Scientists talked about the worst-case scenario for the development of the COVID-19 pandemic

March 27 2020 12

Against the backdrop of the rampant epidemic of the dangerous coronavirus infection COVID-19, several predictions appeared simultaneously. They talk about various scenarios, but they all involve the deaths of millions of people.

For example, on March 26, 2020, expert virologist, director of the Besancon Research and Research Center, Philip Humbert, at a briefing in Geneva, said that about 50% of the world's population would suffer from COVID-19 to one degree or another.

I have a schedule that I received this morning. According to these data, in most countries the peak of the spread of the virus will reach March 30-31. France has not yet reached its peak, which will be a little later, around March 31. But for most European countries, the peak incidence will be in three to four days

- added the expert.

At the same time, the expert expressed the opinion that from 3% to 5% of infected people will die on the planet. Given that the population of our planet is about 7,8 billion people, it is not difficult to calculate the number of deaths. However, the expert did not explain whether mortality from “strange pneumonia”, which began in November 2019, is taken into account.

At the same time, a report from Imperial College London appeared. It states that the COVID-19 pandemic could take lives from 40 million people by the end of 2020, if not for preventive measures that prevent the spread of infection.

Researchers believe that ignoring security measures would lead to a worse development of the situation. In this case, 7 billion people or 90% of the world's population would be infected. At the same time, the number of infected would be halved, with a 40% reduction in contacts for children, young and adults, and 60% for the elderly.

The study emphasizes that the pandemic is planetary in scope. But poor countries will lose significantly more people than developed ones.

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Observer2014

+2

27 March 2020 20: 01

It all depends on the leadership of the countries. Only decisive and not double actions can, though not save from the epidemic, but minimize its consequences.
Speaking of birds. Someone in the know, this is why on the New Year and May holidays we are sent to the company for the weekend. And then they said that quarantine did not concern us. We are, you see, a support company. Neither protective equipment for compulsory wearing, nor overalls laid elementary give out, even without this epidemic. And then work at such an infection.
What kind of quarantine does this start tomorrow? For small voluntarily forced to work this weekend did not kick. The only thing that stopped them was double payment. And from Monday to work, as if nothing had happened. Purely Putin's option. Half measures in everything. Even in quarantine. Those who need it will be checked. And they go nuts like on the ground. They are fighting the epidemic. How, in droves, they bring around a hundred people from all over the city to present the object to the mayor on the eve of a deadly epidemic. A disgrace. On TV, as always, one thing, but in reality ... And I do not need to upload here about trolling and other garbage. Those who need it will be checked. I already said that in my comment.
1. Ivan Ivanov_18
  
  +2
  
  27 March 2020 21: 13
  
  Why so much text?)) After all, theses have long been formed, for example - "Putin is to blame for everything."
  1. Observer2014
    
    -1
    
    27 March 2020 21: 53
    
    Quote: Ivan Ivanov_18
    Why so much text?)) After all, the theses have long been formed, for example - "Putin is to blame for everything"
    
    Uryatsky syndrome on the whole head. This is familiar:
    
    The pan is not so terrible as it is muffled.
    
    By the way why...._eighteen? :
    1. Ivan Ivanov_18
      
      +1
      
      27 March 2020 21: 59
      
      Have you come up with yours or copied it from the training manual?
      1. Observer2014
        
        -2
        
        27 March 2020 22: 13
        
        Quote: Ivan Ivanov_18
        Have you come up with yours or copied it from the training manual?
        
        Yeah. Straight from the manuals on the fight against "Uryadolbopatriotism". I especially learned how to drive clocks not the best for the country and society with old Soviet cartoons. Plus seasonal exacerbation, but not viral infections. And not allergies. Not very healthy fellow citizens.
        
        Ivan Ivanov_18
        
        +2
        
        27 March 2020 22: 43
        
        Quote: Observer2014
        Yeah. Straight from the training manual
        
        I thought so. The word liberal does not imply high mental development, even the employer speaks of this.
        Work for the illegible,
        The State Department needs revolutionaries:
        1. Age from 18 to 30 years.
        2. IQ no higher than 30.
        3. The absence of moral principles is mandatory.
        4. Anarchist beliefs are welcome.
        5. Payment by agreement
        Contact the US Embassy.
        
        Observer2014
        
        -3
        
        27 March 2020 22: 46
        
        Quote: Ivan Ivanov_18
        Quote: Observer2014
        Yeah. Straight from the training manual
        
        I thought so. The word liberal does not imply high mental development, even the employer speaks of this.
        Work for the illegible,
        The State Department needs revolutionaries:
        1. Age from 18 to 30 years.
        2. IQ no higher than 30.
        3. The absence of moral principles is mandatory.
        4. Anarchist beliefs are welcome.
        5. Payment by agreement
        Contact the U.S. Embassy
        
        There are too many letters in your text. Betrayal by pension reform. This was enough for tonsils.
2. Citizen Mѣshkov
  
  0
  
  28 March 2020 00: 40
  
  At the expense of pathetic window dressing to increase the rating - this is really a disgrace.
Sergey Latyshev

0

28 March 2020 08: 23

And many were told - we are working. The office is partially unloaded, and the workshops are being injected.

By the way, remember, quarantine against China and Korea worked 100%!
Sick, not sick - to quarantine in the Far East.
But VIPs, vacationing in Europe, inspected so-so. He said that he was healthy - come in.

All the first outbreaks were exactly where the children of the Governor of Moscow Oblast are studying, but the Moscow elites have arrived ...
Therefore, they do not name who, what, and where.

Although doctors are very careful, right by the minute, sometimes they keep records in such cases ... (On the Internet there are records of lectures-manuals of doctors precisely on the current situation).
gorenina91

-1

28 March 2020 18: 46

The study emphasizes that the pandemic is planetary in scope. But poor countries will lose significantly more people than developed ones.

- Yes, poor countries will survive this way .... - and they will continue to beg ... But other countries are given a very convenient opportunity to get rid of their own sick and very poor citizens ... - And for Russia there will come a laf ... - as in banking ... -13% of the population ...- as it never happened ...
- The virus knows its "business" ... - it is miserable bank savings, and the people themselves mow ...
Regis

+5

29 March 2020 12: 06

Something in recent years, most scientists have caught up with the famous British scientists. Or with "experts" who have bred on the Internet that a stray dog has fleas, only experts of them are so-so - none, self-proclaimed.
Umsan Umsanov

+1

29 March 2020 17: 11

Believe Europeans - do not respect yourself ...