/194977217.html
            1. mor7d Offline mor7d
              mor7d (mor7d) April 4 2020 19: 58
              -3
              If the Chinese work in a factory in China, then the jeans are Chinese.

              Never. The factory was built by the Americans, that the Americans decide to sew, who to hire, the Americans decide, the profit, most importantly, the Americans get. Income taxes are paid by Americans to America.

              speculative sales

              Directly the Soviet Union died.

              From China we buy Chinese goods

              Maybe you are buying. Or maybe not. The label "Made in China" means nothing. These are just such rules for labeling goods.
              1. 123 Offline 123
                123 (123) April 4 2020 19: 59
                +4
                If even, you got your stupidity.
                1. mor7d Offline mor7d
                  mor7d (mor7d) April 4 2020 20: 02
                  -4
                  You got your dumbness

                  And you didn’t get me. I talk like a child, like a man who fell from the moon. Do not be shy, ask, I am patient and I will answer the most simple questions.
                  1. 123 Offline 123
                    123 (123) April 4 2020 20: 11
                    +4
                    I give you a link to the article, you can even read in the original, the American author talks about the share of Chinese goods, but you continue to insist that this is all the same American.
                    Here is a link to you what is the country of origin of the goods.

                    http://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_LAW_
                    95897/ca76d916409fd0b85b45b96920c17ff47e518653/

                    You carry nonsense about labels.

                    Do not be shy, ask, I am patient and I will answer the most simple questions.

                    Thank you, but I haven’t come to conversations with flora yet, the result will be like in a song:

                    1. mor7d Offline mor7d
                      mor7d (mor7d) April 4 2020 20: 20
                      -3
                      I give you a link to the article

                      Do you think this article cancels what I said? Of course not. Once again, the Americans carried many businesses to China. These industries required a lot of manual labor, and paying American salaries + insurance was expensive. You repeat as a wound,

                      If the Chinese work in a factory in China, then the jeans are Chinese.

                      It is not.
                      1. 123 Offline 123
                        123 (123) April 4 2020 20: 30
                        +4
                        You got it with your alternate reality.
                    2. mor7d Offline mor7d
                      mor7d (mor7d) April 4 2020 20: 23
                      -3
                      http://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_
                      LAW_95897/ca76d916409fd0b85b45b96920c17ff47e518653/

                      Invite me to read some

                      Agreement on the Rules for Determining the Country of Origin of Goods in the CIS (Concluded in Yalta)

                      - as evidence of American or Chinese origin of the goods, generally beyond the reasonable.
                      1. 123 Offline 123
                        123 (123) April 4 2020 20: 32
                        +4
                        You can find the definition yourself, Google to help, hammer in the "country of origin of goods" and forth, you can start with Wikipedia. hi
                    3. isofat Offline isofat
                      isofat (isofat) April 4 2020 20: 35
                      +1
                      123, I'm confused. According to such perverted logic, in Israel, where did our mor7dIs everything American or what?
                      1. 123 Offline 123
                        123 (123) April 4 2020 20: 39
                        +2
                        I'm afraid the logic here is powerless. no A case launched to the extreme, without surgical intervention in any way. request
                      2. isofat Offline isofat
                        isofat (isofat) April 4 2020 20: 54
                        +4
                        123The dollar infusions that the United States made into this impoverished country make us forget about the fantasies of Israeli independence. Now they are generally being provided with assistance free of charge. Our poor, literally and figuratively, mor7d fulfills money by pretending to be sick on his head.
                      3. 123 Offline 123
                        123 (123) April 4 2020 22: 42
                        +2
                        I’m not sure that the place of residence is indicated here.
                  2. Lieutenant Rzhevsky I April 4 2020 21: 13
                    -1
                    Svidomo already dumped in Haiva?
  • Bakht Online Bakht
    Bakht (Bakhtiyar) April 4 2020 11: 56
    0
    And where is the information that "Putin agrees"?
    1. Kristallovich Online Kristallovich
      Kristallovich (Ruslan) April 4 2020 12: 04
      -1
      Sorry, missed this moment. We fix it.
      1. Bakht Online Bakht
        Bakht (Bakhtiyar) April 4 2020 12: 08
        +2
        For example, here:

        https://www.vedomosti.ru/business/news/2020/04/03/827156-sokraschenie

        Novak noted that countries included and non-OPEC, including Saudi Arabia and the United States, should participate in reducing production. Putin instructed the Minister of Energy on April 6 to discuss the possibility of such a solution with foreign partners.

        As I understood from your link, if the States do not reduce production, then Putin disagrees.
        1. Kristallovich Online Kristallovich
          Kristallovich (Ruslan) April 4 2020 12: 14
          -1
          Putin agrees to the reduction in principle. This is March 3rd news. Trump does not agree to reduce - for March 4.
          1. Bakht Online Bakht
            Bakht (Bakhtiyar) April 4 2020 12: 19
            +5
            Both March 3rd and 4th are outdated news. March 3, Trump generally welcomed the decision of the SA to increase production. Your link is given 16 hours ago. That is already April 3rd.
            Trump gave a press conference 2 days ago and is not going to cut production. Under such conditions, it makes no sense to hold a meeting. Today, Putin does not agree.
            ----
            If Russia does not agree, then nothing will depend on Trump’s opinion. Slates will leave the market, which is about 2-3 million barrels per day. You can, of course, impose sanctions against the entire oil and gas sector of the Russian Federation (and the gas too!). But this is a full-blown economic war. No one calculated the answers, not because it is difficult, but because it is a complete collapse of the entire economy in the world.
      2. The comment was deleted.
    2. The comment was deleted.
      1. 123 Offline 123
        123 (123) April 4 2020 12: 24
        +1
        Lieutenant, you are inimitable. hi After reading, deleted his comment, you can’t say better anyway. good
        1. Lieutenant Rzhevsky I April 4 2020 12: 48
          0
          And my two for one? laughing
  • mor7d Offline mor7d
    mor7d (mor7d) April 4 2020 12: 18
    -2
    09.03.2020
    Russia's tough stance in negotiations with OPEC + partners has become a determining factor that has put an end to attempts to artificially regulate the oil market. Since April 1 of this year, an agreement to reduce production ceases to be valid, and its participants no longer have any obligations to reduce the production of black gold.
    Judging by the way the OPEC + Pact members negotiated, the position of Russia was not spontaneous - the step was thought out in advance, and the consequences were weighed.

    Not even a month had passed after the victorious fanfare, when suddenly the multi-step-throader cried out: “We are not too clumsy, they themselves have come to this, and in general, guys, let's live in peace”!

    03.04.2020/XNUMX/XNUMX "I want to emphasize: Russia considers it necessary to combine efforts. We were not the initiators of the OPEC + deal breakup, and we are ready for agreements with partners within the OPEC + mechanism.
    1. Accidentally Offline Accidentally
      Accidentally April 6 2020 10: 31
      +1
      This is a complete surrender ..... paws up. We want to live in peace ........ Uncle Trump, I’m giving up.
  • The comment was deleted.
  • Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
    Marzhecki (Sergei) April 4 2020 12: 32
    0
    Quote: 123
    Lieutenant, you are inimitable hi After reading, deleted my comment, you can’t say better anyway good

    You stand each other. hi
    1. 123 Offline 123
      123 (123) April 4 2020 13: 02
      +2
      You stand each other

      What are you worth, the lieutenant perfectly formulated. good I have nothing to add. hi
    2. Observer2014 Offline Observer2014
      Observer2014 April 4 2020 22: 34
      -1
      Quote: Marzhetsky
      Quote: 123
      Lieutenant, you are inimitable hi After reading, deleted his comment, you can’t say better anyway. good

      You stand each other. hi

      drinks Well done! Thank you for the article. soldier yes
    3. boriz Offline boriz
      boriz (boriz) April 5 2020 00: 09
      0
      Sergey, as soon as I read the title of the post on the main page, I immediately realized who the author was.
  • Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
    Marzhecki (Sergei) April 4 2020 12: 39
    +1
    Quote: Bakht
    If Russia does not agree, then nothing will depend on Trump’s opinion. Slates will leave the market, which is about 2-3 million barrels per day. You can of course introduce sanctions against the entire oil and gas sector of the Russian Federation (and the gas too!). But this is a full-blown economic war. No one calculated the answers, not because it is difficult, but because it is a complete collapse of the entire economy in the world.

    I agree, it’s not going anywhere.
    1. Bakht Online Bakht
      Bakht (Bakhtiyar) April 4 2020 12: 46
      0
      Not obvious. Two days left ...
    2. 123 Offline 123
      123 (123) April 4 2020 17: 27
      +1
      You are like a child, honestly. You as it was pretended that Trump is the emperor of the whole world, on that stand.
      Are there any arguments?
    3. Rum rum Offline Rum rum
      Rum rum (Rum rum) April 5 2020 23: 44
      +1
      Author:
      A.R. G. U.M. E.N. YOU !!
      Or write "I think so", "IMHO"
  • Bakht Online Bakht
    Bakht (Bakhtiyar) April 4 2020 12: 40
    +1
    US oilmen split over production cuts under the agreement of the three leading extractive countries of the world in order to stabilize the global oil market. This statement was made by The Wall Street Journal, citing sources.
    Some corporations, in particular Exxon Mobil Corp. and Chevron Corp., oppose participation in the agreement. Shale producers such as Pioneer Natural Resources are trying to find ways to join the Russian-Saudi plan.

    Everything is clear and logical here. Large companies came to slate. The possibilities are great, but not unlimited. The shales are blown away. Mobile and Chevron are hoping to buy them at a meager price. The possibilities of their influence on Washington are immeasurably higher. But this plan will lead to the loss of jobs and to the fact that Trump will definitely not be re-elected. And time is running out. Only six months before the election.
    Who will win? If Trump needs to sit in a chair, then the States will reduce production. Still have to do it. There is nowhere to store oil, and demand will not rise for a long time.
    ---
    Yes, not to forget. I highlighted the "three leading countries." I wonder what countries are these?
    1. Bakht Online Bakht
      Bakht (Bakhtiyar) April 4 2020 12: 52
      0
      Visualization. These giants have a larger margin of safety. But not much






      Everyone’s capitalization fell 2,0 - 2,5 times
      1. The comment was deleted.
      2. Bakht Online Bakht
        Bakht (Bakhtiyar) April 4 2020 13: 03
        +1
        About the schedules. For objectivity, I will present another picture


        In recent days, Rosneft's capitalization has been growing. But this is not interesting. For all companies, there is a small remark, Disclaimer. What does this mean in translation from stock to human? The Internet gives such an explanation

        Due to unprofitableness of shares, not only there is no income, but at par the shares are not accepted by their issuer.
      3. mor7d Offline mor7d
        mor7d (mor7d) April 4 2020 14: 47
        -2
        Everyone’s capitalization fell 2,0 - 2,5 times

        For objectivity, it was necessary to put some Russian companies nearby. Although there are probably none.
  • Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
    Marzhecki (Sergei) April 4 2020 12: 53
    -1
    Quote: Bakht
    Not obvious. Two days left ...

    Well, at the beginning of next week and back to this issue. Why argue?
    1. Bakht Online Bakht
      Bakht (Bakhtiyar) April 4 2020 12: 58
      +2
      I am not going to argue. I just did not see confirmation that "Putin agrees." You, however, put a question mark. Even for this, I have not yet seen the grounds.
    2. The comment was deleted.
  • Aleksandr2020 Offline Aleksandr2020
    Aleksandr2020 (Alexander Vk) April 4 2020 13: 13
    0
    I read the beginning ... then the game went on. No figures, no facts ... purely propaganda verbal diarrhea.
    The author of the Saudi suction, or what? )))
    Dumped. First, Trump called Putin, he has a Whiting Petroleum bankrupt! The rest of the companies are on the verge of bankruptcy, the whole industry is under threat. Then the Saudis strained.
    Russia is just the least harm, we have a sufficient pillow from the NWF and gold reserves, but the Saudis finally pitchfork. Slate will simply die, and this is 2/3 of all US oil production. The market will be cleaned of shale slag and prices will recover. American analysts themselves write about this, but then some Vasya Pupkin imagines himself an expert))))
    The Saudis have 80% of GDP one oil. To break even the budget they need oil at least $ 80.

    Well and so .. a control in the head of the author - about the fact that Russia will cut the most - is utter nonsense. The Saudis, on the contrary, were sent and prices collapsed when they started to bull. Russia, on the contrary, will now pull up all oil exporters; we don’t need to reduce it for nothing alone. We will lose even more, at least turn on the head, if there is something to include.
    1. Lieutenant Rzhevsky I April 4 2020 14: 58
      0
      Read the author’s last name and all questions will disappear.
  • albor.ru Offline albor.ru
    albor.ru (Alexander) April 4 2020 13: 57
    +2
    Alas, Sergey, you didn’t guess again ... The Saudis are trying to dictate, Trump imagines himself an arbiter and makes another stupid thing that will be an intermediary between Russia and the Saudis - they will reduce production, and he will observe ...
    Putin said that we must return to production before the conflict !!! And he will discuss this topic only under the condition of a PARET reduction in production by ALL! Here the United States is subtly implied.
    As a result, the Saudis, for the sake of the United States, wanted to make a little room with Russia and give Trump a way.
    Novak said that he wouldn’t reduce it, only the USA would win - and what for us!
    The Saudis said: Ah, so - and threw a grenade. As a result of the grenade explosion, shale oil was killed and ricocheted into the Saudis.
    The Saudis fell into despair and began to bluff: Yes, WE !! Yes, we will increase even more !!! At the same time, they did not say - WHERE will they upload an even bigger increase, when there is nowhere to put it!
    Then our Trampush became agitated - let's call the Saudis - negotiate with Russia, our shale patient is dying !!!
    Now Trump is looking for himself more badly - like, he did everything and the Saudis and Russia surrender! This "cunning" maneuver Putin saw through at a time !!!
    The next meeting will humiliate the Saudis - everything will return to the level BEFORE the scandal - the Saudis have liquidated themselves a bit ... But a FURTHER reduction is possible only in the OPEC ++ - OPEC + Russia + USA format ...
    Putin is not the boy that Trampush decided to ride on ... And Trampusha breaks off ...
    That's how it will be, and not as YOU wrote !!!
  • kriwo.alek Offline kriwo.alek
    kriwo.alek (Alex) April 4 2020 14: 33
    -1
    Well, the "analyst." According to his "analysis", the Saudis and you are smart, and in Russia there are fools. But here are the speeches of the same Putin, we should listen to him more carefully. Putin clearly said that selling less than $ 42 is not profitable for us. By this, he designated the price of a barrel. Everyone will have to cut production, as demand fell catastrophically. Moreover, to reduce by the number who increased it by how much. Russia will not go to another. So listen and look carefully, and think HEAD, and not another place.
    1. mor7d Offline mor7d
      mor7d (mor7d) April 4 2020 14: 48
      -2
      Russia will not go to another

      Or maybe not. The Americans will impose an embargo on the purchase of Russian oil and put their own, no more expensive.
  • Rum rum Offline Rum rum
    Rum rum (Rum rum) April 4 2020 14: 53
    +3
    The author is lying like breathing. Actually, like Trump.
    1. There were no negotiations with the Saudis that Trump spoke about.
    2. Negotiations on the reduction will only be and on what conditions is not yet known.
    3. If there is a decline, then everyone will reduce production, including the USA, Canada, Mexico, Brazil. That is, with a decrease, there will be no capture of foreign markets.
    4. Even if, as a result of the reduction, the price jumps to 60 b / b, the Saudis will still not be enough, but we will be more than satisfied, and the shale is not too comfortable.
    5. Even if they agree, the price will not immediately return to their place (the storages are full), this time lag will be enough to prevent a certain number of shale workers from reaching a bright day.
    6. If they don’t agree, leaving the same shale industry (and they will leave) will reduce production by the necessary 10 million barrels. They won’t recover quickly, crisis, you know.

  • The comment was deleted.
  • Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
    Marzhecki (Sergei) April 4 2020 15: 17
    -2
    Quote: albor.ru
    Alas, Sergey, you didn’t guess again ...

    First of all, you and I didn’t switch to “you”.
    Secondly, what does "again" mean? And when exactly did I not guess something? In my opinion, quite often I am as close to the truth as possible, unlike couch experts like you.
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      1. Lieutenant Rzhevsky I April 4 2020 15: 33
        -1
        Psychiatry owes a great deal to him.
    2. The comment was deleted.
  • Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
    Marzhecki (Sergei) April 4 2020 15: 19
    -1
    Quote: Aleksandr2020
    Well and so .. a control in the head of the author - about the fact that Russia will cut the most - is utter nonsense. The Saudis, on the contrary, were sent and prices collapsed when they started to bull. Russia, on the contrary, will now pull up all oil exporters; we don’t need to reduce it for nothing alone. We will lose even more, at least turn on the head, if there is something to include.

    In a few days you will see everything for yourself.
  • Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
    Marzhecki (Sergei) April 4 2020 15: 20
    -2
    Quote: 123
    You stand each other

    What are you worth, the lieutenant perfectly formulated. good I have nothing to add. hi

    Well then keep quiet then. wink
    1. 123 Offline 123
      123 (123) April 4 2020 17: 32
      +3
      Well then keep quiet then

      Fortunately, this is not for you to decide.
  • Lieutenant Rzhevsky I April 4 2020 15: 36
    0
    The author has a pronounced megalomania.
  • Arkharov Offline Arkharov
    Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) April 4 2020 16: 09
    -1
    And who is here, I wonder, to whom with the confession?
  • Bakht Online Bakht
    Bakht (Bakhtiyar) April 4 2020 17: 30
    +2
    In the morning I wrote:

    Trump gave a press conference 2 days ago and is not going to cut production. Under such conditions, it makes no sense to hold a meeting.

    Now the message has arrived:

    OPEC + is discussing a postponement of the oil meeting to April 9th.

    https://tass.ru/ekonomika/8161401

    And more:

    Trump allowed the introduction of duties against Riyadh and Moscow to stabilize the oil market.

    https://tass.ru/ekonomika/8160513

    This is a gesture of despair. By duties he will not achieve anything. Or you have to give up, or introduce a full package of sanctions.
  • 69 Offline 69
    69 April 4 2020 21: 28
    0
    Quote: Lieutenant Rzhevsky I
    Svidomo already dumped in Haiva?

    He sly svidomit in Ukraine walks with a forelock, in Israel from one forelock turns out two kosher paisas, very convenient and practical.
  • Rus Offline Rus
    Rus April 5 2020 00: 14
    -3
    The article was earlier that Putin wins in the oil war, and now another article is that we will lose) propagandists are rushing around here and there. They don’t know who to please.
  • Rinat Offline Rinat
    Rinat (Rinat) April 5 2020 08: 37
    +1
    The oil crisis continues at full speed. In relation to Russia, the author clearly exaggerates by painting everything in dark colors. In the fall we will see the whole picture, but now continue to live and enjoy it.
    The Saudi started a price war, possibly in collusion with the Ami. Russia has long been under various sanctions. So, we wish our Motherland to worthily win in this local battle.
  • cmonman Offline cmonman
    cmonman (Garik Mokin) April 5 2020 21: 46
    0
    From the article:

    The US sectoral sanctions against the export of Russian oil and gas are capable of completely completing the domestic economy ...

    For some reason, I did not find an idea on the forum that was familiar to the Amer senators - not to add Russian sanctions, but to remove sanctions from Venezuela and Iran for the sale of oil .. This will be a blow to the groin ... !!!
  • mor7d Offline mor7d
    mor7d (mor7d) April 8 2020 20: 50
    -1
    Russia is ready to reduce oil production to please the United States

    Why for the sake of? The Russian Federation cannot but reduce production. There is simply nowhere to put this oil.
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