Expert: Russia's ambitions in the Arctic will not be realized


Russian authorities have great views of the Arctic, although economic the situation in the country, as well as a number of other circumstances, will hardly allow Moscow to realize all the plans in this region. This opinion was expressed by Luc Coffey, director of the Center for External policy Douglas and Sarah Ellison at The Heritage Foundation. His article was published by the Saudi English-language newspaper Arab News.


The Kremlin seeks to promote its economic interests in the Arctic. Half of the Arctic territory and the same proportion of the population of this entire region are located in Russia. Also in the Far North are large reserves of oil and gas.

According to some estimates, in the next fifteen years, the strategy [of the development of the Russian North to 2035] could bring up to 15 trillion. rubles (200 billion dollars) of investments. However, in the context of economic stagnation and lower oil prices, it is still unknown where Russia will get such funds

- the author reports.

Moscow hopes that the Northern Sea Route will be one of the most important shipping lanes in the world, and will even become a competitor to the Suez Canal, compared with which the Arctic crossing significantly reduces the time and distance from Europe to East Asia.

However, these plans are hardly feasible. In 2019, only 37 vessels passed the Northern Sea Route, compared to 18 that passed the Suez Canal over the same period. Apparently, there is still a long way to go before the Northern Sea Route becomes a serious competitor to Suez, if it ever happens, the article says.

The results of the study [...] show that Arctic shipping can become economically feasible around 2040 if the ice cover continues to decline at the current pace.

- The extract from the report of the Copenhagen Business School from 2016 is given in the publication.

Russia is trying to control the Northern Sea Route, writes Mr. Koffi, even going against established international rules. Last year, the Russian Federation announced that it was introducing strict navigation rules even outside the Russian territorial waters. This cannot but attract attention from NATO.

The expert did not forget to mention the “militarization” of the Arctic, recalling that the Northern Fleet is the most powerful in the Russian Navy today. Summing up, the author expressed the opinion that, although most of the world's attention to Russia is concentrated on its “heinous actions in Syria or the illegal annexation of Crimea,” Moscow’s ambitions in the Arctic should not be ignored.
  • Used photos: kremlin.ru
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  1. 69 Offline 69
    69 18 March 2020 11: 22
    +1
    Russia is trying to control the Northern Sea Route, writes Mr. Koffi, even going against established international rules

    What are the “international rules” that are taken away and divided?
  2. g1washntwn Offline g1washntwn
    g1washntwn (George Washington) 18 March 2020 11: 57
    +4
    Why is it suddenly such an anxious concern for Russia? Doing everything right to compete?
  3. 123 Offline 123
    123 (123) 18 March 2020 13: 44
    -1
    In the light of recent developments in the oil market, the impartiality and objectivity, I would even say, with a touch of favor and friendliness towards Russia from the Saudi press, is not in doubt. laughing
    I didn’t read the article, and it’s clear that the torn economy of the gas station country will be bent in a week. Singer Putin realized the full depth of his fall, he was ready to bow to the wise ruler of the dunes and, as a sign of humility, would accompany the royal family on foot, circling their new Arctic possessions on snow-white camels, and ships of our potential partners would salute from the sea.
    Google suggests that "peremoga" is written in Arabic like this - The second
    Am I not mistaken? winked
  4. gorenina91 Online gorenina91
    gorenina91 (Irina) 18 March 2020 16: 00
    -3
    - Once ..., but, incidentally, not so long ago ... - I personally wrote a lot and in detail about Yamal (where they suddenly started a "Novotekov campaign", ridiculously similar to the "Chubais research"); and about the Russian shipyard "Zvezda", which today cannot be called Russian either. only Chinese work there to install Chinese and South Korean equipment ... - again due to the fact that Russian plants and enterprises were not given orders for the production of Russian equipment and components for this shipyard ... - The Zvezda shipyard will now depend for life on supplies of South Korean equipment ... - Namely ... - the entire production of the industrial design Russian shipyard "Zvezda" (where container ships for the transportation of Russian LNG will be built) will now entirely depend on what the left (and maybe the right one) the heel of South Korean companies ... - how cool ... - And this is the newest Russian shipyard ... - most likely, Russia will start buying container ships from Yuzhn. Korea ... - it turns out that all this expensive "Star" has not yet been built, but is no longer needed ... - but money was spent on it (Chubais just nervously smokes on the sidelines) ...
    - But this is not the only "Chubais project".
    - And also personally I wrote a lot about the fact that

    Novatek proposed a plan to expand capacities and implement the Arctic LNG-2 project, which could produce an additional 2 million tons of LNG per year. The launch of the first line of the Arctic LNG-19,8 project is scheduled for 2 with full capacity reaching in 2023.

    - Well, about Novatek personally, I already wrote a lot ...- I don’t want to repeat ... -this swindler will be even worse than Gazprom ...
    - And now, when personally I constantly stated all this, then many site clever men well choked on their minuses ...
    - And today suddenly some ...- "saw the light" and also began to broadcast to me in unison and ... diametrically opposed to their own previous site calculations ... - So if only they apologized to me for their blotted cons ... they are like water off a duck's back and today they are already writing the opposite, and they are not ashamed ... - but how did they defend their "gibberish" ... - And today they are already setting out the opposite of theirs:

    so it is clear that a torn economy of a gas station country will bend in a week. Singer Putin realized the full depth of his fall, he was ready to bow to the wise ruler of the dunes and, as a sign of humility, would accompany the royal family on foot, circling their new Arctic possessions on snow-white camels, and ships of our potential partners would salute from the sea.

    - So that's it ... "the economy of a gas station country will be bent to shreds in a week" ... - But with what aplomb the opposite was given earlier ...- How much bravura was, how much the pump, how much incense was smoked (not to breathe ) - and all in honor of the "brilliant thoughts" and "progressive steps" of the arrogant swindlers and swindlers from the Russian economy ...
    - Well, well ... - it is visible to many site workers ...- it's easier ...
    1. Astronaut Offline Astronaut
      Astronaut (San Sanych) 18 March 2020 23: 43
      -2
      Not tired of carrying nonsense, huh?
  5. How can it not, when already able? It’s the Arctic’s doodles, and we’re okay - there are cities, roads, airfields, and MILITARY BASESso shut up, uncle sam, and crawl away under the shkonki!
  6. Beech Offline Beech
    Beech 19 March 2020 11: 49
    0
    ..the article was published by the Saudi-language newspaper Arab News

    The next biggest girls friends? Are Arabs also laughed at the Northern Sea Route?
  7. Regis Offline Regis
    Regis (Sergey Kopan) 19 March 2020 15: 18
    +3
    The whole problem is in the experts. And American experts, especially when it comes to Russia, are generally something with something.