Will Trump decide to finish off the Russian economy


Over the world the economy not even the “black swans” are circling (the collapse of the OPEC + deal and the epidemic of the coronavirus), but the most natural “black raven”. Apparently, the United States, substituting a foot to China and Russia, is ready to go on to finish off its main geopolitical opponents.


What can one expect from Washington, which has shut off the United States from the rest of the world, in the very near future?

One of the most successful in the history of venture capital funds Sequoia Capital warned its partners about the need to review the risks towards the most unfavorable:

We need to be prepared for turbulence and have a ready-made way of thinking for the (most dangerous) scenarios that can be played out.

To make it clear, Sequoia Capital has been working since 1972, the management of the investment fund managed to see a lot of things. Among his projects: Apple, Google, Oracle, Yahoo !, YouTube, Instagram, PayPal, LinkedIn, Dropbox, Cisco, WhatsApp, etc. Among the co-investors of the fund there are many extremely influential people, including among the American ruling elites.

So what are hinting to their partners at Sequoia Capital?

For understanding, the general picture should be taken into account: the United States officially recognized Russia and China as a threat to its national security. Moscow, mainly due to the nuclear arsenal inherited from the USSR and some hypersonic modern developments. Beijing is both a growing military power and economic power. China in the context of globalization is a "world workshop", but does not intend to be limited only to this status. The Middle Kingdom invests enormously in science, education and R&D. In the region of of technologies the Chinese are confidently crushing the Americans, and in some places have already taken the lead.

It is clear that to fight with Russia or China in order to “return them to the stall”, using strategic nuclear weapons is more expensive, but there are simpler ways. Surprisingly, the coronavirus epidemic that erupted in Wuhan coincided with the collapse of the OPEC + deal with unexpectedly aggressive actions on the oil market of the US Saudi Arabia.

For Russia, standing on oil and gas pipes, this is a terrible blow. Already, our country is losing billions due to falling prices for black gold, and soon this will negatively affect gas contracts, which are tied to oil quotes with a small lag in time. Without any American ICBMs, the Russian economy, geared towards exporting hydrocarbons, will be, as it were after the war, until the end of 2020, if nothing changes dramatically.

For China, the situation could be even worse. On the one hand, he, as the world's largest producer, benefits from cheap oil and gas. On the other hand, global quarantine has dealt a powerful blow to its industry and exports. In Western countries, they began to think about the need to reduce dependence on supplies from China, and this "import substitution" will have long-term negative consequences for the Celestial Empire. But this is far from all.

So, the White House may well now recall last year’s threat from President Donald Trump to close American stock exchanges for Chinese companies. In September 2019, against the backdrop of such reports, the shares fell sharply: Alibaba Group - by 5%, Baidu - by 3,5%, JD.com - by almost 6%, Pinduoduo - by 4%. About one and a half hundred Chinese companies are currently trading in the United States.

The next logical step is a ban on Chinese investment in American companies. US expert Bilal Hafez comments on this as follows:

The Foreign Investment Risk Assessment System (FIRRMA) Act was signed by President Trump in 2018. He gives the US Foreign Investment Committee (CFIUS), which claims the takeover of US companies, incredibly broad powers. For example, now the body can stop real estate operations and even the acquisition of minority stakes in companies.

“Cherry on the cake” may be a ban on access for Chinese and Russian investors to US stock exchanges, as well as a restriction for American investors in the purchase of Russian and Chinese securities. How will this affect the economy of China and the Russian Federation? Yes, it is clear that in the most negative way.

Of course, in the context of globalization, the USA itself will suffer from such radical steps. For them, this will be a "shot in the foot." Here are just a bullet first pass through the head of China and ricochet to Russia. The divorce, albeit in a harsh form, with Beijing fits into the "imperial" concept of Donald Trump.
Used photos: kremlin.ru
Ctrl Enter

Noticed oshЫbku Highlight text and press. Ctrl + Enter

27 comments
Information

Dear reader, to leave comments on the publication, you must to register.
I have an account? Sign in

  1. gorenina91 Offline
    gorenina91 (Irina) 14 March 2020 12: 43
    -9
    • 2
    • 11
    Will Trump decide to finish off the Russian economy

    - Who can finish off whom and how and for what ... - this is a very, very endless topic ...
    - But one thing is clear; only one thing is clear ... - that ... no matter how America "pushes" Russia (if America succeeds at all) ... - then Russia will sooner or later revive and arise again ...
    - But .. if China suddenly settles in Russia .., then ... then ... then ... then Russia will never be reborn ... - Russia will simply disappear forever ... - Russia simply will not. .. - How dozens of peoples (even hundreds) disappeared ... - These peoples simply turned into Chinese ... - These peoples simply turned into Chinese !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!! - They all turned into Chinese ... - or rather they were turned into Chinese ... - they were all turned into Chinese ... - FOREVER ...
    - Economics of economics, politics ... - this is an acquired business ... - today ... - or in this century someone was lucky; and someone ... - because of an unsuccessfully chosen path ... or an unsuccessfully chosen method of following into the future; or the wrong choice of their guides into this future, etc ... - suffers historical collapse, etc ... - But this is not the end of the story for these losers ... - this people remains, the ethnic group remains, the history remains, traditions remain, folklore remains, culture remains ... - the whole essence of the people remains ... - And you can start all over again ... - children, grandchildren, great-grandchildren ... - they can start all over again ... - And what and who will remain in Russia .., after the Chinese "victorious assimilation" ??? - Only those naturalized will remain ... - Hua Hua ...
    1. Guerilla1 Offline
      Guerilla1 (Eremeev) 14 March 2020 17: 01
      -3
      • 2
      • 5
      Let me guess you ...
      Your daughter will have a Caucasian husband ....
      You need to think about the house ..)
      According to your logic, China will assimilate the hot mountain sons, and this should not bother you anymore. This is because they each had six children and, most importantly, SeychS. And you? Wangyu, one child, Maxim M - two ...
      Once the chief of family affairs of the Russian Orthodox Church was asked what can / should be done now to preserve the Russian ethnic group, he replied: "It's too late ..."
      1. gorenina91 Offline
        gorenina91 (Irina) 14 March 2020 18: 25
        -4
        • 1
        • 5
        By your logic, China will assimilate the hot mountain sons

        - Yes, what difference does China ...- who is hot and who is non-walking ... - The Chinese have long been looking at all other humanity - pragmatically cynical ...
        - This is compassionate Russia, personally, I mean the Russians ...- everything is trying to save other nations and protect them ... - and for this I’m ready to sacrifice absolutely everything ... - But the Chinese are looking at other peoples through the “prism of suitability” , i.e. - how much other humanity can be useful to them ... - Well, the "hot" ones just do not need them at all ... - why do they need them ... - why do they need the "troubled hot small nations" ... - But and the Chinese are well aware that so far it is the Russians who are alive and strong enough; then the Russians will always be the first to climb up to protect all the “hot” and all the “non-walking” ... - But when the Chinese succeed to some extent ..., to put it mildly ...- "neutralize" the Russians .. then fate all other nations (both "hot" and "non-walking") will be very quickly resolved ... - If these peoples are not simply destroyed; then it’s all the same ...- two or three generations and ... and all these peoples will be turned into Chinese ... -and in terms of Mongoloid appearance, and in the imposed Chinese language (with the loss of the language of former ancestors), and all other "Chinese parameters" that these peoples will be forced to prefer to their historical mental beings ... - China has a great centuries-old practice of turning other peoples into Chinese ...- There simply will not be a choice ...

        Once the chief of family affairs of the Russian Orthodox Church was asked what can / should be done now to preserve the Russian ethnic group, he replied: "It's too late ..."

        - Here I am personally - Russian, Orthodox .., but I don’t understand at all .. what position the ROC has taken today ... - Today I would announce to the whole world and unite to all confessional directions ... - for a universal struggle with the newly-born antichrist. ..- with China .., and Our ROC arrives in some kind of confusion ... - Our Creator populated the Earth he created with many peoples with his own languages ​​and customs ... - And China has long begun to displace other peoples from earthly existence. ..- For China, this has long been the main task that he is trying by all means and methods stronghold of ...
        - What else reasoning can be here ... - today it is just obvious ...
    2. cmonman Offline
      cmonman (Garik Mokin) 15 March 2020 03: 13
      -4
      • 0
      • 4
      But ... if China suddenly settles in Russia .., then ... then ... then ... then Russia will never be reborn ... - Russia will simply disappear forever ...

      Do you propose to change the Constitution “under-China” immediately? Voting coming soon ...!
  2. Regis Offline
    Regis (Sergey Kopan) 14 March 2020 13: 46
    +6
    • 10
    • 4
    Well, no matter how the United States doesn’t kill itself. They now have a state like before the Second World War - to rob someone, otherwise everything will be bad. The author should, at a minimum, read serious economic reviews by domestic authors, and at the very least glance at the US economic cuisine, stock quotes, yes ... But your headline sounds somehow fake. Don't you find?
  3. boriz Online
    boriz (boriz) 14 March 2020 13: 52
    +7
    • 11
    • 4
    Trump will not be able to finish off the Russian economy. US-Russian trade turnover is very miserable. Unlike China and Germany. Now they will just have problems and they have already begun. And Putin, oddly enough, has more trump cards than Trump. The oil war that has begun knocked out the shale energy industry. This is 300 jobs, a long-blown credit bubble, the loss of markets. It will be easy to send there the US nuclear energy. Following is the Boeing, which needs to be added a little so that he dies. Just stop supplying titanium products for those planes that will compete with our new planes. And supply Airbus as much as we see fit. Provided that they help us quickly and without problems to certify our aircraft and engines. It is possible to ban American airlines from flying through the airspace of the Russian Federation. In the current crisis, this will finish some of them. You can stop supplying them with rocket engines. They have problems with their own. Yes, you can still remember all sorts of nasty things.
    And our reserves are above the roof. You just have to lend a hand. Only earlier was it the hand of liberals who did not have the task of developing Russia. Now Mishustin has been appointed prime minister. Its task is the urgent transformation of the state administration apparatus through organizational and personnel decisions, including through amendments to the Constitution. The goal is to ensure the effective implementation of decisions made. Everyone remembers the fate of the May decrees of the president. Here Mishustin must stop this sabotage.
    And our reserves are not only in gold reserves and the National Welfare Fund and others, especially since they are under the responsibility of Nabiullina, whose turn has not yet reached.
    Maybe someone drew attention to the words of Mishustin that last year 1,1 trillion rubles were not spent from the budget. Ponder this figure. This money was either not transferred as intended, or came at the very end of the year and simply did not have time to spend it. And from the new year, another fiscal year begins and this money remains hanging on the accounts. They are, but they can no longer be spent. That is, it has become scary to steal in recent years, Putin intimidated. But officials do not want to work normally, and they do not know how. Plus, all sorts of instructions and other by-laws are drawn up so that it is often simply impossible to work.
    And so every year. If my memory serves me right, more than 13 trillion rubles is hanging up all that money. Try to imagine what it is. You just have to reach out and take them. And it is possible to compensate manufacturers for short deliveries of titanium parts, rocket engines. Or simply force your programs that load these enterprises.
    Putin went on the offensive and this is not a one-time action.
  4. Sergey Latyshev Offline
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 14 March 2020 15: 09
    -1
    • 3
    • 4
    Oh, trouble, trouble ... It will be more difficult for Russian moneybags to take money out of the country ....
    Yes, speculate with banks in currency .... yes sell shares over a hill ...

    Although ... Wherever you look, Yandex, and Norilsk Nickel, and Rusal - have long been there ....

    What about the elite kids over the hill? Is it possible to switch to simple hamburgers ..... ???
    I don’t think ....
  5. Observer2014 Offline
    Observer2014 14 March 2020 16: 52
    0
    • 4
    • 4
    This is all bullshit. Tereshkova reminded herself. Wow!

    "Cherry on the cake"

    became "our little star". laughing
    1. 123 Offline
      123 (123) 14 March 2020 21: 55
      +3
      • 5
      • 2
      You may not agree with Tereshkova, but keep the jokes with you. negative She flew into space, the first of women, the star of a hero on her chest, and who are you? no
      For such words it is necessary to dunk into the cake with a physiognomy, and preferably a cow cake. sad
  6. Sapsan136 Offline
    Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 14 March 2020 17: 12
    +7
    • 11
    • 4
    Mr. Marzhetsky, as always, didn’t notice (the elephant) ... If Russia and China lose all US debt and stop investing in them, the US default, with all the consequences, will become more than a reality, and this could turn out to be not only a collapse of the economy , which has long been a soap bubble, but also the collapse of the army and the American state itself ... By the way, US shale oil production at such prices is unprofitable, and this is the bankruptcy of a number of US enterprises and the growth of unemployment in the USA!
    1. cmonman Offline
      cmonman (Garik Mokin) 15 March 2020 22: 25
      -3
      • 0
      • 3
      If Russia and China lose all US debt and stop investing in them.

      You contradict yourself - if you invest, then it’s profitable. If you immediately drop everything, then the price will fall (due to the number) and will be sold at a price lower than the purchased one, and invest money will not come back. And they will throw off at a low price, then others will immediately buy it. This is from secondary school economics if you graduated.
      1. 321 Offline
        321 (321) 15 March 2020 22: 29
        +1
        • 1
        • 0
        Somehow you "forgot" to write about something if you suddenly "stop", why would it? bully
        1. cmonman Offline
          cmonman (Garik Mokin) 15 March 2020 22: 35
          -2
          • 0
          • 2
          Oh, I already forgot a lot about a lot !!! It’s good that the wife reminds me of conjugal duty, and what and where lies and whom “what’s their name” ...
  7. 123 Offline
    123 (123) 14 March 2020 22: 02
    +6
    • 9
    • 3
    All as we love laughing Form style. good The helpless Russia and China are at the feet of the red-haired ruler, but he is still in thought, pushing his boot on his throat or not yet standing. Apparently, natural kindness or just laziness is to blame. yes All financial losses are borne exclusively by Russians and Chinese, Texas oil workers who are left without work will be magically employed, the virus mows only the Chinese, and if the Americans are sometimes sick, this is not considered. The Americans themselves cannot suffer from the ban on the purchase of securities, apparently, they will buy the shares of shale oil with this money. Close stock exchanges for the Chinese? Yes, it’s easy, because there are probably no other exchanges, and the American exchanges themselves are not interested in trade and allowed the Chinese to place themselves solely out of mercy.
    Bravo, good You have reached a new level of skill. I believe that nobody can knock physically from below. winked
    1. cmonman Offline
      cmonman (Garik Mokin) 15 March 2020 03: 38
      0
      • 2
      • 2
      So this is Sergey Marzhetsky! This is his handwriting - he will think up / create a situation (often inflamed), and then he himself “solves” it.
      No one says that you can’t make money like that - the editorial office is obviously satisfied with such a fantasy. Well, for readers who are “surrounded_ and_ in_ the digs” for them, the situation “night stand and day hold out” against America is the most adrenaline ...
      1. 123 Offline
        123 (123) 15 March 2020 03: 47
        +2
        • 2
        • 0
        Perhaps you are right, only with a "resolution" of the situation is somehow not very. no Usually they prophesy the apocalypse. winked
        1. cmonman Offline
          cmonman (Garik Mokin) 15 March 2020 04: 38
          -3
          • 0
          • 3
          From the article:

          For understanding, the general picture should be taken into account: the United States officially recognized Russia and China as a threat to its national security.

          The Amer military recognized, yes, the commercial ones - not Russia, China - partially. About 15 years ago Saud. Arabia bought one of the largest ports in the USA and the world - the port of Los Angeles. And this is after 9/11! Such a flurry of congress rose that the deal was canceled and after that a committee was set up in Congress that began to monitor large investments in the US economy by foreign buyers. China is not allowed to buy in large numbers of companies, real properties. But they do not prohibit, because this is against the laws of the market. Believe me - for the money of China, you can buy a quarter of the production or property of the United States. The expansion of China extends to the new Silk Road - to lend to the countries of this road, and in case of non-return - to take land / development / enterprises for themselves. Uzbekistan has already felt this. In Vietnam, both of the country's largest ports belong to China as bad debt. Sergei is right - the United States (Trump) can do this, but they won’t do it - America with this decision cannot “become great again.” Does Trump need this before the election?
  8. Marzhecki Offline
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 15 March 2020 07: 09
    -5
    • 1
    • 6
    Quote: cmonman
    So this is Sergey Marzhetsky! This is his handwriting - he will think up / create a situation (often inflamed), and then he himself “solves” it.
    No one says that you can’t make money like that - the editorial office is obviously satisfied with such a fantasy. Well, for readers who are “surrounded_ and_ in_ the digs” for them, the situation “night stand and day hold out” against America is the most adrenaline ...

    Are you smart? Self-affirm?
    1. cmonman Offline
      cmonman (Garik Mokin) 15 March 2020 22: 31
      0
      • 1
      • 1
      Are you smart? Self-affirm?

      Yes, but this does not cancel my invitation to visit - come, when there will be an opportunity ...!
  9. Marzhecki Offline
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 15 March 2020 07: 10
    -3
    • 2
    • 5
    Quote: 123
    Everything as we love. laughing Form style. good The helpless Russia and China are at the feet of the red-haired ruler, but he is still in thought, pushing his boot on his throat or not yet standing. Apparently, natural kindness or just laziness is to blame. yes All financial losses are borne exclusively by Russians and Chinese, Texas oil workers who are left without work will be magically employed, the virus mows only the Chinese, and if the Americans are sometimes sick, this is not considered. The Americans themselves cannot suffer from the ban on the purchase of securities, apparently, they will buy the shares of shale oil with this money. Close stock exchanges for the Chinese? Yes, it’s easy, because there are probably no other exchanges, and the American exchanges themselves are not interested in trade and allowed the Chinese to place themselves solely out of mercy.
    Bravo, good You have reached a new level of skill. I believe that nobody can knock physically from below. winked

    Your comment is a classic of demagogic distortion and substitution of concepts. You in your work of a troll comprehend new heights. good
    1. 123 Offline
      123 (123) 15 March 2020 14: 23
      +2
      • 3
      • 1
      Your comment is a classic of demagogic distortion and substitution of concepts. You in your work of a troll comprehend new heights.

      Thank you for the appreciation of my modest work. hi By the way, am I up to the troll level? However, this does not matter, judging by the comments, I am a liberal Stalinist from Tsakhal. laughing
      More important than the other, am I the troll or not the main thing, in fact, do you have any objections? winked
  10. Marzhecki Offline
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 15 March 2020 07: 16
    -3
    • 2
    • 5
    Quote: boriz
    Trump will not be able to finish off the Russian economy. US-Russian trade turnover is very miserable.

    And here is the trade turnover with the United States? It was about a blow to the export of oil and gas from Russia. This is an objective reality. NWF? He was taken away in 1-1,5 years.
    1. 123 Offline
      123 (123) 15 March 2020 14: 36
      +3
      • 4
      • 1
      And here is the trade turnover with the United States? It was about a blow to the export of oil and gas from Russia. This is an objective reality.

      How else can they hit oil and gas exports? Unless you prohibit the use of the dollar for payment, but it’s the same as hammering a fly on your own forehead.

      NWF? He was taken away in 1-1,5 years.

      Even some “stubborn” Americans say that it’s not enough for 10, but for 6 years, and this doesn’t justify it. You even surpassed them. lol Moreover, with the justification of this opinion is very bad, it simply does not exist. request
      All your conclusions are based on blind faith in America's unlimited power and inability to do anything to Russia. smile
  11. Marzhecki Offline
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 15 March 2020 07: 19
    -2
    • 2
    • 4
    Quote: cmonman
    So this is Sergey Marzhetsky! This is his handwriting - he will think up / create a situation (often inflamed), and then he himself “solves” it.
    No one says that you can’t make money like that - the editorial office is obviously satisfied with such a fantasy. Well, for readers who are “surrounded_ and_ in_ the digs” for them, the situation “night stand and day hold out” against America is the most adrenaline ...

    For me, such comments from the emigrant from the United States sound like a compliment. hi
    PS By the way, why are you hanging out on the Russian Reporter? Your American press is not enough for you?
  12. Nikolay Malyugin (Nikolai Malyugin) 15 March 2020 09: 49
    0
    • 1
    • 1
    Oil businessmen have little to lose from falling oil prices. In the end, they will win back on the sale of the dollar on domestic sale. Trump, too, is keeping up.

    While oil is cheap, fill up the reserves.

    While there is a sale, you don’t have to think about black.
  13. g1washntwn Offline
    g1washntwn (George Washington) 16 March 2020 06: 23
    +1
    • 1
    • 0
    Building nasty things "through the fence" is ineffective. All speculations, including political ones, are as efficient as possible if you control the entire system, and do not fence yourself off from it. An example before the eyes: oil speculation through the Saudis. Closing access to investments is not a shot in the foot, it is just an attempt to kill the enemy from behind by shooting yourself in the mouth. Self-isolation is incapable of bringing anything but losses. There is a saying: a holy place is never empty. The world was not limited only to the USSR, and to the United States - the wedge did not converge on them, investments and trade will find others who prefer not to mess with muddy schemes, the black market and the gangster attributes that are present in them. This is precisely the case when the Western concept of "free market" plays against American protectionism.
  14. filippino lippi Offline
    filippino lippi (filippino lippi) 16 March 2020 11: 27
    +1
    • 1
    • 0
    China, this is GREAT! Just imagine what a GREAT it is! An example, maybe unsuccessful, but EXACT! So HERE: Anyone who wants to fight China must understand what? That, killing the Chinese EVEN MILLION a DAY, to kill all the Chinese ONLY in CHINA itself, it will take more FOUR YEARS! This is if for MILLION DAY! ALMOST 5 YEARS! Who can do this? Negroes from the USA, with diamonds in their teeth? Or BIBLE EUROPE! YES do not make you laugh with your EXTRAORDINARY STUPIDITY! EUROGEEV and KILLING IS NOT NEEDED, THIS IS ONE CUT TO WHIPS to bring in FEEL! Pinches and blacks with rhinestones in their teeth, THIS IS NOT A WARRIOR, IT CRAVED ON FIELDS AND PLANTATIONS!