Ukraine is between an epidemic, Maidan and default

The world is struggling with a pandemic ... For someone it turns out just brilliantly, like in China, where, in fact, its hearth broke out. And someone's doing worse. However, there are states which, when looking at the “anti-epidemic measures”, can only shrug their hands or clutch their heads. The best example here is Ukraine.

What is happening on its territory is of great importance for our country - after all, the fraternal people, and the common border with the "unbroken" has not gone away. If a catastrophe erupts there, it will certainly affect Russia, to a greater or lesser extent. And the thing, apparently, is exactly what is going on ...

Something needs to be introduced ... But what ?!

One gets the impression that the current Kiev government, which consists of a good percentage if not of booth comedians, then of completely random people whose managerial professionalism tends to zero, either does not know what to do at all, or does not understand what it is itself creates, making hasty and extremely rash decisions. On the one hand, among the armful of "anti-virus measures", en masse and in a hurry introduced by the government and the Verkhovna Rada, there are also quite sound, quite justified and appropriate. However, everything that happens today in Ukraine in the complex will almost inevitably lead her to a very sad ending. What are you talking about? First of all, that the quarantine-restrictive measures introduced now in Kiev and other regions, inflict a severe blow to the already barely existing the economy "Not down". Many in Kiev began talking about the impending default long before the current emergency - later we will examine in detail why. The situation is even worse in the social context. Already today, quarantine has left a lot of people without work - in the areas of catering, public services, transportation and others. Every single market is closed, from which many citizens "fed", both small entrepreneurs and employees. A large number of enterprises in an atmosphere of increasing panic stop or seriously reduce their activities, sending employees on unpaid "holidays". In Denmark, for example, the government promised to cover three-quarters of the salary funds for private companies that were affected by the restrictions, provided that they did not cut jobs. In Ukraine, nothing of the kind can be dreamed of.

And where to get the funds for such measures, given the huge budget in Ukraine, and every day an ever-increasing “hole” under 20 billion hryvnias? Moreover, the suspension of activities of an increasing number of both state and private companies will inevitably mean even greater losses for the treasury. What are exports or imports with tightly clogged borders? There is one more problem, specific purely for “non-wintering”. One of the most significant sources of fueling its economy, and, very importantly, currency, for many years was money transferred and brought in from behind the cordon by millions of “working people” outside the country. The sums of these revenues were estimated in billions of dollars, but now they are sharply and instantly reset! Forced people returning to their homeland for some time will eat up accumulations (those who have them), and then join the ranks of the unemployed. Ultimately, all this can lead to a social explosion in the form of real “hunger riots”, in comparison with which the “Maidan” of 2013-2014 will seem to Kiev a childish babble. However, it is very likely that neither the parliament, nor the presidential administration, nor the Cabinet of Ministers understand this. Generally speaking, the “brilliant” example of completely ill-conceived events is the closure of the subway in all Ukrainian cities where there was one. As planned by the authorities, it was supposed to be replaced by ground transport, in the salons of which citizens will be disciplined to drive in an amount of not more than 10 people at a time. In reality, this led to a severe transport collapse and minibuses with trams packed to such an extent that you can easily pick up not just a coronavirus, but an unwanted pregnancy. The effect is exactly the opposite of what was planned. Fought ...

The epidemic is just the last straw

The fact that the state debt of Ukraine in January-February 2020 increased by 2,6% (that is, by 46 billion hryvnias more than), the head of the Accounts Chamber of the country Valery Patskan said at the very beginning of March. At the same time, in 2019, the state debt of Ukraine grew by 6 billion dollars and reached 84,36 billion dollars. This year alone, the country needs to make payments on external borrowings in the amount of $ 17 billion. At about the same time (in early March), the prices of securities that Ukraine issued as part of a government debt restructuring carried out by one of the previous finance ministers in 2015 began to plummet in global stock markets, which are now in hard times. The last hope of Kiev was money from the IMF - a loan program in the amount of $ 5 billion, at least 2 of which could come this year. For the sake of obtaining it, Zelensky even tried to force MPs to violate quarantine and consider laws that lenders require (as a prerequisite for selling Ukrainian land) as mandatory conditions, however, according to reports, the IMF made clear on March 17 that there was no money will be. We are lacking ourselves ... There are persistent suspicions that any external borrower, whom in the current troubled and crazy time will try to turn “non-stop”, in response will build her the same combination of three fingers. Nobody wants to invest now in much more stable economies. The same Cabinet announced something about its readiness to ask for money from international structures as "assistance in the fight against coronavirus," however, here too, the cookie will surely be output. The fall in energy prices in the spring and summer does not give Ukraine any benefit at all, but the decline in global demand for metal (which is perhaps the only export item that actually gives currency) will be extremely painful.

What’s going to be there! Already today in the country there is a terrible physical shortage of cash currency. It is connected, first of all, with the fact that the people, stupid from the “coronavirus” panic pumped from each iron, massively rushed to buy dollars and euros. According to the recognition of the leadership of the National Bank as “uncool”, in just a couple of weeks, its citizens thus raked out at least $ 300 million from the “bins of the motherland”. The government daily throws huge amounts of money into a frenzied foreign exchange market, but that doesn’t help at all - from 24 hryvnias per dollar the national currency has “fallen” to almost 30. According to most local financial analysts, this is far from the limit. Recently appointed Prime Minister Denis Shmygal sadly broadcasts about “the need to prepare for the crisis,” which, when translated from official into human language, means the inevitability of a final collapse of everything and everything. And, nevertheless, not having, apparently, not only a clear strategy to overcome the epidemic, but even an understanding of the tactics of the relevant actions, both Kiev and the local authorities in some regions continue to “cheat” the situation by introducing many restrictions and prohibitions, establishing a state of emergency and hinting at the possibility of a state of emergency in the country. The main thing is that on the very first day of the “coronavirus hysteria” that was unleashed in Ukraine, the parliament there introduced enormous, truly draconian fines and even criminal liability (up to 3 years in prison) “for violating quarantine orders”. But Zelensky “on the lord’s shoulder” promised the pensioners to throw a thousand hryvnias (less than $ 40). The government hinted that perhaps they would think about lowering the quarantine fees that reached sky-high heights for utilities. But not everyone, and not much ... Generosity knows no bounds!

"Emergency", how is salvation for power?

Ukraine would not be Ukraine if, immediately after the introduction of quarantine measures, the wildest rumors did not begin to spread and “pranksters” began to frolic, whose “humor” could not be called cannibalistic. Odessa was especially noted here (quite expected). And it’s okay there, they only thought of sending out a message in messengers that from the water taps “to prevent infection” instead of water, alcohol is about to flow! Many believed and made calls to the dispatchers of the local Vodokanal to hysteria (they even had to make an official refutation of this crap)! Well, it would have been extremely “genuine” warnings on social networks that “the city will be sprayed with disinfectants from helicopters at night” and that parents who are released onto the street face “two to five years in prison” ... On some Odessa Internet resources already in full swing videos with the "mass grave of the bodies of the dead" and similar horrors. Little by little, doubts are beginning to arise - are we dealing with spontaneous "folk art" that is a response to the absurd actions of the authorities, or does someone knowingly want to push the "coronavirus psychosis" to the highest limit? Really stop the pandemic, if it breaks out in the country, Kiev has nothing. This is a completely objective assessment, given the increasingly widespread information (confirmed, for example, by some people's deputies) that, having glanced over the impending disaster into the warehouses and vaults of the State Reserve, representatives of the current Ukrainian government found a complete void there. No food, no fuel, no medicine ... If the virus begins to spread according to the worst, “Italian” scenario, it will instantly turn into a national catastrophe.

There is, by the way, a version of what is happening, according to which the panic chaos created in Ukraine today has both clear tactics and a well-thought-out strategy. Knowing full well that in the current world situation, the country can’t avoid the worst economic crisis and large-scale social upheavals, those in power gradually, gradually and systematically bring everything to the imposition of a state of emergency, in which you won’t especially rebel - default is there, devaluation, or at least general pestilence and smooth. According to the "extraordinary" laws adopted since the filing of ex-president Poroshenko, the state and its "punitive bodies" in this situation receive virtually unlimited powers. Really, the “Ze team”, sensing that the thing really smells like “fried,” decided to use the situation that turned up by the way in order to use such useful work of its predecessors as the last means of its own salvation ?! The West made it clear that it’s not down to earth - it does not intend to support it at such a difficult time. The Russian Foreign Ministry, represented by its deputy head Andrei Rudenko, said that so far there have been no requests for help in connection with the pandemic from Kiev. “They will do it — consider in a general manner,” the official summarized briefly and restrainedly. Well, if there is at least some benefit from the coronavirus adversity that has fallen on the world, then this is only a demonstration of what troubles can result in broken alliances and good-neighborly relations.
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  1. Potapov Offline Potapov
    Potapov (Valery) 19 March 2020 09: 13
    It's time to make a wish ...
  2. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 19 March 2020 10: 26
    Russia can consider assistance to Ukraine only after supplying water to the Crimea through the North Crimean Canal and ceasing shelling of the Donbass, with the withdrawal of troops 40 km from the borders of the LDNR. Probably, precisely after such actions, the Russian Federation can provide assistance to Ukraine, without any questions from the Russian people to its government. But Ukrainian nationalists are unlikely to agree to this and will torpedo such actions. So, help from Russia in this case may not come.
    1. Arkharov Offline Arkharov
      Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) 19 March 2020 18: 43
      What did Ukraine ask for?
    2. Guerilla1 Offline Guerilla1
      Guerilla1 (Eremeev) 19 March 2020 19: 42
      You should be at the Foreign Ministry, my friend. Without a shadow of sarcasm.
    3. The comment was deleted.
    4. Ivan Ivanov_18 Offline Ivan Ivanov_18
      Ivan Ivanov_18 (Troll trolls) 21 March 2020 17: 00
      Quote: Bulanov
      only after supplying water to Crimea

      Why does Crimea need water from the CCM? It was never used for drinking, and rice was not grown during the occupation in the early 90s. But in the settlements of the steppe Crimea, where during the occupation there was water for an hour or two a day, now it is supplied around the clock. The excitement around the water is not in Crimea, but in Skakua Novaya Pig.
  3. 69 Offline 69
    69 19 March 2020 11: 13
    I’m sitting on the Maidan - I’m guessing that little thought:
    Why do not I sokol, why do not I pour?
    Because pig you are scorching tires
    I changed my nenka to a stench from rubber.
  4. King3214 Offline King3214
    King3214 (Sergius) 19 March 2020 18: 00
    It’s strange. Tens of thousands of Ukrainians worked in Italy. Italy is the epicenter of infection. Now Ukrainian migrant workers have returned to Ukraine and ... they have 1 (One) officially ill.
    In Russia, patients are taken off and sent to quarantine from every plane arriving from Italy, but here tens of thousands - not one is sick ???
    This is monstrous!
    1. Arkharov Offline Arkharov
      Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) 19 March 2020 18: 12
      In Russia, patients are taken off and sent to quarantine from every plane arriving from Italy, but here tens of thousands - not one is sick ???

      - would explain, and which of this is monstrous?
      1. King3214 Offline King3214
        King3214 (Sergius) 19 March 2020 18: 13
        If it’s not clear, then I don’t see any reason to explain something. I'm not a doctor.
        1. Arkharov Offline Arkharov
          Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) 19 March 2020 18: 16
          Rather, patient?
    2. Ivan Ivanov_18 Offline Ivan Ivanov_18
      Ivan Ivanov_18 (Troll trolls) 21 March 2020 17: 05
      Quote: King3214
      Now Ukrainian migrant workers have returned to Ukraine and ... they have 1 (One) officially ill.

      He is weak against Svidomo.
  5. Arkharov Offline Arkharov
    Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) 19 March 2020 18: 10
    All about Ukraine again?
  6. Guerilla1 Offline Guerilla1
    Guerilla1 (Eremeev) 19 March 2020 19: 40
    Thoughts - they are material. (C)
    Here it goes to Coronomor. SanEpidem bombed a service ...
  7. beeper Offline beeper
    beeper 20 March 2020 00: 55
    Our factory, knocked down by the privatizers and almost finished off by the Ragul "Euromaidan", still somehow produced something, but, obviously, this clown "quarantine" cretinism will finish it off completely ?!
    Today, many workers have already been unable to get to work due to the uniform collapse of the city transport (if yesterday some, very, very few, desperate drivers still sympathized and took more than 10 people into the cabin, today no one does this, but against those who broke through to land " eleventh "policemen are called to drop such" impudent "- none of the transport workers wants to be punished with a substantial fine!) and chose to stay at home, and the most stubborn hard workers walked through half the city on foot, and I am one of those.
    Tomorrow too - on foot to and from work!

    The plight of Ukrainian workers is aggravated by the post-Maidan total lawlessness in the amerocolony "Ukraine" and the irresponsibility of employers, with impunity, with the full connivance of the "authorities" who allow themselves months of wage arrears!
    So, the majority of Ukrainian families do not have any "safety cushions" in the form of savings, allowing them to more or less survive this largely inflated "coronavirus crisis"!

    There is a conspiracy between Zeltsa and large kleptoligarchs, which allows them, "under the name of a bat flu pandemic," not to pay a multimillion-dollar land tax to local budgets from their ("privatized" nationwide!) Largest city-forming enterprises!
    It seems that this, intensely generated by the "independent" nouveau riche media, panic and "quarantine" in "Ukraine" was started only by them, so that the kleptoligarchs would evade taxes and take over the housing of citizens and enterprises of smaller entrepreneurs, who would inevitably become impoverished and of those who are being ruined according to the clever "coronquarantine scheme" - "hug to strangle", allegedly in "noble concern for the health of citizens" ?!

    Although a few months ago, the same ameromarionet "servants of the enemies of the people", approving and continuing the deadly "medical reforms" of the American nurse (eared Bandera troll nicknamed "Death"), without hesitation, stopped funding tuberculosis dispensaries that were stationary-compulsory treating carriers of the open form of pulmonary tuberculosis (a much more deadly disease than the current "newfangled" product of numerous American biological laboratories for the development of ethnic bioweapons!), thereby "ingeniously" creating all the prerequisites for the inevitable growth in the near future of the all-Ukrainian epidemic of tuberculosis, which will kill everyone in a row (and not just the owners of Asian genes and people with weakened immunity, like "coronavirus" - "atypical bat flu"!)!
  8. King3214 Offline King3214
    King3214 (Sergius) 22 March 2020 17: 38
    In Ukraine, more than a dozen US military bio-laboratories. It has everything you need to fight viruses, including protective equipment.
    They could privatize, well, or "at worst" and take by storm, protect themselves from the virus.
    But they will not dare, for the Ukrainians ....
    1. Observer2014 Offline Observer2014
      Observer2014 28 March 2020 10: 11
      Quote: King3214
      In Ukraine, more than a dozen US military bio-laboratories. It has everything you need to fight viruses, including protective equipment.
      They could privatize, or "at worst", and take by storm, protect themselves from the virus.
      But they will not dare, for the Ukrainians ....

      This is just a masterpiece. fool Well, life in the USSR would send you to live there. If only we all looked at you, the hero, how would you have privatized protective equipment there. I’d like to become an example for everyone. laughing
      1. King3214 Offline King3214
        King3214 (Sergius) 28 March 2020 16: 51
        30 years have passed, as there is no USSR.
        If this period was not enough for "enlightenment of the mind", is there a mind in principle?
        And people crazy, for example, in Russia, are not needed. Yes, and nowhere needed. For the Ukrainians.